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It’s a myth that the world’s oil is running out
Times Online ^ | 4/27/08 | Irwin Stelzer

Posted on 04/28/2008 2:19:38 AM PDT by Dawnsblood

But assume that prices are “high”, which indeed they are by historic standards. We are mistaken when we think these “high” prices are causing inflation. High oil prices can force consumers to spend more on petrol and heating oil, at the expense of other purchases. Ask any suffering restaurateur or clothes retailer if you doubt that. But high oil prices can’t trigger a rise in the general price level – inflation – unless someone pumps money into the economy so that, to use an oldie but goodie from the economists’ lexicon, there is more money chasing the same amount of goods. If you want something to blame for inflation, don’t look at oil prices, look at the billions the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy gurus and their confederates at the US Treasury are pouring into the economic system.

Another myth: we are running out of oil. According to WorldPublic Opinion.org, “majorities in 15 of the 16 nations surveyed around the world think that oil is running out . . . only 22% on average believe that ‘enough oil will be found so that it can remain a primary source of energy for the foreseeable future’ ”. Those majorities who think we are running out of oil include 85% of the British and 76% of the American citizens polled. Luckily, they are wrong.

Production of oil is being constrained by several forces, none of them due to God’s failure to put enough of the black gold under our feet. Several countries that are important sources of supply are in political turmoil, and unable to bring to market the oil they are capable of producing.

(Excerpt) Read more at business.timesonline.co.uk ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Editorial; Mexico
KEYWORDS: energy; myth; oil; opec; saudiarabia

1 posted on 04/28/2008 2:19:38 AM PDT by Dawnsblood
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To: Dawnsblood

It’s Democratic Party Economics that oil companies can sell gasoline cheaper by getting it from unreliable sources on the other side of the globe, rather than drill for oil nearby.


2 posted on 04/28/2008 2:35:28 AM PDT by Son House (God Enlightened me through Charles Gibson, the top Income Tax Rate Should be 15% too!)
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To: Dawnsblood
Doesn't matter if oil was raining from the skies. The politicians, under full control of the socialist Green movement and the Middle East power brokers aren't going to let us harvest our own resources. "Less is more" is the mindset. You are going to conserve, comrade, get used to it.

Image and video hosting by TinyPic

The "Green Movement" in the form of radical environmentalism has taken on a whole new face these days.

I honestly believe they are as much a threat as any roque nation and should be treated as such.

3 posted on 04/28/2008 2:41:38 AM PDT by Caipirabob (Communists... Socialists... Democrats...Traitors... Who can tell the difference?)
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To: Dawnsblood

But the demand is exceeding the ability to be met by the Fossil Energy industry alone.

Alternatives must continue to be developed, to at the very least, slow speculation from determining costs.


4 posted on 04/28/2008 3:01:30 AM PDT by NoLibZone (Is the purpose of the 2nd amendment to brag at gun shows and chat rooms?)
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To: NoLibZone

“But the demand is exceeding the ability to be met by the Fossil Energy industry alone.”

NO IT IS NOT !! The demand is exceeding our ABILITY to extract our own oil, due to bone headed leftist.
Billions of barrels are being discovered every year.


5 posted on 04/28/2008 3:16:32 AM PDT by AlexW (Reporting from Bratislava, Slovakia. Happy not to be back in the USA for now.)
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To: NoLibZone

Domestically, that’s due to political circumstances, not geophysical. Namely, the prohibition on building new refineries and opening up new drilling zones.


6 posted on 04/28/2008 3:18:42 AM PDT by ovrtaxt (This election is like running in the Special Olympics. Even if McCain wins, weÂ’re still retarded.)
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To: Dawnsblood

It’s ironic that the same Lefties who rail at “Big Oil” readily accept one of OPEC’s greatest canards. Some OPEC countries may be running out of readily accessible oil, but “the World” isn’t. Unfortunately, we do have an inexhaustible supply of environuts in this country.


7 posted on 04/28/2008 3:35:15 AM PDT by pawdoggie
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To: NoLibZone

Up the margin on futures and the price of options. Make it riskier to speculate. Acouple 1929 style suicides by ruined oil traders would provide an object lesson.


