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2nd coldest January for the planet in 15 years
Watts up with that ^ | 2/4/08 | Anthony Watts

Posted on 02/05/2008 11:24:11 AM PST by Straight Vermonter

UPDATE - see new graph of global ∆T for the past year below. There has been a global drop in temperature of 0.63 degrees Centigrade in the past 12 months.

Of course we already have had a heads up from all the wire reports around the world talking about the significant winter weather events that have occurred worldwide in the last month, but until now, there hasn’t been a measure of how the planet was doing for the winter of 2007/2008.

Remote Sensing Systems of Santa Rosa just posted the latest MSU (Microwave Sounder Unit) data.

January posted a -.08°C near global anomaly between -70S and 82.5N latitude (the viewshed of the satellite sounder). That makes it the coldest month since January 2000, and the 2nd coldest January for the planet in 15 years. Both northern and southern hemispheres posted negative anomalies of -.120°C and -.038°C respectively, happening for the first time since January 2000.

The United States posted a -.557°C anomaly for January 2008 and a -0.196°C anomaly for December 2007.

Here is the raw anomaly data for January 2008

Year Month

-70.0/ 82.5 -20.0/ 20.0 20.0/ 82.5 -70.0/ -20.0 60.0/ 82.5 -70.0/ -60.0 CONUS 0.0/ 82.5 -70.0/ 0.0

2008 1 -0.080 -0.188 -0.063 0.025 0.288 -0.833

-0.557 -0.120 -0.038

Which can be viewed in its entirety here (.txt data)

Here is my plot of the raw, unedited Global anomaly data (-70S to 82.5N) supplied by RSS per month. Note that the anomaly trend between late 2007 and early 2008 is quite steep and that the period leading up to 2008 is relatively flat.

rss-msu-monthly-anom520.png
click for a larger image

UPDATE:

I decided to plot a magnified graph to show the global change in temperature over the last year from January 2007 to January 2008, the ∆T of -0.629°C is quite significant for a 12 month period, rivaled in the last 10 years only by the 1998 El Nino warming peak.

rss-msu-2007-2008-delta520.png
Click for a larger image

Probable cause- Mucho Grande La Nina. It looks like we may have a PDO shift as well. But as some say, trying to correlate such things is a “fools errand”. But, judge for yourself.

lanina02-2008.png

click for a larger image

We live in interesting times.
(h/t MattN)



TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: agw; globalcooling; globalwarming; gorebullwarming; manbearpig; weather

1 posted on 02/05/2008 11:24:15 AM PST by Straight Vermonter
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To: Straight Vermonter

Where’s Al Gore?


2 posted on 02/05/2008 11:27:28 AM PST by Dilbert San Diego
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To: Straight Vermonter
Photo Sharing and Video Hosting at Photobucket
3 posted on 02/05/2008 11:28:54 AM PST by Dick Bachert
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To: Straight Vermonter

Perhaps when algore said that we now know that global climate change is much worse than we previously thought, he meant that this new data further discrediting his whole global warming alarmism is worse news for his diciples than he thought.


4 posted on 02/05/2008 11:29:46 AM PST by VRWCmember (Romney 2008 - The most palatable RINO left in the race)
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To: Straight Vermonter
Baghdad, January 11, 2008.

The Iraqis always said this just doesn't happen here.

But it did. ;-)


5 posted on 02/05/2008 11:30:51 AM PST by Allegra (A chicken in every pot and a pair of new socks every day.)
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To: Straight Vermonter
Clearly, the problem here is that the satellite sounder isn't located near burning trash fires and air conditioner exhausts. Somebody get on that, will ya?

All kidding aside, nice analysis.

6 posted on 02/05/2008 11:31:23 AM PST by Jagman (Lapdogs rule!)
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To: Straight Vermonter

I’ll try to keep my pet rock from braging too much. It knows it’s got more smarts than algorejr.


