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For Republicans, the Senate outlook is bad
LA Times ^ | 6 July 2008 | Janet Hook

Posted on 07/06/2008 9:14:00 AM PDT by shrinkermd

WASHINGTON -- Mississippi, one of the nation's most conservative states, has not elected a Democratic senator in a quarter-century. It has voted for Republican presidential candidates in the last seven elections.

But this year, there is a real chance that the state will send a Democrat to the Senate.

Democrats are running strong Senate campaigns in states such as Mississippi, Alaska and North Carolina that Republicans have long taken for granted.

...The stakes for Obama in the Senate races are high. If he is elected president, the biggest obstacle to his goals could be in the Senate, where parliamentary rules mean that it can take 60 votes to approve legislation. The Senate currently includes 49 Democrats and two independents who are aligned with the Democratic caucus

(Excerpt) Read more at latimes.com ...


TOPICS: Editorial; Politics/Elections; US: Mississippi; US: North Carolina
KEYWORDS: 110th; 2008; electioncongress; elections; electionussenate; senate
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1 posted on 07/06/2008 9:14:02 AM PDT by shrinkermd
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To: shrinkermd
Meanwhile as many as 1/3rd of Hillary's female supporters say they will stay home before voting for Obama.
2 posted on 07/06/2008 9:15:50 AM PDT by gov_bean_ counter ( Who is America's George Galloway?)
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To: shrinkermd

An Obambi presidency with 60+ ‘Rat Senators would be just the right prescription for those who only want to punish the GOP in 2008. We’d be in great shape in 4-8 years when the conservative reaction sets in......


3 posted on 07/06/2008 9:19:53 AM PDT by Enchante (OBAMA: "That's not the Wesley Clark I knew!")
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To: shrinkermd

Questions:

Are the republicans being replaced liberal or conservative?

Are the democrat candidates liberal or conservative?

I am a republican, but I’ll vote for a conservative candidate from either party.


4 posted on 07/06/2008 9:20:12 AM PDT by chainsaw ( No racist radical Muslims in the WH)
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To: shrinkermd
Personally, I think they are full of wishful hoping. I think when the elections are over, they will be proved wrong. I think the country is ready for a change, but just not the change the MSM wants. I think the public is sick and tired of the dims in congress trampling all over us.

Time will tell, as it always does.

5 posted on 07/06/2008 9:22:18 AM PDT by basil (Support the Second Amendment-buy another gun today!)
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To: shrinkermd

The McCain effect: McCain will depress GOP turnout and we will see record black turnout. This is the consequence of nominating the party’s maverick as its standard bearer.


6 posted on 07/06/2008 9:23:55 AM PDT by kabar
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To: shrinkermd

If the Senate turnover is that bad the RINOs will have nobody but themselves to blame. It’s obvious they don’t give a damn about us but you would think they would care about holding on to their power. They are too stupid to do either.


7 posted on 07/06/2008 9:24:37 AM PDT by Oshkalaboomboom
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To: chainsaw

At least in Mississippi, Musgrove is a strong social conservative in that he is against gay marriage, for the public display of “In God We Trust” and for the public display of the Ten Commandments.

You are, though, on to something. In Minnesota, the losses have been to more conservative Democrats. Seemingly, being prolife and anti gay marriage is enough for some to switch allegiances to the RATS.


8 posted on 07/06/2008 9:25:52 AM PDT by shrinkermd
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To: shrinkermd

Michael Dukakis led by 28% in 1988—do these a$$es never tire of propogandizing and manipulation?


9 posted on 07/06/2008 9:25:52 AM PDT by richardtavor (Pray for the peace of Jerusalem in the name of the G-d of Jacob)
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To: shrinkermd

Fat Teddy won’t be in it.


10 posted on 07/06/2008 9:30:06 AM PDT by Blogatron (Brought to you by The American Frog Council - "Frog; The other green meat.")
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To: shrinkermd

Social conservatives are not the same as fiscal conservatives who are not the same as limited government conservatives and who are not the same as security types.

There are certainly people who fall into more than one category though.


