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'Maverick' McCain Loses Middle As Conservatives Also Hold Back (IBD Poll)
Investor's Business Daily ^ | July 16, 2008 | Investor's Business Daily

Posted on 07/16/2008 10:39:35 PM PDT by FocusNexus

Despite worsening economic conditions and a news backdrop that supposedly favors Democrats, presumed Republican standard-bearer John McCain remains only 3 points behind rival Barack Obama in the latest IBD/TIPP Poll.

But the poll also shows McCain isn't pulling as well as expected from the independents and moderates to whom his "maverick" reputation was thought to appeal. He also has yet to close the sale with his party's conservative base.

Compared with the 78% support that McCain has with Republicans in general, conservatives back him by 67%, with 17% still undecided. Obama polls 13% among conservatives.

In sharp contrast, liberals favor Obama by 85%-7% , with just 4% of them undecided.

(Excerpt) Read more at investors.com ...


TOPICS: Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2008polls; conservatives; electionpresident; elections; ibd; ibdpoll; mavericks; mccain; mccainlist; mccaintruthfile; obama; obamacons; poll; rino
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I keep marveling at those 13% of "conservatives" who plan to actually vote for Obama.

1 posted on 07/16/2008 10:39:38 PM PDT by FocusNexus
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To: FocusNexus

An excellent post. Very informative.


2 posted on 07/16/2008 10:42:45 PM PDT by Luke21
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To: FocusNexus

3 posted on 07/16/2008 10:42:45 PM PDT by BenLurkin
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To: FocusNexus
Obama polls 13% among conservatives.

I don't believe those are really conservatives .

4 posted on 07/16/2008 10:44:00 PM PDT by oldbrowser (It's not an energy crisis, it's a worthless politicians crisis.)
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To: FocusNexus

In other news, avowed traitors favor Obambi, 100% - Zero.

Implicit traitors (not quite openly boasting of the fact) also favor Obambi, 100% to Zero.


5 posted on 07/16/2008 10:45:22 PM PDT by Enchante (BILL AYERS: "Now THESE are the Obamas I knew! Thank you, New Yorker, for showing my real friends!")
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I guess I can understand a conservative not voting for McCain...sit at home or vote for Barr or something.

But how could you vote FOR Obama and still call yourself a conservative? Are some people so mad they will vote FOR Obama just to stick it to the GOP and American public?


6 posted on 07/16/2008 10:46:22 PM PDT by Crimson Elephant
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To: All

p.s. For any liberal lurkers who have trouble with logic or set theory, I assert that all traitors favor Obama. That does not imply that all Obama supporters are traitors...... although there is some overlap.


7 posted on 07/16/2008 10:47:06 PM PDT by Enchante (BILL AYERS: "Now THESE are the Obamas I knew! Thank you, New Yorker, for showing my real friends!")
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To: oldbrowser; pissant

See this article, posted by pissant:

I’m a lifelong conservative activist and I’m backing Barack Obama (by Larry Hunter)

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2046715/posts

“I’m a lifelong Republican - a supply-side conservative. I worked in the Reagan White House. I was the chief economist at the U.S. Chamber of Commerce for five years. In 1994, I helped write the Republican Contract with America. I served on Bob Dole’s presidential campaign team and was chief economist for Jack Kemp’s Empower America.

This November, I’m voting for Barack Obama. “


8 posted on 07/16/2008 10:47:19 PM PDT by FocusNexus ("Winning isn't everything, it's the only thing." -- Vince Lombardi)
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To: rabscuttle385; indylindy; Ingtar; calcowgirl; Ricebug; KentTrappedInLiberalSeattle; Sybeck1; ...
But the poll also shows McCain isn't pulling as well as expected from the independents and moderates to whom his "maverick" reputation was thought to appeal. He also has yet to close the sale with his party's conservative base.
That's what he gets for stabbing his own in the back.

The Just Say No to Juan McCain Ping List.

To join: FReepmail rabscuttle385 to subscribe or to unsubscribe from this ping list.

This can be a very high-volume ping list at times.

We are exploring giving subscribers two different options for receiving pings: either to individual threads or to a single "digested" thread at the end of each calendar day. FReepmail rabscuttle385 if you are interested in receiving one or the other.

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Republican Commissar’s Warning: By joining this ping list, you may be subjected to the irrational rants and ramblings of McCainiacs, of "moderate" Republicans, of deeply confused conservatives resigned to voting for the lesser of two Democrats, and of countless trolls who simply want to meet a new overlord.


