Polls: Race tightening in North Carolina

CNNPolitics.Com ^ | May 4, 2008 | CNN

[F15Eagle]

(CNN) — It appears the battle for the Democratic presidential nomination is tightening up in North Carolina.

A new CNN poll of polls released Sunday suggests Senator Barack Obama, D-Illinois, has the support of 50 percent of likely Democratic primary voters in North Carolina, with 42 percent backing Senator Hillary Clinton, D-New York, and 8 percent still undecided.

This eight point Obama margin is down from a nine point lead Obama held in Saturday’s CNN poll of polls and down from his recent double digit lead in the state.

[F15Eagle]

Just testing to see if this thread survived ... LOL

[MinorityRepublican]

I’ve had problems with my thread too. Seems like FR is going through some bugs.

[The_Republican]

Her WRight Bump is gone. In National Polls he has bounced back and in Indiana as well. In a day or two he has made up 5-10 point dip. In Zogbee polls, he is now leading by 2 points. With strong enough turnout and the fact that he has some momentum in his direction, there is a good chance Hildabeast is taken down in Indiana and this sham of a race comes to end.

[Kackikat]

I’m praying he doesn’t get NC, but some real bobbleheads here.

[F15Eagle]

Indiana will be closer but the numbers do give him an advantage in North Carolina.

[F15Eagle]

BARACK OBAMA - FREE INTERNET VIDEO

Obama’s Pastor Celebrates 9/11 (explicit)
Only 5 Days After 3,000 Americans Killed

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wzhl-endvco

Jeremiah Wright Says America Deserved 9/11

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l9HUdF9OZa8

Obama: Bitter Americans Cling to Guns and Religion

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HNJAl8a3d9Q

Meet Barack Hussein Obama

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=onOYL2ZG7fk

Gaza Strip Palestinians Campaigning for Obama

http://youtube.com/watch?v=21YF7ggCG6g

Obama’s Racially-Divisive Pastor

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VUbUBTlmAiA

Obama Disrespecting U.S. Flag and Anthem

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N8QCkgg5Kjo

Summing up Barack Obama

http://www.primetimepolitics.com/primetime/site/video/summing_up_obama/

The Audacity of Barack Obama

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QwjnT4eJJvs

The Audacity of Barack Obama 2

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VeC8BE-2T_k

Is Obama Wright? - Pastor Wright & Senator Obama

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=72B3tUAqpo4

Obama’s Pastor - 9/11 Fault of Israel Association

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FnI431s1r6s

Obama - Cult of Personality

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nP7lUGn7HWk

Name Obama’s Accomplishments if you can #1

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PGeu_4Ekx-o

Name Obama’s Accomplishments if you can #2

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PzFOOcEQtP0

Barack Obama: There Will Be Bamboozling

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YuB_W8o_UsU

The Two Things Senator Obama Accomplished

http://www.floppingaces.net/2008/02/27/obamas-empty-change-message/

The Jeremiah Wright Lifetime Achievement Award

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Prhnc2fxAzg

Barack Obama Doesn’t Want His Daughters ‘Punished’ With a Baby

http://youtube.com/watch?v=eNzmly28Bmg

[F15Eagle]

Yeah I don’t know about that one. I think he might not get Indiana but North Carolina will be a tougher battle I think.

We’re gonna find out in a couple days .... so here we go

[Kackikat]

I sent you a post on S243, and that’s another prayer.
Praying for NC.

[F15Eagle]

Praying for NC.

Good idea ...

[Vigilanteman]

Even under most Hillary optimistic scenarios, Osama Obama will go into the convention with a lead in pledged delegates, although trailing Hillary in total votes.

I've done an analysis on the remaining primaries and current trends. If Obama narrowly wins North Carolina (52%), Oregon (55%), Montana (55%) and South Dakota (55%) and Hillary wins Indiana (58%), West Virginia (61%), Kentucky (59%) and Puerto Rico (61%), she is still going to end up with about 95 delegates less than Obama, but she will be about 70,000 popular votes ahead, counting both primary and caucus, but not counting Michigan and Florida, which would broaden her margin.

Accordingly, she is going to go to the convention with a strong argument to take the nomination despite trailing in delegates. I will e-mail my Excel spreadsheet to anybody who freepmails me with a request and a valid e-mail address.