8 posted on 04/28/2008 3:43:54 AM PDT by steve8714 (If we want peace, why don't we pray for freedom?)
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To: Dawnsblood

The oil has been running out since the day we pumped the first barrel.


9 posted on 04/28/2008 3:45:25 AM PDT by Brilliant
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To: Dawnsblood
Oil, Coal and every other non-renewable ground resource will run out. It is foolish to think supplies are unlimited.

We are addicted to easy energy pulled from the ground and we must slowly reduce our consumption. Society has grown incredibly from this easy energy and can not live without fossil fuels anymore.

Increasing production will just make it hurt more when it finally does run out. It is like giving an addict more drugs to feel better today but getting them more addicted in the process.

Taking a stand and weaning ourselves away from fossil fuels as soon as possible is the only intelligent choice. Otherwise we hit a point of no return where energy consumption is greater than what renewables can provide.

10 posted on 04/28/2008 3:54:34 AM PDT by varyouga ("Rove is some mysterious God of politics & mind control" - DU 10-24-06)
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To: AlexW

Here’s a better statement:

“But the demand is exceeding the ability to be met by the Fossil Energy industry alone... at the price point of $1.20/gallon.”

:-P


11 posted on 04/28/2008 3:58:11 AM PDT by gogogodzilla (Live free or die!)
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To: Dawnsblood

“it is a myth that the world’s oil is running out...”

a myth perpetrated by the international left wing in the u.s. congress. (non-americans all.)
imho


12 posted on 04/28/2008 4:05:05 AM PDT by ripley
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To: varyouga

You have no idea how much oil there is.


13 posted on 04/28/2008 4:09:15 AM PDT by reasonisfaith (The only way for honorable people to be liberal is to have no idea what conservatism is.)
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To: varyouga; reasonisfaith
I am continually amazed when “conservatives” who normally believe in free markets, turn into raging central command and control socialists when the subject is ethanol or oil/gasoline.
14 posted on 04/28/2008 4:25:19 AM PDT by Jacquerie (McCain will offer battle to Islam. The Obamabeast will offer our heads.)
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To: varyouga

BS


15 posted on 04/28/2008 4:33:11 AM PDT by mylife (The Roar Of The Masses Could Be Farts)
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To: Caipirabob
I honestly believe they are as much a threat as any roque nation and should be treated as such.

They certainly are in terms well beyond the greenie movement, too. Consider what they've done to our skools in just 30 years of Federal control. That single point of control over the vast majority of students in this country is a far greater threat in the long term future of this nation than any mooselimb or greenie could ever hope for. The corruption of young minds for the past 3 decades would be very hard to overcome if it stopped right now. Trouble is, their control is gaining steam......

16 posted on 04/28/2008 4:35:09 AM PDT by Thermalseeker (Silence is not always a Sign of Wisdom, but Babbling is ever a Mark of Folly. - B. Franklin)
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To: Dawnsblood

Okay, the rising price of oil does not cause inflation, it just makes the price of everything that uses oil or is transported by oil go up (airplane tickets, asphalt, postage rates, heavy commodities like concrete and steel, etc.)


17 posted on 04/28/2008 4:36:08 AM PDT by Dr. Sivana (Not a newbie, I just wanted a new screen name.)
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To: Jacquerie

I would like to remind them common sense is still an option.


18 posted on 04/28/2008 4:37:33 AM PDT by reasonisfaith (The only way for honorable people to be liberal is to have no idea what conservatism is.)
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To: Dawnsblood
"Inflation" is usually caused by too much money "chasing" too little product, in effect causing a "bidding war" by consumers. On the other hand, saying that price increases aren't caused by increased cost of production and distribution is ludicrous bordering on the level of liberal stupidity.

"Inflation" deals with prices in general, while what we're seeing is a combination of inflation (or more to the point, the drop in the value of our currency) AND the chain reaction of increased prices from outside sources forcing the prices of products up.

Think about it. We're dealing with a commodity that effects EVERY facet of our lives. Everybody is having to pay higher energy prices, and those increased costs are being added into every aspect of production and distribution of goods and services.

Mark

19 posted on 04/28/2008 4:43:17 AM PDT by MarkL
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To: reasonisfaith
You have no idea how much oil there is.

The more oil we use, the worse the withdrawal will be. Since we don't know exactly how much oil there is, it makes the point of no return impossible to figure out. Our addiction could allow us to pass this point even with all free-market forces in effect.

