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Preparing for the unthinkable - nuclear attack-(more hope and more change)
sfgate ^ | 6/27/08 | Zachary Coile

Posted on 06/27/2008 3:30:20 PM PDT by Flavius

It is a grim, almost unthinkable scenario: a 10-kiloton nuclear weapon, smuggled into the United States, is detonated in a major U.S. city, perhaps even the Bay Area.

Top federal officials and medical experts gathered in Washington on Thursday to consider this nightmare vision. Their conclusion: Cities and states are frightfully ill-prepared for dealing with an attack using a small nuclear bomb.

"Few of them have coordinated response plans for the aftermath of nuclear terrorism," said Brooke Buddemeier, a specialist in the radiological and nuclear counter-measures division at the Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory. "There is a general lack of understanding of the response needs and uncertainty over federal, state and local roles and responsibilities."

Federal officials are worried enough to have convened a National Academy of Sciences committee on medical preparedness for a nuclear attack by terrorists. The panel is holding its first two-day meeting in Washington this week.

(Excerpt) Read more at sfgate.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: enemywithin; infiltration; nukes; proliferation; wot
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1 posted on 06/27/2008 3:30:20 PM PDT by Flavius
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To: Flavius
perhaps even the Bay Area

Maybe the Armed Forces would be welcome there then.

2 posted on 06/27/2008 3:32:16 PM PDT by badpacifist (Personal attacks on someones opinion of a "news article" you happened to post is asinine.)
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To: badpacifist

I fear not even then...


3 posted on 06/27/2008 3:33:54 PM PDT by Dutch Boy
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To: Flavius
Their conclusion: Cities and states are frightfully ill-prepared for dealing with an attack using a small nuclear bomb.

Photobucket

4 posted on 06/27/2008 3:34:36 PM PDT by b4its2late (Ignorance allows liberalism to prosper.)
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To: Flavius

There’s an amphibious anti-tank vehicle that’s built to be locked down and sealed in the event of nuclear attack. Better than nothing if you can find one...in time...


5 posted on 06/27/2008 3:35:26 PM PDT by Jim 0216
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To: Flavius

I was an NBC NCO in the Service,Not much you can do except stay downwind.


6 posted on 06/27/2008 3:36:31 PM PDT by silentreignofheroes (Old Dogs and Children,and Watermelon Wine.)
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To: Flavius

After an attack like this, shouldn’t we sit down and talk with the groups responsible for this INDESCRETION? /S


7 posted on 06/27/2008 3:37:23 PM PDT by Mark (Don't argue with my posts. I typed while under sniper fire..)
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To: Flavius

I fear Chemical and Biological more. Easier to transport and far more deadly in the long run.


8 posted on 06/27/2008 3:45:27 PM PDT by Don Corleone (Leave the gun..take the cannoli)
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To: badpacifist
Maybe the Armed Forces would be welcome there then.


Maybe even the Court of Appeals for the 9th Circuit would welcome them!

9 posted on 06/27/2008 3:46:24 PM PDT by B-Cause (It's not what you gather, but what you scatter that tells what kind of life you have lived.)
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To: Flavius

One reason for the lack of nuclear preparedness is that leftists and their media allies campaigned constantly against it during the Cold War. We are still living with the legacy of this campaign.

John Mack of Harvard, for example, claimed that any preparation for survival after a nuclear attack was immoral since it would allegedly make nuclear war more acceptable. The real purpose, of course, was to facilitate Soviet strategy by encouraging appeasement.

The media created a subculture of fatalism about nuclear attack and did everything possible to exaggerate effects whose horrific nature really needed no exaggeration. I remember an anti-nuke hippie telling a tv crew at demonstration that just 10 nuclear weapons would literally blow the Earth apart. She said this with a straight face and the tv droids ate it up.

For some years in the 1980s, pro-Soviet “peace” groups distributed a bumpersticker that piously claimed “There is no Shelter from Nuclear War.”

Nowadays, there is no Soviet Union to incite or reward appeasement propaganda and the moonbats are suddenly worried about survival. Eventually they will learn how to profit from appeasing Iran and various other nuclear crazed barbarians, and this whole nuclear survival business will once again be an object of ridicule, dismissal and dishonest propaganda.