9 posted on 07/16/2008 10:47:53 PM PDT by rabscuttle385 (Bulls and bears make money. Pigs get slaughtered.)
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To: Enchante

“In other news, avowed traitors favor Obambi, 100% - Zero.”

And all enemies of America, including terrorists, favor B. Hussein 100% to zero.


10 posted on 07/16/2008 10:48:57 PM PDT by FocusNexus ("Winning isn't everything, it's the only thing." -- Vince Lombardi)
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To: Crimson Elephant
Are some people so mad they will vote FOR Obama just to stick it to the GOP and American public?

Well, some folks are mavericks. Case in point: John McCain.

But how could you vote FOR Obama and still call yourself a conservative?

I would not vote for Obama, no matter how pissed off I was at McCain and the other statists in the Republican Party. Outright voting for Obama is just plain wrong.

11 posted on 07/16/2008 10:52:07 PM PDT by rabscuttle385 (Bulls and bears make money. Pigs get slaughtered.)
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To: rabscuttle385

You and other anti-McCain activist should read and ponder Obama’s own words. Read Obama’s speech and the thread:

Obama Remarks On Confronting Terrorist Threats (TRANSCRIPT — “must read”)

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2046488/posts

Obama wants to destroy our nuclear arsenal, disarm unilaterally, and AFTER terrorists attack us with WMD, killing untold thousands of innocents, he will trace back the source, but he will NOT preempt terrorist attacks, by killing the terrorists, BEFORE they can come and attack us.

Go ahead, stay home, vote third party and you will be responsible for Obama’s destruction of the country.


12 posted on 07/16/2008 10:54:04 PM PDT by FocusNexus ("Winning isn't everything, it's the only thing." -- Vince Lombardi)
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To: FocusNexus
This is a very interesting breakdown. My 2 cents.

There is no way 13% of conservatives will vote for Obama. This is either posturing, or people deliberately misleading the pollster on their politics.

The only way independents will vote Obama is if the GOP and McCain sit on their hands and don't aggressively attack him. He has so many vast negatives that shedding any light on them will push most independents into voting GOP.

As for the conservatives, they will come around. I've said it before - the bottom line is this election is Star Wars with Obama as the Death Star.

General Tagge: But that's impossible. How will McCain maintain control without the conservative policies?
Governor Tarkin: Fear will keep the local constituencies in line. Fear of this Obama.

13 posted on 07/16/2008 10:58:26 PM PDT by TheWasteLand
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To: Crimson Elephant

Obama most assuredly WANTS to change (damage) America more. The problem is that McCain has a solid history of actually doing the damage while Obama is mostly an ineffective talker.

Some will take that as a reason to actually vote for Obama. I would never vote for Obama but I won’t vote for McCain either.


14 posted on 07/16/2008 10:59:04 PM PDT by Harvey105
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To: FocusNexus
Go ahead, stay home, vote third party and you will be responsible for Obama’s destruction of the country.

Go ahead. Vote McCain. The rest of us know who to go after when Juan's amnesty for illegals (backed by Lindsey Graham, Ted Kennedy, and the rest of the Democrats) becomes law.

The only thing that could potentially harm this country is an apathetic electorate that is doing nothing while it sinks into the quicksand of statism. Voting for either McCain or Obama does nothing to reverse this slide.

15 posted on 07/16/2008 11:00:15 PM PDT by rabscuttle385 (Bulls and bears make money. Pigs get slaughtered.)
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To: Harvey105

“Obama is mostly an ineffective talker.”

Don’t kid yourself. Obama may be that, but he has some powerful interests behind him, may even be foreign interests — he is just a figure head.

Didn’t you notice how he defeated the “unbeatable” Clinton machinery? Aren’t you noticing the huge amount of money that is pouring into his campaign? Aren’t you wondering about all that?


16 posted on 07/16/2008 11:05:42 PM PDT by FocusNexus ("Winning isn't everything, it's the only thing." -- Vince Lombardi)
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To: FocusNexus

“Go ahead, stay home, vote third party and you will be responsible for Obama’s destruction of the country.”

Obama/Osama is not capable of the destruction of this country any more than Clinton or Carter was... Sometimes things have to bottom out.


17 posted on 07/16/2008 11:10:31 PM PDT by babygene (This Government no longer works to secure our freedoms and provide for our common defense.)
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To: Crimson Elephant

I think Iraq has much to do with conservatives voting for someone who will simply end Bush’s war.


