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Oregon Senate poll: Merkley(RAT), 43%; Smith, 41%
The Oregonian ^ | 7-16-08 | bsherman

Posted on 07/16/2008 9:19:03 PM PDT by Impy

Democratic Senate candidate Jeff Merkley is excited by a new poll that for the first time shows him ahead of Republican Sen. Gordon Smith - even if the two-point lead is well within the survey's margin of error. Jeff Merkley

"The fact that we're in the lead is tremendous," said Merkley spokesman Matt Canter, saying he thinks that's probably the first time Smith has found himself in such a position in his nearly 12 years in the Senate.

However, Smith's own pollster, Bob Moore, said he didn't trust the methodology of the poll by Rasmussen Reports. It uses an automated voice system to question respondents, which he called a "flawed methodology."

Still, Rasmussen and the other big automated polltaker, SurveyUSA, have had a pretty decent track record in predicting races and are becoming increasingly accepted in political circles. If nothing else, the survey will undoubtedly get passed around political circles as evidence of the strength of Merkley's challenge against Smith.

The July 15 telephone survey of 500 respondents found 43 percent for Merkley and 41 percent for Smith, with a margin of error of 4.5 percentage points. If voters leaning to one

(Excerpt) Read more at oregonlive.com ...


TOPICS:
KEYWORDS: electioncongress; electionussenate; gordonsmith; leninism; merkley; or2008; oregon; rino; sheeple; voterignorance
Not cool. Senate elections could be a bloodbath.
1 posted on 07/16/2008 9:19:04 PM PDT by Impy
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To: fieldmarshaldj; Clintonfatigued

Another article says this poll is first Smith has ever trailed in. This could be ‘58 all over again.


2 posted on 07/16/2008 9:21:56 PM PDT by Impy (Hey Barack, you're ugly and your wife smells.)
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To: Impy

The Rats are doing a pretty good job of shooting themselves in the foot by refusing to lift the off-shore drilling ban.

That’s the only real hope for Republicans this year.

Agreed though, this is not good.


3 posted on 07/16/2008 9:35:11 PM PDT by goawaylibs
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To: Impy

Which one is the republican?


4 posted on 07/16/2008 9:43:32 PM PDT by darkangel82 (If you're not part of the solution, you are part of the problem. (Say no to RINOs))
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To: Impy

as long as we lose rinos I really dont care. the gop didnt even bother to run a candidate for arkansas’ 2nd district.


5 posted on 07/16/2008 9:44:21 PM PDT by Liberty2007 (Here's Dr. Savage's analysis on the POTUS race"The Afro-Leninist vs The Sarcophogus)
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To: Impy
Merkley


6 posted on 07/16/2008 9:48:10 PM PDT by Charles Henrickson (Now listen, Dmitri. . . .)
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To: Liberty2007
dec 2006 senator gordon smith :

Gordon Smith, R-Or, spoke on the Senate floor today and said it was time to bring the troops home from Iraq. "I, for one, am at the end of my rope." Senator Smith said. Kieth Olbermann had a great quote in his newscast "Countdown." He said "Mr. Smith goes to....his conscience." Senator Smith continued saying "We have paid a price in blood and treasure." He also stated "I've tried to be a good soldier" but expressed that he could no longer. Of the way the war has been waged by the President thus far he said "that is absurd. It may even be criminal. I cannot support that anymore." Thank you very much, Mr. Smith. He also said we need to find a way to fight the war on terror, "and do it right." Sounds quite abit like what John Kerry has been saying.

No loss good riddence with thee.

7 posted on 07/16/2008 9:48:42 PM PDT by Liberty2007 (Here's Dr. Savage's analysis on the POTUS race"The Afro-Leninist vs The Sarcophogus)
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To: goawaylibs

Smith opposes drilling in ANWR, and, I think, probably offshore too. He has been increasingly a RINO, and so the base may just skip the Senate race as a result.


8 posted on 07/16/2008 9:56:11 PM PDT by B Knotts (Calvin Coolidge Republican)
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To: darkangel82

It’s hard to tell from their records. Ssmith has an (R) by his name but I don’t think it really has any legs.