11 posted on 07/06/2008 9:31:38 AM PDT by misterrob (Obama-Does America Need Another Jimmy Carter?)
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To: chainsaw
Aaaahh. The problem is that the Dems, running as Conservative Dems, will not vote Conservative after being elected. Wake up! Look at Casey in Pennsylvania. He beat Santorum by running to the right of him. Casey has been a strong Dem voice since entering the Senate.
12 posted on 07/06/2008 9:33:07 AM PDT by originalbuckeye
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To: misterrob

Quite right, and if I must choose, I will vote for a fiscal conservative over a social conservative. A fiscal conservative is most often a constitutional loyalist and won’t support funding gov’t intervention in social issues.


13 posted on 07/06/2008 9:36:03 AM PDT by DesertDreamer ("I don't believe in a government that protects us from ourselves." - Ronald Reagan)
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To: shrinkermd

With a black socialist at the top of their ticket, the Dims will lose, with Obama pulling down every Dim candidate. McCain will win and the losses in the Senate and House will be much smaller than predicted. There may even be some Republican gains in Congress.


14 posted on 07/06/2008 9:39:40 AM PDT by FFranco
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To: Oshkalaboomboom

Virginia will likely replace a RINO with a liberal Dem even though he’s running against a conservative Republican.


15 posted on 07/06/2008 9:40:12 AM PDT by gracesdad
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To: misterrob

Amazing how Ronald Reagan brought those groups together, but how the securit/social types have gone left and decided that Big Government is the way to go. It would be wonderful to have someone pull things back together—Ronald Reagan’s message was clear and simple—but I wonder if it’s too far gone. FR seems to indicate that many feel that “conservatism” is just another form of liberalism, and that we need to government as a big solution-creator.


16 posted on 07/06/2008 9:41:30 AM PDT by Gondring (I'll give up my right to die when hell freezes over my dead body!)
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To: gracesdad
Virginia will likely replace a RINO with a liberal Dem even though he’s running against a conservative Republican.

Stop with the facts! You're interfere with the Ostrich Brigade's cry that everything is fine.

17 posted on 07/06/2008 9:42:35 AM PDT by Gondring (I'll give up my right to die when hell freezes over my dead body!)
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To: shrinkermd

I think Elizabth Dole (NC) is in trouble too.


18 posted on 07/06/2008 9:43:17 AM PDT by kalee
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To: chainsaw

Any Democrat elected to the Senate, no matter how conservative s/he appears in the election, would serve to further empower Reid and the Democrat committee chairs. Imagine a veto-proof President Obama.

Webb in VA ran as a conservative, Casey in PA ran as a conservative. When they get to Washington they are told what to do and how to vote, and they dare not act in any other way if they seek certain committee appointments or any other perks of power that would be Reid’s to impart.


19 posted on 07/06/2008 9:48:28 AM PDT by EDINVA (Proud American for 23,062 days.... and counting!)
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To: DesertDreamer
Quite right, and if I must choose, I will vote for a fiscal conservative over a social conservative. A fiscal conservative is most often a constitutional loyalist and won’t support funding gov’t intervention in social issues.

Me too. I will vote for the most fiscal conservative running - no matter what party they belong to. At least with someone who is fiscally conservative - you get rid of a lot of the socially liberal crap programs. This is where the current GOP has screwed up royally - they spend like liberals, and it will cost them the election this time around, I'm afraid.

There are no coat-tails to ride on this year.

20 posted on 07/06/2008 9:54:21 AM PDT by alicewonders (I'm a conservative, and I'm hated by the GOP & the Dems - I must be doing something right!)
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To: Oshkalaboomboom

You said it in a nutshell, and very well too.


21 posted on 07/06/2008 9:56:58 AM PDT by mass55th
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To: All

It would be very easy to right the ship and avoid the losses being predicted. March to this drumbeat: “drill here, drill now”....


22 posted on 07/06/2008 10:01:59 AM PDT by Maverick68 (w)
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To: mass55th

Well, if things pan out as the trend is going, and the Dems. get to 57 or 58 in the Senate, then thank God for the filibuster rule in the Seante.

In retrospect, maybe it was a good thing that the Republicans didn’t pull the trigger on the “nuclear option” on the judicial confirmations in the spring of ‘05. If they had been able to vote to ban the filibuster for judges then, it may have led the way to banning the filibuster for other things too.

If we have a President Obama, Democrat House, and Democrat Senate, then the filibuster will be the key weapon to keep President Obama from going too far left.