18 posted on 07/16/2008 11:11:29 PM PDT by DoingTheFrenchMistake
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To: rabscuttle385

“The rest of us know who to go after “

Is that a threat? Are you “going to go after” those who dare to vote for McCain, instead of Obama? Are you going to track them down and “go after them”? Just exactly what do you mean by that? Are you threatening physical violence?


19 posted on 07/16/2008 11:20:38 PM PDT by FocusNexus ("Winning isn't everything, it's the only thing." -- Vince Lombardi)
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To: FocusNexus

“Maverick’ McCain Loses Middle As Conservatives Also Hold Back (IBD Poll)”

You mean screwing your base to endear yourself to the squishy middle does NOTHING but cause you to lose both?

Wow, who knew?


20 posted on 07/16/2008 11:22:10 PM PDT by Grunthor (I see you are playing stupid again. Looks like you're winning too.)
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To: FocusNexus

“You and other anti-McCain activist should read and ponder Obama’s own words. Read Obama’s speech and the thread”

Actually I’d rather hear McCain telling me why I should vote for HIM, rather than hear Obama saying why I should vote for McCain.


21 posted on 07/16/2008 11:25:28 PM PDT by Grunthor (I see you are playing stupid again. Looks like you're winning too.)
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To: DoingTheFrenchMistake

No one who loves America can vote to capitulate to islamofacist in order to “end Bush’s War.” Retarded.

btw How can McCain be only 3% behind(like Gallup and Rasmussen) and yet have such horrible internals?

Makes no sense.


22 posted on 07/16/2008 11:27:07 PM PDT by Reaganez
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To: FocusNexus

Your drama queen posturing is extremely unbecoming.


23 posted on 07/16/2008 11:27:23 PM PDT by GATOR NAVY ( Right now, the U.S. Congress is OPEC's staunchest ally. -Walter E. Williams)
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To: FocusNexus; indylindy; Grunthor
Is that a threat? Are you “going to go after” those who dare to vote for McCain, instead of Obama? Are you going to track them down and “go after them”? Just exactly what do you mean by that? Are you threatening physical violence?

Huh? You are way too paranoid (or possibly high on something) if you think I give a damn about coming after you in person.

So, no, I am not threatening physical, mental, emotional, psychological, spiritual, or any other form violence. No, you will not be waterboarded, or forced to listen to Michelle Obama droning on about how she's not proud of the United States, or exposed to Helen Thomas in person, or any number of other horrid things.

24 posted on 07/16/2008 11:27:32 PM PDT by rabscuttle385 (Bulls and bears make money. Pigs get slaughtered.)
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To: FocusNexus

fwiw, 15% of conservatives actually voted for Kerry in 2004 so Obama is actually behind his pace.


25 posted on 07/16/2008 11:28:09 PM PDT by jeltz25
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To: rabscuttle385

We will simply know who to blame when Juanitos’ “new citizens” kill and/or maim our family members.


26 posted on 07/16/2008 11:29:14 PM PDT by Grunthor (I see you are playing stupid again. Looks like you're winning too.)
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To: FocusNexus; Grunthor
We will simply know who to blame when Juanitos’ “new citizens” kill and/or maim our family members.

And yet they will still be "God's children."

27 posted on 07/16/2008 11:30:08 PM PDT by rabscuttle385 (Bulls and bears make money. Pigs get slaughtered.)
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To: FocusNexus

With Osama winning indys 42 to 28 according to the poll, I wonder how McCain is within 3 points in this poll. The sampling of Republicans must be fairly high I guess.


28 posted on 07/16/2008 11:36:37 PM PDT by cw35
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To: rabscuttle385
We will simply know who to blame when Juanitos’ “new citizens” kill and/or maim our family members.

Which will be a lot more Americans than will be killed by terrorists during the same time period. I am more afraid of the actual ongoing invasion of my Country by tens of millions of foreigners than I am of a theoretical attack by a small number of "terrorists".

29 posted on 07/17/2008 12:11:49 AM PDT by Prokopton
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To: FocusNexus
I think that would be more of a protest vote. John McCain keeps trying to court the ignorant middle - the kind of people more easily swayed by emotions than a cogent thought. You think he would have closed the sale with the base during the primaries!

"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus

30 posted on 07/17/2008 1:06:08 AM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: FocusNexus

Sorry, but Obama no more beat the Clinton machine than did Republicans nominate McCain. And it’s not over yet. That machine might still pull off a coup at the convention.

Obama talks, but accomplishes nothing and because he will be so radical, the GOP will oppose him.

McCain, otoh, sounds like a moderate but has a history of garnering liberal support for his initiatives and the pubbies fall in line (unless we threaten a march on DC with pitchforks). McCain, with GOP support and the blessing of half of the GOP rank and file will actually do more damage than Obama could ever hope to do.

