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A Limbaugh Analysis of Oil Prices (Economics 101)
Rush Limbaugh ^ | May 8, 2008 | Rush Limbaugh

Posted on 05/09/2008 5:54:20 AM PDT by yoe

RUSH: Snerdley says we have a lot of people calling about oil today. I'm getting e-mails about this, too, and there obviously is some kind of campaign out there to have oil discussed. You know, the story out there past couple of days is "experts" say that the barrel price of oil will soon hit $200 -- and this is roiling the markets, they say. Now, I want you to stop and think about something, folks. If $200-a-barrel oil leads to the pump price of $10 a gallon at the gasoline pump, let me just ask you a simple question. Will the market support that? Will it?

Are you asking yourself at this point in your life, are you saying, "Okay, gasoline where I'm buying it is $4.50, $4.25." Maybe it's three dollars in some places if you're using regular. But are you asking yourself, are you telling yourself, "There is a price per gallon I'm just not going to buy it, or I'm going to really change the way I live." If it hasn't caused you to change yet, if it hasn't caused you to make changes -- I know some people it has forced them to make decisions where they spend other dollars. But for those of you not affected by it yet profoundly, is there a price where you're just going to say, "All right, bare minimum or I'm going to use mass transit," where you're just not going to buy it? You may not have thought about it specifically and consciously but in your head, there is a price at which point you're not going to pay it, because you can't. You just won't be able to.

(Excerpt) Read more at rushlimbaugh.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: deenergycrats; energy; environmentalists; gasoline; moratorium; oil
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
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Shedding light on the real problem:

Back in 1982, according to the Energy Information Agency, Congress enacted a moratorium on oil and gas drilling off the coast of Northern California. In 1990, President George H.W. Bush ordered the Department of Interior not to allow any new drilling off virtually all the rest of the East and West coasts until 2000. Some drilling was still allowed in the Gulf of Mexico, but not off the coast of Florida. In 1998, President Clinton ordered that President Bush's moratorium be continued until 2012.

Many Republicans in Congress want to lift this moratorium. House Resources Chairman Richard Pombo (R.-Calif.) is pushing legislation that would allow each state to decide individually if it wants drilling off its shores. But congressional Democrats, led by liberal House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi (D.-Calif.), are adamantly opposed to developing our domestic oil supplies to counter escalating gasoline prices.

Call your elected and demand the moratorium be lifted NOW.

1 posted on 05/09/2008 5:54:21 AM PDT by yoe
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To: yoe

bttt


2 posted on 05/09/2008 6:01:43 AM PDT by netmilsmom (I am very mad at Disney. Give me my James Marsden song!!!!!)
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To: yoe
What good will it do?

Did you see Senior' Juan McCain on O'Rilley last night? He exnayed ANWR again.

He is willing to drill off shore and profit share with the states, what is that Socialism Lite? This is a mature industry where large sums of capital are needed for the risk involved in drilling for harder to find oil, and he wants to give some of the bounty to states that have no tract record of fiscal control?

We here in the freep have more common sense and vision of the potential short, mid-range, and long range solutions to the energy issues facing us and all of the current 3 candidates combined.

3 posted on 05/09/2008 6:07:11 AM PDT by taildragger (The Answer is Fred Thompson, I do not care what the question is.....)
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To: yoe

The Rats and the enviromentalist are running our energy policy.


4 posted on 05/09/2008 6:09:41 AM PDT by Piquaboy (22 year veteran of the Army, Air Force and Navy, Pray for all our military .)
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To: yoe

Price go up, demand go down.

Supply go up, price go down.

ceteris paribus


5 posted on 05/09/2008 6:11:29 AM PDT by period end of story
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To: yoe
Rush is great on many things but economics isn't one of them. Anyone who discusses the increasing price of gasoline and leaves the declining value of the dollar out of his analysis simply doesn't understand what is going on here.

ML/NJ

6 posted on 05/09/2008 6:18:56 AM PDT by ml/nj
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To: taildragger
We here in the freep have more common sense and vision of the potential short, mid-range, and long range solutions to the energy issues facing us and all of the current 3 candidates combined.

