Posted on 02/16/2008 8:36:14 PM PST by Names Ash Housewares
Machines will achieve human-level artificial intelligence by 2029, a leading US inventor has predicted. Humanity is on the brink of advances that will see tiny robots implanted in people's brains to make them more intelligent said engineer Ray Kurzweil.
He said machines and humans would eventually merge through devices implanted in the body to boost intelligence and health.
"It's really part of our civilisation," Mr Kurzweil said.
"But that's not going to be an alien invasion of intelligent machines to displace us."
Machines were already doing hundreds of things humans used to do, at human levels of intelligence or better, in many different areas, he said.
(Excerpt) Read more at news.bbc.co.uk ...
Obviously a smart scientist but too dumb to know what a human being is.
“And one day, the Cylons decided to kill their masters....”
Just don’t upgrade all stealth bombers to drones and allow the machine to become self-aware at 2:14 a.m. Eastern time.
Hey no fair you took usual line :)
Kurzweil is an idiot.
If anything he predicts ever comes true, it will be an accident.
Wouldn’t that make steroids rather moot, then?
I dunno, after reading DU and some of the moonbat blogs, I think an average PC is as smart as some people today ;-) Actually, a four-function calculator is smarter than quite a few...
Super-terrorists?
Does he know the exact day and time in 2029 when this will happen? Seriously, Mr. Kurzweil is delusional on this subject. AI has advanced very little in the past 30 years, despite significant advances in computers. Look for computers to get ever faster, but only incrementally more “intelligent”.
Sure, on the day when Skynet becomes self-aware. A Terminator from the future will go back in time to save us, though.
I remember Ray making similar predictions in 1950... nuclear power would cost one penny a day... air cars would get us to work and back... weather control would make all picnics sunny... meals would be in the form of a single pill... and science would do away with those pesky ants, too.
Yes, but they still won’t have a human spirit.
That wasn't supposed to happen until the year 5555, Zager and Evans said so.
I remember reading in 1980 that by 1990 there would be artificial eye implants that would end blindness.
Why not 2028?
Believablity would sky rocket if he had said “around 2030 or so” rather than 2029.
Still wouldn’t believe it, but there would be less to make fun of.
LOL, isn’t that the year he sends the terminator from in T2?
As a computer engineer with a background in expert systems/AI, in a word: doubtful.
Won’t we be dead from global warming by then....or, since the computers will be so smart by then, why don’t we wait and let them figure out how to solve the “crisis”.....
Is the author the same guy that bought all those ‘dolls’ at ‘real doll’?
Unintended consequences come to mind. Russian neuropsychologist, A. R. Luria, wrote The Mind of a Mnemonist, a clinical case study of a patient who forgot nothing. The man could not make the simplest of decisions.
I have no idea, but i wouldn’t be surprised!
Machines. Ah, sex without guilt at last.
Except the female sex models will all look like this after the Mohammadans take over.
How is that possible? Ray Kurzweil was born in 1948.
He's no idiot. He has a good track record as a futurist.
He could be wrong about the year, but I expect he'll be proven right eventually.
That is so 1950 SciFi stuff!
I like it though.
“He’s no idiot. He has a good track record as a futurist.”
I read one of his books and formed my own opinion!
I read one of his books too. It had some useful information that I was able to use to my financial advantage.
If not for green politics, nuclear power may well cost a person a penny a day by now. sadly, we’ll never know.
I'll bet the financial advantage was to save $29.95.
Sure. Right after they finally get IVR to actually work (interactive voice recognition).
At each step in the evolution of technology, we gain a more refined understanding of what still distinguishes us from our toys.
I have little doubt that "by 2029", by some metrics, machines will match or surpass human intelligence. Indeed, that happened at least by World War II, when it was quicker to calculate artillery tables using computers than using humans.
Similarly, I have little doubt that some forms of Artificial Intelligence will be just as retarted in 2029 as when I studied them three decades ago ;).
And just as I use all manner of mechanical assists now, such as the Internet to "talk" to thousands of people, thousands of miles away, to mention one of a gazillion examples, similarly I expect to use more intelligence aids, more intimately entwined in my body, as time goes on. Who would have anticipated pace makers or cataract lenses or artificial hips or ... a few centuries ago. Not even the great Leonardo da Vinci imagined since, though he did anticipate helicopters and submarines, as I recall.
I for one am having a blast riding this wave of technology, and find several of the responses above worthy of the Luddites of two hundred years ago.
What I look forward to is the day that my non-techie relatives tell me how they like talking to the real people at some particular merchants call center, rather than the computers they get elsewhere, when unbeknownst to them, those 'real' people are just better computers.
The date keeps getting pushed back but it has to happen, otherwise you could never really resolve the paradoxes of the time travel.
Mankind has a habit of making our imaginings reality.
2029 seems very early to me, but I wouldn’t be surprised if a “Mr. Data” is waiting for us in the future to invent him.
And I think that will be the case, a positive scenario, not one to be fearful of like a Hal 9000 or Skynet. (fun as it is to entertain our dark humours with them)
In a tiny fraction of a heartbeat of time, computers have leapt forward at an incredible rate. A.I. seems fantastic to some right now, it IS fantastic. But it is only a matter of time really at the rate things are going.
I only wonder though, will we recognize the moment when it’s happened?
well, no computer is truly smart, yet. They don’t think for themselves, just follow paths dictated. They can calculate very quickly though.
more likely, we’ll have more cybernetic implants — a memory chip in our brains so we never forget, maybe enhanced limbs. However, the Islamic world would still be left behind.
One has to carry around some rules of thumb in life, such as honey-do projects and software programs always take longer than projected, near term forecasts of revolutionary change always overshoot, and long term forecasts always undershoot.
In other words, we predict more rapid change in the near term than actually happens, but are quite unable to foresee the bigger long term sea changes that are occurring.
I guess the same thing happens at sea, though I'm a landlubber so wouldn't know. That next little wave looks like it could sink you, while that colossal one that rose up everything from here to the horizon passes unnoticed, until it washes ashore.
" To Serve And Obey, And Protect Man From Harm "
I'll bet you have fantastic conversations in front of a mirror. I want to talk directly to the person who can solve my problem. The zero button is my favorite button.
P.S. I also do not like to have to hunt down a person when I just want my balance. The "genius" machine is just right for that information. It doen't even have to talk to me. I can read.
Yes, that’s why we call computers “high speed idiots.”
My calls to any customer service are always for the exceptional items that no IVR could ever handle (at least not in the foreseeable future). I just continue to pound the zero key until they grudgingly hand me over me to the sole CSR left on-station. Unfortunately, I got one the other day that says zero is “not a valid selection”.
You are absolutely right about being able to read to get the mundane information. I never need to call the help line to get a balance.
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