Posted on 05/15/2008 8:15:59 PM PDT by Red Steel
In Arkansas, John McCain leads Barack Obama by twenty-four percentage points. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the state shows McCain attracting 57% of the vote while Obama earns 33%.
McCain build this margin by winning 92% of the Republican vote, 38% support from Democrats, and leading Obama by twenty-four percentage points among unaffiliated voters.
McCain is viewed favorably by 57% of Arkansas voters, Obama by 38%.
In March, McCain had a twenty-nine percentage point lead over Obama.
Rasmussen Markets shows that Republicans are currently given a 73.0 % chance of winning the Six Electoral College Votes from Arkansas this fall. George W. Bush won the state by six percentage points in Election 2000 and by ten points in 2004. At the time this poll was released, Arkansas was rated as “Likely Republican" in the Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator.
Arkansas is one of the few states where Hillary Clinton could absolutely make the case that she is more electable. Clinton leads McCain by fourteen percentage points (53% to 39%). However, this is not enough to change the outcome of the Democratic Presidential Nomination process. As Rasmussen Reports noted last week, the Democratic race is effectively over and Obama will be the party’s nominee.
Forty-seven percent (47%) of Arkansas voters say that the economy is the top voting issue in Election 2008.
Most—54%--favor the federal gas tax holiday as proposed in slightly different forms by McCain and Clinton. Just 36% oppose that plan. Nationally, voters are evenly divided on the question.
Just 32% believe the federal government needs more revenue to fund important national programs. Nationally, that figure is 37%. In Arkansas, 57% say the federal government does not need any more money.
Sixty-eight percent (68%) of Arkansas voters are worried that the next President will raise taxes so much that it harms the economy. A separate survey recently found that 60% of voters nationwide believe that tax hikes are bad for the economy.
Thirty-one percent (31%) are worried that the next President will cut taxes so much that it harms important government programs.
By a 64% to 17% margin, Arkansas voters oppose an increase in the capital gains tax. Nationwide, 65% oppose a capital gains tax hike.
Forty-two percent (42%) of Arkansas voters own at least $5,000 worth of stocks, bonds, and mutual funds.
Four years ago, George W. Bush won 54% of the vote in Arkansas. Today, just half that number—27%--say he is doing a good or an excellent job. Fifty-five percent (55%) say the President is doing a poor job.
Sixty-three percent (63%) say Governor Mike Beebe is doing a good or excellent job while just 11% give him poor marks.
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Based on this poll, there’s no need to choose Mike Huckabee as the running mate.
As a staunch anti-Klintoon person (I had a dream the movie “The Devils Advocate” was about Bill) I thought it was IMPOSSIBLE for the DNC to find somebody less appealing than Shrillery, but did they prove me wrong.
Amen...
No offense but I couldn’t give a rat’s tootsie which of the 3 dwarf’s is leading in any poll. When the reported choice is between “phony”, “bitchy”, and “elderly” I just get “cranky”, “dopey”, and “grouchy” .
“McCain build this margin by winning 92% of the Republican vote, 38% support from Democrats, and leading Obama by twenty-four percentage points among unaffiliated voters.”
Just FYI, this is why McCain is campaigning as he is...you have a state Bush won heavily in 04 and is in the dumps now.
And Freepers wonder why McCain is distancing himself from Bush?
Now, I don’t like him dissing W any more than anyone else...but first he has to defeat Neville Hobama...or it’s all academic.
Thirty-eight percent support from Democrats is huge.
So much for the ‘rats Southern Strategy.......
However, we gain nothing from a McCain win that is different from a Dim win.
McCamnesty needs to do something conservative before I decided he’s worth voting for. He can’t be strong on The War on Terror and be weak on immigration.
The 'rats Southern Strategy is aimed at Virginia and North Carolina, not the mid South.
VA and NC have large numbers of African Americans and upscale, over-educated whites, Obama's core constituency. The numbers aren't quite there, but Obama can almost win both states by getting 90%+ out of the Af-Am community and solidly winning NOVA and the Research Triangle respectively. He'll need another gimmick if the "Southern Strategy" is to actually work.