Then the entire current political class. Drill for oil everywhere, use the purchasing power of the US Govt (i.e the Post office) to buy alternative fueled vehicles to fund the development of the infrastructure and technology to make alternative fueled vehicles cost effective for average Americans. Build Nuke Plants. Build Coal Gasification plants, give tax breaks to companies that move their facilities to alternative fuels etc etc etc

All the sorts of things we could be doing while the political class repeats the same lame brained useless nonsense they have been spewing for the last 30 years "Investigate the Oil companies, turn down the thermostat, wear a sweater, ride the bus"

7 posted on 05/09/2008 6:21:05 AM PDT by MNJohnnie (http://www.iraqvetsforcongress.com ---- Get involved, make a difference.)
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To: Piquaboy
Makes you wonder how much Arab oil money is being slipped via proxies to the US-European Envior wacko groups. Those groups are the best allies OPEC have. They continually use judicial terrorism and political influence buying to keep us wholly deponent on OPEC for oil. They are the Oil thugs best allies.
8 posted on 05/09/2008 6:23:10 AM PDT by MNJohnnie (http://www.iraqvetsforcongress.com ---- Get involved, make a difference.)
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To: yoe
In 1998, President Clinton ordered that President Bush's moratorium be continued until 2012.

Can't a presidential order be overturned by a presidential order?
Where's the current President Bush on this?
(rhetorical question, I know...)

9 posted on 05/09/2008 6:23:42 AM PDT by frankenMonkey (101st Airborne Army Dad)
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To: taildragger
Did you see Senior' Juan McCain on O'Rilley last night? He exnayed ANWR again.

McCain is simply afraid to upset the Green Lobby during this election cycle. Our best hope is that he will do a George Bush act if elected - that is he will pay lip service to them but sit on his hands when it comes to actually doing anything really damaging.

Of course ANWR is lost no matter what. I don't see him reversing that one. Stopping ANWR drilling is the first article of the Greenie Constitution. They won. The American people lost.

10 posted on 05/09/2008 6:24:17 AM PDT by InterceptPoint
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To: period end of story

The problem is that the supply IS up. There is no shortage. The real story is that there is a deliberate withholding and reduction of supply. The U.S. has not built a new refinery in decades. Who is really to blame?


11 posted on 05/09/2008 6:25:36 AM PDT by TommyDale (I) (Never forget the Republicans who voted for illegal immigrant amnesty in 2007!)
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To: ml/nj
Anyone who discusses the increasing price of gasoline and leaves the declining value of the dollar

Would you explain the relationship please?

12 posted on 05/09/2008 6:26:20 AM PDT by MNJohnnie (http://www.iraqvetsforcongress.com ---- Get involved, make a difference.)
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To: yoe

the price of oil is rising as fast as

rush limbama’s ego.


13 posted on 05/09/2008 6:26:23 AM PDT by ken21 ( people die + you never hear from them again.)
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To: yoe; M. Espinola; Calpernia; Travis McGee
Oil is now obsolete as a fuel source. Did you listen to Coast to Coast AM last night__________?

Millions did: 8,000,000 to 10,000,000 people were listening last evening. The guests were on for three hours. They will be back again. Callers knew about it. Seems like everybody knows about it. Even Jay Leno talked about it last week. This new technology is real. It works. Also works best on older cars than brand new autos. It has been around for over twenty years but the oil companies keep paying millions to keep people silent. It's too late now. The cat is out of the bag.

Time to wake up and smell the coffee. Check my freeper page

14 posted on 05/09/2008 6:29:08 AM PDT by ex-Texan (Matthew 7: 1 - 6)
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To: taildragger

I saw McLame say that too (about refusing to drill in ANWR)

He tried to use the excuse that he also would not drill in the grand canyon or other natural wonders, (as if a wilderness in alaska is the same as the grand canyon) or other ‘pristine’ areas (which eliminates ANYthing new..)

grrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrr


15 posted on 05/09/2008 6:31:07 AM PDT by Mr. K (Some days even my lucky rocketship underpants don't help)
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To: yoe

Gas will hit $4.00 this weekend. The media are eagerly waiting, so they can plaster it all over TV and newspapers, to make sure that everyone thinks that Bush is responsible for it and that they should vote for Obama.