23 posted on 07/06/2008 10:11:36 AM PDT by Dilbert San Diego
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To: chainsaw
There is no such thing as a conservative Democrat. There are those Democrats who pose as conservatives to fool two knuckle deep nose pickers but the moment they get in office they vote liberal.

You don't belong to a party you don't agree with, and the Dems are socialist to the core.

24 posted on 07/06/2008 10:11:57 AM PDT by IrishCatholic (No local communist or socialist party chapter? Join the Democrats, it's the same thing.)
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To: richardtavor
Michael Dukakis led by 28% in 1988—do these a$$es never tire of propogandizing and manipulation?

Yes, but then, we had the great Lee Atwater. Who are the clowns running Mac's campaign now?

25 posted on 07/06/2008 10:12:03 AM PDT by nwrep (Obama - the first Mohammedan to run for the White House)
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To: Enchante
We’d be in great shape in 4-8 years when the conservative reaction sets in......

The first thing that Obama would do is enact a new fairness doctrine into law. That would make Talk radio and Internet sites like FR illegal. They would make Hate Speech a crime. Hate speech would be defined as criticising the goverment or elected officals.

Those too young or ignorant to remember, need to learn that during WWII Franklin Roosevelt got a law passed saying all stories on WWII had to be approved by Censors appointed by Roosevelt. The punishment for airing a war story that was not approved by the censors was death by firing squad. I'll bet you are suprised to know there were no stories critical of WWII during WWII.

They tell us how popular WWII was.. But no censor would approve of any story that did not praise the way the war was being waged.

Then during the VietNam war LBJ had enacted what he called the Fairness Doctrine. That meant before you could air a radio or tv editoral on an "issue of public importance" the station had to find people who were opposed to that position and give them all equal time.. They had to get equal time at the same time the editorial aired.

But what if you failed to find or even know about a differing opinon and did not put that opinion on the air at the same time as the editoria aired. Then you were in violation of the Fairness doctrine. The punishment were fines and prison terms.

But what were the issues of public importance. They would not tell a station until after they aired the report. And what was not an issue of public importance yesterday, could be today.. there was no way to tell before the report was aired.

Reagan managed to get the fairness doctrine over turned. The Rush Limbaugh show was illegal in 1986. Rush would have been put in prison for what he now does every day.

This time they will apply it not only to radio and Tv But to the internet as well. That means before you could post on FR you would need to find all the people opposed to your post and post them all on at the same time you posted yours. Allowing all people to give their views did not comply with the fairness doctrice. You had to find them first. Get their views and you had to post them with yours.

That would make FR liberal posts out number conservative posts by about 5 to 1. Plus in less than a week Jim Rob would be in prison as would those foolish enough to post their views.

Does anyone with a brain not believe that Obama would not make free speech in opposition to his administration into HATE SPEACH and punish it into non existance? Some don't think he would. They are ignorant of the past.

They have to be ignorant of what people from the middle east do.

Like the Soviet Union we might get rid of the oppression of free speech in say 70 or 80 years. But not likely before then.

People who think.. let them take over and then we will get it back, are thinking like those that let Hitler take over Germany. They were sure than in a short time they would be back in power. But Hitlers firing squads brought that possibility to an end.

Those that think they can watchObama failand get rejected by the people are ingnorant of history. Obama defines failure as your surviving his first attack.. but not his second.

26 posted on 07/06/2008 10:12:14 AM PDT by Common Tator
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To: kalee

She is. Dole’s opponent is running on a stong anti-illegal immigration policy claiming that Dole has not been tough enough!!!


27 posted on 07/06/2008 10:13:48 AM PDT by kabar
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To: shrinkermd
The modern Republican party =

Clown Shoes!

28 posted on 07/06/2008 10:13:50 AM PDT by jaz.357 (the best in a war, very dangerous otherwise.)
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To: shrinkermd

So the people in Mississippi really likes $5/gal gasoline I guesss.


29 posted on 07/06/2008 10:15:31 AM PDT by Mogollon ($5/gal Gas....Kick the Jacka$$es Out!)
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To: Dilbert San Diego
In retrospect, maybe it was a good thing that the Republicans didn’t pull the trigger on the “nuclear option” on the judicial confirmations in the spring of ‘05. If they had been able to vote to ban the filibuster for judges then, it may have led the way to banning the filibuster for other things too.

