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LIVE THREAD Super Tuesday 2008
5 February 2008

Posted on 02/05/2008 6:10:39 AM PST by SE Mom

Here we go...

The Democrat nominee needs 2,025 to win.

The Republican nominee needs 1,191 to win.


TOPICS:
KEYWORDS: defeatmccain; elections; hillary; livethread; mcamnesty; primary; rino; supertuesday
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Fasten your seatbelts!
1 posted on 02/05/2008 6:10:39 AM PST by SE Mom
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To: STARWISE; Politicalmom; Fudd Fan

Ping for lists!


2 posted on 02/05/2008 6:11:22 AM PST by SE Mom (Proud mom of an Iraq war combat vet)
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To: SE Mom

Defeat McCain.


3 posted on 02/05/2008 6:12:03 AM PST by petercooper (It's called subprime for a reason.)
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To: SE Mom
Here's hoping we won't need these come November.


4 posted on 02/05/2008 6:14:02 AM PST by rightwingintelligentsia (Bi-partisanship: Democrats and RINOs working together to screw up the country)
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To: SE Mom

Useful links:

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/18970417/

http://youdecide08.foxnews.com/


5 posted on 02/05/2008 6:14:19 AM PST by SE Mom (Proud mom of an Iraq war combat vet)
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To: SE Mom

Just voted for Mitt in Oklahoma.


6 posted on 02/05/2008 6:15:07 AM PST by Brett66 (Where government advances, and it advances relentlessly , freedom is imperiled -Janice Rogers Brown)
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To: Brett66

MITT, MITT, MITT!!!


7 posted on 02/05/2008 6:15:51 AM PST by conservativeinferno (My SUV is the urban squirrel's worst predator.)
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To: SE Mom
It really ticks me off that here in NC our primary isn't until May 6th. By then it will be over and my vote against McCain will be useless.

I think the powers that be, need to come up with a rotating primary schedule so that the states that have late primary dates have a chance to cast their votes too. It's not fair IMO.

I hope all of you that get to vote and have your votes actually mean something appreciate that chance, because millions of us don't get that opportunity.

8 posted on 02/05/2008 6:15:58 AM PST by mykdsmom
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To: Brett66

Fred Thompson was still on the ballot here in Okla. sorely tempted to vote for him, but McCain must be stopped.


9 posted on 02/05/2008 6:16:12 AM PST by Brett66 (Where government advances, and it advances relentlessly , freedom is imperiled -Janice Rogers Brown)
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To: Brett66

:) Were there lines? What does turnout look like in Oklahoma for today?


10 posted on 02/05/2008 6:16:28 AM PST by SE Mom (Proud mom of an Iraq war combat vet)
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To: SE Mom

Dim caucus in NM only. Republican primary in June (fat lot of good that will do)

I get the feeling that this year will be one long political colonoscopy.


11 posted on 02/05/2008 6:16:39 AM PST by Tijeras_Slim
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To: petercooper

(Got this in email from NumbersUSA)

IF YOU WANT TO VOTE TO KEEP McCAIN FROM GETTING DELEGATES IN YOUR STATE ...

It would seem to be a significant victory if McCain can be stopped from getting any more than 700 of the more than 1,000 delegates at stake today. That (combined with the nearly 100 he already has) would leave him at least 400 short of the 1,191 needed to secure the GOP nomination.

A major victory would be to keep him below 600. That would give anti-amnesty forces some time in the remaining Primary states to better educate Republican voters about Sen. McCain’s stated commitment to giving amnesty to at least 10 million illegal aliens and to dramatically increasing the importation of foreign workers to compete with American workers.

Keeping McCain’s wins under 600 — or even under 700 — is going to be tough because polls show McCain with overwhelming leads in winner-take-all states of New York (101 delegates), New Jersey (52) and Connecticut (30).

This next section is highly controversial because every Republican and Democratic candidate has support among a segment of you getting this email. Please understand that I am making no endorsements here.

But what I am doing is showing you what you would do if your top priority today is to keep pro-amnesty McCain from getting delegates.

Paul, Huckabee and Romney have all made explicit promises to oppose legalization (amnesty) of illegal aliens and to use an Attrition Through Enforcement policy that drives illegal aliens back to their home countries.

(Nearly all of the surveys listed below were taken over the weekend.)

If you are willing to switch your vote from your favorite candidate to a candidate best able to defeat McCain today, you might:

VOTE FOR RON PAUL in ....

* ALASKA: The Wall Street Journal suggests Paul might be poised to win this state.

VOTE FOR MITT ROMNEY in ...