16 posted on 05/09/2008 6:32:15 AM PDT by Leftism is Mentally Deranged
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To: ex-Texan
but the oil companies keep paying millions to keep people silent

That is hysterical. Tell me how the oil companies control the manufacturing of automobiles in Russia and China as well.

Brown's Gas is real enough. But also real is the fact the electrolysis of water requires more energy than contained in the Hydrogen produced. If this were not so, you could condense the water vapor produced in its combustion and build a perpetual motion machine.

17 posted on 05/09/2008 6:34:39 AM PDT by thackney (life is fragile, handle with prayer)
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To: period end of story
Price go up, demand go down. Supply go up, price go down

Our demand may go down but China and India's demand is growing exponetiantly which negates the supply demand. China is adding a million cars a year to their roads.

I think prices may lower some by the end of the year but they will be higher than they are this time next year.

We need a fuel R&D program akin the to moon program in the 60's.

18 posted on 05/09/2008 6:40:15 AM PDT by am452 (In order to ensure the quality of your patriotism, your conversation may be monitored.)
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To: yoe
Rush Limbaugh has his niche, he ought to stick to it. Whenever he goes off on a tangent to bloviate about things he only has a vague idea about, someone needs to steer him back into his groove of self-absorbed rhetoric.

Photobucket

19 posted on 05/09/2008 6:41:10 AM PDT by arbooz ("Government is actually the worst failure of civilized man." H.L.Mencken)
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To: yoe

Yea, call up the ‘Rat that replaced Pombo, he and the others who garnered their current majority will be all over doing something right like this.../sarc


20 posted on 05/09/2008 6:47:20 AM PDT by Axenolith (Brother, Can you spare a tagline?)
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To: Leftism is Mentally Deranged
I sent a series of letters to our POTUS on a daily basis. Not all of them are the same, but the generic letter has been:

========================================================

<<"18-JAN-2008

Dear Mr. President,

Please take URGENT ACTION TODAY to stop the Country from falling into the Global Recession that is rapidly falling upon us.

The good news is that the USA Congress and your Administration is the cause of this Recession so that swift Actions on your part can avert it. We need the strong actions of ONE PERSON and you are that Person.

The Fastest and most Direct way to get money into the hands of the consumers and to avert the Recession is to:

1) Immediately demand release of Oil from the National Oil Reserve. This is the exact type of situation for which this reserve is intended.

2) Immediately demand that your previous actions and those of Congress to stop our drilling in Alaska and on any other Federal Lands and Off Shore be reversed, effective immediately and for a minimum of 20 years.

No other actions to mail out checks or Tax Rebates could possibly be as effective for getting meaningful money to your Citizens, plus the cost will be not added to the Deficit.

We look forward to hearing you speak today and we look forward to hearing a Real Plan to get this Country and the Global Economy back on track.

Sincerely, ">>

=====================================================

In reality, George W. Bush has been paying off his political supporters in the Oil Industry by his 2007 State of the Union Speech announcement that he was going to expand the National Petroleum Reserve from 750 million barrels to 1.5 Billion Barrels, and he was going to start competing with us on the World Energy Market to do it. Check what he has done to the price of Oil since April 2007.

And they wonder why the GOP volunteers and donations have dried up.

RamS
21 posted on 05/09/2008 6:50:05 AM PDT by RamingtonStall (More Guns ==> Less Crime! Get your CHL today! http://www.ohioccw.org/)
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To: Axenolith
John McCain said on O’Reiley that he will not drill in anwar!!!!!!!!!He is a no hoper
22 posted on 05/09/2008 6:51:32 AM PDT by Hojczyk
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To: RamingtonStall

..Oh com’on Ramingtonstall, the dems, repubs in the senate/congress, and their families, the President, many of whom own oil stocks and love the increased values and high dividend pay outs, will make sure that the industry they are there to regulate will drill more, will build more refineries....Our elected officials and families who are swimming in the stock profits, dividends, special interests will make sure to protect the electorate interests and work with the oil companies to produce and refine more oil so prices can drop.....Yes, I am positive they will do that. How can you be soooo negative?


23 posted on 05/09/2008 6:56:03 AM PDT by never4get (We are all born ignorant, but one must work hard to remain stupid)
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To: thackney
Bovine Squat ! The system works on normal 12 volt auto electrical systems. You are reciting the same old oil company drivel that got us into this situation.

