Posted on 06/24/2008 2:53:30 PM PDT by LdSentinal
PRINCETON, NJ -- Voters' presidential preferences remain closely divided between Democrat Barack Obama and Republican John McCain, with Obama maintaining a slight edge, 46% to 43% in June 21-23 Gallup Poll Daily tracking.
This is the fifth straight day that neither candidate has held a statistically significant lead, although Obama has consistently polled a slightly higher number, as he has since the start of June. On this long-term basis, it seems clear that Obama has a significant, albeit slight, advantage in the race.
(Excerpt) Read more at gallup.com ...
So... is the lead significant? Or slight?
It’s slightly significant, silly!
Bradley effect. It’s actually McCain by one.
If only the MSM would spread the word about Rev. Wright, I am sure McCain would be ahead by ten or twenty points.
SUSA has Obama ahead in Indiana.
http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=d62471d9-b9f8-4274-8312-16c1006a5764
If I recall the listing for accuracy for pollsters I saw, this is very bad for the McRepublicans. I believe they predicted incredibly well on the state level.
Considering it is not outside the MOE, it is not even a lead.
Uh huh.
This was what I noticed with yesterdays ABC/Wash Post poll. They represented Obama leading by about 6 points among registered voters. What their small print said and they said nothing about it in news broadcasts, was that McCain took the lead by 1 among likely voters.
I hate McCain ;(
Someone is on crack. Bob Dole won the state handily.
SUSA had been consistantly accurate during the primaries.
And you neglected to mention that SUSA has him within 3 points of Obama in Oregon.
SUSA had Hillary winning Indiana by 12%.
I thought we all knew that already. Sorry.
Obama has yet to be hit on any major issue much less his treasure trove of uberliberal votes. He is enjoying a post-nominee bump, nothing more. He won’t win Indiana.
Sheesh, when you’re hyped as the man of change, the visionary, the healer, the son of god, an FDR/JFK heir, the energetic anti-establishmentarian....and you’re opponent is an old, somnolent establishment guy....a 3% lead is kind a crappy.
“Bradley effect. It’s actually McCain by one.”
Actually the poll itself is probably +/-3 but this isn’t important right now as it is still early.
So really McCain is probably a little ahead.
I doubt he will win Indiana. However, I think it shows some of the underlying weakness in McCain’s position, one that, if Clingon-Dole is used as an apt model, will erode as times goes on. THe MSM inflicted doubts have not hit the rank and file Republicans as of yet.
I suppose I should not say he will never win Indiana. If they can get it that close legally, I’m sure he and his ilk can make up the remainder of the distance.
Not to mention this is a weekend poll, so add another 5 points to McCain off the top...
You mean “The RINO” ? The genius that thinks putting crypto-rodent liberals like Huckster and *omney on the ticket will help McCain ?
And that's before factoring in the "Bradley/Wilder effect".
Not "likely voters" or even "registered voters"!!
This poll is totally worthless.
The 3% difference can be negated when you look at the real numbers on a state by state basis:
If Obama wins MA, NY, NJ, MD, IL and CA with about 60% of the vote, it is cancelled out by McCain winning TX, FL, GA, TN, NC, SC, VA, KY, AR, OK, UT, IN, and AZ with 55% of the vote.
This is just editorial humbug. 50 results within the margin of error still yield a result within the margin of error.
I would ignore these polls until after both conventions.
It will be interesting to see what shenanigans the leftwing A-holes have in store for Obama in Denver, and whether they can screw it up for themselves as badly as they did in 1968.
I agree, but if the rats want to believe it so be it!
Watching everyone’s reactions to this is like watching Katherine Harris’ reactions to the polls in 2006. We’re in trouble people, and we better start doing something about it.
The real debate on issues has not begun yet and McCain didn’t use the big guns and the hot stuff against OUBAMA...
Republicans should begin the strikes to prepare the ground...
“Bradley effect. It’s actually McCain by one.”
three
Considering we are in an unpolpular war, gas prices are $4.00, house values are plummeting and the stock market is doing poorly... The Democrat SHOULD have the lead. The fact it is tiny or within the margin of error implies he is a lousy choice. I HOPE these polls are relatively accurate.
But...but...all the other polls say the chosen one has a lead of at least 10%. If this is the best he can muster after 24/7 Obamagasms from the media, he might orta’ start worryin’.......
How about the Hillary effect? If she can’t get the nomination or the VP slot you can be quite certain she will pull every string behind the curtain to see McCain elected, it is her only chance to ever be President. She should be worth at least five points to McCain.
According to polls 6 months ago, Rudy and Hillary had a lock on the GOP and Rat nominations.
Infinitesimal yet insurmountable.
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