7 posted on 02/05/2008 11:34:05 AM PST by Waco
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To: Waco

Whether it’s terror news or this kind of research, your work is teriffic.


8 posted on 02/05/2008 11:41:10 AM PST by FARS
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To: Straight Vermonter; Waco

Ooops! Sorry Waco, compliment was for Straight Vermonter. Clicked on wrong reply.


9 posted on 02/05/2008 11:43:39 AM PST by FARS
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To: Straight Vermonter
anchorage, alaska in march 2012. according to al bore.


10 posted on 02/05/2008 11:43:53 AM PST by robomatik (......uh since fred and duncan are out, i think i need a new tagline. =()
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To: FARS

Thanks FARS. Anthony Watts’ site is a great resource for global warming info.


11 posted on 02/05/2008 11:46:19 AM PST by Straight Vermonter (Posting from deep behind the Maple Curtain)
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To: Straight Vermonter

Don’tcha just hate this damned Global Warming (Whinning)


12 posted on 02/05/2008 11:53:47 AM PST by SoldierDad (Proud Dad of a 2nd BCT 10th Mountain Soldier home after 15 months in the Triangle of death)
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To: SoldierDad
Don’tcha just hate this damned Global Warming (Whinning)

Call the New York Times, it's Global Cooling Again!

13 posted on 02/05/2008 11:58:02 AM PST by sr4402
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To: Straight Vermonter
So what could account for the blast of hot air in 1998?

Why, that is the year the Clintons were spinning the Monica scandal. Coincidence? I think not.


14 posted on 02/05/2008 12:08:28 PM PST by Bubba_Leroy ("I believe in Santa Claus. I believe in the tooth fairy." - John Edwards)
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To: Straight Vermonter
it IS coming tho! it IS! it IS! it IS! i'm serial..this is really hugh.

LOOK! it's manbearpig! And he's got ICED TEA!

15 posted on 02/05/2008 12:08:48 PM PST by sweet_diane (207 days to kickoff! Roll Tide ROLL ! (Now the #1 recruiting class in the country!))
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To: Straight Vermonter

Second coldest in 15 years. what about the third warmest in the last 3 years. what’s with picking arbitrary times out of thin air?


16 posted on 02/05/2008 12:10:45 PM PST by isrul
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To: sr4402
Call the New York Times, it's Global Cooling Again!

Haven't you noticed that the MSM has already started using the phrase "Global Climate Change" instead of "Global Warming"?

Global Climate Change is so much more flexible of a theory than Global Warming or Global Cooling.

Is it hotter today than average? Proof positive of Global Climate Change.

Colder than average? Global Climate Change.

Wetter, dryer, windier, less windy, cloudier, less cloudy? It doesn't matter. Whatever the weather is anywhere in the world it is proof of Global Climate Change caused by Bush and those damned SUVs.

Of course, the only way to fix the problem is socialize more and more of the world's economy and put liberals in charge.

17 posted on 02/05/2008 12:17:13 PM PST by Bubba_Leroy ("I believe in Santa Claus. I believe in the tooth fairy." - John Edwards)
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To: Straight Vermonter; All
Tired of snow? Brace yourself.
 

Beam me to Planet Gore !

18 posted on 02/05/2008 12:33:51 PM PST by backhoe (Just a Merry-Hearted Keyboard PirateBoy, plunderin’ his way across the WWW…)
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To: Straight Vermonter
For the record, we're having a record heat wave in western PA: 60 degrees.
19 posted on 02/05/2008 12:35:30 PM PST by Ciexyz
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To: isrul

/SARCASM OFF

The New York Times has been flipping between global cooling and global warming for over a century.


20 posted on 02/05/2008 12:49:14 PM PST by sr4402
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To: Straight Vermonter
On that first graph, if I was riding the channel, I would have had a trailing stop which would have kicked in and I’d now be looking elsewhere.
21 posted on 02/05/2008 12:50:25 PM PST by ChiefKujo
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To: Straight Vermonter

We’re going to get another 2 feet of global warming in the Cascades tonight.