10 posted on 06/27/2008 3:46:32 PM PDT by atomic conspiracy (Victory in Iraq: Worst defeat for activist media since Goebbels shot himself.)
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To: Flavius

San Fransisco would be the easiest place to nuke.


11 posted on 06/27/2008 3:47:26 PM PDT by Coffee200am
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To: Mark

Not only will we talk to them, but they have the right to retain a lawyer and the right to petition the US courts like any other citizen after they set off their nukes.


12 posted on 06/27/2008 3:51:10 PM PDT by Keflavik76
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To: Coffee200am
San Fransisco would be the easiest place to nuke.

Especially with the nuke detonating over the city taking out all the fairies flitting around in the air.

13 posted on 06/27/2008 3:56:24 PM PDT by Jim 0216
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To: Mark; Chieftain

No...we should have Obama and Rev Wright tell the bombers how awful that was....and “You did that without blinking an eye!”


14 posted on 06/27/2008 3:57:54 PM PDT by Recovering Ex-hippie (WE NEED A TROOP SURGE IN CHICAGO !)
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To: Mark

“After an attack like this, shouldn’t we sit down and talk with the groups responsible for this INDESCRETION?” /S

You’re absolutely right. I’m sure President Obama will negotiate the best surrender terms for us that he possibly can. /S


15 posted on 06/27/2008 4:02:37 PM PDT by ChicagahAl (So your bumper sticker says: "Don't blame me, I didn't vote!"? Duh!)
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To: silentreignofheroes

Downwind? Wouldn’t I want to be upwind?


16 posted on 06/27/2008 4:03:19 PM PDT by snippy_about_it (The FReeper Foxhole. America's history, America's soul.)
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To: silentreignofheroes

I take it you mean upwind relative to the “event”.


17 posted on 06/27/2008 4:06:37 PM PDT by DB
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To: badpacifist

I nuke in Kalifornication would be blamed on Bush, not the scum terrorists who detonated it.


18 posted on 06/27/2008 4:08:49 PM PDT by airborne ("Gore's fault!" - USSC Justice Scalia)
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To: Flavius

bump


19 posted on 06/27/2008 4:08:51 PM PDT by VOA
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To: airborne

I nuke = A nuke

(beer impared typing)


20 posted on 06/27/2008 4:10:18 PM PDT by airborne ("Gore's fault!" - USSC Justice Scalia)
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To: Flavius

Not impressive. After 50 years of far bigger threat, this doesn’t rise above the background noise.


21 posted on 06/27/2008 4:10:47 PM PDT by RightWhale (I will veto each and every beer)
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To: Flavius

Why on earth would America’s enemies attack their fellow travelers in San Francisco? That’s one of the last places they’d consider attacking.


22 posted on 06/27/2008 4:13:59 PM PDT by ETL
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To: Flavius

This article (like many before it) invokes the imagery of the ‘suitcase nuke’ which first got widespread attention not quite 10 years ago when the late Alexander Lebed was talking about up to 100 of the devices being ‘unaccounted for’ in the former Soviet nuclear arsenal. The devices Lebed referred to were approximately 1 kt in yield, not 10.

Lebed stated that the ‘suitcase nukes’ were 24 x 16 x 8 inches in size, and distributed to the former Soviet GRU for use in the event of a general nuclear exchange with the U.S.

What is overlooked is the effective life span of the fissile materials that would be used in such a device. Unless freshly manufactured and maintained by nuclear weapons specialists and/or engineers who really know what they’re doing, there is no way to be sure that such a device (talking about ‘legacy’ type compact nukes) would even detonate if used 10 or 20 years after initial assembly without periodic inspection to assure the reliability of the device.

There are Freepers far smarter than I that have discussed this issue in great detail, but I’ll be damned if I can think of their screen name(s) right now.

But considering the general political sentiment in the San Francrisco Bay area, it would be my expectation that if a terrorist nuke *were* one day smuggled in and detonated, that most if not all of the leftists and America-haters would at least manage to croak out an ‘allah AKKKKbar’ before the nudet wiped their asses out.


