Skip to comments.CA Conservatives Race to Romney. SurveyUSA: McCain 39%, Romney 36%.
Posted on 02/04/2008 1:22:53 PM PST by Plutarch
CA Conservatives Race to Romney, But Is That Enough To Leapfrog McCain on Primary Eve? 24 hours till votes are counted in the California Republican Primary, Mitt Romney has pulled close enough to John McCain that the contest should best be characterized as too-close-to-call, according to SurveyUSA's 12th pre-primary tracking poll. Among all likely Republican Primary voters, it's McCain 39%, Romney 36%, others in single digits. Compared to a SurveyUSA poll 1 week ago, conducted before Rudolph Giuliani withdrew from the contest, McCain is up 2, Romney is up 11. McCain had led by 12, now by 3, within the survey's 4.4 percent margin of sampling error. Among Conservatives, Romney now leads by 10. Among Moderates, McCain leads by 16. Romney has tied McCain among men. McCain leads among women, as he has for all of January.
McCain leads by 21 in greater San Francisco. Romney leads by 6 in the Inland Empire. The two are effectively tied in Greater Los Angeles and in the Central Valley.
Among Pro-Life voters, Romney has a slight edge. Among Pro-Choice voters, McCain leads by 15. Romney has leapfrogged McCain among gun owners. McCain maintains a double-digit advantage among those who do not own a gun.
McCain leads by 21 in greater San Francisco.
Knock me over with a feather.
Zogby has Romney up by 8.
Among those who have already voted, McCain leads by 5.
The good news is that a lot of the folks who said McCain over the phone, might not actually be registered to vote Republican. They'll find out at the polls that they can't request a Republican ballot if they're not pre-registered. A high-interest Democratic race takes even more of them away.
Survey had to rush this out to skew RCP.
I live in Duncan Hunter’s district, I guess his endorsement will carry a lot of weight in this conservative district, did he endorse Romney?
But how many Republican voters live there? Pelosi gets maybe 85% of the vote in her congressional district there.
But Romney's tied it up in L.A.!!
"Which GOP presidential hopeful do you want to see win the most delegates on Super Tuesday?
Interesting that the pro-choicers like McCain more than they like Romney. Hmmmm....
I wonder how much of that has happened. It seems all the MSM has now adopted the “averaging” report so any outlyer can easily conceal a true poll.
For example Rasmussen actually shows Romney within three nationally. Also all the state by state surveys are generally 4 DAYS old except for californai and GA.
“would McCain go nuclear?”
I suspect he would be a little tense. LOL!
The fuse is lit, he’s been ready to go off for a while.
Duncan Hunter endorsed Huckabee — but I’m wondering with Huckabee’s actions recently (if not prior) how many will see through him and vote for Romney anyway, as things stand now. Seems to me it should be even clearer now. What’s your take on that in your district?
(( Please, *please* let him go off sooner rather than later. We know it’s going to happen. ))
Yeah if he loses California and the delegate count it close, expect him to go nuts like he did in 2000 and scream at someone. He did this to Maria Shriver.
Conservatives race to Romney! Why? Because opposites attract?
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