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Exclusive poll: Romney closing in on McCain
ABC ^

Posted on 02/04/2008 4:20:52 PM PST by bshomoic

Exclusive poll: Romney closing in on McCain Monday, February 04, 2008

(KABC) -- With the California primary just 24 hours away, an exclusive Eyewitness News poll conducted by Survey U.S.A. has delivered some surprising new developments in the race for president.

On the Republican side, former Governor Mitt Romney is closing in on Arizona Senator John McCain. According to the exclusive poll by Survey U.S.A. the contest should best be characterized as too-close-to-call.

McCain remains in the lead with 39 percent of the vote, while Romney is just three points behind at 36. Meanwhile, former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee and Ron Paul are in the single digits.

Compared to a Survey U.S.A. poll 1 week ago, conducted before Rudolph Giuliani withdrew from the contest, McCain is up 2, Romney is up 11. McCain had led by 12, now by 3, within the survey's 4.4 percent margin of sampling error.

On the Democratic side, Hillary Clinton appears to be fending-off a late charge from Barack Obama. The exclusive poll by Survey U.S.A. has Clinton beating Barack Obama 53 percent to 41 percent. With John Edwards out of the race, Clinton has gained four points since last week's poll and Obama is up another three points.

Other pollsters show the contest closer.


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: California
KEYWORDS: ca2008; mccain; rino; romney; surveyusa
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1 posted on 02/04/2008 4:20:53 PM PST by bshomoic
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To: bshomoic

So, are we’re going to support Romney, right?


2 posted on 02/04/2008 4:21:51 PM PST by Hildy (You know you're in love when you can't fall asleep cause reality is finally better than your dreams)
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To: bshomoic

I though Mcconservativelite had it sewn up?


3 posted on 02/04/2008 4:22:37 PM PST by bmwcyle (What is the American voter thinking?)
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To: bshomoic

Jack Kemp...callin Jack Kemp.


4 posted on 02/04/2008 4:22:37 PM PST by maineman (BC Eagle fan)
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To: Hildy

see my tagline


5 posted on 02/04/2008 4:22:38 PM PST by ari-freedom (Jim Robinson "Free Republicís goal is to elect conservatives. Romney is NO conservative")
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To: Hildy

Yes, that is right

Mitt


6 posted on 02/04/2008 4:23:02 PM PST by JaneNC (I)
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To: bshomoic

“Exclusive” poll?


7 posted on 02/04/2008 4:23:51 PM PST by cripplecreek (Duncan Hunter, Conservative excellence in action.)
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To: Hildy

Mitt! Mitt! Mitt!


8 posted on 02/04/2008 4:24:24 PM PST by claudiustg (Sic Semper Tyrannus)
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To: bshomoic

I hope this is right, but they said the same thing for Florida. They probably don’t want McCain voters to get too complacent.


9 posted on 02/04/2008 4:25:08 PM PST by fhayek
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To: bshomoic

Howard Fineman on Hardball right now said that McCain was preparing for a loss in California.


10 posted on 02/04/2008 4:25:19 PM PST by Taking Congress back in 2010
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To: bshomoic
Go Mitt! (And go Obama!)
11 posted on 02/04/2008 4:26:42 PM PST by Yaelle
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To: Taking Congress back in 2008

Romney may owe it all to Ahnold.


12 posted on 02/04/2008 4:27:23 PM PST by bshomoic
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To: Yaelle

yeah, when is the last time you answered a poll? for me it was about the last time I returned a jury duty mailing....


13 posted on 02/04/2008 4:27:48 PM PST by BurbankKarl
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To: bshomoic
How I came to the difficult decision to support Mitt Romney
14 posted on 02/04/2008 4:28:19 PM PST by Jeff Head (Freedom is not free...never has been, never will be. (www.dragonsfuryseries.com))
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To: bshomoic

So McCain’s media is making newer news. Wonder what all that global warming tomorrow will do to these poll numbers? Does ‘bad’ weather favor McCain?


15 posted on 02/04/2008 4:28:28 PM PST by Just mythoughts (Isa.3:4 And I will give children to be their princes, and babes shall rule over them.)
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To: bshomoic

As soon as Mitt wins, look for all the purists here to throw another week of temper tantrums.

