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Russian scientist says Earth could soon face new Ice Age
Russian News & Information Agency ^

Posted on 01/23/2008 10:09:35 AM PST by Bulwinkle

ST. PETERSBURG, January 22 (RIA Novosti) - Temperatures on Earth have stabilized in the past decade, and the planet should brace itself for a new Ice Age rather than global warming, a Russian scientist said in an interview with RIA Novosti Tuesday.

"Russian and foreign research data confirm that global temperatures in 2007 were practically similar to those in 2006, and, in general, identical to 1998-2006 temperatures, which, basically, means that the Earth passed the peak of global warming in 1998-2005," said Khabibullo Abdusamatov, head of a space research lab at the Pulkovo observatory in St. Petersburg.

According to the scientist, the concentration of carbon dioxide in the Earth's atmosphere has risen more than 4% in the past decade, but global warming has practically stopped. It confirms the theory of "solar" impact on changes in the Earth's climate, because the amount of solar energy reaching the planet has drastically decreased during the same period, the scientist said.

Had global temperatures directly responded to concentrations of "greenhouse" gases in the atmosphere, they would have risen by at least 0.1 Celsius in the past ten years, however, it never happened, he said.

"A year ago, many meteorologists predicted that higher levels of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere would make the year 2007 the hottest in the last decade, but, fortunately, these predictions did not become reality," Abdusamatov said.

He also said that in 2008, global temperatures would drop slightly, rather than rise, due to unprecedentedly low solar radiation in the past 30 years, and would continue decreasing even if industrial emissions of carbon dioxide reach record levels.

By 2041, solar activity will reach its minimum according to a 200-year cycle, and a deep cooling period will hit the Earth approximately in 2055-2060. It will last for about 45-65 years, the scientist added.

"By the mid-21st century the planet will face another Little Ice Age, similar to the Maunder Minimum, because the amount of solar radiation hitting the Earth has been constantly decreasing since the 1990s and will reach its minimum approximately in 2041," he said.

The Maunder Minimum occurred between 1645 and 1715, when only about 50 spots appeared on the Sun, as opposed to the typical 40,000-50,000 spots.

It coincided with the middle and coldest part of the so called Little Ice Age, during which Europe and North America were subjected to bitterly cold winters.

"However, the thermal inertia of the world's oceans and seas will delay a 'deep cooling' of the planet, and the new Ice Age will begin sometime during 2055-2060, probably lasting for several decades," Abdusamatov said.

Therefore, the Earth must brace itself for a growing ice cap, rather than rising waters in global oceans caused by ice melting.

Mankind will face serious economic, social, and demographic consequences of the coming Ice Age because it will directly affect more than 80% of the earth's population, the scientist concluded.

http://en.rian.ru/science/20080122/97519953.html


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: agw; global; globalwarming
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To: Bulwinkle
So now my Arizona beach-front property depends solely on the San Andres Fault line??
21 posted on 01/23/2008 10:15:43 AM PST by JimSEA
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To: Dixie Yooper

Wow, wtf is wrong with him? DOesn’t he know about Global Warming? Geez. I wish these scientists would get on the right band wagon already.


22 posted on 01/23/2008 10:16:07 AM PST by Rick.Donaldson (http://www.transasianaxis.com - Visit for lastest on DPRK/Russia/China/Etc --Fred Thompson for Prez.)
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To: Bulwinkle

Wouldn’t you know it! Right after I go out and re-do my wardrobe for global warming. Any one want to buy some Bermuda shorts?


23 posted on 01/23/2008 10:16:42 AM PST by CommerceComet (Mitt Romney: boldly saying whatever the audience wants to hear.)
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To: Bulwinkle
"However, the thermal inertia of the world's oceans and seas will delay a 'deep cooling' of the planet, and the new Ice Age will begin sometime during 2055-2060, probably lasting for several decades," Abdusamatov said.

Funny. The last one went on for 50,000 years.

Don't the Vulcans arrive in 2061? Maybe they'll help us.

24 posted on 01/23/2008 10:17:03 AM PST by <1/1,000,000th%
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To: xcamel

Ping.


