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Conservative Dems bailing on Obama; Rasmussen has no Michelle O bounce
hotair.com ^ | August 27, 2008 | Ed Morrissey

Posted on 08/27/2008 10:04:06 AM PDT by Free ThinkerNY

Barack Obama has had an unprecedented slide in polling over the summer, losing as much as twelve points nationally and squandering momentum gained from besting Hillary Clinton in the primaries. Gallup’s polling has mirrored that of almost every other national survey, and they drill down to find the answer to Obama’s decline:

Barack Obama has been struggling to maintain his Democratic base thus far in August, and according to weekly averages of Gallup Poll Daily tracking, the problem seems to be with conservative Democrats.

Within the Democratic Party, Obama’s losses are primarily evident among the relatively small group that describes its political views as conservative. The 63% of conservative Democrats supporting Obama over McCain in Aug. 18-24 polling is the lowest Obama has earned since he clinched the Democratic nomination in June. At the same time, there have been no similar drops in support for Obama in the preferences of liberal or moderate Democrats.

As a result of this, support for Obama among all Democratic registered voters fell from 81% in early August (Aug. 4-10) to 78% last week (Aug. 18-24). Obama’s support from Republicans over this period also dipped from 9% to 7%, while 42% to 43% of independents have consistently supported him.

It’s not just conservative Democrats, either, although that has to be Obama’s main concern at the moment. Blue-dog Democrats have to run for tough Congressional races in the fall, and they will get linked to Obama regardless of whether they publicly embrace him or not. If Obama is losing credibility among conservative Democrats, the Blue Dogs will find that Obama’s impact on their race will become a net negative and could cost some of them their seats — most of which they won from Republicans in 2006.

(Excerpt) Read more at hotair.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2008; 2008dncconvention; democrats; electionpresident; elections; nobama08; obama; puma
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1 posted on 08/27/2008 10:04:06 AM PDT by Free ThinkerNY
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To: Free ThinkerNY

....and the beat goes on....


2 posted on 08/27/2008 10:05:46 AM PDT by TexasNative2000 (Is this tagline governed by McCain-Feingold?)
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To: Free ThinkerNY

Bar Rack Osama is going to roundhouse kick conservative Democraps and Ramussin, because Bar Rack Osama’s vote count will exceed the world’s population several times...


3 posted on 08/27/2008 10:08:55 AM PDT by kcm.org (DRILL LOS ANGLES--DRILL NOW!!!!)
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To: Free ThinkerNY

This is a man with no resume.

What little there is can’t be documented. He is the man who never was.


4 posted on 08/27/2008 10:08:56 AM PDT by marron
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To: Free ThinkerNY
I simply cannot imagine some white haired granny who thinks lovingly of the days of FDR shuffling into the voting booth and voting for a guy named Barack Obama.

I am not, by the way, saying his name or his race SHOULD be a reason not to vote for him. I'm simply saying that I can't see old time Democrats marking Obama on their ballots.

5 posted on 08/27/2008 10:09:32 AM PDT by Artemis Webb ("The church is near, but the road is icy. The bar is far away, but I will walk carefully.")
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To: Free ThinkerNY
Obambi...professional amateur.
6 posted on 08/27/2008 10:09:45 AM PDT by spokeshave (Joe is a clean dipstick and Obambi has sand in the gears.)
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To: Free ThinkerNY

Conservative Dems??? Both of them?


7 posted on 08/27/2008 10:10:33 AM PDT by TruthWillWin
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To: Free ThinkerNY

That’s because nobody cares about the DNC coronation. Practically no one is watching it despite it being on EVERY news network and all three broadcast networks, and PBS. Hell, they could put it on EVERY channel and people would rather read a book or surf the web or watch their toenails grow.


8 posted on 08/27/2008 10:10:51 AM PDT by Blood of Tyrants (G-d is not a Republican. But Satan is definitely a Democrat.)
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To: Free ThinkerNY
A gain by McCain today means that two events from which Obama would have hoped to garner a boost fizzled: the Joe Biden pick and Michelle Obama’s speech on Monday evening.

A lot of us knew Jackie O, and Michelle O is no Jackie O.

9 posted on 08/27/2008 10:11:21 AM PDT by freespirited
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To: Free ThinkerNY

Her dead cat didn't bounce, either......

10 posted on 08/27/2008 10:11:29 AM PDT by Red Badger (All that carbon in all that oil and coal was once in the atmosphere. We're just putting it back.....)
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I think Republican House members can and should run against Obama this fall...actually use Obama in their ads with Pelosi. Rather than being scared by the “generic dem” number, just go straight at them.


11 posted on 08/27/2008 10:11:32 AM PDT by Crimson Elephant
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To: kcm.org
"DRILL LOS ANGLES--DRILL NOW!!!!"

How many megatons do you think will be needed?
:)

12 posted on 08/27/2008 10:11:59 AM PDT by Artemis Webb ("The church is near, but the road is icy. The bar is far away, but I will walk carefully.")
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To: Free ThinkerNY

Why does the headline name Rasmussen when the story is about Gallup polling?


13 posted on 08/27/2008 10:11:59 AM PDT by bcsco (Obama's just biden his time until McCain wins in November.)
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To: kcm.org

Well things are getting interesting as to how the election will turn out. The conventional wisdom has been that Dems. will gain congressional seats in November, but, based on this, they may not be able to build on their gains in the Nov. ‘06 mid term elections.

Stay tuned on that; if we do see a President Obama, he may not have enough good Democrats in Congress to do what he wants to do to the country.


14 posted on 08/27/2008 10:12:04 AM PDT by Dilbert San Diego
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To: Free ThinkerNY

OK I heard the Sistah Michelle Ma Belle o Rama speech. So, Barack is a good husband and father and personally a nice man, she grew up in a home with loving parents and a supportive brother...but it’s not telling of what he would do in the White House....means nothing. She is a good speaker, though. Sistah Michelle, you go girl!-—back to the law firm baby.


15 posted on 08/27/2008 10:12:09 AM PDT by brooklyn dave (VOTE SOCIALIST VOTE OBAMA (that's what he is, isn't he?))
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To: marron
This is a man with no resume....What little there is can’t be documented. He is the man who never was.

Sounds like a double naught spy...........

16 posted on 08/27/2008 10:13:24 AM PDT by Red Badger (All that carbon in all that oil and coal was once in the atmosphere. We're just putting it back.....)
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To: Artemis Webb

It’s not his name, nor his color, it’s the lack of love of country shared by him and his wife.


17 posted on 08/27/2008 10:13:45 AM PDT by Carley
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To: Blood of Tyrants

You mean you didn’t get all excited about Mark Warner’s keynote speech?

Chrissie Mathews was disappointed. He said Warner’s speech was a speech to help him get elected to the Senate, not one that would fire up the Democrats in the Pepsi Center.


18 posted on 08/27/2008 10:14:24 AM PDT by Dilbert San Diego
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To: Crimson Elephant

Speaking of san Fran Gran Nan; she defintiely made an a$$ out of herself when trying to spin the Catholic Church’s position on abortion. Lady, stick to what you know; partisan politics.


19 posted on 08/27/2008 10:14:43 AM PDT by brooklyn dave (VOTE SOCIALIST VOTE OBAMA (that's what he is, isn't he?))
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To: Free ThinkerNY
Would anyone care to speculate why Obama has not suffered the same degree of losses among independents?


20 posted on 08/27/2008 10:16:47 AM PDT by nathanbedford ("Attack, repeat attack!" Bull Halsey)
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