Remember this:

President Reagan once said the following when asked about why he found compromise with the Congress though a staunch man of Conservative principle:

“When I began entering into the give and take of legislative bargaining in Sacramento, a lot of the most radical conservatives who had supported me during the election didn’t like it.
“Compromise” was a dirty word to them and they wouldn’t face the fact that we couldn’t get all of what we wanted today. They wanted all or nothing and they wanted it all at once. If you don’t get it all, some said, don’t take anything. I’d learned while negotiating union contracts that you seldom got everything you asked for. And I agreed with FDR, who said in 1933: ‘I have no expectations of making a hit every time I come to bat. What I seek is the highest possible batting average.’ If you got seventy-five or eighty percent of what you were asking for, I say, you take it and fight for the rest later, and that’s what I told these radical conservatives who never got used to it.“


16 posted on 02/04/2008 4:28:41 PM PST by Anti-Hillary (NOT THE TIME IN HISTORY TO TEACH THE PARTY A LESSON. A RINO beats a Communist any day of the week!)
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To: bshomoic
Yep. Another Poll showing good ole 30% +- McCain as a winner. And the MSM makes it clear that he is some kind of 'Overwhelming Favorite'? Give me a break!

Other than Fla has this anachronism ever broken 40%? I suspect if his co-conspirator Huckabee exited Romney would soundly trounce McCain. The fix is in IMO.

17 posted on 02/04/2008 4:29:02 PM PST by TCats
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To: bshomoic

RealClearPolitics Poll Averages SM
Email this page to a Friend
Up to the minute
Gaining? Good Luck
McCain 2008

Republican Presidential NominationPoll Date McCain Romney Huckabee Paul Spread
RCP Average 01/30 to 02/03 42.8% 24.5% 17.9% 6.0% McCain +18.3%
CNN 02/01 - 02/03 44% 29% 18% 6% McCain +15.0%
Cook/RT Strategies 01/31 - 02/02 39% 24% 18% 6% McCain +15.0%
Pew Research 01/30 - 02/02 42% 22% 20% 5% McCain +20.0%
USA Today/Gallup 01/30 - 02/02 42% 24% 18% 5% McCain +18.0%
CBS News 01/30 - 02/02 46% 23% 12% 9% McCain +23.0%
ABC/Wash Post 01/30 - 02/01 48% 24% 16% 7% McCain +24.0%
FOX News 01/30 - 01/31 48% 20% 19% 5% McCain +28.0%
Rasmussen (Mon) 4 Day Tracking 33% 30% 22% 5% McCain


18 posted on 02/04/2008 4:30:05 PM PST by OPS4 (Ops4 God Bless America!)
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To: OPS4

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/polls/


19 posted on 02/04/2008 4:30:35 PM PST by OPS4 (Ops4 God Bless America!)
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To: TCats

He didn’t break 40% in Florida.


20 posted on 02/04/2008 4:31:49 PM PST by Truthsearcher
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To: Truthsearcher
Ooops. You are right - It was something like 35% wasn’t it. What about SC - Can’t remember and I’m not old enough to be having these Senior Moments.
21 posted on 02/04/2008 4:33:52 PM PST by TCats
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To: bshomoic
Exclusive? It was posted right here on FR several hours ago.

CA Conservatives Race to Romney. SurveyUSA: McCain 39%, Romney 36%.

  Posted by Plutarch
On News/Activism 02/04/2008 1:22:53 PM PST · 26 replies


Survey USA ^ | February 4, 2008
CA Conservatives Race to Romney, But Is That Enough To Leapfrog McCain on Primary Eve? 24 hours till votes are counted in the California Republican Primary, Mitt Romney has pulled close enough to John McCain that the contest should best be characterized as too-close-to-call, according to SurveyUSA's 12th pre-primary tracking poll. Among all likely Republican Primary voters, it's McCain 39%, Romney 36%, others in single digits. Compared to a SurveyUSA poll 1 week ago, conducted before Rudolph Giuliani withdrew from the contest, McCain is up 2, Romney is up 11. McCain had led by 12, now by 3, within...

22 posted on 02/04/2008 4:34:10 PM PST by Plutarch
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To: Anti-Hillary

There’s a difference between a conservative compromising to a moderate position to get something done vs a moderate who is more than happy to compromise his way to a liberal position.


23 posted on 02/04/2008 4:35:10 PM PST by bshomoic
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To: fhayek

Well, it means we can’t be complacent either. We can’t afford to indulge ourselves and vote Fred or Hunter. That will just take delegates away from Romney and give them to McAmnesty.

Time to get behind the least-bad of the RINOs left running.


24 posted on 02/04/2008 4:35:33 PM PST by Kellis91789 (Liberals aren't atheists. They simply worship government.)
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To: Anti-Hillary

Even if he wins (which I doubt), look for the party establishment hacks to do exactly what they did to Ronald Reagan in 1976— they will nominate McCain (Ford) anyway because it is his turn.