23 posted on 06/27/2008 4:15:48 PM PDT by mkjessup
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To: mkjessup

There’s an old joke that the Russians built these things with the idea that they would be smuggled in in suitcases, planted in varius locations and detonated simultaneiously. The plan was abandoned when it was discovered that they didn’t have any suitcases.


24 posted on 06/27/2008 4:19:35 PM PDT by tacticalogic ("Oh bother!" said Pooh, as he chambered his last round.)
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To: airborne
would be blamed on Bush

Count on it. Even if it happens in the year 2050.

25 posted on 06/27/2008 4:23:19 PM PDT by CommerceComet
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To: mkjessup

True, a small one like that might not go full-yield, but it’d be one messy-nasty little “dirty bomb”

That being said, SF would be a good target in some ways, lousy in others. Set it off offshore, and let the fallout do the dirty work (the wind is almost always onshore there). But for blast effect, SF would suck because of the hilly terrain. Half the buildings would be protected by being on reverse sides of hills and so on. A 10kT bomb would be bad, but there are better target choices, if you want a maximum casualty number.


26 posted on 06/27/2008 4:23:33 PM PDT by Mr Inviso
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To: tacticalogic

There was a special droll quality to much Soviet era Russian humor.

“Comrade, do you know what to do when you get the warning of an American nuclear attack?”
“No, I do not know.”
“You put on your funeral shroud and walk slowly to the cemetery.”
“Why slowly?”
“To keep from starting a panic.”


27 posted on 06/27/2008 4:26:38 PM PDT by atomic conspiracy (Victory in Iraq: Worst defeat for activist media since Goebbels shot himself.)
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To: tacticalogic

LOL, I like that!

A good friend of mine told me about his late father-in-law who worked for the Defense Intelligence Agency back in the late 70’s, and was involved with the security of some our embassies, including the one in Moscow.

During a trip there, he met with his Soviet counterparts who were cordial as Russians can be, and being his first trip to the Soviet Union he was naturally paying close attention to everything.

His counterparts took him to the old ‘GUM’ Department Store and with great pride showed him their ‘newest elevator’ and the DIA man observed that this newest elevator was of the same general quality and size of the typical Montgomery Wards elevator of that era, and when he realized that the Russians were letting their vehicles run 24 hours a day during the winter because they had no antifreeze to put in the engines, he concluded that Soviet society was unlikely to prevail in the event of a general nuclear exchange.

IOW, they were so hopelessly behind us it was pathetic.


28 posted on 06/27/2008 4:29:53 PM PDT by mkjessup
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To: silentreignofheroes
Not much you can do except stay downwind.

Downwind????

29 posted on 06/27/2008 4:30:13 PM PDT by Lion Den Dan
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To: Flavius

“Few of them have coordinated response plans for the aftermath of nuclear terrorism,”

Now that question comes up?....The damn border has been open long enough to finally start someone wandering? What a damn joke!.....


30 posted on 06/27/2008 4:31:34 PM PDT by AngelesCrestHighway
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To: atomic conspiracy

The scene: Prague Czechoslovakia 1968.

Soviet tanks are everywhere, Soviet troops have begun an occupation to put the upstart Alexander Dubcek and his followers in their places.

A television reporter has a camera crew on the street, and goes up to a Czech worker and asks “tell me Sir, do you consider the Russians your brothers, or your friends?”

The man smiles broadly and answers at once, “BROTHERS of course!!!!”

And then out of the side of his mouth whispers “you CHOOSE your friends!” ;)


31 posted on 06/27/2008 4:32:35 PM PDT by mkjessup
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To: Flavius

“Federal officials are worried enough to have convened a National Academy of Sciences committee on medical preparedness for a nuclear attack by terrorists”

Where the hell were these worried federal officials when the wall wasn’t being built?


32 posted on 06/27/2008 4:33:13 PM PDT by AngelesCrestHighway
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To: Flavius
I think people forget that a smuggled nuclear bomb of 10 kT yield could be FAR dangerous than people believe.

