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Researchers Study Hidden Homicide Trend
Physorg ^ | 6-25-2008 | Johns Hopkins University Bloomberg School of Public Health

Posted on 06/26/2008 1:25:26 PM PDT by blam

Researchers study hidden homicide trend

Gun-related homicide among young men rose sharply in the United States in recent years even though the nation's overall homicide rate remained flat, according to a study by researchers at the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health. Between 1999 and 2005, homicide involving firearms increased 31 percent among black men ages 25 to 44 and 12 percent among white men of the same age. The study is published in Online First edition of the Journal of Urban Health.

"The recent flatness of the U.S. homicide rate obscures the large increases in firearm death among males ages 25-44, especially black males," said Susan Baker, MPH, co-author of the study and a professor with the Bloomberg School's Center for Injury Research and Policy.

For the study, Baker and her colleagues Daniel Webster and Gouqing Hu, the study's lead author, analyzed data from WISQARS™ (Web-based Injury Statistics Query and Reporting System), which includes information on injury-related deaths and mortality rates per 100,000 population from 1981-2005. Mortality data by urbanization level was obtained through the Wonder System at the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

According to the study, the overall homicide rate remained between 6.0 and 6.1 deaths per 100,000 from 1999 to 2005, except for an increase in 2001 attributed to the terrorist attacks of September 11. The researchers found significant increases in the rate of firearm homicide for white males ages 25 to 34 and for black males ages 25 to 44.

The increase in firearm homicide for males age 25 to 44 was not distributed evenly throughout the country. The most significant increases occurred in Alabama, California, Michigan, Minnesota, Nebraska, Nevada, New Jersey, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Texas and Washington. The other states did not see significant change. Additionally, most of the increases occurred in and around large metropolitan areas.

"The increases in firearm homicide we measured were almost twice as high among blacks as among whites and they were mostly concentrated in central metropolitan and fringe metropolitan areas," said Webster, ScD, MPH, co-director of the Bloomberg School's Center for Gun Policy and Research. "Further research is needed to ascertain the causes for recent increases in firearm homicides involving men living in urban area. Factors that may be influencing the homicide trends we observed include the number of people returning from prison as well as conditions unique to the particular age cohorts. For many black males in their 30's who grew up in inner cities this could include early exposure to lead and unusually high rates of gun homicides surrounding them during their adolescence."

Source: Johns Hopkins University Bloomberg School of Public Health


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: gangs; hidden; homicide; researchers; trend

1 posted on 06/26/2008 1:25:30 PM PDT by blam
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To: blam

“War on Drugs”?


2 posted on 06/26/2008 1:30:01 PM PDT by AZLiberty (President Fred -- I still like the sound of it.)
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To: blam

Maybe they will spend some time on what going on with these young men and our society as a whole.A stop trying to figure out how inanimate objects are able to kill people.


3 posted on 06/26/2008 1:34:22 PM PDT by MES401067
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To: blam

My guess is imported gangs from Mexico and South America.


4 posted on 06/26/2008 1:41:32 PM PDT by <1/1,000,000th%
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To: <1/1,000,000th%

Yeah, well Americans are too lazy to form their own gangs, even at $50.00/hr...


5 posted on 06/26/2008 1:43:44 PM PDT by null and void (every Muslim, the minute he can differentiate, carries hate of Americans, Jews & Christians - OBL)
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To: null and void

LOL!


6 posted on 06/26/2008 1:46:07 PM PDT by <1/1,000,000th%
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To: blam

So if the over all rate has remained flat. Who was getting killed before? Is this a racist article calling for a ban on metro, minority males? Or is it guns, like SUV’s that are now choosing their victims?


7 posted on 06/26/2008 1:51:00 PM PDT by Steamburg (Your wallet speaks the only language most politicians understand.)
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To: blam

What do you expect when virtually all blacks listen to rap and hip-hop? That music is violent music. It breeds violence. The videos for the songs are extremely violent and sexual. It’s not an excuse, it’s a catalyst.


8 posted on 06/26/2008 1:53:28 PM PDT by Secret Agent Man (I'd like to tell you, but then I'd have to kill you.)
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To: blam
Hidden? Only for those who refuse to see!

"The increases in firearm homicide we measured were almost twice as high among blacks as among whites and they were mostly concentrated in central metropolitan and fringe metropolitan areas,"

Yea, and those places are easy to spot. Just look for large swaths of blue on the 2004 election maps.

9 posted on 06/26/2008 1:57:04 PM PDT by MileHi ( "It's coming down to patriots vs the politicians." - ovrtaxt)
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To: blam
Unfortunately, it seems as though some of the PFWK’s are beginning to ape the behavior of the knuckle draggin’, hip hoppin’, sub human, gang bangin’ simian thugs.
10 posted on 06/26/2008 2:01:32 PM PDT by isrul (Help make every day, "Disrespect a muzzie day.")
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To: blam
Factors that may be influencing the homicide trends we observed include the number of people returning from prison as well as conditions unique to the particular age cohorts

Well that sure is a sanitized way to put it. Guess elaboration would hit too close to home and make someones self esteem suffer.

11 posted on 06/26/2008 2:04:35 PM PDT by doodad
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To: blam
There are plenty of reports of gang violence south of the border. According to this Daily Telegraph Article:
Since January, more than 1,300 people have been killed in execution-style hits or gunned down in fire fights, which often rage for hours in broad daylight and turn residential neighbourhoods into war zones. If the trend continues, 2008 will top last year's toll of 2,500 deaths in drug-related killings.
You don't hear so much about Americans at the Border. Too bad.