25 posted on 02/04/2008 4:35:45 PM PST by Vigilanteman (Are there any men left in Washington? Or are there only cowards? Ahmad Shah Massoud)
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To: bshomoic

John McCain, as certain to win as the Patriots.


26 posted on 02/04/2008 4:36:05 PM PST by 3niner (War is one game where the home team always loses.)
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To: bshomoic

“Meanwhile, former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee and Ron Paul are in the single digits.”

Time to get out of the way and stop McCain!


27 posted on 02/04/2008 4:37:19 PM PST by AuntB (" DON'T LET THE PRESS PICK YOUR CANDIDATE!" Mrs. Duncan Hunter 1/5/08)
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To: fhayek

McCain and huck both did dirty tricks here in florida, not to mention crist convincing the state gop to stay neutral and then endorsing mcpain.


28 posted on 02/04/2008 4:37:26 PM PST by libbylu (Mitten I WILL NEVER VOTE FOR MCCAIN OR HUCK..THEY CALLED ME RACIST/BIGOT)
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To: Kellis91789

“We can’t afford to indulge ourselves and vote Fred or Hunter. That will just take delegates away from Romney and give them to McAmnesty.”

Thank you!


29 posted on 02/04/2008 4:39:51 PM PST by AuntB (" DON'T LET THE PRESS PICK YOUR CANDIDATE!" Mrs. Duncan Hunter 1/5/08)
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To: bshomoic

And we owe Ahnold to phony conservative talk show host, Melanie Morgan!

Folks, this is a b.s. poll! Eywitness News?? How liberal can you get? Zogby earlier today or late yesterday has Romney up by SIX PTS!! Rasmussen? His poll has it tied.

Why is Eyewitness News’ poll more relevant than these other stalwarts?? Hmm?


30 posted on 02/04/2008 4:41:03 PM PST by levotb
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To: Hildy

Already do. :)


31 posted on 02/04/2008 4:42:08 PM PST by Recovering_Democrat ((I am SO glad to no longer be associated with the party of Dependence on Government!))
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To: Taking Congress back in 2008

Howard Fineman on Hardball right now said that McCain was preparing for a loss in California.

I don’t trust Fineman.


32 posted on 02/04/2008 4:42:41 PM PST by Hattie
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To: BurbankKarl
I actually was polled in the primary of the special congressional election when my Rep died last year. One of those Looooooong issues polls where they give you choices like "Which do you think is a more important issue for our community, global warming or more medicare?"
33 posted on 02/04/2008 4:42:43 PM PST by Yaelle
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To: All

Momentum is rolling.


34 posted on 02/04/2008 4:43:36 PM PST by rbmillerjr
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To: libbylu; jan in Colorado; TAdams8591; redgirlinabluestate; All

ENDORSEMENT:
National Writers Syndicate .com [NWS] Endorses Governor Mitt Romney
For President of the United States

AT NWS - ACTIONS SPEAK LOUDER THAN WORDS:

Candidate Romney’s actions in private and public life speak louder than Candidate McCain’s endless, 22 year, diatribe of words.

Senator McCain has had innumerable chances over the 22 years to support the Policies best for America and the American people while in the Federal Government. McCain has failed to do so.

Governor W. Mitt Romney Deserves his first chance to fix the Federal Government and the American’s needs in a very complex world.

It takes the Intelligent person with the rare ability of “Foresight”, in order to run a very successful business. Romney completed that significantly. Decisions about the future success of a venture, is rife with variable facts that must be correctly determined in advance of the actual outcome, in order to succeed.

Not only is this necessary in business and life, but most assuredly when it comes to actually being the President of the United States of America.

W. Mitt Romney has clearly exhibited the “must have” attribute of foresight. Therefore, Candidate Romney is the singular choice in this complex and very important 2008 Presidential Election, for the very future of America.[snip]

ENDORSEMENT:
National Writers Syndicate .com [NWS] Endorses Governor Mitt Romney
For President of the United States

AT NWS - ACTIONS SPEAK LOUDER THAN WORDS:

Candidate Romney’s actions in private and public life speak louder than Candidate McCain’s endless, 22 year, diatribe of words.

Senator McCain has had innumerable chances over the 22 years to support the Policies best for America and the American people while in the Federal Government. McCain has failed to do so.

Governor W. Mitt Romney Deserves his first chance to fix the Federal Government and the American’s needs in a very complex world.

It takes the Intelligent person with the rare ability of “Foresight”, in order to run a very successful business. Romney completed that significantly. Decisions about the future success of a venture, is rife with variable facts that must be correctly determined in advance of the actual outcome, in order to succeed.

