Posted on 07/22/2008 5:56:54 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued
Democrat Mark Udall is still narrowly ahead of Republican Bob Schaffer in the race to become Colorado’s next United States Senator. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the state finds Udall up 47% to 43% this month. When “leaners” are included, it’s a three-point advantage for the Democrat, 49% to 46%.
Last month, Rep. Udall enjoyed a nine-point lead over Shaffer. In May, he led by six. Prior to May, the race had been essentially even.
Udall and Schaffer are competing for the right to replace Republican Senator Wayne Allard.
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
Good news- Bob Schaffer is closing the gap!
If we could win here it would be a welcome dodge of the bullet. It would also offset the rather unbelievable looming loss of Alaska (what a freaking shame).
"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus
It ain’t gonna offset the staggering losses elsewhere. We’re not leading against any incumbent Democrat in a Senate race anywhere. :-\
i’m really tired of relatives of politicians in public offices.
i’m not voting again for the wife, son, daughter of a previous office holder.
i don’t care what party they belong to.
I agree with that. I also am tired of RINOs running for President(especially McLame) or any office claiming to be the heir of the Reagan revolution.
But I get the impression from listening to the MSM that the Democrats are going to win every open seat in the senate by 90%-10%. How can it be that close?
I know but give it some time. After labor day I expect all the liberal past votes that will be swirling around Obama are going to hurt those near him. Look for pickups in LA, maybe even NJ (Lautenberg is beyond ancient). I’m confident we’ll hol ME, MN, OR - so already we are dodging the bullets in those races. If McCain gets his traction back in MA with some campaigning (remember how he surged in the final days against Romney there), Kerry may slip into the marginal zone (though I”m not counting on that).
Unfortunately, Intrade puts the PROBABILITES for a Rat win at 77 to 21.
Perhaps there may be more potentially productive races for GOP efforts and resources.
McCain never claimed to be the heir of the Reagan Revolution but he certainly was a part of it.
Who cares? What InTrade is not picking up is the tidal wave that’s coming to knock out Obama and anyone close to him after the conventions.
Both Udall and Obama are leading in CO by 3. The fates of both McCain and Schaeffer will be tied together. I don’t see how one can win CO without the other.
Like the way Gore won the election? LOL Media
The only poll showing McCain having strength in MA was Survey USA. Other polls showed MA as a lock for Obama.
Susan Collins will be fine. Gordon Smith will need divine intervention. OR is shifting into a mega San Francisco. Ditto for Norm Coleman. The same youth cult that supports Obama could end up voting for Al Franken.
LA may end up a repeat now of last time, a 3rd narrow victory for Landrieu (albeit this time without the substantial vote fraud). NJ, unfortunately, Dick Zimmer is no longer a first tier challenger (he was a decade ago) and while he may break the 40s, I think Lautenberg will win once again — NJ has been the ultimate rope-a-dope state for Republicans since the ‘70s. Maine we’ll hold, true, and probably MN, but Smith slipped behind in Oregon against a guy with a name similar to a pubic weave. MA is totally out of reach. Kerry will probably win by no less than 30%.
As it stands today, we probably go from 49 to 42 in the Senate (losing AK, CO, MS, NH, NM, OR, & VA).
Bush won CO in ‘04 as the ill-advised lightweight Pete Coors lost.
Shaffer is no RINO.
“Bush won CO in ‘04 as the ill-advised lightweight Pete Coors lost”
Coors was the choice of the state Republican machine. We true conservatives wanted Bob Shaffer.
“Who cares? What InTrade is not picking up is the tidal wave that’s coming to knock out Obama and anyone close to him after the conventions.” - Norman Bates
If you believe that, then bet the farm on McCain; you’ll make your everlasting fortune.
I know, I know. :-\
Out here in the west, the Udalls are like a bad case of the crabs. They’re all over the place and you can’t get rid of them.
Mo Udall damned near killed the coal mine industry.
I’ve never seen a poll with Smith behind.
This is so frustrating. We keep losing our grip in regions of this country. We are becoming platooned in the South and sinking everywhere. I don’t simply see it as an issue of conservatism. The entire party needs to be reenergized and retool a la the “New Republican Party” of 1975.
Hey the Club for Growth said Pete was Golden. (Yes that was pun.) :-P
I certainly hope we’re not losing MS and that is a place where Obama’s liberalism can really hurt the downticket. And no I am intentionally ignoring the “conventional wisdom” of the special races. None of those races had anything close to the full story of Obama’s liberalism. But if Wicker loses I blame Barbour and Lott.
The thought has crossed my mine. But I don’t see any point in being foolish about it. Elections are always crapshoots - I believe very much we will have the upper hand but you can never fully see the future.
No, I agree about SurveyUSA, they had some funny polls. However it was true that McCain surged in the final days of the MA primary (S.T.) against Romney. Funny thing happens when Republicans actually campaign there. Their numbers go up...
Smith trailing.
What makes no sense is how the GOP allows a single-digit popularity rodent-run Congress get away unscathed. The rodents are the ones in control, not the GOP, and the public needs to be reminded of “PelosiReid” and the high gas prices every moment of the day.
For them to be gaining in such an environment would be like during Watergate the GOP winning landslide numbers. It’s insane.
Lott created the domino effect, Barbour had to deal that was dropped in his lap. Problem is that Wicker was just about the weakest choice for us. Chip Pickering and Amy Tuck were the two top choices for the seat, but both took a pass. Pickering is apparently fed up with Congress.
Looks like Smith may be the last Republican to hold statewide office. What will it take to get these states competitive again.
The more I think of it Washington was right - these political parties and the tides one way or another they move are a big mistake. It no longer becomes about character it becomes about feelings, climate, and party.
