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Researcher Predicts 80-year "Little Ice Age" to begin soon.
Milenio ^ | August 19, 200 | VĂ­ctor Manuel Velasco Herrera

Posted on 08/19/2008 10:10:46 AM PDT by Kenny Bunk

An expert from the National Autonomous University of Mexico predicted that the Earth will enter a "Little Ice Age" which will last from 60 to 80 years and may be caused by the decrease in solar activity.

Victor Manuel Velasco Herrera, a researcher at the Institute of Geophysics at UNAM, showcased his theories during an international conference he led at the Centre for Applied Sciences and Technological Development. Velasco, a specialist in remote sensing systems, said that the recent rupture of the Perito Moreno glacier on the border of Chile and Argentina, unusual for having produced a full austral winter, was not due to global warming. He theorizes that the event was caused during a drought by falling water levels in the river, coupled with colder temperatures.

Dr. Velasco described as "erroneous" predictions of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), of a gradual increase in temperature, the so-called global warming. The models and forecasts of the IPCC "are incorrect because they are based solely on mathematical models and do not include, for example, solar activity," said Velasco, who is also a specialist in predictive image processing. "The phenomenon of climate change," he added, "should include both internal and external factors. Internal would include volcanic activity,while external causes include solar activity."

"Curiously, the Sun never has been seen as a cooling agent, but as a cause of warming. It clearly has roles in both cooling and warming," he said.

At present, Velasco holds that the world is going through a transition phase of considerably diminished solar activity, "so that in two years or so, there will be the beginnings of a small ice age that lasts from 60 to 80 years,and the immediate consequence of this" he added, "will be drought."

Analyses by the IPCC concluded that the "Little Ice Age",a cold period that lasted since the beginning of the fourteenth century until the mid-nineteenth century. was a regional phenomena or accentuation of local effects. But Velasco disagrees. He says that, "Current evidence does not support globally synchronous periods of abnormal heat or cold in this timeframe," and that it must have been caused by other factors.

Highlights and Dates
According to Velasco, effects will be clearly observable within in approximately two years. However, in early July, Velasco Herrera said that satellite data indicate it is possible that this period of global cooling may have even already begun as early as 2005.
He has predicted that cooling would fully arrive within 30 or 40 years.


TOPICS: Foreign Affairs; Mexico
KEYWORDS: catastrophism; climatechange; globalcooling; globalwarming; littleiceage; predictions; sunspots
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To: NTHockey

The point I was trying to make is everyone is worried about man made global warming, which is BS, and it’s probably going to get colder, which would be much worse. We can’t control the weather.


41 posted on 08/19/2008 10:56:56 AM PDT by kempo
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To: Kenny Bunk
Al Gore please pick up the GREEN courtesy phone. Thank you!!
42 posted on 08/19/2008 10:57:29 AM PDT by MaineConservative (Charlie Summers -- an Iraqi Vet and businessman for Maine's CD-1)
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To: Kenny Bunk
The sun has been devoid of spots for almost 8 months. Solar flux has been hanging around 67. That's consistent with observations during the last "little ice age" and Maunder minimum. It should be an interesting winter.
43 posted on 08/19/2008 10:57:33 AM PDT by Myrddin
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To: Kenny Bunk

I’m having chills already!


44 posted on 08/19/2008 10:58:28 AM PDT by Cold Heat (Soetoro???? Who is Barry Soetoro? Bwahahahahahahahaha!)
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To: Kenny Bunk

The Goracle, upon hearing this, will start convulsing..


45 posted on 08/19/2008 10:59:19 AM PDT by sheik yerbouty ( Make America and the world a jihad free zone!)
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To: Kenny Bunk; Killing Time; Beowulf; Mr. Peabody; RW_Whacko; honolulugal; SideoutFred; Ole Okie; ...


FReepmail me to get on or off
Click on POGW graphic for full GW rundown
Dr. John Ray's
GREENIE WATCH

The Great Global Warming Swindle Video

Not Evil Just Wrong (mash here)
Hmmmm...


