Skip to comments.Obama Trounces McCain In Four Swing States
Posted on 06/27/2008 6:21:33 AM PDT by Diana in Wisconsin
Washington, D.C. (AHN) - Sen. Barack Obama (D-IL) is winning the race against Sen. John McCain (R-AZ) in battleground states. A new Quinnipiac/WSJ/WP poll said on Thursday that the freshman senator leads from five to as much as 17 points among voters in four key states.
Obama narrowly has the support of voters in Colorado, where he leads McCain 49% to 44%. The Republican, however, has the edge among men, 50% to 45%, and whites, 47%to 46%.
In Michigan, Obama wins with 48% while McCain trails with 42%. The Illinois senator has a whopping lead among women, 52% to 38%, and African-Americans, 89% to 6%. But again McCain leads among whites, 48% to 42%, and men, 46% and 45%.
Minnesota voters also chose Obama over McCain, 52% to 39%. Obama's 17-point lead is the biggest among the four states, and is due to his overwhelming support among nearly all demographics. The freshman senator beats McCain even among whites, 49% to 42%, and men, 51% to 40%.
The picture in Wisconsin for McCain is not much different. The Arizona senator trails his rival, 39% to 52%.
"Sen. McCain's lead among white voters in Colorado and Michigan cuts the gap to single digits, but doesn't offset Sen. Obama's strength among other groups. The Democrat also leads by eight to 21 percentage points among independent voters in each state," Quinnipiac University said in a release.
"But Sen. Obama should not be picking out the drapes for the Oval Office just yet. His lead nationally, and double digits in some key states, is not hugely different from where Sen. John Kerry stood four years ago at this point in the campaign," Quinnipiac University Polling Institute Assistant Director Peter Brown added.
Let them rave on that men shall know them mad.....
I am becoming discouraged.
This morning (or maybe yesterday) it had McCain winning in four states. I guess we will go back and forth until election day.
Three of those four are blue states. The fact that McCain is competing in them is a good sign.
On average Quinnipiac state polls right before the election were nearly 10 points off, despite having stated MOE much much lower. Polls at this point are interesting, but not all that informative.
Yeah, right. I think they’re trying too hard.
Polls mean nothing at this point.
Obama is not leading by as much as Kerry did at this point.
Becoming? I am discouraged either way to be honest. The thought of hearing McCain speak for four years makes me cringe....Of course, Obama makes me puke. This is about as dreary as 1996.
The others are lost causes. Bush came close in WI but a close loss is still a total loss in terms of the Electoral College. MN is always a teaser. It looks competitive at first but always comes home to the 'Rats in the end. Kinda like NJ in that sense. Looks like we have a chance but it ends up being true blue 'Ratland.
I’ve stepped up to bat. I’m supporting McCain. I see no reason to cringe over McCain’s presidency. this is not the case with Obama.
Did they vote in those states already?
thank you for your encouraging remarks.
‘Minnesota voters also chose Obama over McCain, 52% to 39%. Obama’s 17-point lead is the biggest among the four states...’
Where I come from, 52-39=13.
This election is all about image and emotion, not issues. Obama can get up and say, "I'll raise your taxes, I'll reduce your standard of living, and I'll make us less safe" and all people will hear is "Hope! Change!"
No need to read further.
We'd need to see the polling demographics ( likely voters, registered voters, % of parties represented ) to really tell how accurate this poll's findings are. Since they don't say anything about them, I'd take the results to be probably skewed toward Democrats.
The thought of a McCain presidency makes me cringe.
The thought of an Obama presidency makes me wretch.
God help America.
That’s the point of these polls, to discourage you.
“jump on the Obama bandwagon, he’s going to win anyway”
And, they’re playing to the, and I sht you not, I talked to someone that voted this way in 96 - “I’m going to vote for who I think is going to win” crowd.
With the exception of Colorado, Kerry took all those states 4 years ago so the fact that they are still in the Democratic camp is not surprisng. If McCain keeps what the GOP won in 2004 then they win again. If he picks up Pennsylvania, not impossible, then losing smaller states like Colorado or Nevada won’t make a difference.
I am voting for McCain but just not excited about it...
what is $150.00 a barrel plus gas prices going to do to the election? I think the Voters when Airlines shut down , schools are broke from gas and electric prices are taking away from budget. One will drill the other never.
Still waiting for poll results from the other seven states remember obama stated that we have fifty seven states the msm loves the idiot.
