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McCain Has Yet to Exceed 50% in Texas Polls
POLITICAL LORE.COM ^ | 18 FEBRUARY 2008 | AP

Posted on 02/18/2008 7:13:12 PM PST by Extremely Extreme Extremist

Recent polls show that John McCain is in for a struggle in the Republican primary contest in Texas. Despite a recent endorsement from former candidate Mitt Romney and a declaration by much of the American press that McCain is the Republican Nominee, McCain has been forced to stay on the campaign trail and fight for the final delegates needed to win the nomination.

If we have learned anything from this election cycle it is that the polls are not to be trusted. So a 4 point lead in Texas is negligible at this point for McCain. McCain could be further ahead or it could mean a virtual dead heat. A loss or even a close call in Texas would expose McCain as extremely vulnerable in the general election and would not encourage Republicans to consolidate behind a candidate who is not able to carry Bush’s home state even with the President’s stamp of approval.

McCain not being able to crack 50% in his own party after Mitt Romney and the Republican establishment is beginning to line up behind him spells big trouble in November for the GOP.

McCain’s two remaining competitors, Mike Huckabee and Ron Paul, are showing no signs of dropping out and in Ron Paul’s case; he has stated that he will remain in the race at least until the Republican convention.

How did it get to this point? Well the Christian right refused to put Romney over the top or give Ron Paul, who reflects their values, a closer look. Instead they tried to push Huckabee from the back of the pack to the frontrunner with their support alone, and it just wasn’t going to happen.

It is increasingly looking as if many Mike Huckabee and Ron Paul supporters will never fall in line with McCain. Those that don’t write in or go third party will likely sit this election out, making a Republican win in November highly unlikely. This exposes the fatal flaw of the two party system; it ostracizes well meaning citizens from being able to participate in the process with out holding their nose or feeling their vote is being wasted.

Looking ahead, this year’s election cycle could very well have an effect on the Republican Party for years to come. Romney’s early exit tells us that he hopes to have a future in the Republican Party, possibly to run for President again in the near future.

If McCain goes on to lose in the general election and Romney runs again in four years, it could very well mean the permanent fracturing of the Republican Party, with the Christian Right only supporting the mainstream candidate when he is one of their own. Romney was flatly denied the nomination by the Christian Right and by not taking no for an answer and receiving similar percentages in four years, he would be paving the way again for a centrist Republican candidate who is able to do well in the delegate rich states as McCain has done, but would likely lose to a Democratic incumbent.


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: huckabee; mccain; texasprimary; tx2008; txprimary
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To: TomasUSMC; All

I wish the “toe-sucking” Dick Morris and the Great Rush Limbaugh would quit encouraging Pubbies in Texas to cross-over on March 4 and vote for Obama in the Dem Primary.

Don’t they know Hillary is beatable but Hussein Osama-Obama is not. America is smitten with the Closet Muslim.

Shut up Dick Morris!!!


51 posted on 02/18/2008 11:21:01 PM PST by no dems (Global Warming advocates have the IQ of a can of Spam.)
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To: Extremely Extreme Extremist

...”Among Republicans, 55 percent of likely Texas GOP primary voters support McCain as their choice for nominee. Thirty-two percent back former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee and 11 percent support home-state congressman and former Libertarian standard-bearer Ron Paul. The poll’s sampling error for Republican respondents is 4 percentage points.

The CNN/Opinion Research Corp. poll was conducted by telephone from Friday through Sunday. Pollsters talked to 1,506 adults in Texas, including 553 likely Republican primary voters and 529 likely Democratic primary voters.”

Above as linked thru Drudge site....\\

http://edition.cnn.com/2008/POLITICS/02/18/poll.texas/


52 posted on 02/19/2008 1:19:35 AM PST by VRWCTexan (History has a long memory - but still repeats itself)
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To: Extremely Extreme Extremist
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Had to vent. No, I'm not a "hater"...you could say John RINO McCain "inspires" me.

53 posted on 02/19/2008 1:29:21 AM PST by Caipirabob (Communists... Socialists... Democrats...Traitors... Who can tell the difference?)
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To: Hazwaste
From what I've been reading on FR and elsewhere, the GOP seems more interested in expanding leftward, to the exclusion of shoring up their right. With both parties moving left, it leaves a big hole that could eventually be filled with a new party, if more Conservatives would stick to their core beliefs instead of the party that has abandoned them.

Bingo! I've been stating the same thing for a long time. If more people would stand firm on Conservative principles they would never have to employ the loser and defeatist hold your nose and vote for the lesser of two evils strategy when voting for John McCain or any other Socialist candidates.
54 posted on 02/19/2008 4:42:37 AM PST by Man50D (Fair Tax, you earn it, you keep it!)
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To: Saundra Duffy
I won't be voting for McCain in November especially if Romney is his VP pick. Romney was the only one worse than McCain and Paul in my list based on his record as governor.
55 posted on 02/19/2008 12:43:13 PM PST by Ingtar (Haley Barbour 2012, Because he has experience in Disaster Recovery. - ejonesie22)
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To: TinaJeannes

All places where he will lose in November.