There's a good reason for this: the bomb would be detonated at ground level. This results in a HUGE plume of radioactive fallout blown into the air, carrying lethal amounts of fallout perhaps 20-30 miles downwind and make Ground Zero essentially unlivable for decades. (Given the experience with the Nevada Test Site with all those above-ground tests, it's small wonder why much of the test site is still a radiation hazard because the test shots were all done very close to the ground.)

People forget that both Little Boy and Fat Man were detonated several thousand feet above the city, and as such the fallout was relatively low. This made it possible for both Hiroshima and Nagasaki to start rebuilding only a few years after 1945.

33 posted on 06/27/2008 4:33:22 PM PDT by RayChuang88
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To: Mr Inviso
You sound like you've spent some time studying this topic.

...for blast effect, SF would suck because of the hilly terrain. Half the buildings would be protected by being on reverse sides of hills and so on. A 10kT bomb would be bad, but there are better target choices, if you want a maximum casualty number.

Houston.
34 posted on 06/27/2008 4:34:57 PM PDT by mkjessup
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To: ChicagahAl

If this happened and Obama tried to surrender or not respond, he would undergo a 9-mm impeachment.


35 posted on 06/27/2008 4:35:29 PM PDT by DarthVader (Liberal Democrats are the party of EVIL whose time of judgement has come.)
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To: ETL

I would have thought the same thing, but then again....the WTC was in Manhattan


36 posted on 06/27/2008 4:40:58 PM PDT by Operation_Shock_N_Awe (I'd rather be a conservative nut job than a liberal with no nuts and no job)
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To: RayChuang88
Dirty blast vs. 'clean' blast.

This is one reason why the U.S. was able to build a convincing and reliable nuclear deterrent without the massive throw weight that the Soviets had to employ, we developed extremely advanced proximity fusing with much of that effort via the United States Army Material Command's 'Diamond Ordnance Fuze Laboratories (DOFL), later renamed 'Harry Diamond Laboratories' (HDL).

By using proximity fusing, our warheads could do a more efficient job with less yield (the Minuteman I and II warheads were approximately 1 megaton only), but the Soviets had to use much larger yields of 10, 20, 30 or more megatons due to their lack of accuracy and their limitations in proximity fusing.

Detonating a nuke a few thousand feet above the target also produces a hammering effect which literally pounds the Hell out of whatever is unlucky enough to be at Ground Zero.

On a different subject, it has always irked me post-9/11 how quickly and persistently we hear people refer to 'Ground Zero' at the site of the WTC terrorist attack, no question it was a horrifying attack, thousands died, no doubt of that, but comparatively speaking, the 'Ground Zero' of 9/11 in NYC isn't even a firecracker when compared to actual nuclear 'Ground Zeroes' like Hiroshima, Nagasaki, Tehran (oops - wishful thinking on my part, lol) ...
37 posted on 06/27/2008 4:44:56 PM PDT by mkjessup
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To: mkjessup

“You sound like you’ve spent some time studying this topic”

Back in my first go-round in college, I had a class called “Human Ecology” Prof was a Moonbattus rex. We spent 4 weeks of the semester on nuclear weapons and effects. The very first lecture of that segment of class was the discussion of what would happen if a 1MT weapon was airburst over the geographic center of Fresno (where I lived). Some of the required reading was books on weapons effects, damage estimation, etc. I’ve kept up on that and read some more modern stuff, too.

Houston would be heck of a choice. Oil production and the companies that manage that, plus the Texas Medical Center and so on. Chicago would be a good one, too. Road and rail junction, plus just big, and if you suck up some water from the Lake and disperse fallout with it, so much the better (worse).
Now, if you had something a little bigger than 10kT, it improves your number of target choices, too. It isn’t a whole lot more difficult to go from 10kT to something a lot bigger, engineering-wise. The second generation of US weapons went up to the tens of kT without even boosting fission.


38 posted on 06/27/2008 4:48:56 PM PDT by Mr Inviso
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To: mkjessup

I have often wondered (well, maybe not often...) if someone took one of these bombs to a very high level room in a hotel or office building in a major city if the impact would be significantly different than a ground blast. The question would be whether or not being up a couple of hundred feet would increase the damage, or would it be negligible?