Look at what happened to socialized medicine when the clintons tried to hammer it through. It got trampled. What happened when Bush wanted to enact just part of her plan — half of the rank and file praised Bush just because it was a pubbie initiative.

Bush’s liberal (or just plain bone-headed) moves tore the right apart. McCain will destroy what’s left of it.

I won’t vote for Obama, but I will not be guilted, shamed, or scared into voting for McCain.


31 posted on 07/17/2008 1:34:59 AM PDT by Harvey105
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To: FocusNexus
Obama polls 13% among conservatives.

"I'd buy that for a dollar!"

32 posted on 07/17/2008 1:54:39 AM PDT by Caipirabob (Communists... Socialists... Democrats...Traitors... Who can tell the difference?)
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To: FocusNexus

I suspect those 13% are actually Bob Barr supporters. I would like to see the questions asked, and the order in which they were asked. If the given answers were only McCain or Obama, I can see where there would be confusion.

I can also see a scenario where those 13% don’t know the meaning of the word “Conservative”, thanks to our educational system.

Or maybe a combination of the two.


33 posted on 07/17/2008 2:30:14 AM PDT by wolfpat (If you don't like the Patriot Act, you're really gonna hate Sharia Law.)
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To: FocusNexus

“Go ahead, stay home, vote third party and you will be responsible for Obama’s destruction of the country.”

If I stay home or vote for “none of the above” it will be the Republican Party’s fault. I had no choice in choosing the candidate of their party.

Place your guilt trip on the RINOs, not the conservative voter.


34 posted on 07/17/2008 3:38:51 AM PDT by CenTex (Texas has a governor for sale... Make an offer...)
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To: FocusNexus
Obama will probably get most of the black Republican vote. Several prominent black 'conservatives'/Republicans have indicated they may vote for him. They are not going let voting for the first real black go by without them voting for him.

Compared with the 78% support that McCain has with Republicans in general, conservatives back him by 67%

Several weeks ago, Fred Barnes speculated that McCain must get 90-95% of the Republican vote, or he loses. McCain still has a way to go -- getting Republicans to vote for him.

Hagel is supposed to go with Obama on his trip to Iraq. Speculation is that Hagel has a good chance at being Obama's VP nominee. That could help pull more 'moderate' Republicans away from McCain. [Bayh is also rumored to be on Obama's short list.]
35 posted on 07/17/2008 4:21:43 AM PDT by TomGuy
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To: FocusNexus
I keep marveling at those 13% of "conservatives" who plan to actually vote for Obama.

How many of those are blacks who will vote for Obama simply because he is black?

36 posted on 07/17/2008 4:24:26 AM PDT by Heartland Mom (Build the fence, secure our borders, deport illegals - Protect our sovereignty!)
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To: oldbrowser

Wilder, ring a bell?


37 posted on 07/17/2008 4:29:03 AM PDT by Tarpon (Ignorance, the most expensive commodity produced by mankind.)
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To: FocusNexus
If all of the above is true then why is McCain tied with Obama.

Check Obamas mental ability.

38 posted on 07/17/2008 5:00:44 AM PDT by OKIEDOC (OBAMA aka Post Turtle the Forest Gump of American Politics ABORTION -Liberal Child Abuse.)
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To: TheWasteLand
“As for the conservatives, they will come around.”
>>>>>>>>>>>>>............
perhaps, as the McCainiaks spread fear of OBUMA, who is going to bad for America..However the GOP and McCain must understand that years of moving further left and hard core support for open borders and illegal immigration has a price.
At this date I will not vote for MCCAIN. every speech to LA RAZA - keeps me firm.
39 posted on 07/17/2008 5:03:32 AM PDT by shadowgovernment (From the Ashes of a Republican rout will raise a Conservative Party)
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To: FocusNexus

If you vote for ‘bama you aren’t a conservative. Period. Maybe those people need to google “conservative” to find out that it doesn’t mean “marxist”.


40 posted on 07/17/2008 5:07:15 AM PDT by Impy (Hey Barack, you're ugly and your wife smells.)
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To: FocusNexus

“Go ahead, stay home, vote third party and you will be responsible for Obama’s destruction of the country.”

If McManiac wins, with his platform unchallenged by Conservatives, will you be responsible for his damage?

Your efforts would be better utilized in helping to force him to make public promises that uphold and strengthen Conservative values now, before the convention, rather than attacking other Conservatives.