I can see it going either way (one or the other wins or both win or both lose). Romney got the GOP vote here in the caucus, so if he's chosen as VP, maybe that might tip the balance in McCain's favor. See: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Colorado_Republican_caucuses,_2008 forvote totals.
Udall really needs to put more into ads if possible. I see Schaeffer ads slamming Udall all the time, but honestly cannot think of any from Udall. I've also seen many more Schaeffer signs than Udall signs, fwiw.
Smith is a RINO in a state with a bankrupt GOP. He’s not going to hold the seat.
Sorry. Please reverse the names in the Schaeffer/Udall race post. I have a terrible headache and spaced on it for a moment.
Goodness.
It should have read:
Schaeffer really needs to put more into ads if possible. I see Udall ads slamming Schaeffer all the time, but honestly cannot think of any from Schaeffer. I’ve also seen many more Udall signs than Schaeffer signs, fwiw.
So? How prosperous are the democrat parties in the South? Yet if it is to be believed they are on the verge of taking MS, maybe NC. Why is a disorganized party a disadvantage to a group who in life epitomize in general organization? I keep hearing these rumors so and so killed his state GOP. Well why hasn’t Granholm, Patrick, Spitzer, McGreevy et al. not destroyed their own state party? They are miserable by any standard.
It helps that Patrick and Spitzer live in de facto one-party states.
We could win this one. It’s one of the few races that keeps me interested this year. Schaffer will be a great senator. How great? John McCain and Barak Obama will both hate him because he’s not a go-along-to-get-along guy.
If we’re this close after the millions of $$ that have already been spent trashing Schaffer, I’d say our chances are better than 50/50. The general public in CO does not yet know what a lunatic Udall is. His voting record is hilarious—every liberal loony cliche, he has voted for. That will come out in ads closer to the election. We’ll be able to push his negatives way up.
Everyone who reads this post should send him $100, today. He needs money badly.
Where’s our one party states? Even allegedly right states like Wyoming and Montana elect those Obama-loving stooges gubner.
{Well why hasn’t Granholm, Patrick, Spitzer, McGreevy et al. not destroyed their own state party? They are miserable by any standard.}
Don’t forget to add the Dem Governors of IL, ME, and OR to that list. Their approval ratings are worse than Bush. However, these Dem Governors have been successful at point the finger at Bush. The only way for the GOP to make a rebound in the states you mentioned would be for the Dems to have absolute power in every level of Govt and a serious economic recession to occur. The question is it safe to even let the Moonbats to have absolute power even for a couple of years?
I’ll consider sending him something then. I can’t say it will be $100 because I need the money too (LOL).
It struck me - what you said. I think the fundamental problem is the nature of conservatism. It’s the relucttance of good and decent and capable men and women from tossing their hats into the ring. While liberals have a more activist streak. The problem is we start all these races as non-starters. Right now someone in the RNC with a brain should be looking at recruiting well-tuned persons to run against these clowns, especially when you have one of the corrupt idiocy of Blagojevich or Canadian Granholm.
There is no question that the Senate races will be a war this time. We have more seats to defend and several that might flip.
Actually, it's McCain's liberalism that will kill the R downticket. A small percent of Conservatives will stay home because of McCain. Not me. I'll hold my nose, pray for forgiveness, and vote for him. A larger percent will not walk precincts because of McCain. That includes me. About the only sign going in my yard this year would be a sign that said "Voting Against Obama." I really can't bring myself to say I am "for" John McCain. Mainly because I'm not.
Lecture all you want. I probably agree with you that McCain is less damaging by a hair and that's why I'll vote for him. But that won't change that 1-3% of conservatives who just can't bring themselves to pull the lever for a democrat and stay home. A good portion of McCain's independents will vote D downticket.
Thus, McCain is and has always been the predictable kiss of death for the R down ticket for that reason. It's all about John and always has been.
OTOH, Obama is going to turn out a huge black vote and the adoring college Bambi's who like, think he's awesome and will, like, bring world peace and hope. That is going to swing some down ticket elections. BO will lose the south. But he will take some down ticket seats for the bad guys there because of the black vote.
So it's a double whammy this year. Ain't gonna be pretty.
Conservatives need to be honest with themselves on what works and what does not work. Simply repeating Reagan’s speeches won’t cut it. The Country that elected Reagan and the circumstances that aided no longer exist in America. Reagan won the West Coast, Upper Midwest, and New England not because of social issues like abortion, Creationism, and school prayer. The Country during 1980 was disillusioned with Carter’s failures with foreign policy. The Reagan Dems (blue collar Eastern Euro immigrants) wanted someone tough against Communism. Reagan fitted the bill. When Communism fell in the early 1990’s, the Reagan Dems went back to being just Dems. Thus the Reagan Coalition isn’t coming back. The Conservatives need to find new ideas to appeal to the new generation of voters.
Someone hit the nail on the head. To ignorant voters congress=federal gov federal gov=Bush.
I don’t think we’ve ever failed to pick up a rat seat in consecutive cycle’s before.
What a dismal view you have. I don’t see McCain as the problem b/c we’d be in the same place if Romney or someone else were at the top. It’s the climate.
I like your comments. There’s certainly something there to take in.
“The Conservatives need to find new ideas to appeal to the new generation of voters.”
Energy independence, exploration, refineries, nuclear power. Tt’s a start, as they say.
Going two cycles would be without precedence in the era of popularly-elected Senators (I double-checked that, even in the midst of the horrific year of 1936, we took an open Dem seat — in Massachusetts, and 1964 in CA, 1974 in NV, etc).
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