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For Two Primaries, Several Scenarios
NYT ^ | May 6, 2008 | ADAM NAGOURNEY

Posted on 05/05/2008 9:40:13 PM PDT by The_Republican

It’s almost over.

Well, not quite. But the Democratic presidential primaries taking place on Tuesday in North Carolina and Indiana have more delegates up for grabs than any of the remaining contests. For political, demographic and mathematical reasons, those states have the potential to reshape the competition between Senators Hillary Rodham Clinton and Barack Obama.

It will be an opportunity for Mrs. Clinton to make the case that Democratic sentiment is swinging in her favor, and to slice into Mr. Obama’s lead in pledged delegates and in the popular vote (putting aside the disputed contests in Florida and Michigan). For Mr. Obama, it is a chance to tamp down talk that Mrs. Clinton has exposed him as a flawed general election candidate.

You can tell where Mrs. Clinton and Mr. Obama think they have their best shot by where they will be on Tuesday night: Mrs. Clinton has a hotel ballroom in Indianapolis, and Mr. Obama, after some last-minute debate, finally decided on a rally at a coliseum in Raleigh, N.C. But to say that both sides are anxious would be an understatement, and with that in mind, here are three possible outcomes to watch for Tuesday, in no particular order: Mrs. Clinton wins both states, Mr. Obama does, or they split:

1) Mrs. Clinton wins Indiana and North Carolina.

Given the obstacles that face her, a sweep by Mrs. Clinton on Tuesday is one outcome that could, to borrow a phrase from Mr. Obama, change the world, or at least begin to.

“That’s a sign that she is gaining momentum in the race,” said Ron Klain, a Democratic consultant who has not taken sides. How much such a result would change the race would depend on the contours of her victories.

(Excerpt) Read more at nytimes.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: primaries

1 posted on 05/05/2008 9:40:13 PM PDT by The_Republican
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To: The_Republican
If Mr. Obama loses in Indiana because of white blue-collar support for Mrs. Clinton it would be the third time in a row, after Ohio and Pennsylvania, that he has lost a big state because of an inability to win over enough of those kinds of voters.

And what has BHO ever done to win the support or trust of white blue-collar voters? He never represented them, he never saw them in church, he never went to school with them and they surely were never the Obamas' personal friends that honor is reserved for anti-American black separatists and un-repentant 1960s white terrorists.

2 posted on 05/05/2008 10:45:53 PM PDT by Mike Darancette (Obama: America is the greatest country on the earth, Help me bring change.)
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To: The_Republican

Has she got what it takes to be a ‘comeback kid’? She assured us that she is a fighter on the Oreilly interview- but she wore pink, something difficult to assign to fighting. Heck, I don’t think you could provoke a stupid bull with pink. A gay bull, maybe.


3 posted on 05/05/2008 10:58:58 PM PDT by budwiesest ("Next penguin craps on my jet is gonna get it"..A. Gore)
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To: The_Republican
It will be an opportunity for Mrs. Clinton to make the case that Democratic sentiment is swinging in her favor

At least Rush Limbaugh's is.

Put her down now!

4 posted on 05/06/2008 3:18:24 AM PDT by Caipirabob (Communists... Socialists... Democrats...Traitors... Who can tell the difference?)
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To: Mike Darancette

It’s a democratic primary, and she is white and he is black. That’s really all you need to know about why the white blue-collar workers will vote for her.


5 posted on 05/06/2008 5:41:54 AM PDT by CharlesWayneCT
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