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Chilling News: “Sunspots May Vanish by 2015” (counter CAGW)
National Solar Observatory via icecap.us ^ | August 26, 2008 | William Livingston and Matthew Penn

Posted on 08/28/2008 4:28:18 AM PDT by PreciousLiberty

We have observed spectroscopic changes in temperature sensitive molecular lines, in the magnetic splitting of an Fe I line, and in the continuum brightness of over 1000 sunspot umbrae from 1990-2005. All three measurements show consistent trends in which the darkest parts of the sunspot umbra have become warmer (45K per year) and their magnetic field strengths have decreased (77 Gauss per year), independently of the normal 11-year sunspot cycle. A linear extrapolation of these trends suggests that few sunspots will be visible after 2015.

(Excerpt) Read more at icecap.us ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Front Page News; Government; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: catastrophism; climatechange; cooling; environment; freepun; murphy; science; solarscience; sunspots; warming
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It truly looks like Al Gore will be exposed as an idiot in the near term. Let's hope it doesn't take a major global disaster to do it!

This is a hard scientific study out of the National Solar Observatory that seems to show that the current solar cycle is going to be longer and weaker than expected, and may portend something resembling the Maunder Minimum. The icecap.us article links two other articles, an analysis and the complete paper in PDF format. I'll provide those here as well:

paper:

http://www.astroengine.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/08/livingston-penn_sunspots2.pdf

analysis:

http://www.astroengine.com/?p=678

As the analysis points out, they don't yet have an extensive data set. Still, sure looks like the Farmer's Almanac has this winter pegged...

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2065287/posts

1 posted on 08/28/2008 4:28:19 AM PDT by PreciousLiberty
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To: PreciousLiberty

Here in SE Virginia, this summer has been cool. Spring was cold. August should be blistering in terms of heat and humidity.

It’s chilly in the early morning and we’ve noticed some birds started migration two weeks ago.


2 posted on 08/28/2008 4:36:46 AM PDT by OpusatFR
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To: PreciousLiberty

OMG! Obama promised change, but this is too much.


3 posted on 08/28/2008 4:41:37 AM PDT by Brilliant
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To: PreciousLiberty; CygnusXI; Entrepreneur; Defendingliberty; WL-law; Genesis defender; proud_yank; ...
 




Beam me to Planet Gore !

4 posted on 08/28/2008 4:44:50 AM PDT by steelyourfaith
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To: PreciousLiberty

For the love of High Frequency radio, please let this not be true. Although it’s pretty much the situation that we’re in right now...


5 posted on 08/28/2008 4:45:26 AM PDT by thecabal
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To: PreciousLiberty
It truly looks like Al Gore will be exposed as an idiot in the near term. Let's hope it doesn't take a major global disaster to do it!

No, he'll claim that efforts to reduce CO2 have produced some kind of feedback effect on the sun causing it to cool to make the earth cool from man-made global warming.
6 posted on 08/28/2008 4:46:58 AM PDT by aruanan
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To: OpusatFR

The summer has been cool here in Michigan too. I was up in the UP in July and we wore jackets almost the whole time. Down here in the bottom part of the state we’ve had nights mostly in the 50s.


7 posted on 08/28/2008 4:48:29 AM PDT by cripplecreek (Voting Conservative isn't for the faint of heart.)
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To: Brilliant

Winner for funniest response so far...lol


8 posted on 08/28/2008 4:51:45 AM PDT by PreciousLiberty
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To: PreciousLiberty
Uh, there are no sunspots now.

To Do List:

Make predictions of current events.

9 posted on 08/28/2008 4:55:01 AM PDT by Paladin2 (Huma for co-president! (it ain't over 'til it's over))
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To: Brilliant

LOL!


10 posted on 08/28/2008 4:55:23 AM PDT by Clara Lou (Given the possibilities, I choose McCain.)
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To: Paladin2

No sunspots in 2015 is quite a bold prediction, and completely counter to the mainstream among solar scientists. Most are predicting an end to the current minimum by late this year or early next year. Regardless, we’re already in a cooling trend I think.

There’s plenty more material on icecap.us or around the web.