56 posted on 02/19/2008 12:44:25 PM PST by Ingtar (Haley Barbour 2012, Because he has experience in Disaster Recovery. - ejonesie22)
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To: who_would_fardels_bear
But if there were a Conservative party that had about 25% support among the populous and got 25% of the seats in congress

That can't happen in our system. To get into Congress, you have to win whole congressional districts. That makes it very difficult for any third party to get any seats at all. The only way a 25% party could get 25% of the seats would be for its support to be concentrated in several congressional districts so that it can be a majority party in certain parts of the country.

3rd parties don't have this problem in parliamentary systems like Israel's where seats are awarded proportionally, and hence a party with even 15% can get parliamentary representation.

57 posted on 02/19/2008 12:47:06 PM PST by curiosity
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To: Extremely Extreme Extremist
STATEMENT OF FAITH BY RON PAUL

Or Fred Phelps. They're both about equally nutty.
58 posted on 02/19/2008 12:48:24 PM PST by OCCASparky (Steely-Eyed Killer of the Deep)
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To: Saundra Duffy

I agree completely with this. The Huckleberries killed an electable candidate with their ignorant myopia. Huckabee was/is/and always will be NcCain’s bitch. He split the conservative vote and therefore we got McCain. Huckabee knew exactly what he was doing.

I’d have an ounce of respect for Huckabee if he had had the courage to run against McCain and Romney. But it was all anti-Romney nonstop from this smug Christian preacher. Crap, this guy couldn’t even let go of Romney after Romney dropped out. What a total tool and buffoon.


59 posted on 02/19/2008 1:35:24 PM PST by Diplomat
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To: curiosity
That's exactly what I said in a later post.

Third parties don't make much sense in our system. In fact they tend to have the exact opposite effect of what they are intended.

That is why we would have to go to a parliamentary system.

The only way to get third parties started in America is if you can get a very well known and well liked individual to run under its banner.

When this has happened in the past, the third party basically replaced one of the original two parties and we were soon back to a two party system again.

If Perot hadn't wigged out and dropped out and then back into the presidential race, he might have won and the Dems or Pubbies would by now have ceased to be, having been replaced by the Reform Party.

60 posted on 02/19/2008 1:35:39 PM PST by who_would_fardels_bear
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To: no dems

Romney was denied the nomination because, quite frankly he sucks.

He tried to portray himself as a conservative after spending his political career as a moderate/liberal. This is the idiot whos incompetence led us to Gay Marriage trying to claim he’s the heir to Reagan?

Get Bent. Romney came across as a completely phoney, which he was... his religion had nothing to do with it.


61 posted on 02/19/2008 1:39:18 PM PST by HamiltonJay
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To: ckilmer
"Bush elder headed up the cia. the cia is a liberal agency that follows the money. big money wants the worlds countries united under one big UN umbrella. They can’t do it directly so they’ll do it by grouping states together. In the new world it will be the NAU and some latin american federation. But that will be followed by a new world superstate."

You assume a far greater degree of competency than we've seen anyone exhibit so far!

62 posted on 02/19/2008 3:59:41 PM PST by Redbob (WWJBD: "What Would Jack Bauer Do?")
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To: Redbob

“Bush elder headed up the cia. the cia is a liberal agency that follows the money. big money wants the worlds countries united under one big UN umbrella. They can’t do it directly so they’ll do it by grouping states together. In the new world it will be the NAU and some latin american federation. But that will be followed by a new world superstate.”

You assume a far greater degree of competency than we’ve seen anyone exhibit so far!
///////////
This is the stuff that’s bandied about at davos and liberal internationalist rags like international affairs


63 posted on 02/19/2008 7:32:13 PM PST by ckilmer (Phi)
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To: Extremely Extreme Extremist

Look, Triple E. I am not happy with McCain as the nominee. Not at all. But we need to realize that, given the results in Wisconsin tonight, we are very very likely to face the possibility of a man named HUSSEIN becoming our President.

No, the name isn’t important. But what it symbolizes does matter: a socialist, liberal world view where your children and mine will be subject to the whims of the United Nations. A world where prosperity and productivity will be looked at with disdain. A world where hatred for America will be met with “compromise” by national security playing second fiddle to our enemies’ desires. A world where tax increases will be the rule, not the exception. A world where a kid who was dodging questions about state legislation just four years ago will be the leader of the free world.

I cannot stand by and let the greatest nation on earth have as its face a man whose only talent is wooing a crowd with plagiarized lines. He isn’t a leader: he is a pied piper.

No, McCain isn’t the best we had. He stands head and shoulders above Hussein Obama, though.

Please, if you can, consider the consequences of a Hussein presidency. Is it worth it?


64 posted on 02/19/2008 7:38:45 PM PST by Recovering_Democrat ((I am SO glad to no longer be associated with the party of Dependence on Government!))
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To: HamiltonJay
Get Bent. Romney came across as a completely phoney, which he was... his religion had nothing to do with it.

I do NOT know why you included this in your Post to me (Post #61). I don't recall ever saying anything about Romney's religion.
65 posted on 02/19/2008 9:20:59 PM PST by no dems (Global Warming advocates have the IQ of a can of Spam.)
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