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CA Conservatives Race to Romney. SurveyUSA: McCain 39%, Romney 36%.
Survey USA ^ | February 4, 2008

Posted on 02/04/2008 1:22:53 PM PST by Plutarch

CA Conservatives Race to Romney, But Is That Enough To Leapfrog McCain on Primary Eve? 24 hours till votes are counted in the California Republican Primary, Mitt Romney has pulled close enough to John McCain that the contest should best be characterized as too-close-to-call, according to SurveyUSA's 12th pre-primary tracking poll. Among all likely Republican Primary voters, it's McCain 39%, Romney 36%, others in single digits. Compared to a SurveyUSA poll 1 week ago, conducted before Rudolph Giuliani withdrew from the contest, McCain is up 2, Romney is up 11. McCain had led by 12, now by 3, within the survey's 4.4 percent margin of sampling error. Among Conservatives, Romney now leads by 10. Among Moderates, McCain leads by 16. Romney has tied McCain among men. McCain leads among women, as he has for all of January.

McCain leads by 21 in greater San Francisco. Romney leads by 6 in the Inland Empire. The two are effectively tied in Greater Los Angeles and in the Central Valley.

Among Pro-Life voters, Romney has a slight edge. Among Pro-Choice voters, McCain leads by 15. Romney has leapfrogged McCain among gun owners. McCain maintains a double-digit advantage among those who do not own a gun.


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: California
KEYWORDS: ca2008; mccain; romney; surveyusa
SurveyUSA California GOP Primary
1 posted on 02/04/2008 1:22:54 PM PST by Plutarch
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To: Plutarch

McCain leads by 21 in greater San Francisco.

oh nice.


2 posted on 02/04/2008 1:24:40 PM PST by VU4G10 (Have You Forgotten?)
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To: Plutarch
McCain leads by 21 in greater San Francisco.

Knock me over with a feather.

3 posted on 02/04/2008 1:24:41 PM PST by Zevonismymuse
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To: Plutarch

Zogby has Romney up by 8.

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1964557/posts


4 posted on 02/04/2008 1:25:04 PM PST by rightinthemiddle (The Mainstream Media Controls Our Party. Go, RINOS!)
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To: Plutarch

Among those who have already voted, McCain leads by 5.


5 posted on 02/04/2008 1:26:14 PM PST by Petronski (I didn't leave the GOP. The GOP left me.)
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To: Zevonismymuse
McCain leads by 21 in greater San Francisco. Knock me over with a feather.

The good news is that a lot of the folks who said McCain over the phone, might not actually be registered to vote Republican. They'll find out at the polls that they can't request a Republican ballot if they're not pre-registered. A high-interest Democratic race takes even more of them away.

6 posted on 02/04/2008 1:27:43 PM PST by Azzurri
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To: Plutarch

Survey had to rush this out to skew RCP.

LLS


7 posted on 02/04/2008 1:27:48 PM PST by LibLieSlayer (Support America, Kill terrorists, Destroy dims and vote for?)
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To: Plutarch

I live in Duncan Hunter’s district, I guess his endorsement will carry a lot of weight in this conservative district, did he endorse Romney?


8 posted on 02/04/2008 1:29:00 PM PST by ansel12 (The conservative boat sailed long ago, it is every man for himself now.)
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To: VU4G10
McCain leads by 21 in greater San Francisco.

But how many Republican voters live there? Pelosi gets maybe 85% of the vote in her congressional district there.

9 posted on 02/04/2008 1:29:05 PM PST by Paleo Conservative
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To: ansel12
No. He endorsed Huckabee.
\
I wonder, if Romney did take California ... would McCain go nuclear?
10 posted on 02/04/2008 1:30:40 PM PST by K-oneTexas (I'm not a judge and there ain't enough of me to be a jury. (Zell Miller, A National Party No More))
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To: VU4G10
McCain leads by 21 in greater San Francisco.

But Romney's tied it up in L.A.!!

11 posted on 02/04/2008 1:33:16 PM PST by Yaelle
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To: rightinthemiddle
Regardless of who you support, please vote in the FR poll:

"Which GOP presidential hopeful do you want to see win the most delegates on Super Tuesday?

Member Opinion
Mitt Romney 75.4% 1,477
Ron Paul 11.6% 228
Mike Huckabee 7.5% 147
John McCain 5.4% 106
99.9% 1,958

12 posted on 02/04/2008 1:35:36 PM PST by icwhatudo (The National Right To Life founder endorsed Romney-So did the GOP's Pro-life "plank" writer.)
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To: Plutarch
Among Pro-Life voters, Romney has a slight edge. Among Pro-Choice voters, McCain leads by 15.

Interesting that the pro-choicers like McCain more than they like Romney. Hmmmm....