Natural fossil fuel WILL run out. It is limited and does not renew at even close to the level that we consume. It is only a question of when and how abrupt the end will be.

Continuing to base World economy on increasing fossil fuel production is suicide. Not using energy here while other nations do can also be suicide. There is no easy painless way out.

20 posted on 04/28/2008 4:43:25 AM PDT by varyouga ("Rove is some mysterious God of politics & mind control" - DU 10-24-06)
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To: Dawnsblood
Actually the problem is that the entire system is too small. There has not been enough investment in drilling, pipelines, tankers and refineries world wide.
21 posted on 04/28/2008 4:43:55 AM PDT by mad_as_he$$ (Sleep with one eye open, Gripping your pillow tight , Exit light , Enter night.......)
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To: ovrtaxt

...Don’t worry...our elected government officials and their families who own oil stocks will make sure they do everything to protect the interests of the consumer...including new drilling and and building new refineries. After all, the elected officials and family members who own oil stocks do not want Big Oil to make billions in profits so they can have much bigger dividend checks, and much greater valued stocks...They just want to make sure the US Citizens are being protected against manipulated gas prices at the pump...Yes, our elected government officials and families who own oils stocks are making sure they are taking care of themselves...I mean, trying to protect their electorate.


22 posted on 04/28/2008 4:50:18 AM PDT by never4get (We are all born ignorant, but one must work hard to remain stupid)
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To: varyouga

That’s nothing compared to the severity of withdrawal from socialism, which explains why people of apparent intelligence continue to inject themselves with “climate change” hysteria and other assorted opiates.


23 posted on 04/28/2008 4:53:39 AM PDT by reasonisfaith (Of foolishness and evil intent, only one can take the lead and socialists have no other choices.)
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To: varyouga

I am not sure of the veracity of the postulation by some scientists about a subject called “abiotic oil or Abiogenic petroleum”, but if they are right, we are not running out of oil as it is constantly being replenished by chemical processes deep within the earth. Google either term for more information on the subject.


24 posted on 04/28/2008 5:03:19 AM PDT by Surtur
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To: Jacquerie
I am continually amazed when “conservatives” who normally believe in free markets, turn into raging central command and control socialists when the subject is ethanol or oil/gasoline.

There is an equilibrium population and population density that the planet can sustain. Fossil fuels cause an unnatural brief population growth. This extra population will suffer once fossil fuels run out.

Fossil fuels are like socialism provided by the earth. Once they are gone, people born and raised because of fossil fuels will suffer. Just like the generations of people on welfare suddenly not being able to feed themselves with their checks.

I don't advocate gov't control. Socialism will INCREASE the hurt by subsidizing oil. The free market is our best hope but I am not sure if it will kick in before the point of no return. Socialism and energy subsidies in other nations are not helping.

25 posted on 04/28/2008 5:09:09 AM PDT by varyouga ("Rove is some mysterious God of politics & mind control" - DU 10-24-06)
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To: reasonisfaith

Socialism will make it even worse. Read my post before this.

The free market is our best hope but I don’t think it will help without a change in attitude. Shortsightedness, misconception and addiction upset the free market and I believe our current energy use is driven heavily by all 3.


26 posted on 04/28/2008 5:27:16 AM PDT by varyouga ("Rove is some mysterious God of politics & mind control" - DU 10-24-06)
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To: Surtur

That process is real but it does not replenish fuels at even close to the rate we burn. You will never find any regenerated coal or oil fields.

The deposits on land today were created by this process. Earth was a hot water planet and it took millions of years. We have burned most of that in a few hundred years and demand is increasing exponentially. The end result will always be a gradual decline to zero production.


27 posted on 04/28/2008 5:39:31 AM PDT by varyouga ("Rove is some mysterious God of politics & mind control" - DU 10-24-06)
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To: varyouga
Fossil fuels are like socialism provided by the earth. Once they are gone, people born and raised because of fossil fuels will suffer. Just like the generations of people on welfare suddenly not being able to feed themselves with their checks.

Spoken as if you know what you're talking about. ASSuming for the moment that oil will actually run out, which it won't, we have hundreds of years worth of oil known and found. That gives us CENTURIES to develop more energy sources.