Exxon killed the electric car, too. They paid off General Motors. Visit Amazon.com. They have a DVD that tells all about it: "Who Killed the Electric Car?"

24 posted on 05/09/2008 6:56:16 AM PDT by ex-Texan (Matthew 7: 1 - 6)
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To: MNJohnnie
This work for you? Most of the increase in oil is directly related to the decline in the dollar since the turn of the century. The "pain" is related to the fact that ones income doesn't keep up with the rate the government prints the units...
25 posted on 05/09/2008 7:02:49 AM PDT by Axenolith (Brother, Can you spare a tagline?)
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To: MNJohnnie
All the sorts of things we could be doing while the political class repeats the same lame brained useless nonsense they have been spewing for the last 30 years "Investigate the Oil companies, turn down the thermostat, wear a sweater, ride the bus"

You forgot "Save the Planet" BS otherwise you're right on target.

26 posted on 05/09/2008 7:03:42 AM PDT by yoe ( Socialism with Obama or Clinton - Democracy with McCain)
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To: never4get

I just don’t know what gets into me to make me be so negative. Thank you for your positive words.

In my other letters, I have reminded President Bush of my wife and myself participating in the 72 hour pre-election weekend push in Ohio in 2004, acting as GOP poll Observers on Election day at 2 different polls in Columbus, OH, etc. But, that was when I was young (under 60) and naive (stupid). Now, I have learned.

RamS


27 posted on 05/09/2008 7:08:59 AM PDT by RamingtonStall (More Guns ==> Less Crime! Get your CHL today! http://www.ohioccw.org/)
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To: MNJohnnie
Would you explain the relationship [between the declining value of the dollar and the increasing price of gasoline] please?

Gas cost a quarter when I started driving. It was a real quarter dollar. (A dollar is an amount of silver, not a piece of paper with a picture of a dead politician on it.) The government started counterfeiting quarters in 1965. The real quarters go for something over three bucks apiece now. What else could a real quarter buy back in 1964? It could buy five copies of the weekday NY Times. Now those five copies cost $6.25. A quarter could also pay for a bridge crossing (Whitestone, Throgs Neck) to Long Island. Now it costs $5.00 to cross those bridges. A coke at a baseball game was also a quarter. Now I doubt you could buy a coke at a ballpark for less than you would pay for a gallon of gas. The house I lived in was sold in 1967 for $36,500. Recently similar lots (i.e. purchase of the house for teardown) in that community have sold for $1.1 million.

So the argument could be made that gas is historically cheap. The only problem is that it was even cheaper historically two or three years ago, and that's what people are comparing today's price to. But gasoline is still one of the cheapest things you can buy.

ML/NJ

28 posted on 05/09/2008 7:11:45 AM PDT by ml/nj
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To: InterceptPoint
McCain understands that congress is controlled by democrats either as a majority or can filibuster any legislation to open up ANWAR. The best hope is to get a republican president and a filibuster proof republican congress and senate. Until this happens there will be no progress towards energy independence in this country.

I had to stop watching Bill O’Reilly because he demonizes the petroleum industry every chance he gets.

29 posted on 05/09/2008 7:16:06 AM PDT by txoilman
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To: Axenolith; ml/nj

Thank you


30 posted on 05/09/2008 7:17:31 AM PDT by MNJohnnie (http://www.iraqvetsforcongress.com ---- Get involved, make a difference.)
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To: ml/nj

At $7.00/bottle for beer at the Cincinnati Reds Great American Baseball Park, $74.67/Gallon, it seems that people have no trouble with higher prices than the $4.00/gallon of Gasoline.

RamS


31 posted on 05/09/2008 7:20:15 AM PDT by RamingtonStall (More Guns ==> Less Crime! Get your CHL today! http://www.ohioccw.org/)
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To: MNJohnnie; ml/nj
Oil is a commodity just like gold.  As the Federal Reserve continues to make more dollars available to bail out banks and other spending, you can see the relationship between more dollars and commodities.  In a word, the Fed is causing inflation.   (Despite whatever you hear from talking heads on economic shows, only the Fed can cause inflation)

For example, let's say you could purchase 10 barrels of oil with an ounce of gold 20 years ago.  Imagine that today you could purchase 10 barrels of oil with an ounce of gold.