* ARIZONA: Deep resentments among Republicans about their long-time home-state Senator McCain has left him with a bit of vulnerability and perhaps the opportunity for a Super Bowl type upset. The latest Rasmussen polls show McCain at 43%, followed by Romney at 34% (and Huckabee at 9% and Paul at 7%). A truly serious get-out-the-vote drive provides the slightest possibility of the embarrassing upset for McCain.

* CALIFORNIA: The latest SurveyUSA shows McCain at 39% and Romney at 36%. But Rasmussen’s poll of the last two days shows Romney ahead with 40% over McCain’s 32% (and 12% for Huckabee and 5% for Paul). A McCain loss in California would give a lot of people hope in the remaining Primary states. Anti-amnesty votes should coalesce around Romney for a big news media victory and lots of delegates.

* COLORADO: Romney should take this from McCain if the anti-amnesty voters stick with him.

* GEORGIA: According to the latest Insider Advantage poll, McCain at 32% is in a dead heat with Romney at 31% (followed by Huckabee at 26% and Paul at 3%). Georgia is one of the three most aggressive states in trying to drive illegal aliens away. Unless some of Huckabee’s and Paul’s supporters switch to Romney, the state may send pro-amnesty McCain delegates to the convention.

* ILLINOIS: The latest SurveyUSA shows McCain at 38% and Romney at 23% (with Huckabee at 25% and Paul at 7%). This is a real long-shot that will require incredible turnout by anti-amnesty voters.

* MASSACHUSETTS: Make sure Romney takes the delegates of his home state.

* MONTANA: The winner takes all 25 delegates.

* NORTH DAKOTA: Romney should be the frontrunner for the anti-amnesty vote here.

* UTAH: Romney appears poised to take all these delegates.

VOTE FOR MIKE HUCKABEE in ...

* ALABAMA: Latest SurveyUSA poll shows McCain at 37% and Huckabee at 35% (with Romney at 19% and Paul at 6%). Romney and Paul voters could easily push Huckabee vote total to defeat McCain. Huckabee over the weekend signed the long and detailed immigration pledge of Sen. Sessions, Alabama’s wildly popular champion opponent of illegal immigration. Alabamans despise amnesty. How could this state go for McCain? The only way is for the anti-amnesty vote to be divided.

* ARKANSAS: Huckabee should win in his home state. Make sure McCain doesn’t pull an upset.

* MISSOURI: This is a winner-take-all state. According to the latest SurveyUSA, McCain at 33% will take all of Missouri’s 58 delegates unless anti-amnesty forces coalesce behind one candidate. Although Romney is close at 28% (and Paul at 4%), the best chance for defeating McCain appears to be switching votes to Huckabee who at 31% is virtually tied with McCain.

* OKLAHOMA: Latest SurveyUSA shows McCain at 37% and Huckabee at 32% (with Romney at 23% and Paul at 3%). That is striking distance in a state that is one of the most anti-illegal-immigration in the nation. Why would Oklahomans give their delegates to Amnesty King McCain? Because the anti-amnesty vote is split.

* TENNESSEE: Latest Insider Advantage poll shows McCain with 32% just barely ahead of Huckabee at 30% (with Romney at 22% and Paul at 6%). This is another strongly anti-amnesty state that should easily help Huckabee take these delegates away from McCain.


12 posted on 02/05/2008 6:16:57 AM PST by redtetrahedron ("Before I formed you in the womb I knew you" - Jer 1:5 | RIP Fred'08)
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To: Brett66
Fred Thompson was still on the ballot here in Okla. sorely tempted to vote for him, but McCain must be stopped.

Same in TN, but I voted for Romney.

13 posted on 02/05/2008 6:17:43 AM PST by tndarlin
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To: Brett66

Here in Missouri, too. I actually hesitated for a moment. Damn near teared up, as I really wanted Fred.

I voted for Mitt. McCain MUST be stopped.


14 posted on 02/05/2008 6:17:52 AM PST by Mama25 (The only chaps a girl can trust are those she wears)
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To: SE Mom

There were more democrats in line than Republicans, looks like a lot of interest on the dem side.


15 posted on 02/05/2008 6:17:53 AM PST by Brett66 (Where government advances, and it advances relentlessly , freedom is imperiled -Janice Rogers Brown)
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To: mykdsmom

amen - I’m frustrated by this as well!


16 posted on 02/05/2008 6:18:55 AM PST by GOPRaleigh ("John McCain is Bob Dole minus the charm, conservatism and youth. -Ann Coulter)
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To: SE Mom

Thanks! Politico.com also has great county-by-county maps for every state updated in real time.