[F15Eagle]

What’s her popular vote counting Michigan and Florida? No doubt she’ll use that to prove she’s more electable than Obama.

Oy what a year when we have to fight to minimize the damage to our country.

[hotshu]

I totally buy into the purpose of OC, but after watching Barry on MTP, I’m convinced this guy is truly an empty suit.

The only suit emptier is that which is occupied by the “pubbie” nominee.

The only hope for our nation is for McCain to choose a truly conservative running mate, win the November election, then have to resign prior to or shortly after taking the oath of office.

Any other result leaves our Nation in a peril which we, as a Nation, have never witnessed. By God’s grace, and the dedication of her patriots, our nation will survive.

[Vigilanteman]

She had a margin of 295,000 votes in Florida and 90,000 votes in Michigan over "unpledged" as Obama was not on the ballot.

This is another reason why I don't think Operation Chaos should be helping Hillary. The fact that Hillary is not quite as dedicated of a Marxist as Obama is more than offset by the experience and corruption of the Clinton machine to enforce their hare-brained schemes.

[F15Eagle]

So it could be about 455,000 total (70 + 295 + 90 thou).

It’s a long way to November and I just hope Obama doesn’t get in by default. Your points to have validity of course. I’ve just never seen mooselimb terrorists rooting and campaigning for an American Presidential candidate.

Thanks

[Lumper20]

I agree. Looks like some here watch Communist News Network.

Try a satelite TV system, or better yet, DX the media entirely.

[The_Republican]

I don’t think she can net 61 delegates from now till June 3rd, for cutting down the deficit to 95.

At best she can net 10-15 delegates and would have at least 140 pledge delegate deficit.

Even if they seat the FL and MI delegates, she would still not come with in 100 delegates.

That’s not a miniscule lead but a GIGANTIC lead. 100 Delegate deficit means, 10 Pennsylvanias.

Second, she needs to overcome 611K lead (not including FL and MI).

Puerto Rico maybe her savior in that regard. Other States are not that much vote rich.

I think without FL, she doesn’t even have a PRAYER to take vote lead. With FL, she could come close.

INDIANA is the key.

If Obama wins - its over for her.

If its 51-48, and Obama loses, which is what I expect, ITS STIL OVER for her.

She better have her thugs stuff the ballots and squeeze out 100K net lead in Indiana, or she is dead.

[Vigilanteman]

As I said, my analysis is based on an optimistic outcome for Hillary coming off her solid win in Pennsylvania. The calculus will probably change again after Tuesday night.

The Democrats richly deserve Obama as their nominee since race trumpts gender in the cult of victimhood. They also richly deserve Hillary as no. 2 on the ticket. Can you imagine how well Obama will sleep with a power-hungry Clinton just a heartbeat away?

[The_Republican]

If Jeremiah Wright had not decided to kill Obama, this would not have been a close race or race at all. You would have seen the entire Klionton camp with long faces, and general topic of discussion would have been whether she would still continue the campaign when its clear its over.

Demographics have dominated the Dem Nomination Race.

In State like Pennsylvania, which was taylor made for Hillary and where the Elitist Gate, Wright Gate and Bowling Gate hurt him late and Hillary had Home-State Card, along with Gun toting and shots in the Bar, and all she managed was 9.6% win with 11 delegates netted.

In Indiana, Obama has his neighborhood card, and Jeremiah Gate II is already slipping from voters’ consciiousness, despite Medias best effort to keep that from happenning. Hoosiers are younger as well and Bitter Gate has lost its value at this time (It could be revived later but its not being discussed in context of Jeremiah Wright).

Also, in Ohio and Pennsylvania, Obama started out, 20 point underdog for months. Even when he had 11 straight victories, Texas, Ohio and Pennsylvania were considered her Firewall States. However, in Indiana, he was acutally LEADING before Jeremiah Wright decided to address the National Press Club.

In ohter words, Demographics and dynamics in Indiana are by NO MEANS like those in Ohio and Pennsylvania, no matter how bad Hillary Fans want to believe that.

Obama will not lose Indiana by more than 4 points.

That should take away all possibility of losing Popular vote lead and thus end of Hillary Klinton.

[Uncle Miltie]

Always drive a stake through the heart of the witch. Always.