Not only is this necessary in business and life, but most assuredly when it comes to actually being the President of the United States of America.

W. Mitt Romney has clearly exhibited the “must have” attribute of foresight. Therefore, Candidate Romney is the singular choice in this complex and very important 2008 Presidential Election, for the very future of America.


35 posted on 02/04/2008 4:44:37 PM PST by AuntB (" DON'T LET THE PRESS PICK YOUR CANDIDATE!" Mrs. Duncan Hunter 1/5/08)
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To: Truthsearcher
He didn’t break 40% in Florida.

Nope. And what concerns me is he won't get the majority (over 50%) in the WTA states. No one should get all the delegates unless they get the majority of votes IMO.

36 posted on 02/04/2008 4:45:32 PM PST by Hattie
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To: Hattie

Why then are you making money for Chris Matthews and MSNBC? That’s a scumbag station, except for Scarborough who’s hangin’ tough for Romney even if he’s not endorsing him...


37 posted on 02/04/2008 4:45:42 PM PST by levotb
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To: levotb

??? This is very positive for Romney. You should be following the trend (up 12 points in a week) rather than comparing it to other poll results.


38 posted on 02/04/2008 4:47:09 PM PST by bshomoic
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To: Anti-Hillary

Quoting Reagan is a little bit like quoting the Bible, he wrote so much you can find something to sound like anything.


39 posted on 02/04/2008 4:47:44 PM PST by libbylu (Mitten I WILL NEVER VOTE FOR MCCAIN OR HUCK..THEY CALLED ME RACIST/BIGOT)
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To: AuntB
Romney destroyed both Massachusetts and the Mass GOP.
Why not let him do that to the national party, too, like the DNC wants.

James Carville: "It's a feel-good story, this Romney thing. Romney is an ascendant guy."

40 posted on 02/04/2008 4:48:45 PM PST by Diogenesis (Igitur qui desiderat pacem, praeparet bellum)
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To: levotb

Sorry, that wasn’t me watching Chris. I was responding to another post. I don’t watch those rabid dogs.


41 posted on 02/04/2008 4:49:13 PM PST by Hattie
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To: bshomoic

HUH?? That response makes absolutely no sense. I simply stated that making Eyewitness News Poll—hardly the epitome of political polling nationwide or even in CA—as if it was “THE POLL” of record is a big mistake. I’ll take Zogby and Rasmussen over EWN Poll ANY day!


42 posted on 02/04/2008 4:51:06 PM PST by levotb
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To: Hattie

My apologies, Hattie—

I’m like a guard dog today, ready to jump on just about anything that moves (no sexual innuendo intended)!


43 posted on 02/04/2008 4:52:36 PM PST by levotb
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To: levotb
I’m like a guard dog today, ready to jump on just about anything that moves (no sexual innuendo intended)!

Understand entirely. Sometimes I get going and don't get my italics in.

44 posted on 02/04/2008 4:57:02 PM PST by Hattie
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To: levotb

I hear ya. Tomorrow’s probably the day our nation’s future is decided. I feel good, though. I think Romney’s surge is underreported, as it’s hitting its zenith as we speak.

Also, polling results are strongly weighted toward land-line owners, who are way, way more likely to be McCain’s demographic.


45 posted on 02/04/2008 5:01:40 PM PST by txhurl
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To: txflake
Half of California's primary votes are expected to be absentees mailed in before Romney's surge, and many before the Florida results were in.

So anything can happen.

46 posted on 02/04/2008 5:21:35 PM PST by Thud
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To: bshomoic

Whoop de doo. Two liberals fighting over the carcass of a dead irrelevant party.


47 posted on 02/04/2008 5:22:50 PM PST by ovrtaxt (No Rudy McRombee for me! I voted for Ron Paul. The GOP can curl up and die.)
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To: Diogenesis

McAmnesty pretty much did that himself. The GOP's funding pretty much dried up over that.

48 posted on 02/04/2008 5:28:23 PM PST by BurbankKarl
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To: Diogenesis
There was in essence no Mass GOP before Romney came along to win the Governorship.

Blaming Romney for the destruction of the GOP here in Massachusetts is disingenuous.

49 posted on 02/04/2008 5:29:46 PM PST by Radix (If your outgo exceeds your income, your upkeep will be your downfall.)
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To: bshomoic

I don’t support Mitt Romney. Please Californians, do the right thing and vote for John McCain!

Or at very least, don’t vote for the flip-flopping Mitt Romney.


50 posted on 02/04/2008 5:33:14 PM PST by No Dems 2004
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