11 posted on 08/28/2008 4:59:09 AM PDT by PreciousLiberty
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To: PreciousLiberty
If we are truly entering a new era of Global Cooling, then it's clear what steps we need to take:

Cut back on CO2
Deindustrialize the West
Sell carbon off-sets
Raise taxes
Exempt China from any proposed regulations related to the problem

12 posted on 08/28/2008 5:06:34 AM PDT by ClearCase_guy (Et si omnes ego non)
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To: PreciousLiberty

The sun is blank--no sunspots

13 posted on 08/28/2008 5:08:22 AM PDT by NY.SS-Bar9 (DR #1692)
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To: PreciousLiberty

Nice post.

Like the website.


14 posted on 08/28/2008 5:09:35 AM PDT by <1/1,000,000th%
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To: SunkenCiv; neverdem
Like, *PING*, dudes.

Cheers!

15 posted on 08/28/2008 5:09:41 AM PDT by grey_whiskers (The opinions are solely those of the author and are subject to change without notice.)
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To: thecabal

No sunspots means your Yaseu FT 857d is now a $700 paperweight


16 posted on 08/28/2008 5:12:16 AM PDT by Charlespg (Peace= When we trod the ruins of Mecca and Medina under our infidel boots.)
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To: aruanan

He certainly will, and the fact that CO2 emission have risen unabated despite all the hoopla and billions spent won’t make a bit of difference. Its all perception.

I get really disheartened sometimes at how comprehensive and successful the brainwashing has been. I keep telling people that its nothing but a lot of manipulated computer data and they just look at me and talk about the melting icecaps!


17 posted on 08/28/2008 5:14:50 AM PDT by Nipfan
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To: NY.SS-Bar9

“The sun is blank—no sunspots”

Yep, and most observatories show none since around last June. IF this current minimum goes well into 2009, it will enter the “very long” category...it’s already a long one.

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2064374/posts


18 posted on 08/28/2008 5:21:49 AM PDT by PreciousLiberty
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To: cripplecreek
I was up in the UP in July and we wore jackets almost the whole time.

Sissies. ;-)

19 posted on 08/28/2008 5:25:01 AM PDT by an amused spectator (Wikipedia: The Truth Was Out There, but it was reverted...)
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To: PreciousLiberty
"We have observed spectroscopic changes in temperature sensitive molecular lines, in the magnetic splitting of an Fe I line, and in the continuum brightness of over 1000 sunspot umbrae from 1990-2005. All three measurements show consistent trends in which the darkest parts of the sunspot umbra have become warmer (45K per year) and their magnetic field strengths have decreased (77 Gauss per year), independently of the normal 11-year sunspot cycle. A linear extrapolation of these trends suggests that few sunspots will be visible after 2015."

This is easily reversible or even preventable by the use of a bio nuclear Hydrogen recombiner placed along the axis of the pro ionization convergence of the previous and next expected sunspot activity.

By starting the bio emitter at 385 HRZ (in the blue/green spectrum) the effects of the Sunspot activity can be easily mitigated, or if necessary even increased if the Blue/green spectrum is exchanged for the Red/blue.

This information is easily and readily available on page 375 of this report. Take note that you will need your Lone Ranger decoder ring to access the truth.

20 posted on 08/28/2008 5:29:38 AM PDT by 101voodoo
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To: PreciousLiberty
magnetic splitting of an Fe I line...

Lets see, Fe is Iron, Iron is used by modern Industrialized man to make cars and buildings, Man is now responsible for splitting the Sun's Iron processes, this will cause MASSIVE climate change in the NEAR FUTURE. Send MONEY NOW!

21 posted on 08/28/2008 5:31:50 AM PDT by C210N (The television has mounted the most serious assault on Republicanism since Das Kapital.)
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To: 101voodoo

I’m not clear on this — can somebody help me? When I make a tinfoil hat, does the shiny side go on the OUTSIDE, or does it go on the INSIDE?


22 posted on 08/28/2008 5:34:04 AM PDT by Clioman
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To: 101voodoo

HA! What a thigh-slapper!


23 posted on 08/28/2008 5:34:29 AM PDT by SatinDoll (Desperately desiring a conservative government.)
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To: Clioman
When I make a tinfoil hat, does the shiny side go on the OUTSIDE, or does it go on the INSIDE?

Depends. If you're trying to keep your brain waves from escaping, shiny side in. If you're trying to keep the gov't out, shiny side out. Personally, if they want my brain waves, they need to pay for them, so i'm a shiny in kind of guy.

