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Posted on 07/21/2008 10:30:29 PM PDT by kellynla
Israel will “almost surely” strike Iran’s nuclear sites in the coming months — and if the conventional attacks fail to destroy or at least delay Iran’s nuclear program, the Middle East will face a nuclear war.
That’s the view of Benny Morris, a professor of Middle Eastern history at Israel’s Ben-Gurion University, who predicts either a subsequent pre-emptive Israeli nuclear strike or a nuclear exchange after Iran gets the bomb.
“Should Israel’s conventional assault fail to significantly harm or stall the Iranian program, a ratcheting up of the Iranian-Israeli conflict to a nuclear level will most likely follow,” Morris, author of “1948: A History of the First Arab-Israeli War,” writes in the International Herald Tribune.
“Western intelligence agencies agree that Iran will reach the ‘point of no return’ in acquiring the capacity to produce nuclear weapons in one to four years. Which leaves the world with only one option if it wishes to halt Iran's march toward nuclear weaponry: the military option, meaning an aerial assault by either the United States or Israel.”
The U.S. has the military capability to do the job. But given Iraq and Afghanistan, the American public is not likely to approve of increasing U.S. military action in the Middle East, Morris observes.
“Which leaves only Israel - the country threatened almost daily with destruction by Iran's leaders,” he writes. “The period from Nov. 5 to Jan. 19 seems the best bet, as it gives the West half a year to try the diplomatic route but ensures that Israel will have support from a lame-duck White House.”
But it is unlikely that Israeli conventional forces will succeed in destroying or significantly delaying the Iran nuclear project, according to Morris.
Nevertheless, Israel will “certainly make the effort,” he believes.
(Excerpt) Read more at newsmax.com ...
Always bet on Israel.
Well, it’s like the the Israeli Air Force Chief said, “We can not lose a single war. The first war we lose, Israel will cease to exist”
Yep. That's about the size of it. I wish US policy makers felt the same way.
Iran has improved its aerial defenses.
My love and prays go to Israel.
Iran has the assets deep underground, and intel from Iran is probably worse than our intel of Iraq.
Hope for the success of Israel's finest.
Israel will pull it off. The Mossad makes the CIA look like chumps. I imagine the Israelis are fine tuning the operation now.
I’m not convinced Israel would have to go nuclear. That ace in the hole is one that Iran will have to face rather than take a chance on the full scale retaliation they have threatened.
If I were Iran, I’d do a Syria and STHU, rather than take what Israel could deliver if they didn’t.
The day after Super Tuesday will decide whether there is a "Buh Bye" Wednesday.
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