I don’t call a 48-42 margin a “trouncing.” For McCain to be doing so well in Michigan is probably a good sign. But overall no, the news is not good. Things can change. Too bad we just don’t have a better standard bearer.
I don’t know that Minn. is really a swing state. Maybe the GOP should write it off and concentrate on states they can win, like OH, VA, and of course FL. I wouldn’t write off CO yet but it isn’t looking good there.
With the exception of Colorado, these states have been reliably Dim for some time now. It’s hard to believe that they have moved from Liberalism to outright Socialism though.
Polls mean nothing at this point.
I always wonder when that magic date is when they do count. In October and November (first couple days), FREEPERS were still stating polls mean nother or the legendary statement “they ask more dems”, etc.
America cannot be this far gone but we have to tell them the truth about B. HUSSEIN Obama.
Why would you be discouraged? Don’t be, these polls are good news. Obama is supposed to have this solid lead in CO, but according Qunincy he’s only 5 points ahead, that’s nothing. He’s also ahead, according to Quincy, by only 6 in MI, that’s fantastic. Remember that most polls this cycle are undercounting Repubs, overcounting the dems, inflating the % of African-American voters and undercouting McCain’s support among very conservative and Evangelical voters. Taking all this into consideration I believe McCain is 1 - 2 points behind in CO and about 2 - 3 behind in MI. Also, McCain has been dead even with Oama the last 2 days in the Gallup Daily Tracking Poll. The numbers in Wisconsin will get closer, but not enough to turn the State Red. MN is a lost cause.
Polls are pretty much meaningless at this point, but McCain will get trounced for the simple reason conservatives won’t vote for him.
You actually BELIEVE these polls?
Again, thanks for the logical response! I’m keeping the faith. it’s a long way till November, I have to remember, and anything can happen between now and then.
McCain has not put together a decent approach to beating Obama. It can be done very easily.
The economy hinges on the energy/gas issue. He can beat this idiot like a drum, Obama likes the high gas prices, only wished for a gradual climb to that price. Obama does nothing to get more oil prod, his solution is to raise prices and lower oil prod by way of more taxes.
McCain he needs a catchy phrase/succinct 15 sec sound bite illustrating this that he keeps using.
The national security issue is his but once again he needs a catchy phrase/succinct 15 sec sound bite that he keeps using.
Any polls now are meaningless and that coupled with the FACT that many people will not say they are not voting for Obama in fear of being thought a racist taints every poll.
Obama has always done worse in the actual primaries than he did in polls leading up to them IIRR>
He brought in the “clinging to guns” quote very well yesterday following the Heller decision.
May I restate this, please?
Polls are pretty much meaningless at this point, but McCain will get trounced for the simple reason that SOME conservatives (who are not thinking logically) wont vote for him.
Yea, there's Dim and then there's just outright Commie lovin. Anyone voting RAT is either 100% stupid or mentally ill.
Quinnipiac polls aren't worth the electrons it takes to post them. Their absolute numbers are awful (huge liberal bias to their samples) -- only relative movement between samples in any way can be useful.
“My big hope is that during the debates Obama does the same thing that he did in the primary debates, namely look bored, spout off nothing of importance, and show everyone that he is lost without a teleprompter”
I believe there is a very good chance that Obama will decline to debate McCain for this very reason.
If he seems to be doing well in the polls, why bother? Why risk his chances?
This poll is brand new, hot off the presses, just posted on realclearpolitics.com, read the article carefully, this is great for Mac and dismal for Obama and the MSM. It also completely nullifies the outrageous Newsweek and L A Times polls.
Thanks for giving evidence of the lack of logic. This is more than ONE battle.
Read this, hot off the presses, just posted at realclearpolitics.com, a new poll from TIME which is great for Mac and very bad news for Obama/Newsweek/LA Times:
Just wait until election night when the DBM will project Obama as the winner in all the eastern states, in attempt to influence the western states’ voters.
Wait until people find out how much Obama will raise their taxes.
If I were John McCain, I’d set up a website where people could enter their income and deductions and so forth and see how much their taxes would rise under Obama.
That’s a free tip, Senator McCain.
Journalists cannot do math or science (or much of anything else) correctly PING!
It could help McCain in Colorado, I think. It's well known, and widely dislked, that Dems have done all they could to stop oil shale, and harass the oil/gas industry here.
Plus, we have wide open spaces, so we really end up driving a lot- Salazar should have known this before he killed oil shale.