9 posted on 07/16/2008 9:59:15 PM PDT by oldfart (The most dangerous man is the one who has nothing left to lose.)
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To: Impy

Smith is a sellout valueless scum bag....I’d rather have Joe Stalin as my Senator.


10 posted on 07/16/2008 9:59:48 PM PDT by Archie Bunker on steroids (The Cold War; trillions of dollars over 45 years to protect our country from what we have become)
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To: Impy

When you have to choose between an anti-war, anti-drilling Dem and an anti-war, anti-drilling RhinoCrat go with the real Rat. Good Riddance Gordon.

Pray for W and Our Troops


11 posted on 07/16/2008 9:59:50 PM PDT by bray (Drill Congress!!)
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To: Liberty2007

Yeah it is a loss. Socialist scum are worse. They could gain a 60 seat majority.


12 posted on 07/16/2008 10:02:33 PM PDT by Impy (Hey Barack, you're ugly and your wife smells.)
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To: Impy

If that happens it won’t matter who is President.


13 posted on 07/16/2008 10:11:28 PM PDT by originalbuckeye
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To: Impy

Gut tells me Smith will still pull it out.


14 posted on 07/16/2008 10:25:38 PM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (~"This is what happens when you find a stranger in the Alps !"~~)
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To: AdmSmith; Berosus; Convert from ECUSA; dervish; Ernest_at_the_Beach; Fred Nerks; george76; ...
Republican Sen. Gordon Smith's own pollster, Bob Moore, said he didn't trust the methodology of the poll by Rasmussen Reports.
It's Oregon, and the Pubbie call for drilling is bound to have some impact.
15 posted on 07/16/2008 10:38:37 PM PDT by SunkenCiv (https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate/_________________________Profile updated Friday, May 30, 2008)
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To: Impy

uhm no


16 posted on 07/16/2008 11:27:52 PM PDT by Global2010 (OKIE DOKIE)
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To: darkangel82

Lmao


17 posted on 07/16/2008 11:28:57 PM PDT by Global2010 (OKIE DOKIE)
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To: SunkenCiv

Don’t kid yourself. Oregonians do not like walking long distances in the rain or snow any more than folks from other states. I’ve been up here since 1969, moved from Oregon across the Columbia River to Washington in 1999.


18 posted on 07/16/2008 11:31:07 PM PDT by SatinDoll (Desperately desiring a conservative government.)
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To: Archie Bunker on steroids

Spot On!


19 posted on 07/16/2008 11:31:17 PM PDT by Global2010 (OKIE DOKIE)
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To: bray

hey yeah


20 posted on 07/16/2008 11:34:23 PM PDT by Global2010 (OKIE DOKIE)
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To: Impy

Gordon Smith (a disgusting ACU rating of 48 in 2007 and a pitiful 72 lifetime) is running ads touting how well he has worked with Obama and his desire to “reach across the aisle” to “get things done”.

Instead of standing up for winning conservative ideas and principles, he’s running from the Democrat newsrooms like a coward. He’s portraying himself as “liberal lite”. I have never seen that embarrassing campaign tactic work, not once. Liberals figure they may as well just vote for the liberal, and conservatives stay home.

Personally, I won’t be sorry to see Smith go.


21 posted on 07/16/2008 11:41:20 PM PDT by Lancey Howard
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To: fieldmarshaldj

I think he will pull it out, too.

I still don’t like him, though.


22 posted on 07/16/2008 11:48:13 PM PDT by dixiechick2000 (Between Barack and a hard place...)
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To: SatinDoll

If they vote in more Demwits, they should get used to it. ;’)


23 posted on 07/16/2008 11:50:01 PM PDT by SunkenCiv (https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate/_________________________Profile updated Friday, May 30, 2008)
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To: SunkenCiv
"It's Oregon, and the Pubbie call for drilling is bound to have some impact."


In what context do you mean?

As an Oregonian, I'm all for drilling.

There are others who disagree...

24 posted on 07/16/2008 11:50:34 PM PDT by dixiechick2000 (Between Barack and a hard place...)
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To: SatinDoll

You’re right.

I just wish they would let me pump my own gas like 48 of the other states.