Wonderful skiing, if you can get to it! Expect I-90 to close yet again for avalanche control.


22 posted on 02/05/2008 12:53:57 PM PST by SandyInSeattle (Some people are like slinkys, the idea of them tumbling down a flight of stairs makes you smile.)
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To: Dilbert San Diego
Where’s Al Gore?

And John McCain?

23 posted on 02/05/2008 12:55:46 PM PST by dfwgator (11+7+15=3 Heismans)
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To: Straight Vermonter
It’s a catastrophe I tell ya!
24 posted on 02/05/2008 1:16:01 PM PST by vpintheak (Like a muddied spring or a polluted well is a righteous man who gives way to the wicked. Prov. 25:26)
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To: SoldierDad

It’s -45 in Fairbanks! I just hate that global warming crap!


25 posted on 02/05/2008 1:17:08 PM PST by vpintheak (Like a muddied spring or a polluted well is a righteous man who gives way to the wicked. Prov. 25:26)
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To: Straight Vermonter

OMG GLOBAL WARMING!!!!! WE’RE ALL GONNA BURN!!!!!


26 posted on 02/05/2008 1:27:09 PM PST by Secret Agent Man
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To: Straight Vermonter

It’s been a cold January, but not like the January three years ago. We saw a real -51 then. This January was only -38. These are front porch readings, not official.


27 posted on 02/05/2008 1:31:07 PM PST by RightWhale (oil--the world currency)
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To: vpintheak

Ah, the good ole days of subzero temperatures - I remember my five years in North Dakota during the 80’s fondly.


28 posted on 02/05/2008 1:39:41 PM PST by SoldierDad (Proud Dad of a 2nd BCT 10th Mountain Soldier home after 15 months in the Triangle of death)
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To: Straight Vermonter
Chama New Mexico has received 12 feet of snow this winter. The Governor has declared an emergency and this morning sent in the National Guard. Roofs have collapsed on the town food market and Catholic church plus private residences, water lines frozen and some elderly persons trapped and unable to get out. Some pictures below:


29 posted on 02/05/2008 1:44:53 PM PST by CedarDave (What's the difference between Britney Spears and John McCain? Nothing, they're both crazy)
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To: CedarDave
Wow. Incredible images. We also have some on this thread started a couple days ago. There are also some links to incredible snow depth maps.

Idahna, Oregon buried in snow; Mayor asks for emergency help

30 posted on 02/05/2008 3:21:44 PM PST by justa-hairyape
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To: Ciexyz
For the record, we're having a record heat wave in western PA: 60 degrees.

Southeast and central east has gotten off fairly easy this winter. Classic strong La Nina now formed in the Pacific. If the Atlantic cools off next winter, you wont see that kind of temp at this time of year. The west also had a record heat wave in February of last year. So perhaps you are one season behind on the march toward Global Cooling. The Pacific leads the way.

31 posted on 02/05/2008 3:28:16 PM PST by justa-hairyape
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To: Dilbert San Diego
Where’s Al Gore?

Preparing to get his award for this huge success in his efforts!!!

32 posted on 02/05/2008 3:30:28 PM PST by Cementjungle
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To: isrul
Second coldest in 15 years. what about the third warmest in the last 3 years. what’s with picking arbitrary times out of thin air?

This was not predicted in any of the Global Cooling Computer Models.

33 posted on 02/05/2008 3:31:09 PM PST by justa-hairyape
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To: Beowulf; Defendingliberty; WL-law; Normandy; TenthAmendmentChampion

Beam me to Planet Gore !

34 posted on 02/05/2008 3:40:08 PM PST by steelyourfaith
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To: justa-hairyape
OOPS. Global Cooling Computer Models Should Read Global Warming Computer Models. There, that makes better sense. Gee, I need to look both ways before I post.
35 posted on 02/05/2008 3:46:01 PM PST by justa-hairyape
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To: Straight Vermonter
The United States posted a -.557°C anomaly for January 2008 and a -0.196°C anomaly for December 2007.