OK.  Now say that $500 to purchase 10 barrels of oil 20 years ago.  Now, because of the dramatic inflationary policies of the Fed the past few years (really since 9/11), it takes $1,000 to purchase 10 barrels of oil.

So you can see that commodity to commodity pricing remains consistent but because we can produce dollars much more quickly than we can mine gold, the result is higher prices for commodities.

Now, you may wonder why would a weak dollar (inflation) be a policy the Fed would follow since it causes so much economic strain?

There are two positives to a weak dollar.

1) Manufacturing in the US and selling to the rest of the world becomes profitable despite US employment rules and regulations.  The Europeans are reeling over this and Airbus is going bust because of it.  China is also getting squeezed since the Yuan should be valued even higher to the dollar.

2) Inflation allows the government to "paper over" the bank losses due to the mortgage defaults.  When the Fed opened the discount window to Investment Banks in addition to traditional banks, it was like Bernanke tossing thousand dollar bills from an open window 10 flights up; for a year!

Manufacturing really wont pick up in the US unless corporate chieftains believe that a weak dollar will be a consistent policy.  There's too much capital already invested in China.  Historically, America has never maintained a mercantilist trade policy.

The mortgage issue wont be going away anytime soon so expect more pain at the pump.

 

32 posted on 05/09/2008 7:24:05 AM PDT by Incorrigible (If I lead, follow me; If I pause, push me; If I retreat, kill me.)
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To: ex-Texan
Oil is now obsolete as a fuel source. Did you listen to Coast to Coast AM last night

Is this how Dallas Thompson will be powering his helicopter flight to the center of the earth, traveling through the hollow earth from pole to pole?

33 posted on 05/09/2008 7:25:55 AM PDT by Phantom Lord (Fall on to your knees for the Phantom Lord)
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To: txoilman
The best hope is to get a republican president and a filibuster proof republican congress and senate.

1) There is no fillibuster in the House.

2) A 60+ democrat seat Senate is a real possibilty. A 57 seat Senate with liberal republicans providing an additional 5 votes is an almost certainty.

34 posted on 05/09/2008 7:30:47 AM PDT by Phantom Lord (Fall on to your knees for the Phantom Lord)
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To: RamingtonStall
At $7.00/bottle for beer at the Cincinnati Reds Great American Baseball Park, $74.67/Gallon, it seems that people have no trouble with higher prices than the $4.00/gallon of Gasoline.

Its always a fun analogy, but let me know the next time you consume 15 gallons of bear in 2 days.

35 posted on 05/09/2008 7:31:43 AM PDT by Phantom Lord (Fall on to your knees for the Phantom Lord)
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To: Incorrigible
Oil is a commodity just like gold.

No it isn't. Oil was worthless 200 years ago. 200 years from now it might be worthless again. Gold has never been worthless. Gold is money. Oil is something that is consumed.

ML/NJ

36 posted on 05/09/2008 7:34:47 AM PDT by ml/nj
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To: Phantom Lord
Its always a fun analogy, but let me know the next time you consume 15 gallons of bear in 2 days.

I can't, but lots of people at the Ball Park seem to be trying.

RamS
37 posted on 05/09/2008 7:50:54 AM PDT by RamingtonStall (More Guns ==> Less Crime! Get your CHL today! http://www.ohioccw.org/)
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To: ex-Texan
The system works on normal 12 volt auto electrical systems.

Sure, you can use electrolysis to separate water into hydrogen and oxygen, no problem.

But you don't change the physical laws of the universe and generate more power into a system than you put into it, plus loss.

Visit Amazon.com. They have a DVD that tells all about it:

They sell lots of DVD's. Most of them are fiction. So is this one.

38 posted on 05/09/2008 7:51:14 AM PDT by thackney (life is fragile, handle with prayer)
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To: ex-Texan

You’re STILL on that?

Seesh, save yourself the humiliation in front af all us Freepers, hire an expert YOU trust. Let him show you how foolish that idea is.


39 posted on 05/09/2008 7:54:40 AM PDT by Balding_Eagle (OVERPRODUCTION......... one of the top five worries for American farmers.)
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To: ml/nj

LOL! I’m with you there Mr. Goldbug.

