Skip to comments.Mathematically Confirmed: There Is No Climate Change Crisis
Posted on 07/17/2008 2:03:05 PM PDT by Free ThinkerNY
Here's something unlikely to make the cover of Time. From the Science & Public Policy Institute:
WASHINGTON (7-15-08) — Mathematical proof that there is no "climate crisis" appears today in a major, peer-reviewed paper in Physics and Society, a learned journal of the 10,000-strong American Physical Society, SPPI reports.
Christopher Monckton, who once advised Margaret Thatcher, demonstrates via 30 equations that computer models used by the UN's climate panel (IPCC) were pre-programmed with overstated values for the three variables whose product is "climate sensitivity" (temperature increase in response to greenhouse-gas increase), resulting in a 500-2000% overstatement of CO2's effect on temperature in the IPCC's latest climate assessment report, published in 2007.
Climate Sensitivity Reconsidered [http://www.aps.org/units/fps/newsletters/200807/index.cfm] demonstrates that later this century a doubling of the concentration of CO2 compared with pre-industrial levels will increase global mean surface temperature not by the 6 °F predicted by the IPCC but, harmlessly, by little more than 1 °F.
The paper reveals the following:
• The IPCC's 2007 climate summary overstated CO2's impact on temperature by 500-2000%;
• CO2 enrichment will add little more than 1 °F (0.6 °C) to global mean surface temperature by 2100;
• Not one of the three key variables whose product is climate sensitivity can be measured directly;
• The IPCC's values for these key variables are taken from only four published papers, not 2,500;
• The IPCC's values for each of the three variables, and hence for climate sensitivity, are overstated;
• "Global warming" halted ten years ago, and surface temperature has been falling for seven years;
• Not one of the computer models relied upon by the IPCC predicted so long and rapid a cooling;
• The IPCC inserted a table into the scientists' draft, overstating the effect of ice-melt by 1000%;
• It was proved 50 years ago that predicting climate more than two weeks ahead is impossible;
• Mars, Jupiter, Neptune's largest moon, and Pluto warmed at the same time as Earth warmed;
• In the past 70 years the Sun was more active than at almost any other time in the past 11,400 years.
Someone had better get this news to Al Gore, since he won't be seeing it on TV. I'm sure he'll want to apologize for causing a lot of senseless hysteria over nothing.
Climate Change Tenet number 42,781:
Global Warming will eventually cause people with impressive degrees to become hysterical and publish reports that Global Warming is not really happening at all. When this happens, Al Glore will have to take over and protect the global populace from itself.
Facts and figures mean nothing/sarc
W knew! (but has since forgotten)
When Prophecy Fails.....watch for some rally crazy stuff from the Global Warming crowd. Really weird stuff.
Algore will now have to come up with another scam to get awards and stupid people to pay him for speeches. As if the facts that have been there all along haven’t been enough reason.
That looks more like statistics than mathematics.
Gorebull Squirming debunked!
Blasphemy! May the tribulations of Jabba the Gore be upon you!
Unfortunately for leftists, there is no /sarc tage at the end of that statement. Of course is they actually they thought, they’d be conservatives.
Blinded by science again. I hate when facts get in the way of the AGW crowds ‘good intentions’... After all, isn’t ‘saving the planet’ a noble thing to want, even if the planet does not need to be saved?
New!!: Dr. John Ray's
Ping me if you find one I've missed.
Mark my words, some clown will figure in the solar data and state that the increased solar activity will be more pronounced in effects upon the Earth due to increased green house gas emissions as opposed to what the effects would have been without the man-made gasses!
Look the greenies want their kumbaya world of half naked folk ruled by a “guiding” elite at no more than 500 million souls upon the planet. They will even fudge the data if they have to to get their “new Eden”! Nothing but ultimately armed revolution will stop them!
I understand a very small portion of it...the parts in English not in mathematics...oh and the charts I understand mostly.
Summary at the end:
In short, we must get the science right, or we shall get the policy wrong. If the concluding equation in this analysis (Eqn. 30) is correct, the IPCCs estimates of climate sensitivity must have been very much exaggerated. There may, therefore, be a good reason why, contrary to the projections of the models on which the IPCC relies, temperatures have not risen for a decade and have been falling since the phase-transition in global temperature trends that occurred in late 2001. Perhaps real-world climate sensitivity is very much below the IPCCs estimates. Perhaps, therefore, there is no climate crisis at all. At present, then, in policy terms there is no case for doing anything. The correct policy approach to a non-problem is to have the courage to do nothing.
Hello John McCain and McCainiacs, are you listening?
My son works in a Natl. Lab that keeps very close track of the weather for Natl. Security purposes and has done so for more than 60 years. He told me last year that their records absolutely showed no appreciable change.
That ending is sure solid. Nice landing! 9.65 9.72 8.87 10.0 9.42...
Thanks for the post. I building up courage as I type.
Isn't he trying that with his "get off carbon based fuel by 2018" BS?
Ekofreeks will believe this report and the MSM will report on it when...
Obama produces birth certificate and other records
J F'n K produces his SF-180
And so, since vegetation thrives on CO2, the models show the Earth becoming a verdant paradise of overflowing greens wherever the eye can see, right?
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