And I bet if you looked at just the Western US (west of the continental divide) that incredible anomaly would be even greater.

36 posted on 02/05/2008 3:52:30 PM PST by justa-hairyape
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To: Allegra

Well you tell those Iraqis that it won’t happen again if the American people will elect John McCain.... /s ( I am just kidding you and mean absolutely no offense... I love to read your reports.


37 posted on 02/05/2008 3:54:50 PM PST by Just mythoughts (Isa.3:4 And I will give children to be their princes, and babes shall rule over them.)
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To: xcamel

ping


38 posted on 02/06/2008 8:50:00 AM PST by Entrepreneur (The environmental movement is filled with watermelons - green on the outside, red on the inside)
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To: Straight Vermonter; Killing Time; Beowulf; Mr. Peabody; RW_Whacko; honolulugal; SideoutFred; ...


FReepmail me to get on or off
Click on POGW graphic for full GW rundown
Dr. John Ray's
GREENIE WATCH


Data Update
39 posted on 02/06/2008 8:52:33 AM PST by xcamel (Two-hand-voting now in play - One on lever, other holding nose.)
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To: Straight Vermonter; Killing Time; Beowulf; Mr. Peabody; RW_Whacko; honolulugal; SideoutFred; ...


FReepmail me to get on or off
Click on POGW graphic for full GW rundown
Dr. John Ray's
GREENIE WATCH


Data Update
40 posted on 02/06/2008 9:00:29 AM PST by xcamel (Two-hand-voting now in play - One on lever, other holding nose.)
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To: Straight Vermonter; Killing Time; Beowulf; Mr. Peabody; RW_Whacko; honolulugal; SideoutFred; ...


FReepmail me to get on or off
Click on POGW graphic for full GW rundown
Dr. John Ray's
GREENIE WATCH


Data Update
41 posted on 02/06/2008 9:00:51 AM PST by xcamel (Two-hand-voting now in play - One on lever, other holding nose.)
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To: Straight Vermonter
Sorry. None of this fits the narrative. Nothing to see here. Move along...
42 posted on 02/06/2008 9:02:42 AM PST by JoanVarga ("¿Por qué no te calles?")
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To: Straight Vermonter

Let me guess, the Global COOLING is caused by the Global WARMING, right?


43 posted on 02/06/2008 9:06:34 AM PST by Southerngl
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To: xcamel

Thanks for the pings. I seem to be getting a lot of duplicate pings today, is there something going on at FR that I didn’t know about?


44 posted on 02/06/2008 11:13:26 AM PST by alwaysconservative (Don't forget that you're unique--just like everybody else.)
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To: SoldierDad
With winters of subzero temps (30 below), how did the Dakota Native Americans in their teepees ever stand it?
45 posted on 02/06/2008 7:46:51 PM PST by Ciexyz
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To: Ciexyz

I would submit that they had very well insulated shelters, and indoor heating.


46 posted on 02/06/2008 8:16:27 PM PST by SoldierDad (Proud Dad of a 2nd BCT 10th Mountain Soldier home after 15 months in the Triangle of death)
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To: SoldierDad

Ah, yes... this must be due to global warming and climate change...

Meanwhile, the SUN has been in a quiet period - very few sunspots at all for months...

That can’t have anything to do with Earth being colder, I’m sure...


47 posted on 02/07/2008 7:53:03 AM PST by AFPhys ((.Praying for President Bush, our troops, their families, and all my American neighbors..))
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To: AFPhys

I’m sure that AlBore could explain how the Sun has no impact on the Earth’s temperatures /sarc


48 posted on 02/07/2008 7:57:22 AM PST by SoldierDad (Proud Dad of a 2nd BCT 10th Mountain Soldier home after 15 months in the Triangle of death)
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