24 posted on 08/28/2008 5:38:53 AM PDT by Malsua
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To: PreciousLiberty
From today's WP: 7 Years to Climate Midnight By Carlos Pascual and Strobe Talbott

The liberals are trying to stampede us into a socialist hell using climate change as the instrument of our destruction. They know full well that unless something happens soon in terms of legislation, this entire scam will be seen for what it is. It is just a matter of time.

25 posted on 08/28/2008 5:41:52 AM PDT by kabar
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To: PreciousLiberty

Linear extrapolation is always useful. For example, we should all be paying 200% of our income in taxes by now, and -25% of Americans should be on welfare.


26 posted on 08/28/2008 5:49:34 AM PDT by ProtectOurFreedom
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To: aruanan; PreciousLiberty
It truly looks like Al Gore will be exposed as an idiot in the near term. Let's hope it doesn't take a major global disaster to do it!

No, he'll claim that efforts to reduce CO2 have produced some kind of feedback effect on the sun causing it to cool to make the earth cool from man-made global warming.

You're both wrong. This is a Get-Out-of-Jail-Free Card for the MMGW freaks. Now, their data doesn't have to show warming. They will say that the Earth is still much warmer than it would otherwise be and that when the sun cycle ends we are all going to burst into flames.

If we are .5 degrees colder, they will say that we should actually be 1.5 degrees colder, thus we are 1 degree warmer.

27 posted on 08/28/2008 5:50:48 AM PDT by SampleMan (We are a free and industrious people, socialist nannies do not become us.)
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To: PreciousLiberty
I agree with you and please excuse my ignorance on this issue but predicting that there will be no sunspots in 7 years (earth time) is pretty ballsy. 7 earth years is a nano second (or some extremely small increment of time) when compared to the age of the sun. To be so precise on something so volatile, call me a skeptic but this sounds like a search for grant money.

My guess is the sunspots will stop...wait for it...now, er I mean...now.

28 posted on 08/28/2008 5:51:32 AM PDT by A Texan (Oderint dum metuant)
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To: OpusatFR

I’m in the Tidewater area. We’ve really only had one full week of sustained heat and humidity. We’ve had hot days here and there but nothing like the usual. My wife and I have spent more evenings sitting on the patio after work this summer than we ever have in last 10 years combined.


29 posted on 08/28/2008 6:09:02 AM PDT by pgkdan (Tolerance is the virtue of the man without convictions - G.K. Chesterton)
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To: PreciousLiberty

From the same site:

Aug 25, 2008
Climate Similar to the 1800s Within the Next 15 Years: First Stage of Global Cooling During 2008/09
By David Dilley, Meteorologist

In the peer reviewed book “Global Warming—Global Cooling, Natural Cause Found”, meteorologist and climate researcher David Dilley utilizes nearly a half million years of data linking long term gravitational cycles of the moon explain the recent global warming, rises in carbon dioxide levels, and for 2200 global warming cycles during the past half million years.

The gravitational cycles are called the Primary Forcing Mechanism for Climate (PFM), and act like a magnet by pulling the atmosphere’s high pressure systems northward or southward by as much as 3 or 4 degrees of latitude from their normal seasonal positions, and thus causing long-term shifts in the location of atmospheric high pressure systems.

Research by Mr. Dilley shows a near 100 percent correlation between the PFM gravitational cycles to the beginning and ending of global warming cycles. Global warming cycles began right on time with each PFM cycle during the past half million years, as did the current warming which began 100 years ago, and it will end right on time as the current gravitational cycle begins its cyclical decline.

Global temperatures have cooled during the past 12 months. During 2008 and 2009 the first stage of global cooling will cool the world’s temperatures to those observed during the years from the 1940s through the 1970s. By the year 2023 global climate will become similar to the colder temperatures experienced during the 1800s.

Mr. Dilley of Global Weather Oscillations has found seven different types of recurring gravitational cycles ranging from the very warm 460,000 year cycle down to a 230 year recurring global warming cycle. All of the gravitational cycles coincide nearly 100 percent with 2200 global warming events during the past half million years. This includes the earth’s current warming cycle which began around the year 1900, and the first stage of global cooling that will begin during 2008 and 2009.

