Posted on 02/13/2008 7:38:21 AM PST by vietvet67
Hillary Clinton has blown an almost sure shot at the Democratic presidential nomination. Having surrendered the lead to Obama, she is not likely ever to regain it. It is a fantasy that the Ohio and Texas primaries will be a "firewall" to contain the flames of enthusiasm for Obama and reverse her defeats of February. Just as with Giuliani's supposed Florida firewall, Hillary's will crumble as Obama's momentum carries him forward to the nomination.
Before Hillary lost her first primary or caucus, she lost the dialogue with the Obama campaign vis-à-vis the totally misguided decision to focus her message on experience, surrendering the ground of change to her opponent.
The more she tried to emphasize Obama's inexperience, the more she seemed to fence herself into the status quo. That it was the status quo ante of the Clinton years, not the status quo of the Bush administration, made less and less difference as the campaign progressed.
She ran on a message perfect for a Republican primary -- experience -- and abandoned the key to winning a Democratic primary -- the message of change -- to Obama.
Her decision to rely on special interest political action committee and lobbyist contributions and to seed her war chest with the checks of maxed-out donors gave substance to Obama's contrast of the status quo vs. change. With her chief strategist a lobbyist and her top campaign team all in the business, she was awash in associations that crippled her ability to fight for change.
Obama became the attraction in the race while Hillary recited her laundry list of proposals with a deadening monotony.
(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...
Alright Obama is toast, says Morris!
Please God, put a stake in this woman!
From Dick Morris, you get conventional wisdom. That is not to say that conventional wisdom is always wrong. Conventional wisdom is usually correct. But there is nothing special about it.
Because good always triumphs ( not talking about Hussein ).
Hilary will lose because people are fedup with this Bush/Clinton dinesty thing and want a change.
Is this the same Dick Morris I heard some time ago telling us that Hillary was going to be the next president? I’m not sure there’s anyone who gives me the creeping cruds more than Morris does. He leaves a slime trail everywhere he goes.
Keep stocked up on your favorite snacks, this is going to get real good real soon. This IS reality TV.
INSIDE THE PRIVATE ROOM
Pappy O’Daniel sits smoking a cigar, nursing a glass of
whiskey, and soliciting the counsel of his overweight retinue.
PAPPY
Languishing! Goddamn campaign is
languishing! We need a shot inna
arm! Hear me, boys? Inna goddamn
ARM! Election held tomorra, that
sonofabitch Stokes would win it in a
walk!
JUNIOR
Well he’s the reform candidate, Daddy.
Pappy narrows his eyes at him, wondering what he’s getting
at.
PAPPY
...Yeah?
JUNIOR
Well people like that reform. Maybe
we should get us some.
Pappy whips off his hat and slaps at Junior with it.
PAPPY
I’ll reform you, you soft-headed
sonofabitch! How we gonna run reform
when we’re the damn incumbent!
He glares around the table.
PAPPY
Zat the best idea any you boys can
come up with? REEform?! Weepin’ Jesus
on the cross! Eckard, you may as
well start draftin’ my concession
speech right now.
Hillary will lose because ppl hate her.
Hillary will lose because ppl hate her.We have a winner!
The nomination and the general election are Obama’s to lose, hayna? People, even Democrat people, are beginning to realize that Hillary’s main campaign motivation is her thirst for revenge against all of us who ridiculed and rejected her incarceratory nationalized health care morass. And you have to hold a gun to a conservative’s head to get him to vote for McCain, while the Obama mommas are beginning to necessitate crowd control at their caucuses and primaries.
Wow! I’m impressed. So far, no posts that spelled the word as “looser”!
And, on topic -
it doesn’t matter if Hillary “loses” the vote/delegate count, she’ll still get the nomination through machinations of some sort.
The Klingtong Mafia will steal the nomination from Big Ear Socialist — you just watch.
Morris always thinks that whoever is in the lead at any given time will be assured the nomination. his opinion is worthless.
(She ran on a message perfect for a Republican primary — experience — and abandoned the key to winning a Democratic primary — the message of change — to Obama. )
In other words, Republican voters vote with their brains. Democrat voters vote with their emotions.
Obama leads in pledged delegates by about 129 at this stage, with 27 CO, 20 WA, 5 DC, 18 MD and 2 VA to be decided, which will break his way. Then, WI and HI and MS will give Obama even more big delegate tallies. Hillary’s deficit will be about 150 delegates, which is really huge when delegates are given out proportionally like they are with the Democrats. She will need to beat Obama by like 20 points in her firewall states of TX, OH, PA, IN, WV, and KY.
This is about math for Hillary. It’s not CW.
That child is too cute to be the spawn from hell!
Oh PULEASE.....The Clintons will NEVER let a BLACK GUT BEAT THEM!! NEVER!!!!
Bill’s antics in South Carolina (playing the race card) is key. Obama’s victories have accelerated ever since. The whole episode reminded too many voters of the worst of a Clinton presidency.
As if Morris knew...
She might well lose, but Morris has been all over the board on this election. He’s made so many predictions that no matter who ultimately wins, Morris can claim he predicted it—along with all the other 99 predictions that didn’t come true.
So Morris, didn’t you just write a book about how Hillary would beat Condeleeza Rice in this year’s election?
Moron.
Go suck a toe.
Dick Morris, I'm understand, specializes mostly in toe sucking.
As a political prognosticator he shows little talent.
lol. That pic reminds me of the old TV program Fantasy Island.
“Da plane boss, da plane!”
Hellary is getting desperate. It wouldn’t surprise me if she suddenly announces that She and Bill are getting a divorce. Such a bombshell would shake things up and help her with the women’s vote, and the Bill haters. She probably blames bill for her disasterous racial attacks on Obama since she was depending on him to deliver black votes. Since that backfired she doesn’t need him and the baggage he brings. People don’t like the dual president, 2 for 1 business anyway. A divorce would be brilliant strategy especially since her attacks on Obama all seem to backfire.
Obama scares me...too squishy-feely-JFK, the kind of person “idealistic” people vote for without knowing anything about politics...or outcomes. Still, if there is a dance-in-the-street item anywhere in this whole thing, it is that the Ice Queen is really getting @$$-kicked. That whole Karma thing is a bear, isn’t it Hill?
So she'll soon be out of money too? Here come the Chinese busboys.
“World’s smartest woman”. She is an idiot. Can’t say anything without a dozen “you know”s.
When is the Texas and Ohio primaries?
Are they winner-take-all delagates?
Its not that, its just that Dick Morris is almost always wrong, period. The guy can not prognosticate his way out of a paper bag.
Toe sucker will have a different opinion before dark.
“Is this the same Dick Morris I heard some time ago telling us that Hillary was going to be the next president? I’m not sure there’s anyone who gives me the creeping cruds more than Morris does. He leaves a slime trail everywhere he goes.”
I agree. Wasn’t Morris spouting how Kerry was going to defeat Bush in 2004? For a time he thought Hillary would enter the POTUS race in 2004, then he was firmly adamant that the only person who could defeat Hillary in 2008 was Condi. Why is anyone listening to this guy?
The man tends to be consistently wrong on a host of issues. He is given waaaaaaaay too much airtime on radio and TV.
I enjoyed her trying to thank all the people who are important to her campaign in Texas last night (only part I watched). Her shout-speech and the use of “I” was almost as annoying as her having to read and butcher the names of these people who were sooooo important to her. It was an awful performance. She’s toast in Texas.
This is the Clintons not the Clampetts.
Julian Bond, who just happens to be Black and just happens to be pretty high up in the NAACP, called for the Michigan and Florida delegates to be seated at the convention.
Two states where the Dem candidates said they were not going to campaign.
Hillary was the only one on the ballot in Michigan. Hillary flew to Florida for a "winner's speech" after their primary, even though the DNC said it didn't count.
There are a lot of Clinton appointed judges out there waiting to hear the challenges on seating the delegates from those two states.
Hillary also has the super-delegates in her column. Never underestimate them. Remember the Impeachment Pep Rally where the people who comprise the super-delegates marched from the Capitol to the White House to glory in the non-conviction of Bill after a gutless bunch of Republican senators refused to do their duty?
Hillary is on the ropes. But she is definitely in Rope-a-Dope mode.
It's going to take more than one bucket of water to melt this witch.
They will never divorce. Spouses cannot be compelled to testify against each other.
OTOH, 'the Widder Clinton' would be more than happy to be swept into office on the sympathy vote...
And they are usually wrong.
you are correct
Foolish.
It’s all about behind the scenes at the convention. Clintons win precisely when you think they are toast.
Morris of all people should know that.
“They will never divorce. Spouses cannot be compelled to testify against each other.”
They don’t actually have to divorce. The announcement would be enough. They can reconcile after the election. As far as testifying, that will never happen anyway since each could send the other away for a long long time.
They can’t refuse.
And they can be prosecuted for any lies they tell.
The KKKlintons in jail. I get a tingling feeling in my leg just thinking about it. :-)
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