The Dems can change the rules in a heartbeat. They just might if they have 57 or 58 senators and the MSM will support them.

30 posted on 07/06/2008 10:15:55 AM PDT by kabar
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To: shrinkermd
For Republicans, the Senate outlook is bad

If Gordon Smith's campaign in Oregon, where he is running ads touting his work with Obama and his eagerness to "reach across the aisle" to "get things done", is any indication, the GOP's problems (and the country's) are worse than anyone can imagine.

31 posted on 07/06/2008 10:16:28 AM PDT by Lancey Howard
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To: kalee

Elizabeth voted against drilling as well... to save the tourist industry in NC. but alas no gas... no tourists..


32 posted on 07/06/2008 10:16:44 AM PDT by JoanneSD (illegals represented without taxation.. Americans taxed without representation)
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To: Enchante
An Obambi presidency with 60+ ‘Rat Senators would be just the right prescription for those who only want to punish the GOP in 2008. We’d be in great shape in 4-8 years when the conservative reaction sets in......

While what you say sounds good, the historical facts show that once various programs are enacted and put in place, even a Republican majority in Congress and a Republican President are not able to reverse the damages inflicted upon the country.

33 posted on 07/06/2008 10:17:22 AM PDT by TennTuxedo
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To: kabar
and the MSM will support them

OF COURSE, the Democrat newsrooms will support them.

34 posted on 07/06/2008 10:17:33 AM PDT by Lancey Howard
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To: shrinkermd

We are in the early innings of the endgame for nanny state welfare societies. The social welfare society is already breaking down in Europe and the US is close on it’s heels. I’m just as happy to have Democrats in control as it all comes crashing down. It ain’t gonna be pretty, but it’s coming.


35 posted on 07/06/2008 10:21:27 AM PDT by jsh3180
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To: shrinkermd

They will run Democrats that claim to be “conservatives”, but when they get to the House and Senate, they will vote with Pelosi and Reid every step of the way. After pulling this in the ‘06 election, it’s such a transparent bait and switch that only the most ignorant voters would fall for it again.


36 posted on 07/06/2008 10:22:06 AM PDT by kittymyrib
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To: Dilbert San Diego

Very good point.


37 posted on 07/06/2008 10:22:48 AM PDT by mass55th
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To: gov_bean_ counter

It’s early days yet, just be patient, I have a feeling Obama is going to say or do something that will sink the boat he is floating on. He has flip-flopped majorly in this past week, hope he keeps up the good work and his ship sinks.


38 posted on 07/06/2008 10:23:15 AM PDT by Sadie5
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To: gov_bean_ counter
Meanwhile as many as 1/3rd of Hillary's female supporters say they will stay home before voting for Obama.

That's not as many people as it would appear.

Hillary got around 18 million votes. Assume 70% were women (considerably higher than reality, especially factoring in Operation Chaos). That's 12.6 million. 1/3 of them is 4.2 million voters, divided across the country.

That's 4.2 million voters out of more than 120 million who voted in 2004.

Now the polls I've seen were all taken right after Hillary dropped out, which is probably when emotions were at their height. My guess is that a substantial percentage of that 4.2 million will probably hold their noses and vote for BO, the same conclusion Republicans who said they'd never vote for McCain are reaching.

39 posted on 07/06/2008 10:25:01 AM PDT by Alter Kaker (Gravitation is a theory, not a fact. It should be approached with an open mind...)
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To: Enchante

It will truly be TOO LATE in 4-8 years! The Fairness Doctrine being fully implemented and illegal immigrants being given the legal right to vote in all future U.S. elections will both help to kill off all of U.S. conservatism forever! This optimism of “just wait two to eight years and then conservatism will make a great comeback” is NUTS, and too many people still don’t see the full calibur of long-term damage that a majority of socialistic politicians will truly create throughout the U.S. when they really do have majority power and nobody to stop them!


40 posted on 07/06/2008 10:28:28 AM PDT by johnthebaptistmoore (Vote for conservatives AT ALL POLITICAL LEVELS! Encourage all others to do the same on November 4!)
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To: chainsaw
>>>>>I am a republican, but I’ll vote for a conservative candidate from either party.