39 posted on 06/27/2008 4:53:51 PM PDT by Vermont Lt (I am not from Vermont. I lived there for four years and that was enough.)
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To: Mr Inviso

Chicago would be a devastating target.

(and of course Mayor Daley would be shrieking about the need to ban nuclear weapons in the aftermath, lol)

If a terrorist group were to obtain a nuke, I expect that there would be quite the division among their members as to what type of target to select, to go for maximum shock value and ‘terror’ (’duh’, that’s why they call ‘em terrorists ;) or to actually seek to do serious damage to the United States military resources within CONUS with an attack on a military base.

The most likely avenue for an attack will be across our southern unsecured border with Mexico, and that is where a nuke would be smuggled in (if it hasn’t been already), although I’ve had the disturbing thought that in an area like San Francisco, there would be a high number of recruitable traitors that would most likely be happy to assist in an attack on their own Country.

I can think of plenty of potential and unique targets but I’m not going to post anything about them in public, that’s for damn sure.


40 posted on 06/27/2008 4:57:04 PM PDT by mkjessup
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To: Vermont Lt
if someone took one of these bombs to a very high level room in a hotel or office building in a major city if the impact would be significantly different than a ground blast. The question would be whether or not being up a couple of hundred feet would increase the damage, or would it be negligible?

A disturbing but very good question FRiend. I would have to say that the higher up a device was detonated (depending upon yield), the greater blast damage (if we're talking 10 kt as in the article).

But for maximum fallout and 'dirty' effects, the closer to the ground, the better.

A good question that I honestly can't answer with anything more than guesswork.
41 posted on 06/27/2008 5:01:36 PM PDT by mkjessup
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To: Robert A. Cook, PE

ping to #23


42 posted on 06/27/2008 5:08:22 PM PDT by sionnsar (trad-anglican.faithweb.com |Iran Azadi| 5yst3m 0wn3d - it's N0t Y0ur5 (SONY) | UN: Useless Nations)
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To: mkjessup
(and of course Mayor Daley would be shrieking about the need to ban nuclear weapons in the aftermathlife, lol)

Fixed it.

43 posted on 06/27/2008 5:13:53 PM PDT by sionnsar (trad-anglican.faithweb.com |Iran Azadi| 5yst3m 0wn3d - it's N0t Y0ur5 (SONY) | UN: Useless Nations)
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To: mkjessup
There are Freepers far smarter than I that have discussed this issue in great detail, but I’ll be damned if I can think of their screen name(s) right now.

A+Bert was one but he's gone now.

44 posted on 06/27/2008 5:15:00 PM PDT by gusopol3
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To: Jim 0216
Some to the Sun their Insect-Wings unfold,
Waft on the Breeze, or sink in Clouds of Gold.
Transparent Forms, too fine for mortal Sight,
Their fluid Bodies half dissolv'd in Light.
Loose to the Wind their airy Garments flew,
Thin glitt'ring Textures of the filmy Dew;
Dipt in the richest Tincture of the Skies,
Where Light disports in ever-mingling Dies,
While ev'ry Beam new transient Colours flings,
Colours that change whene'er they wave their Wings.

Pope - The Rape of the Lock

45 posted on 06/27/2008 5:15:02 PM PDT by dr_lew
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To: sionnsar

LOL, thanks for that!


46 posted on 06/27/2008 5:19:50 PM PDT by mkjessup
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To: gusopol3
There are Freepers far smarter than I that have discussed this issue in great detail, but I’ll be damned if I can think of their screen name(s) right now.
A+Bert was one but he's gone now.


He's the guy I was thinking of. I didn't realize he's gone?
47 posted on 06/27/2008 5:20:33 PM PDT by mkjessup
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To: silentreignofheroes

Don’t you mean upwind?


48 posted on 06/27/2008 5:26:12 PM PDT by BenLurkin
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To: mkjessup

thanks for the chuckle


49 posted on 06/27/2008 5:26:23 PM PDT by gusopol3
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To: Flavius

What’s the rush? It’s only been 7 years since 9/11 and the Islamist promise to destroy us.


50 posted on 06/27/2008 5:29:20 PM PDT by Gritty (Tactics without strategy is the noise before defeat - Sun Tzu)
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