The release of the book “Global Warming- Global Cooling, Natural Cause Found” culminates 19 years of research clearly linking gravitational cycles as the cause for fluctuations within the earth’s climate. The book is available as an electronic e-Book on this website. The author David Dilley is a meteorologist and climate researcher with Global Weather Oscillations Inc. (GWO), former meteorologist with the National Weather Service, and co-host of the radio program “the Politically Incorrect Weather Guys” airing weekly on RadioEarNetwork.com, an internet streaming radio program. Read more here. He also believes a moderate El Nino will occur this fall.


30 posted on 08/28/2008 6:11:13 AM PDT by Renfield (Turning apples into venison since 1999!)
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To: PreciousLiberty; steelyourfaith

CAGW = catastrophic anthropogenic global warming?


31 posted on 08/28/2008 6:11:55 AM PDT by Beowulf
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To: Malsua
If you're trying to keep your brain waves from escaping, shiny side in. If you're trying to keep the gov't out, shiny side out.

Two layers, one each way. Complete protection.

32 posted on 08/28/2008 6:13:51 AM PDT by CurlyDave
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To: PreciousLiberty

History Channel says it’s all over in 2012 - don’t worry about it.


33 posted on 08/28/2008 6:18:13 AM PDT by palomonte
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To: Clioman
More information on that can be found here:

http://zapatopi.net/afdb/

34 posted on 08/28/2008 6:26:12 AM PDT by VanShuyten ("Ah! but it was something to have at least a choice of nightmares.")
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To: CurlyDave
Two layers, one each way. Complete protection.

Don't ever use two layers with the shiny sides together! The waves will get trapped between them and start resonating which will cause your head to explode! ;^)

35 posted on 08/28/2008 6:28:43 AM PDT by 6ppc (It's torch and pitchfork time)
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To: PreciousLiberty

This has to stop. The only solution is for us to send all liberal Democrats to the sun so they can do something about it. We can tell them they will all be safe as we’ll send them there at night.


36 posted on 08/28/2008 6:33:39 AM PDT by Hillarys Gate Cult (The man who said "there's no such thing as a stupid question" has never talked to Helen Thomas.)
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To: Clioman

LOL!


37 posted on 08/28/2008 6:36:36 AM PDT by cblue55 (Liberalism is a mental illness)
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To: SampleMan
You're both wrong. This is a Get-Out-of-Jail-Free Card for the MMGW freaks.

In any case, there will just be more of the same handwaving. It's getting so weird, though, that it'll soon be pushing the bounds of incredulity even for those without enough background to easily see that the emperor has no clothes. Apparently this is already happening in Great Britain.
38 posted on 08/28/2008 6:37:32 AM PDT by aruanan
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To: 6ppc

“Don’t ever use two layers with the shiny sides together! The waves will get trapped between them and start resonating which will cause your head to explode!”

.
I did this before reading you shouldn’t do it and my head DID explode. Great. Now I believe in global warming, the tooth fairy, and am planning to vote for Obama.
.
Please get your explanations out quicker...


39 posted on 08/28/2008 6:38:46 AM PDT by Vanders9
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To: PreciousLiberty

Bush’s fault, or possibly Big Oil.


40 posted on 08/28/2008 6:42:57 AM PDT by Upstate NY Guy
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To: ourusa

ping


41 posted on 08/28/2008 6:44:28 AM PDT by bmwcyle (If God wanted us to be Socialist, Karl Marx would have been born in America.)
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To: Vanders9
I did this before reading you shouldn’t do it and my head DID explode. Great. Now I believe in global warming, the tooth fairy, and am planning to vote for Obama.

Wait, you mean to tell me there is no tooth fairy! Great, just great.

42 posted on 08/28/2008 6:48:35 AM PDT by Jeff F
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To: C210N
There should be very little iron (Fe) in the sun with all that is there coming from the accretion process during the sun's formation.

The creation of iron is the last stage in a very large star's life cycle. It immediately precedes a supernova.

This is a very good article on Stella Evolution from Wikipedia.

This figures into a Science Fiction novel that I am writing.

Garde la Foi, mes amis! Nous nous sommes les sauveurs de la République! Maintenant et Toujours!
(Keep the Faith, my friends! We are the saviors of the Republic! Now and Forever!)

LonePalm, le Républicain du verre cassé (The Broken Glass Republican)

43 posted on 08/28/2008 7:01:53 AM PDT by LonePalm (Commander and Chef)
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To: LonePalm
Stella = Stellar

Garde la Foi, mes amis! