What everyone here seems to forget is that the popularity polls mean very little.
Looking at the Electoral College averages nation wide, Obama still leads very comfortably. In fact, has gained strength. The youth-vote factor is also not being considered
here as well. They came out of nowhere in the primaries and gave the Democrats Obama when Hillary was their “sure thing”. It took the DNC completely by surprise. Even they were fully geared up for the Hillary juggernaut.
It’s still early and the MSM has not yet begun to spin the election. This historically happens in the middle of October when the brain dead public just start beginning to learn the names of the candidates. Well, at least one or two that is.
I think you’re right, no-one’s accounting for Obama’s ground game in the polls (registering voters, etc.)