13 posted on 02/04/2008 1:39:40 PM PST by jan in Colorado ("It's easier to believe a lie one hears 1,000 times than to believe a fact that one has never heard)
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To: LibLieSlayer

I wonder how much of that has happened. It seems all the MSM has now adopted the “averaging” report so any outlyer can easily conceal a true poll.

For example Rasmussen actually shows Romney within three nationally. Also all the state by state surveys are generally 4 DAYS old except for californai and GA.


14 posted on 02/04/2008 1:41:56 PM PST by longtermmemmory (VOTE! http://www.senate.gov and http://www.house.gov)
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To: K-oneTexas

“would McCain go nuclear?”

I suspect he would be a little tense. LOL!

The fuse is lit, he’s been ready to go off for a while.


15 posted on 02/04/2008 1:54:12 PM PST by wolfcreek (The Status Quo Sucks!)
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To: ansel12

Duncan Hunter endorsed Huckabee — but I’m wondering with Huckabee’s actions recently (if not prior) how many will see through him and vote for Romney anyway, as things stand now. Seems to me it should be even clearer now. What’s your take on that in your district?


16 posted on 02/04/2008 1:55:22 PM PST by cyn
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To: wolfcreek

(( Please, *please* let him go off sooner rather than later. We know it’s going to happen. ))


17 posted on 02/04/2008 1:57:26 PM PST by cyn
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To: Plutarch
Will California Buy Romney Time to Stay in the Race?
Last-minute polls send both candidates scrambling to the Golden State.

By Byron York

Phoenix, Ariz. — Since John McCain’s win in Florida, the conventional wisdom has been that he has nearly locked up the Republican presidential nomination. But now, just hours before Super Tuesday voting begins, a new factor has entered the equation: California. Polls, both public and those taken privately by the Romney campaign, show Mitt Romney with unexpected strength in the nation’s biggest state, sending both Romney and McCain rushing to make unscheduled stops there on Monday night and Tuesday. If Romney could win California, people in both campaigns say, the race could go on for several more weeks. And if that happens, conservatives who are trying to organize to stop McCain would have more time to work. At this late moment, California means everything.

(snip)
18 posted on 02/04/2008 2:00:34 PM PST by calcowgirl ("Liberalism is just Communism sold by the drink." P. J. O'Rourke)
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To: cyn

Yeah if he loses California and the delegate count it close, expect him to go nuts like he did in 2000 and scream at someone. He did this to Maria Shriver.


19 posted on 02/04/2008 2:01:30 PM PST by lone star annie (Two more days to save the Republic from Invasion)
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To: Plutarch

Conservatives race to Romney! Why? Because opposites attract?


20 posted on 02/04/2008 2:08:00 PM PST by lmc12
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To: lmc12

No, because the enemy of my enemy is my friend.


21 posted on 02/04/2008 2:12:13 PM PST by Truthsearcher
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To: cyn

“What’s your take on that in your district?”

Sorry, but I don’t have any feel on it whatsoever. I haven’t spent any time mixing around in this area recently and I have zero knowledge of the current mood.

Lately all of my social time has been spent outside of my neighborhood (district).


22 posted on 02/04/2008 2:14:31 PM PST by ansel12 (The conservative boat sailed long ago, it is every man for himself now.)
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To: ansel12
Indexing RELATED threads:
Romney in Southern California Tonight [Long Beach, 7:30 pm, Monday (2/4)]
  Posted by americanophile
On News/Activism 02/03/2008 9:37:41 PM PST · 35 replies


Romney for President | February 3, 2008 | MittRomney.com
 

Romney plans surprise trip to Calif.
  Posted by americanophile
On News/Activism 02/03/2008 6:02:29 PM PST · 66 replies


Politico.Com ^ | February 3, 2008 | Mike Allen

23 posted on 02/04/2008 2:23:11 PM PST by RonDog
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To: TitansAFC; meandog; therut; MARTIAL MONK; Kuksool; freespirited; furquhart; mossyoaks; ...
The McCain List.
Super Tuesday

24 posted on 02/04/2008 2:24:25 PM PST by Norman Bates
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To: Plutarch
Romney has leapfrogged McCain among gun owners. McCain maintains a double-digit advantage among those who do not own a gun.

I don't see why. Romney has said he would sign the AWB as POTUS, while McCain has said he would not.
25 posted on 02/04/2008 2:26:13 PM PST by Norman Bates
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To: longtermmemmory

I do not know but I do know that they certainly skewed their polls in NH and Iowa... in hopes of changing the election outcome. I do not trust any media... not even Fox any longer. It is a sad state of affairs that our media has absolutely no credibility left with a thinking American.

LLS


26 posted on 02/04/2008 2:48:36 PM PST by LibLieSlayer (Support America, Kill terrorists, Destroy dims and vote for?)
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To: Azzurri
You're killing me... Does this mean that Romney is too liberal for the San Francisco voter??