Or, in Obama’s world, that would be 55 of the other states. ;o)


25 posted on 07/16/2008 11:52:30 PM PDT by dixiechick2000 (Between Barack and a hard place...)
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To: Lancey Howard

As a patron of his during his first run, I’m embarrassed with him, too.

I will never support him again.

He’s not even Dem Lite...he’s the real deal, now.


26 posted on 07/16/2008 11:55:26 PM PDT by dixiechick2000 (Between Barack and a hard place...)
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To: darkangel82

Smith is the Rhino. He used to be a conservative republican, but he has been spending too much time with his Socialist colleague Ron Wyden. I’ve voted for him every time, but in the primary I voted for some kook (that had no chance) as a protest vote. Like McCain, I will likely plug my nose and vote for Smith because Merkley is just part of the festering democratic establishment that is turning Oregon into a Socialist POS state.


27 posted on 07/17/2008 12:08:09 AM PDT by LayoutGuru2 (Know the difference between honoring diversity and honoring perversity? No? You must be a liberal!)
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To: Global2010

You think the Senate elections will go well?


28 posted on 07/17/2008 2:15:31 AM PDT by Impy (Hey Barack, you're ugly and your wife smells.)
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To: Impy

Darn. A RINO is going down. You have to hate that. He should have voted to drill in ANWR but he stuck with McFlap, that’ll get you in trouble.


29 posted on 07/17/2008 2:44:51 AM PDT by personalaccts (Is George W going to protect the border?)
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To: personalaccts

Yes no matter his possible replacement is 20 times worse and could get entrenched and be there 30 years.....


30 posted on 07/17/2008 3:21:13 AM PDT by Impy (Hey Barack, you're ugly and your wife smells.)
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To: Impy

Not sure.

I tell ya one thing though the Gorden Smith tv ad where he invokes Obama as a guy he can work well with just does not feel right in my gut.

When it came out Merkley got irked and made a media announcement to let everyone know that Obama is backing him not Gordon.

Gordon didnt claim Obama was backing him but the add did come acrowss that way.

Speaking of on tv right now Gordon has a new ad anti Merkley flashing passed legislation votes (too fast to see what it is) claiming Merkley increased tax hikes 44%.

Oh how I wonder where the Gordon Smith we use to know as a hard core Christian Conservative went.

The guy is still gotta there but had to come to the middle or he would not have gotten elected.


31 posted on 07/17/2008 6:04:33 AM PDT by Global2010 (OKIE DOKIE)
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To: LayoutGuru2
Merkley is just part of the festering democratic establishment that is turning Oregon into a Socialist POS state.

I thought it already was a Socialist POS state

32 posted on 07/17/2008 6:06:45 AM PDT by Liberty2007 (Here's Dr. Savage's analysis on the POTUS race"The Afro-Leninist vs The Sarcophogus)
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To: dixiechick2000

Demwits, and the rain forest republicans (I just made that up, but it sounds like a cool pejorative), will oppose any possibility of offshore drilling off Oregon.


33 posted on 07/17/2008 11:52:58 AM PDT by SunkenCiv (https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate/_________________________Profile updated Friday, May 30, 2008)
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To: Impy; Salvation

I’ll have to see some other polls before I’m convinved of this.


34 posted on 07/17/2008 7:12:40 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued (If Islam conquers the world, the Earth will be at peace because the human race will be killed off.)
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To: fieldmarshaldj

Sorry, I beg to differ. I am from Oregon. Smith is toast unless he is endorsed by his friend Ron Wyden!!


35 posted on 07/18/2008 6:14:28 AM PDT by nwrep (Obama - the first Mohammedan to run for the White House)
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To: nwrep

We shall see. It’s interesting that sometimes Senators get along better when they’re from opposite parties. When you have 2 of the same party, they tend to get rather competitive with one another. For example, in NJ, it was well known how much Torricelli and Lautenberg hated each other despite the fact their voting records were identical.


36 posted on 07/18/2008 12:36:12 PM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (~"This is what happens when you find a stranger in the Alps !"~~)
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To: fieldmarshaldj

Smith and Wyden basically *are* in the same party.


37 posted on 07/18/2008 3:22:43 PM PDT by darkangel82 (If you're not part of the solution, you are part of the problem. (Say no to RINOs))
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