Americans are regularly abused. According to this article entitled US Warns Tourists of 'Small-Unit Combat' at Mexico Border -- Murder and kidnapping of Americans has become routine all along the US Mexican border. According to the State Department sometimes heavily armed attackers wear the uniforms of the Mexican police or military.

If there is silence about events at the border. The silence about killings north of the border is deafening. And yet....

More Americans killed by illegal aliens than Iraq war, study says Think about it. A man or woman killed in Iraq or Iran in the line of duty is a hero. But what is an American killed at home by an illegal alien because the government has failed in its sworn duty to guard the borders. This is a pact between the sovereign and the person has paid taxes and loyalty. The answer is to that question is pretty awful. And it bodes ill for the republic.

But is it true?

When you start digging into the numbers the only ones that can be sourced with the feds are the number of American murdered in 2005: 16692
I have seen federal numbers for illegals held in jail ranging from 19.3% to 27% of the federal prison population.

Here's a sampling of USA cities wanted for murder. What you'll see is that in big USA cities like LA or NYC most of the murderers are Hispanic. Unknown are the % of illegals. In smaller cities the FBI will post the nationalities of the murderers. About 25% of the most wanted are illegals wanted for murder. This number agrees with the percentage of illegals incarcerated in federal prisons. +-25%

Pictures of top 10 most wanted in LA. Up until recent stories about crime in LA posted by the LA Times--the pictures included the nationality of the murderers. They were all foreign nationals and mostly Mexican.

Wanted for Murder in New York City.

Chicago wanted for Murder


Philadelphia wanted for murder

San Francisco wanted for Murder


New Orleans wanted for Murder

Pictures of suspects wanted for murder in Washington DC

FBI USA 10 most wanted. (two of 10 are Mexican nationals) Around 40% of the FBI's wanted for murder are Mexican Nationals

There are currently no exact numbers on the number of Americans killed by illegals. Part of the reason is that the government deliberately obscures the number. I talked on the phone with the head of statistics for the US Bureau of Prisons. He said his office wasn't allowed to publish the number of illegal alien murderers. Rather they were forced to put legal and non legal residents in the same category. He said further that most of illegals in the federal prisons were in for drug related charges. Most of the illegals in jail for murder were in the state prisons. I talked to ICE. They put out detailed numbers on illegal child molestors. However, they put out nothing on illegal murderers.

Part of the reason for the silence on the matter is that there is evidence to suggest that most Americans--but by no means all -- being killed by illegals are black--as is the suggestion in this LA Times Article. Also this article from the LA Times. And here. This makes intuitive sense. We see stories regularly of drug gang killings in Mexico but we don't see those same stories in the USA. The reason we don't see those stories is not because its not happening. Rather we don't see the stories about illegals killing blacks because that kind of story is terribly politically incorrect. The populations being displaced in downtown sanctuary cities especially are American blacks. That means that their criminal elements would be pushed aside by Mexican gangs as well. That's also the story that the wanted for murder posters in all the major cities seems to suggest.

Why isn't there an outcry in the black community? Beats me.

Nevertheless, the pattern of non reporting is starting to break. Discovery Channel has a series called Gangland that mentions ethnic cleasing of blacks by Mexican gangs

Reported Foreign Nationals on Death Row in the U.S.

To look at other USA cities go here http://stlouis.fbi.gov/ and replace stlouis with the city you want.

All that said the true number of criminal aliens is far higher than is revealed by criminal aliens in prisons. Most are simply waived through the courts.DHS Secretary Chertoff, has been quoted as warning that two million people in this country illegally have committed serious crimes. If you check the links you'll notice that its McCain who cites Chertoff. See also here and here Here is more info from Judicial Watch.

However the number of illegals on death row is far lower. Sadly, so many small towns and villages across America have sent their warriors off to war half way across the world only to see communities fill up with illegal aliens.


12 posted on 06/26/2008 2:04:53 PM PDT by ckilmer (Phi)
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To: blam

It’s not hidden at all.

FBI crime statistics are available to everyone.


13 posted on 06/26/2008 2:13:01 PM PDT by primeval patriot
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To: blam; AZLiberty
Source: Johns Hopkins University Bloomberg School of Public Health

Consider the source. Same crowd that brought us the bogus "655,000 excess deaths in Iraq" , published in October 2006, just in time to attempt to influence the mid-term elections.

"War on Drugs"? Nah. War on Guns.
14 posted on 06/26/2008 2:56:01 PM PDT by caveat emptor
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To: Steamburg
If the overall rate has remained flat then the rate for groups other than young men has declined.
15 posted on 06/26/2008 2:58:43 PM PDT by arthurus
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To: blam

Gangs and drug related...


16 posted on 06/26/2008 3:03:59 PM PDT by TASMANIANRED (TAZ:Untamed, Unpredictable, Uninhibited.)
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To: blam
Further research is needed to ascertain the causes for recent increases in firearm homicides involving men living in urban area. Factors that may be influencing the homicide trends we observed include the number of people returning from prison as well as conditions unique to the particular age cohorts. For many black males in their 30's who grew up in inner cities this could include early exposure to lead and unusually high rates of gun homicides surrounding them during their adolescence.

Don't suppose it could have anything at all to do with burgeoning gang membership.

17 posted on 06/26/2008 3:12:02 PM PDT by ModelBreaker
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To: MileHi

If they’re working from Johns-Hopkins, all they pretty much have to do is look out their windows.


18 posted on 06/26/2008 3:54:41 PM PDT by VanShuyten ("Ah! but it was something to have at least a choice of nightmares.")
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To: VanShuyten
Sheesh, exactly.
19 posted on 06/26/2008 7:09:49 PM PDT by MileHi ( "It's coming down to patriots vs the politicians." - ovrtaxt)
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