25 posted on 01/23/2008 10:17:22 AM PST by scripter ("You don't have a soul. You are a soul. You have a body." - C.S. Lewis)
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To: Bulwinkle

I bet this gives Algore heartburn......


26 posted on 01/23/2008 10:17:31 AM PST by Emperor Palpatine ("There is no civility, only politics.")
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To: Bulwinkle

Maybe it’s more localized than we thought. After all, it’s a known fact that global warming occurs mainly over areas populated by greedy Republicans and their smog-belching fleets of SUV’s.


27 posted on 01/23/2008 10:17:41 AM PST by reagan_fanatic (Just another reluctant Mitt Supporter)
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To: Bulwinkle
COLD WAR II:

VS.

28 posted on 01/23/2008 10:17:43 AM PST by Charles Martel (The Tree of Liberty thirsts.)
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To: Heartland Mom
I am no scientist, but deciding we are heading for an ice age based upon any 10-year analysis seems as ludicrous as using the same period to arrive at the global warming hysteria. Don’t these patterns take hundreds, if not thousands, of years before they have any weight?

If you read it you see that the "Ice Age" was confined mostly to the headline. The scientist is referring to a repeat of the Maunder Minimum, aka the "little ice age" which was short lived (geologically speaking) and did not involve glaciers marching across the planet.

And he used the current sunspot minimum as corroboration. This is all plausible - much more so than the idiotic fantasy of man made global warming - though the case is obviously not proved.

29 posted on 01/23/2008 10:17:47 AM PST by irv
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To: DoughtyOne

An excellent summary!


30 posted on 01/23/2008 10:18:38 AM PST by scripter ("You don't have a soul. You are a soul. You have a body." - C.S. Lewis)
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To: pissant

Algore is at Davos right now where they will be discussing global warming (and partying).


31 posted on 01/23/2008 10:18:49 AM PST by khnyny (Clinton and Co. are the carnies of American politics.)
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To: Bulwinkle

dang.
I was kinda looking forward to global warming personally.


32 posted on 01/23/2008 10:19:24 AM PST by Scotswife
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To: DoughtyOne

My daughter has the “Ice Age” DVD so I have been forced to watch it many times. It’s still funny though even after at least a dozen viewings.

“Why do they call it the Ice Age”?
“BECAUSE OF ALL THE ICE”


33 posted on 01/23/2008 10:19:34 AM PST by DFG
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To: Bulwinkle

Bet ya won’t see this on CNN....


34 posted on 01/23/2008 10:19:59 AM PST by Freeport
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To: stocksthatgoup

LOL


35 posted on 01/23/2008 10:20:22 AM PST by DoughtyOne (< fence >< sound immigration policies >< /weasles >< /RINOs >< /Reagan wannabees that are liberal >)
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To: Bulwinkle

I want my global warming!!!


36 posted on 01/23/2008 10:20:42 AM PST by Hoodlum91 (I support global warming.)
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To: Gator101

Isn’t that great. Love it.


37 posted on 01/23/2008 10:20:44 AM PST by DoughtyOne (< fence >< sound immigration policies >< /weasles >< /RINOs >< /Reagan wannabees that are liberal >)
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To: Bulwinkle

BREAKING NEWS!!!

Global warming causing future ice age. Stand by for next prediction.


38 posted on 01/23/2008 10:20:50 AM PST by 353FMG (Vote for the Person who will do the least damage to our country.)
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To: Bulwinkle

I just pray that all those Polar Bears can tread water long enough for the ice to form up around them.


39 posted on 01/23/2008 10:21:10 AM PST by fish hawk (The religion of Darwinism = Monkey Intellect)
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To: RightWhale

You know, this will mean more trouble raising food, and I know, seriously, we are worried about the affects of our pollution causing serious eco-harm to the oceans where we get a high percentage of our food. With two REAL science issues facing us, why the hell have the socialist morons so fully embraced the lie of “global warming?”


40 posted on 01/23/2008 10:21:31 AM PST by 50sDad (Liberals: Never Happy, Never Grateful, Never Right.)
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