Oil, is cooked down from all things on the earth. Not just fossils of dinosaurs. Raw materials + heat + pressure = oil production. Which is exactly what happens in the Earth's crust. Constant cooking of new oil.

I read some time back where a plant was taking turkey guts and cooking it down into usable fuel. They could also cook down any garbage into fuel by adjusting the recipe of heat and pressure. I like this idea for dealing with with landfills.

28 posted on 04/28/2008 5:48:36 AM PDT by Big Giant Head (I should change my tagline to "Big Giant penguin on my Head")
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To: varyouga

The degree of uncertainty regarding the nature of the “equilibrium population and population density that the planet can sustain” and the point, if it exists, that “Oil, Coal and every other non-renewable ground resource will run out” is astronomical.

Thus, you are basing your reasoning on astronomical uncertainty.

So it is with great intensity that I question your assertion that we need to wean ourselves from fossil fuels “as soon as possible.”


29 posted on 04/28/2008 5:49:29 AM PDT by reasonisfaith (Of foolishness and evil intent, only one can take the lead and socialists have no other choices.)
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To: reasonisfaith

If you take something finite and burn it, it will run out. The more we produce, the more population there will be to increase demand. The only question is when it will run out. Thinking that fuels are an infinite resource is willful ignorance.

The earth can only sustain a certain population density. Dense cities cannot grow enough food, house that many people or have enough fresh clean water naturally. It is all artificially created through burning fossil fuels. Placing more of the world’s population under this dependence is suicide. The more we produce and burn, the greater this dependence will be before we run out.

It is better to reduce dependence early than to hit the silent point of no return. Doing it early would cause a few inconveniences but doing it too late would be catastrophic.

If I we underestimate supply, people may have to do a few unnecessary things and pay more for energy but it doesn’t compare to what would happen if we overestimate.


30 posted on 04/28/2008 6:44:03 AM PDT by varyouga ("Rove is some mysterious God of politics & mind control" - DU 10-24-06)
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To: never4get
Yes, our elected government officials and families who own oils stocks are making sure they are taking care of themselves...

LOL! Exactly.

The question isn't why we aren't drilling for oil, it's who will get the $$$$ for drilling the oil.

You can bet it won't be the current 'elected government officials and families who own oils stocks '.

It wouldn't surprise me to discover that these elected officials are actually behind the 'green movement', in order to keep those oil stocks high!

and the useful idiots march right along!

31 posted on 04/28/2008 6:44:16 AM PDT by MamaTexan (**A 'Person' created by Nature is a sovereign / A 'person' as created by law is a subject**)
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To: Dawnsblood

It’s a myth that the world’s oil is running out .................. NO, Its more like a “Broken Record” that keeps playing.


32 posted on 04/28/2008 7:04:22 AM PDT by Bringbackthedraft ( Clinton/Obama .. Obama/ Clinton ... Mc Cain/Obama .. Mc Cain/Clinton ... What a Choice!? Puleeeze!)
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To: ripley

just like gorebull warming- create a myth and then exploit it to raise taxes.


33 posted on 04/28/2008 9:38:59 AM PDT by WOBBLY BOB (Conservatives are to McCain what Charlie Brown is to Lucy.)
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To: NoLibZone

They have already been developed. Nuclear energy and coal. Alternative boondoggles like wind and solar power, at this time, are just a waste of money and time.

What we need is now is an intelligent congress with some common sense. Government is the problem.


34 posted on 04/28/2008 11:31:01 AM PDT by mulligan
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To: Dawnsblood

Oil running out is a strawman.

Cheap oil running out is reality.


35 posted on 04/28/2008 11:32:53 AM PDT by RightWhale (Repeal the Law of the Excluded Middle)
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To: varyouga; Surtur
You will never find any regenerated coal or oil fields.

The deposits on land today were created by this process. Earth was a hot water planet and it took millions of years. We have burned most of that in a few hundred years and demand is increasing exponentially. The end result will always be a gradual decline to zero production

Amazing...simply amazing.../shaking head...

36 posted on 04/28/2008 8:53:55 PM PDT by Gilbo_3 (Choose Liberty over slavery... the gulag awaits ANY compromise with evil...LiveFReeOr Die...)
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