You caught me using talking head terminology and I am fairly chastened!


40 posted on 05/09/2008 7:55:04 AM PDT by Incorrigible (If I lead, follow me; If I pause, push me; If I retreat, kill me.)
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To: ex-Texan

You are right. Hang in there on this one.


41 posted on 05/09/2008 7:56:27 AM PDT by RightWhale (It's still unclear what impact global warming will have on vertical wind shear)
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To: arbooz

Good analysis.


42 posted on 05/09/2008 7:58:23 AM PDT by RightWhale (It's still unclear what impact global warming will have on vertical wind shear)
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To: RightWhale

Just like all those other Coast-to-Coast programs.


43 posted on 05/09/2008 7:58:49 AM PDT by thackney (life is fragile, handle with prayer)
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To: yoe
You may not have thought about it specifically and consciously but in your head, there is a price at which point you're not going to pay it, because you can't. You just won't be able to.

An awful lot of businesses in this country don't have that option - they have no choice but to raise prices on essential goods like, say, the food they deliver.

You may choose to stop paying for your own $10 per gallon gasoline, but you are going to be paying for somebody else's.

44 posted on 05/09/2008 8:02:23 AM PDT by Mr. Jeeves ("One man's 'magic' is another man's engineering. 'Supernatural' is a null word." -- Robert Heinlein)
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To: thackney

No, some Coast shows are nonsense and everybody knows it is just entertainment, others are for real although some listeners are skeptical.


45 posted on 05/09/2008 8:05:04 AM PDT by RightWhale (It's still unclear what impact global warming will have on vertical wind shear)
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To: ex-Texan
The Internet is filled with burn water for fuel scams and I've seen every variety the human mind could dream up with endless “testimonials from satisfied customers”. Lean the mixture with a little water vapor is the whole “new technology” that has been suppressed or bought up by the government, oil co.s or space aliens, whatever.
Maybe Jay Leno can pull out an old J.C. Whitney catalog and find some water vapor devices from thirty years ago, although a bit less complicated. And I bet he can't wait to put a few on his expensive toys.
46 posted on 05/09/2008 8:06:21 AM PDT by count-your-change (you don't have to be brilliant, not being stupid is enough.)
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To: yoe

I could giving up driving long before I could give up eating. The only reason that our country transformed from an agrarian society to an industrial society was the availability of cheap energy to grow, process and distribute food. 1% or 2% of our population now are farmers. Without abundant and cheap energy, they cannot feed us. What good will it do to pedal to the grocery store if there is no food there? And frankly, social turmoil of the starving masses would make the streets too dangerous to venture out. At some tipping point, high energy prices will destroy our economy and our country.


47 posted on 05/09/2008 8:09:27 AM PDT by TexasRepublic (When hopelessness replaces hope, it opens the door to evil.)
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To: yoe

Mass transit??? There is none in my town and not in most small towns.
We have no choice but to eliminate more and more nonessentials as the price goes up. And of course the rich are less effected.
At this rate they will be the only ones on the roads if something isn’t done.
But gee, we can all gaze in wonder at the pristiness of the Alaskan tundra. Although, we can really only imagine it since we can’t afford to see it for ourselves.


48 posted on 05/09/2008 8:12:40 AM PDT by jackv (DEMOCRATS HATE BUSH MORE THAN THEY LOVE THEIR COUNTRY!!!)
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To: RightWhale

Others still are nonsense and not everybody knows.

This is one of them. You do not generate more energy from a system than is put into a system.


49 posted on 05/09/2008 8:13:10 AM PDT by thackney (life is fragile, handle with prayer)
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To: InterceptPoint
IP...

Yes we all lost, however.

At some point people are going wake up and realize the likes of the "Sierra Club" have their rigid thumb-prints all over the lack of immediate, mid range, and long range solutions.

Case in point the Clinton's wanted to make a big bid for Nuclear power in the beginning of their term and the Sierra Club said if you do we pull are money from Democratic Candidates.

Sounds like a great reason to bring in the flax tax if you ask me, but I digress...

What are people going to do if and when they get hungry and are freezing because of all this?

50 posted on 05/09/2008 8:13:16 AM PDT by taildragger (The Answer is Fred Thompson, I do not care what the question is.....)
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