Now the Obama camp has talked about putting other states in the South in play, by relying on record African-American turnout. Frankly, I think that's BS. Obama could hurt down-ticket Repubs, however, if he can mobilize record black turnout.
LOL!!! I’m sharing the same sentiments. I just want to see “bitchy” lose.
The Rats will abandon the south...even with Edwards....they don’t need it. Ohio is all they need & Obama will look to Casey or Baye.
McCain wins AR by a near 2-to-1 margin, but yet we’ll only hold that 1 House seat and nothing else, all thanks to Huckster butchering the AR GOP.
The CURRENT Electoral-vote.com election predictor is:
Electoral Votes: Obama 237 McCain 290
And that doen’t include updates from last week.
Don’t buy into the MSM drivel, this could be a Dem disaster of HISTORIC proportions. Even CALIFORNIA has recently shifted to “WEAK DEM” in an Obama MCCain matchup.
Bob Barker (LIB-ACLU/Occupation) is perfect. /sarc
Looks like racism is alive and well in the Democratic Party. Now why would a Democrat vote Republican over another Democrat? Hmmmmm?
I wish he were even mediocre. He is a disaster at best.
“Now why would a Democrat vote Republican over another Democrat?”
Actually, Southern Democrats are more conservative than other Democrats. It would be understandable and expected for many Southern Dems to not vote for a liberal, even if the liberal was a member of their own party. This type of Southern Democrat is the 38% group.
And then there are those who will vote Democrat no matter how liberal the candidate. They may not like it, but they are life-long Democrats and will vote no other way but Dem.
1. The most recent Rasmussen Poll, out May 8, has McCain leading Obama 48-45 in North Carolina, well within the margin of error.
2. The most recent Rasmussen Poll, out May 8, has McCain leading Obama 47-44 in Virginia, well within the margin of error.
As I said above, I think the blue collar Clinton Democrats are swinging right now towards McCain and if the election were held today I think Obama would come close to picking up VA and NC but would fall just short. The data would seem to support my hypothesis. If he's able to find a gimmick to make even a small inroad among those blue collar rural Clinton voters, however, he'll win. I have no idea whether or not this will happen, but the numbers are close enough that we should be paying close attention.
The Rats won't abandon the South, precisely because they don't need it.
In 1988, GHW Bush campaigned heavily in California, even though he could win without it, precisely because Dukakis couldn't. By campaigning in California, he forced Dukakis on a perpetual defensive and ultimately it worked -- Bush won in a landslide after trailing Dukakis by 15 points on Labor Day. Obama can win without winning a single EV in the South, which is exactly why you'll see him in VA and NC throughout the campaign.
Depending on the numbers, I think there's a chance you might see him try to seriously contest Texas. He has the cash, McCain doesn't and won't, and if McCain has to spend time and money in Texas he's lost control of the campaign.
Lest you think I’m psychotic, a May 1 Rasmussen poll showed Obama down only 5 in Texas. The race may not stay that close, but if it does, look for Obama to pour huge resources in, even if there are easier pickings to be had elsewhere (like Ohio).
Is anyone surprised by this?
The media has not yet begun to fight.
As soon as Hillary drops out the media will turn their attention and attacks to McCain and his numbers will suffer greatly.
I guess southern conservatives aren’t gonna problem for McCain thanks to his opponent.
The latest polls for Michigan and Wisconsin show McCain in the lead over Obama. Obama has polling problems all over the place.
Obama: "I will cut investments in unproven missile defense systems, ....I will not weaponize space... I will slow development of future combat systems... I will institute a 'Defense Priorities Board' to ensure the quadrennial defense review is not used ..."
Then, there will be peace in our time without the evil republicans causing war!
My change is good for Muslims, Islamofascists, Black Racists, and Chrislims. $crew the Christians and real Jews!
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