41 posted on 07/17/2008 5:30:46 AM PDT by papasmurf
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To: Enchante
any liberal lurkers

There are not many of those, for sure.

who have trouble with logic or set theory

< Liberal lurker>

"Logic or set theory? What's that?"

< /Liberal lurker>

42 posted on 07/17/2008 5:36:39 AM PDT by Hardastarboard (I have Zero Tolerance for Zero Tolerance policies.)
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To: rabscuttle385

McCain is a Role Model. I’m a maverick in the image of our fearless leader.


43 posted on 07/17/2008 6:21:39 AM PDT by Paladin2 (Huma for co-president! (it ain't over 'til it's over))
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To: FocusNexus

Obama polls 13% among conservatives??


44 posted on 07/17/2008 6:34:57 AM PDT by VU4G10 (Have You Forgotten?)
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To: FocusNexus
" his "maverick" reputation "

The reputation comes from his history of treating his teammates with contempt. Look what he said after he dumped Phil Gramm, a long-time McCain loyalist:

Reporter: "Is there a place for Gramm in a future McCain administration?"

McCain: "Maybe ambassador to Belarus....if Minsk will accept him." (smirk)

The man has zero class. He's the ball player who plays the game competently, but sits in the dugout whining about his fellow teammates, and then wonders why he's isn't quickly accepted.

45 posted on 07/17/2008 6:38:28 AM PDT by cookcounty (Obama reach across the aisle? He's so far to the left, he'll need a roadmap to FIND the aisle.)
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To: TheWasteLand
"The only way independents will vote for Obama is if the GOP and McCain sit on their hands and don't aggressively attack him"

It is the exact opposite. If you do that, you only solidify support for Obama among those who have doubts about Obama. This is not speculation, it was proven in the two House special elections in which the GOP candidates lost because they ran against Obama as a surrogate and their whole campaign was to attack Obama(or his wife).

Not that I expect you to change. As McCain tries to build bridges to the voters, you will be burning those bridges faster than McCain can build them.

46 posted on 07/17/2008 6:47:47 AM PDT by Ben Ficklin
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To: FocusNexus

The poll numbers themselves prove that the poll is flawed.

First - who gets to decide if a prospective voter is a “conservative”? Most polls I know of rely on the person being polled to self-identify as liberal, conservative, independent, moderate, Republican, Democrat, etc..

Second, further doubt comes about when someone self-identifies as a conservative, yet says they are voting for Obama. That right there should be a dead giveaway that there is nothing conservative about them. Obama stands for everything that is diametrically opposed to conservatism.

Third - anyone who is truly conservative should have a very hard time admitting they are supporting McCain.

On a scale from 1-10, with 10 being as far conservative as humanly possible, and 1 being as liberal as possible, Obama is a solid 1.1, and McCain is a solid 2.5. A true moderate would rate a 5....

But the press and apparently the candidates would like us to think that anyone with a higher number than 1 is conservative.


47 posted on 07/17/2008 7:16:10 AM PDT by TheBattman (Vote your conscience, or don't complain about RINOs!)
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To: oldbrowser
I don't believe those are really conservatives .

Exactly.

What conservative would vote for a Marxist?

48 posted on 07/17/2008 7:21:03 AM PDT by Allegra (If you lived here, you'd be home by now.)
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To: Reaganez
Very well said. These polls over count the number of dems, undercount the number of repubs, over count the numbers of independents, undercount the number of blue collar voters, undercount the number of evangelical and family values voters, over count black and hispanic voters, undercount the % of 65 and older voters while over counting the % of the youth vote. Read the methodology in the latest N Y Times poll, they openly admit they oversample blacks and hispanics to the tune of a 6 point margin of error. Also, Michelle Obama has a 29 % approval rating while Cindy McCain has 18% positive rating, all other credible polls show their numbers to be relatively even with Cindy McCain getting a very slight edge. Disgraceful.

http://www.nytimes.com/2008/07/16/us/politics/16method.html?_r=1&oref=slogin

49 posted on 07/17/2008 7:43:24 AM PDT by moose2004 (Go Ahead, Make My Day)
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To: TheWasteLand
As for the conservatives, they will come around. I've said it before - the bottom line is this election is Star Wars with Obama as the Death Star.

General Tagge: But that's impossible. How will McCain maintain control without the conservative policies?
Governor Tarkin: Fear will keep the local constituencies in line. Fear of this Obama.

Sorry, the scare tactics card has been played too many times. I ain't playing that game no more.

50 posted on 07/17/2008 8:01:16 AM PDT by zeugma (Mark Steyn For Global Dictator!)
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