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ARG Florida: Romney 33% McCain 32%
American Research Group, Inc. ^ | January 27, 2008

Posted on 01/27/2008 7:49:49 PM PST by Plutarch

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About this Survey -

Survey Sponsor: American Research Group, Inc.

The American Research Group has been conducting surveys of voters since 1985.

Sample Size: 600 completed telephone interviews among a random sample

of likely Republican primary voters living in Florida (578 Republicans and 22 independent

(no party and new voters)

voters).

Sample

Dates: January 25-26, 2008

Margin of Error: ± 4 percentage points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion is evenly split.

Question Wording:

If the 2008 Republican presidential preference

primary were being held today between (names rotated)

Rudy Giuliani, Mike

Huckabee, Alan Keyes, John McCain, Ron Paul, and Mitt Romney, for whom would you vote?

Would you say that you definitely plan to vote

in the 2008 Republican presidential primary, that you might

vote in the 2008 Republican presidential primary, or that you will probably not vote in the 2008 Republican

presidential primary?


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: Florida
KEYWORDS: fl2008; mccain; romney; romneytruthfile
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Yeah, its ARG, but shows a 6 point bump for Mitt. Some of the polling was on Saturday the 26th, presumably while the Crist endorsement was in the news.
1 posted on 01/27/2008 7:49:50 PM PST by Plutarch
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To: Plutarch

         Mitt Romney

2 posted on 01/27/2008 7:51:10 PM PST by SheLion (Fred was the only one I cared for.)
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To: Plutarch

"ARRRRRRRG! Florida!"

3 posted on 01/27/2008 7:52:42 PM PST by Texas Eagle (Could pacifists exist if there weren't people brave enough to go to war for their right to exist?)
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To: Plutarch

Looking at that chart, it sure seems like Mitt picked up the percentage that was going for Fred Thompson. ... Yes we Can. Yes we can. we Can.


4 posted on 01/27/2008 7:52:48 PM PST by AmericanMade1776
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To: Texas Eagle
Those wondering about the accuracy of ARG, can check out the: 2008 Presidential Primary Pollster Report Card Through 01/26/08

As shown on the table below, ARG's reputation as not very good shows up on the data as well.

detailed-2008-primary-report-card-through-012608-amended.JPG

5 posted on 01/27/2008 7:59:49 PM PST by Plutarch
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To: All

Bump


6 posted on 01/27/2008 8:00:48 PM PST by Mitt Romney (Romney 2008)
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To: Plutarch

Independents can vote in Florida?


7 posted on 01/27/2008 8:01:05 PM PST by lookout88 (Combat search and rescue officer's dad.)
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To: lookout88

Nope.


8 posted on 01/27/2008 8:04:23 PM PST by Reaganesque (Romney ...is manifestly the best candidate. - Ann Coulter [01/17/08])
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To: Plutarch

What a nailbiter! Will McCain’s desperate “timetable” attack backfire on him and move the momentum to Mitt?


9 posted on 01/27/2008 8:04:32 PM PST by montag813
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To: Plutarch
McSwine is the amnesty man.

John McCain would still SIGN THE BILL to grant amnesty to the crimnals.

10 posted on 01/27/2008 8:04:56 PM PST by editor-surveyor (Turning the general election into a second Democrat primary is not a winning strategy.)
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To: Plutarch

I thought that FL had a closed primary. ITTC, why are they polling Independents?


11 posted on 01/27/2008 8:06:13 PM PST by pgkdan (Tolerance is the virtue of the man without convictions - G.K. Chesterton)
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To: lookout88
Independents can vote in Florida?

Nope. The confusing inclusion of Indies (and even Dems) in these polls appears to be because some people identify themselves as "independent" to the pollster, even when they are registered as Republican.

We'll see on this Intrade graph whether ARG's 6 pt bump for Romney affects the his Florida prospects. This poll was released about 3:30 AM GMT.

No Graph Available!
Advanced graphing

12 posted on 01/27/2008 8:06:40 PM PST by Plutarch
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To: Plutarch

I thought Rasmussen would be higher on the list.


13 posted on 01/27/2008 8:08:42 PM PST by GOPJ (Robert Byrd, George Wallace,“Bull” Connor- all Democrat Racists - Clintoons added to list. 230FMJ)
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To: Plutarch

ARG is of course, rubbish. But, it appears that there is a consensus now showing a Romney surge.


14 posted on 01/27/2008 8:10:09 PM PST by B Knotts (If McCain wins, we lose.)
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To: GOPJ
I thought Rasmussen would be higher on the list.

Nor would I have thought that much-maligned Zogby was doing so well, especially after the Michigan debacle. You got to give Zog credit though, for going into just about every State.

15 posted on 01/27/2008 8:11:45 PM PST by Plutarch
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To: Plutarch

Looks like Fred voters are going for Mitt!

I’m voting for Mitt!!!


16 posted on 01/27/2008 8:17:20 PM PST by nmh (Intelligent people recognize Intelligent Design (God) .)
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To: Mitt Romney

If you have a MItt ping list, could you add me to it?

I want Mitt to win.

TIA


17 posted on 01/27/2008 8:18:43 PM PST by nmh (Intelligent people recognize Intelligent Design (God) .)
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To: Plutarch

Keyes? WTF?


18 posted on 01/27/2008 8:20:19 PM PST by Keith (ANY REPUBLICAN in 2008 -- it's about defeating Mrs. Bill Clinton)
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To: Plutarch

If ARG has Mitt only up 1, he’s likely up 5.


19 posted on 01/27/2008 8:21:30 PM PST by Grunthor (Juan McAmnesty thinks that I am a lazy bigot. I think he's never getting my vote.)
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To: pgkdan

to boost mcamnestys’ numbers


20 posted on 01/27/2008 8:24:22 PM PST by Grunthor (Juan McAmnesty thinks that I am a lazy bigot. I think he's never getting my vote.)
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