That is an oxymoron. There is no longer such thing as a conservative Democrat. One of the last ones seen alive was Strom Thurmond, but that ended in 1964.

41 posted on 07/06/2008 10:29:15 AM PDT by Reagan Man ( McCain Wants My Conservative Vote in November --- EARN IT or NO DEAL !!!)
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To: shrinkermd
Democrats are running strong Senate campaigns in states such as Mississippi, Alaska and North Carolina that Republicans have long taken for granted.

The Republican party is run by arrogant idiots.

42 posted on 07/06/2008 10:29:22 AM PDT by LiberConservative ("Typical" White Guy)
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To: Mogollon
[So the people in Mississippi really likes $5/gal gasoline I guesss.]

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

LOL.

You guess they do, because some leftist scribler at the L.A. Times says so?

Order up an FR coffee cup, and have a hot cup of black java my FRiend.

Such reporting is the regular template from the lefties prior to every election. They have all their “Doom and gloom for the Republicans!” stories saved, and just call them up, change some names, and publish them in the hopes of demoralizing Republicans.

Don't fall for such baloney.

43 posted on 07/06/2008 10:31:41 AM PDT by Col Freeper (FR is a smorgasbord of Conservative thoughts and ideas - dig in and enjoy it to its fullest!)
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To: Enchante
We’d be in great shape in 4-8 years when the conservative reaction sets in......

Look how well it worked after the 1930 Congressional elections; The GOP remained in the minority for two decades.

44 posted on 07/06/2008 10:39:15 AM PDT by TonyInOhio (our Lives, our Fortunes and our sacred Honor.)
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To: kabar

But, since the Dems. were strongly opposed to changing the filibuster rules in ‘05, how could they justify changing it in ‘09 assuming that they have increased numbers in the Senate? Wouldn’t it be an obvious power grab if they tried to do it, after so strongly opposing it when Republicans were in charge?


45 posted on 07/06/2008 10:43:27 AM PDT by Dilbert San Diego
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To: Enchante
An Obambi presidency with 60+ ‘Rat Senators would be just the right prescription for those who only want to punish the GOP in 2008. We’d be in great shape in 4-8 years when the conservative reaction sets in......

Yeah, and 2-3 fresh Ruth Ginsbergs on the SCOTUS for the next 30-40 years? No thanks. Vote McCain or we are f**ked.

46 posted on 07/06/2008 10:46:28 AM PDT by montag813
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To: chainsaw
I am a republican, but I’ll vote for a conservative candidate from either party.

Jim Webb is pro-gun and pro-life. Would you support him? Ben Nelson? It just doesn't work.

47 posted on 07/06/2008 10:47:17 AM PDT by montag813
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To: shrinkermd

This is typical LA times meant to depress Republicans and embolden Democrats. This is far too early to give up any ground. What should be the discussion is how do we stop these dire liberal predictions from becoming true? Get out there and promote conservatives who are running for Senate. We whine about not having conservatives in the Senate, well we have many running this go round. Jim Gilmore in Virginia, Jim Risch in Idaho, Bob Schaffer in Colorado, and on and on. Elections are only won by chance when you refuse to fight. Conservatives should not be retreating. Liberalism has not won the day in the hearts and minds of Americans. It is the message that has become clouded. Liberals win when no one knows what they really stand for and Conservative lose for the same reason. We probably have the most conservative slate of Republicans running for the Senate in a long time.
Do we give up because the Los Angeles Times says all is lost? I think not.


48 posted on 07/06/2008 10:47:22 AM PDT by Maelstorm (They will take our guns, take our money, take our children, and take our right to disagree.)
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To: montag813

Good point about the courts. The next president will almost certainly have two appointments to the Supreme Court, and maybe more. Who would you rather appoint the successors to John Paul Stevens and Ruth Bader Ginsburg, as they almost certainly will retire in the next four years?


49 posted on 07/06/2008 10:50:37 AM PDT by Dilbert San Diego
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To: shrinkermd
Yes of course Mississippi will elect a democrat. He'll campaign with barack mcgovern from top to bottom. Yes of course. Is this guy on drugs?
50 posted on 07/06/2008 10:51:47 AM PDT by jmaroneps37 (Conservatism is truth. Liberalism is lies.)
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