Poll: Democrat Ahead In Louisiana Special Election

tpmelectioncentral ^ | 05/01/08 | Eric Kleefeld

[TornadoAlley3]

Poll: Democrat Ahead In Louisiana Special Election A new SurveyUSA poll in Louisiana shows Democrats on track to win this Saturday's special election to fill the vacancy of former Rep. Richard Baker (R), who resigned in February to become a lobbyist.

The poll shows conservative Democrat Don Cazayoux with 50% support, with 41% for GOP candidate Woody Jenkins, a longtime controversial fixture in Louisiana politics.

This seat has not been held by a Democrat since the 1970s, and the district voted 59% for President Bush in 2004, so a Dem win here would be big news indeed.

[LadyNavyVet]

We had the same thing happen recently in a special election for the state legislature in Florida. The state GOP poured a bunch of money into it, and Crist even did some campaigning for the guy, but he still lost to the Dem by a fairly large margin in a solidly Republican district.

I have a friend in the state GOP, and they weren’t happy, to say the least.

[jmaroneps37]

When this guy turns into just another reliable liberal vote for plastic face to use to destroy America I hope these voters can connect the dots.
I am an optimistic person by nature, but yes this does look bad for the fall. The rat convention does, however, have the potential to bring down their whole ticket.

[bill1952]

why is THIS race a harbinger of things to come when the much more high profile Governors race was not?

Straw argument.
Losing a long held GOP seat is a bad sign no matter what other arguments you bring in.

Ping me after election day in November if I am all wrong.

[chimera]

If McCain campaigns poorly against a unified ‘Rat party, it will be a wipeout from top to bottom, with the government looking more like it did from ‘64 to ‘66 than anything else. If McCain turns out to run a strong campaign and manages to squeak in against a divided ‘Rat ticket, we may limit the damage, but we're still going to lose yardage in the Senate and the House, based on retirements and number of defended seats alone.

[Vio24]

You are wrong on every point and have no basis for anything you say except pure opinion and, I believe, a real desire to see the libs win.

You haven't a clue what McCain will have to say about immigration or anything else in the general; and you also have no isdea what the effect will be on the lib Party if and when Billary steals the nomination from Hussein. You seem to be saying that contrary to the Rep, the Dems have everything under control and all their chickens will magically come togetjher no matter what disasters await them at the convention.

You have been gloom and dooming all this board for months and frankly you haven't a shred of independent information to back up anything you say. I asked you weeks ago to post some links to sources you may have used to come to your conclusions but you ignored my request.

Personally I think you're a liberal.

[Vio24]

Straw argument? The Democrats have won 32 of the last 36 elections for this office and in one stretch held the office from 1877-1996.

Maybe you should do a bit of research before posting.

[kabar]

You haven't a clue what McCain will have to say about immigration or anything else in the general;

I spent four days each in SC and FL driving almost 2000 miles dogging the McCain campaign protesting against his amnesty bills. I have heard his stump speech over a dozen times. I have it almost memorized including the jokes. I know exactly what he has said and will say about immigration.

and you also have no isdea what the effect will be on the lib Party if and when Billary steals the nomination from Hussein.

First, that is not going to happen. But if it did, judging by the statements of people like Sharpton, the black turnout will be depressed. A significant portion of Obama's base would consider that the nomination was stolen from the black guy who won the most delegates thru the ballot box.

You seem to be saying that contrary to the Rep, the Dems have everything under control and all their chickens will magically come togetjher no matter what disasters await them at the convention.<

You heard it here first. Hillary will drop out prior to the convention. Pelosi, Reoid, Dean, et. al. will make her an offer she can't refuse, i.e., she will be told that they have polled the superdelegates and she doesn't can't win.

You have been gloom and dooming all this board for months and frankly you haven't a shred of independent information to back up anything you say. I asked you weeks ago to post some links to sources you may have used to come to your conclusions but you ignored my request.

I have no idea what you are referring to. What specific "conclusions" are you referring to?

Personally I think you're a liberal.

I attend CPAC regularly, including the past two years. I am a Rep delegate to the VA state convention. I have been a Rep poll watcher and worked as a Rep volunteer at the 2004 Inaugural Ball. I am a staunch conservative and I will not vote for McCain under any circumstances. I will not be complict in voting for someone whose policies will destroy this country. I will vote my usual straight GOP ticket and leave the office of President blank. My wife and daughter are doing the same thing.

[bill1952]

Maybe you should do some research in logical thought before posting a posit that a GOP loss is inconsequential to the November 08 results and outcome.

You sound like a liberal loon.
This is very bad and the GOP is in for a crushing defeat this year.