I have been wrestling with this conclusion myself

Folks I really would like to support Mitt, however, I just have a few questions. Here are a few articles that I found on the net regarding Mitt. Boy, I sure would appreciate some answers to these very factual articles and youtube postings. The part that concerns me the most is when one hears Mitt in his own words. Any suggestions

Mitt on Illegal Immigration

Mitt Romney Supports Bush/McCain Amnesty Plan..IN HIS OWN WORDS

Illegal immigrants toiled for governor Romney'

Romney's lawn care company hires illegal immigrants...AGAIN!

Why did Mitt Romney hire illegal immigrants to work in his mansion?

Why do anti-illegal imigrant people hire illegal immigrants?

Romney's Lawn Trouble

Romney painters facing inquiry...violating labor laws and hiring illegals..otra ves!

Mitt on McCain/Fiengold

Mitt's Demands Campaign Finance Reforms

Mitt on Abortion

Mitt trashs Pro-Lifers

Mitt on Republicans

Mitt trashs Reagan

Mitt trashs Republicans

Mitt trashs Reagan Otra Ves

Mitt trashes the Contract with American and the Republicans Again

Mitt on Healthcare Debacle

Mitt and Hillary both in Favor of Mandates for Healthcare



RomneyCare still a spiraling fiscal disaster

Romneycare Mandates..Massachusetts Health Plan Denounced As Imminent 'Disaster'

Romney quiet on health care because his plan is a dismal failure

It's hard to tell everyone you're the heir to Ronald Reagan while you're touting Hillary Clinton's health care plan. There is no material difference between the two

Mitt on Liberal Judges

Romney appointed liberal judges in Massachusetts

Romney Jurist Not Tilted to Gop

Mitt on the Second Amendment

Mitt Romney - Gun Control

Mitt Romney Flip Flops on Gun Control



Mitt on the Taxes

Romney's tax record gets a closer look

Romney oversaw millions in fee hikes as Massachusetts governor

Romney - Increased state fees and taxes by three quarters of a billion dollars


27 posted on 02/04/2008 3:04:16 PM PST by Fred (Looking Forward to Impeaching the other Clinton)
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To: Fred

Mitt Romney is NO conservative.


28 posted on 02/04/2008 11:31:33 PM PST by make no mistake
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To: Norman Bates
I don't see why. Romney has said he would sign the AWB as POTUS, while McCain has said he would not.

Just curious, do you have a lot of guns that you would have to surrender, or are you planning to buy some?

29 posted on 02/05/2008 12:00:56 AM PST by calvo (Your strength isn't what you can do, but what you can endure.)
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To: ansel12

“I live in Duncan Hunter’s district, I guess his endorsement will carry a lot of weight in this conservative district, did he endorse Romney?”

Hunter endorsed the clusterHuck.

Weight of that endorsement in California as measured in delegates? Zip zero nada


30 posted on 02/05/2008 12:04:21 AM PST by Checkers (I'd say John McCain is a Dick Nixon, but Nixon didn't hate Republicans.)
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To: jan in Colorado

“Interesting that the pro-choicers like McCain more than they like Romney. Hmmmm....”

Vote McCain and forget about ever overturning Roe.


31 posted on 02/05/2008 12:06:10 AM PST by Checkers (I'd say John McCain is a Dick Nixon, but Nixon didn't hate Republicans.)
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To: Checkers

Yep. That’s why the pro choice crowd like him!


32 posted on 02/05/2008 12:09:03 AM PST by jan in Colorado ("It's easier to believe a lie one hears 1,000 times than to believe a fact that one has never heard)
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To: Norman Bates

“I don’t see why. Romney has said he would sign the AWB as POTUS, while McCain has said he would not.”

They see McCain as a clear and present danger.


33 posted on 02/05/2008 12:09:29 AM PST by Checkers (I'd say John McCain is a Dick Nixon, but Nixon didn't hate Republicans.)
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To: calvo

lol


34 posted on 02/05/2008 12:10:32 AM PST by Checkers (I'd say John McCain is a Dick Nixon, but Nixon didn't hate Republicans.)
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To: Fred
Folks I really would like to support Mitt, however, I just have a few questions. Here are a few articles that I found on the net regarding Mitt. Boy, I sure would appreciate some answers to these very factual articles and youtube postings. The part that concerns me the most is when one hears Mitt in his own words. Any suggestions

Ha, ha! I'm sure you would realllly like to support Romney. Trying to fool others that you really are just curious as opposed to your rhetorical reality?

35 posted on 02/05/2008 12:16:26 AM PST by torchthemummy (There Will Be No McCain Nomination Without Huckabee Running Interference)
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To: Plutarch

Why doesn’t Romney compare his marriage to that of McCain. Yes his second marriage is fine, but he should discuss the fact that McCain left his first wife while she was fighting cancer. Wouldn’t that at least give him a few points. People have been very quiet about this fact unless they are waiting for the general to bring it up.


36 posted on 02/05/2008 12:24:39 AM PST by napscoordinator
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