17 posted on 02/05/2008 6:18:59 AM PST by conservativeinferno (My SUV is the urban squirrel's worst predator.)
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To: redtetrahedron

Well, damn. I wish I’d seen this yesterday. I was at the polls by 7 AM so I could vote before work and before the weather hits later today. The weather could play havoc with the Missouri results.


18 posted on 02/05/2008 6:19:36 AM PST by Mama25 (The only chaps a girl can trust are those she wears)
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To: SE Mom
The Scoreboard via The Green Papers

Current standings and delegates to be won......


 
Republican Party Republican
Pledged and Unpledged Delegate Summary
Alphabetically by State

 
2,516 total delegates - 560 base at-large / 1,305 re: 435 congressional districts / 168 party / 483 bonus
Pledged/Unpledged delegates: 1,804 pledged, 576 unpledged.
Need to nominate: 1,191.
Rank (sort)
State
(available)
(2,159)
McCain, J
(102)
Romney, M
(69)
Huckabee, M
(27)
Hunter, D
(1)
Paul, R
(11)
Thompson, F
(11)
Allocation
(sort)
Pl
(1,681)
(sort)
Unpl
(478)
(sort)
Pl
(89)
(sort)
Unpl
(13)
(sort)
Pl
(24)
(sort)
Unpl
(45)
(sort)
Pl
(10)
(sort)
Unpl
(17)
Pl
(0)
(sort)
Unpl
(1)
Pl
(0)
(sort)
Unpl
(11)
Pl
(0)
(sort)
Unpl
(11)
(sort)
Pl
(sort)
Unpl
(sort)
Total
1 Alabama 45 3                         45 3 48
2 Alaska 0 29                           29 29
3 American Samoa 6 3                         6 3 9
4 Arizona 50 3                         50 3 53
5 Arkansas 34 0                         34   34
6 California 170 3                         170 3 173
7 Colorado 0 46                           46 46
8 Connecticut 27 3                         27 3 30
9 Delaware 18 0                         18   18
10 District of Columbia 16 3                         16 3 19
11 Florida     57                       57   57
12 Georgia 72 0                         72   72
13 Guam 6 3                         6 3 9
14 Hawaii 20 0                         20   20
15 Idaho 26 6                         26 6 32
16 Illinois 57 13                         57 13 70
17 Indiana 27 30                         27 30 57
18 Iowa   3   5   10   13       4   5   40 40
19 Kansas 36 3                         36 3 39
20 Kentucky 45 0                         45   45
21 Louisiana 20 27                         20 27 47
22 Maine 0 3   4   10   1       3       21 21
23 Maryland 34 3                         34 3 37
24 Massachusetts 40 3                         40 3 43
25 Michigan   0 7   20   3               30   30
26 Minnesota 0 41                           41 41
27 Mississippi 36 3                         36 3 39
28 Missouri 58 0                         58   58
29 Montana 25 0                         25   25
30 Nebraska 30 3                         30 3 33
31 Nevada   3   4   17   3       4   3   34 34
32 New Hampshire   0 7   4   1               12   12
33 New Jersey 52 0                         52   52
34 New Mexico 29 3                         29 3 32
35 New York 87 14                         87 14 101
36 North Carolina 69 0                         69   69
37 North Dakota 26 0                         26   26
38 Northern Marianas 0 9                           9 9
39 Ohio 0 88                           88 88
40 Oklahoma 38 3                         38 3 41
41 Oregon 27 3                         27 3 30
42 Pennsylvania 0 74                           74 74
43 Puerto Rico 20 3                         20 3 23
44 Rhode Island 17 3                         17 3 20
45 South Carolina   0 18       6               24   24
46 South Dakota 24 3                         24 3 27
47 Tennessee 52 3                         52 3 55
48 Texas 137 3                         137 3 140
49 Utah 36 0                         36   36
50 Vermont 17 0                         17   17
51 Virgin Islands 6 3                         6 3 9
52 Virginia 63 0                         63   63
53 Washington 19 21                         19 21 40
54 West Virginia 27 3                         27 3 30
55 Wisconsin 37 3                         37 3 40
56 Wyoming 0 2       8       1       3   14 14
Convention 1,681 478 89 13 24 45 10 17 0 1 0 11 0 11 1,804 576 2,380
 

Pl: Pledged or Bound Delegates.
Unpl: Unpledged or Not Bound Delegates

 

19 posted on 02/05/2008 6:20:40 AM PST by deport ( -- Cue Spooky Music--)
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To: SE Mom

Mitt picked up 2 votes in MA from my parents.

Hoping we still have a choice in the Mid-Atlantic states next week.


20 posted on 02/05/2008 6:21:02 AM PST by Hoodlum91 (I support global warming.)
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