46 posted on 08/19/2008 10:59:37 AM PDT by xcamel (Conservatives start smart, and get rich, liberals start rich, and get stupid.)
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To: Kenny Bunk
Milankovitch used three orbital perturbations to get his theory, and he got a pretty good match that got better as we got new data.

He didn't consider solar variation, though- just the angle (and hence amount) of sunlight north of lat 60. Or 65, but north.

47 posted on 08/19/2008 11:00:20 AM PDT by DBrow
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To: ElkGroveDan

My MIL looked like I had just told her that I’d killed her dog when I told her that the earth was cooling instead of warming.

I said, “don’t worry, I’m sure the lefties solution will be exactly the same - less freedom, more socialism”.


48 posted on 08/19/2008 11:00:59 AM PDT by MrB (You can't reason people out of a position that they didn't use reason to get into in the first place)
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To: quegley
How dare you attempt to hi-jack my thread with factual references!

As any child knows, the correct response to any climate change challenge is mass religious hysteria, followed by torture of the heretics, and higher taxes.

49 posted on 08/19/2008 11:00:59 AM PDT by Kenny Bunk (GOP Plank: Pump MORE US Crude--2Xrefining capacity -- Coal /METHANOL fuel-- Build Nukes)
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To: Myrddin
Yeah, I've been looking at that for years. saw it peak, and now I see it ultra low and stable. We know so little real definitive data about these sun cycles and we work mostly with generalizations but are learning a lot more as we speak.

One day we should be much better at predicting space weather and therefore more convincing to the idiots that inhabit the left and some on the right.

50 posted on 08/19/2008 11:02:00 AM PDT by Cold Heat (Soetoro???? Who is Barry Soetoro? Bwahahahahahahahaha!)
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To: JRios1968

I don’t care what you say... That’s funny!


51 posted on 08/19/2008 11:02:21 AM PDT by DoingTheFrenchMistake
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To: Kenny Bunk

I just drove back to Texas from the Ozarks this morning. And it is unseasonaly cool there and here, more like late October than the end of August. Even the plants and critters are reacting to the weather. ‘Snow on the mountain’ is blooming early and the walking sticks are out and about early. It’s just my observation but others were talking about it too.


52 posted on 08/19/2008 11:02:59 AM PDT by fella (.He that followeth after vain persons shall have poverty enough." Pv.28:19')
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To: Kenny Bunk

I think sunspots are probably caused by global warming.

/Sarcasm

(I’ll bet someone a box of donuts that a global warmist makes this claim for real)


53 posted on 08/19/2008 11:04:27 AM PDT by Weya (Everything that needs to be illegal...already is)
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To: Kenny Bunk

So we are going to make it worse with Algore’s help.


54 posted on 08/19/2008 11:05:12 AM PDT by TonyM (E)
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To: Kenny Bunk
Oh no... The “Earth has got A Fever” tshirt vendors are not going to be happy over this.
55 posted on 08/19/2008 11:06:51 AM PDT by AmericaUnited
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To: wastedyears

why would it cause drought?....I mean global warming caused drought, right?


56 posted on 08/19/2008 11:09:59 AM PDT by cherry
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To: Kenny Bunk

So by, “Ice Age,” they mean “warming age,” right? Global warming sure is confusing.


57 posted on 08/19/2008 11:10:51 AM PDT by Aquinasfan (When you find "Sola Scriptura" in the Bible, let me know)
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To: Aquinasfan
The Global Warming Religion is driven by a medieval concept called:
Lucus a non lucendo,

which is not only robustly impervious to any logic, but subjects people with questions, or observations. to torture. Watch your step, Buster.
58 posted on 08/19/2008 11:20:35 AM PDT by Kenny Bunk (GOP Plank: Pump MORE US Crude--2Xrefining capacity -- Coal /METHANOL fuel-- Build Nukes)
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To: Kenny Bunk

Bad link. No link to article.


59 posted on 08/19/2008 11:28:33 AM PDT by RogerFGay
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To: DBrow
and nobody knows when that might end.

I do.

and I'm an expert!

Sept 4th.

60 posted on 08/19/2008 11:29:32 AM PDT by LasVegasMac (Islam: Bringing the world death and destruction for 1400 years!)
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