Posted on 07/17/2008 2:03:05 PM PDT by Free ThinkerNY
Here's something unlikely to make the cover of Time. From the Science & Public Policy Institute:
WASHINGTON (7-15-08) — Mathematical proof that there is no "climate crisis" appears today in a major, peer-reviewed paper in Physics and Society, a learned journal of the 10,000-strong American Physical Society, SPPI reports.
Christopher Monckton, who once advised Margaret Thatcher, demonstrates via 30 equations that computer models used by the UN's climate panel (IPCC) were pre-programmed with overstated values for the three variables whose product is "climate sensitivity" (temperature increase in response to greenhouse-gas increase), resulting in a 500-2000% overstatement of CO2's effect on temperature in the IPCC's latest climate assessment report, published in 2007.
Climate Sensitivity Reconsidered [http://www.aps.org/units/fps/newsletters/200807/index.cfm] demonstrates that later this century a doubling of the concentration of CO2 compared with pre-industrial levels will increase global mean surface temperature not by the 6 °F predicted by the IPCC but, harmlessly, by little more than 1 °F.
The paper reveals the following:
• The IPCC's 2007 climate summary overstated CO2's impact on temperature by 500-2000%;
• CO2 enrichment will add little more than 1 °F (0.6 °C) to global mean surface temperature by 2100;
• Not one of the three key variables whose product is climate sensitivity can be measured directly;
• The IPCC's values for these key variables are taken from only four published papers, not 2,500;
• The IPCC's values for each of the three variables, and hence for climate sensitivity, are overstated;
• "Global warming" halted ten years ago, and surface temperature has been falling for seven years;
• Not one of the computer models relied upon by the IPCC predicted so long and rapid a cooling;
• The IPCC inserted a table into the scientists' draft, overstating the effect of ice-melt by 1000%;
• It was proved 50 years ago that predicting climate more than two weeks ahead is impossible;
• Mars, Jupiter, Neptune's largest moon, and Pluto warmed at the same time as Earth warmed;
• In the past 70 years the Sun was more active than at almost any other time in the past 11,400 years.
Someone had better get this news to Al Gore, since he won't be seeing it on TV. I'm sure he'll want to apologize for causing a lot of senseless hysteria over nothing.
chill, oops, read later
Climate change covers everything; from -100% to 100%. Just one of those convenient terms that they like to use (instead of Global Warming which only covers positive temp changes). That’s all my post was meant to illustrate. :)
While accurate, this is irrelevant. We're not adding water to the environment. In fact, we have no way to add water. There's already just about more water than anything else.
We are adding carbon. Doesn't mean the warmists are right, but we should try to be scientifically accurate.
Sensitivity derivatives are known to be, um, sensitive...
Now that the tide is turning — a lot of young scientists will want to make their mark, by showing how wrong their theses advisers were.
There are probably tens of thousands of academic scientists, who are anxious to shake off the shackles of oppression (so to speak) and finally be allowed to publish the “truth”, as they see it. They will be further motivated by vengeance against the academic fascists, and bureaucrats that have held them down. Reparations will be demanded. (Only slightly exaggerating, here.) It will be fun to watch.
I write software for a living - I laugh when I read that ‘the computer models say”
the computer models only say whatever you tell them to say
bump
I still think it is all Bush’s fault (sarc)
“When Prophecy Fails.....watch for some rally crazy stuff from the Global Warming crowd. Really weird stuff”
Indeed:
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2045508/posts
- John
Hello John McCain and McCainiacs, are you listening?
Only to La Raza and Al Gore.
I wasn’t saying that we’re adding water to the atmosphere. I was pointing out how ridiculous it is to be worried about Carbon dioxide and the amount of it being put in the atmosphere by human activity when water vapor is something we DON’T put add to the atmosphere, makes up far more of our atmosphere, and more of a greenhouse gas.
Not only is everything I posted scientifically accurate but also punches wholes in the theory that global warming is caused by humans spewing CO2 into the atmosphere.
How can that be when water vapor is much more of an important heat trapping greenhouse gas? That was my reason for bringing up water vapor.
No, he will be done and another will arise. I'm betting on asteroids or aliens, but they could try pandemic again. I think most are currently hoping oil will go to $400.00, but I don't think America will put up with it.
wholes = holes........I have no idea why my brain did that.
Only if one excludes water vapor.
Reports like this are going to cause Cogitator to stay in his hole ‘til Groundhog Day or at least long enough to cobble together some more of his “proof” that us humans are roasting/killing the planet.
In parts of Europe, the results of this study will be called (and maybe tried as) a hate crime.
“Algore will now have to come up with another scam to get awards and stupid people to pay him for speeches. As if the facts that have been there all along haven’t been enough reason.”
He already is moving on to the “Energy Crisis” as of today.
Time to check those instruments.
Depends on how one defines "environment".
In a number of locales there is a lot of irrigation coming from aquifers that have long time constants for refreshing - that could be influencing local temperatures though I haven't seen any real studies. Plus water in air concentrations are affected by air temperature and could be a major feedback to be considered.
Really?
I didn’t realize that. Thank-you.
I recently also read that CO2 only absorbs select frequencies of infrared radation. As you increase atmospheric concentrations of CO2, each increment traps less and less heat until it levels off logarithmically.
Another thing that the GW people are not answering (that I can find anywhere) is why temperatures have dropped since 1998 even as CO2 production has continued to increase. There are so many holes in their theory that their credibility drops by the day and yet politicians are setting policies that require all of us to reduce our quality of life based on this junk science.
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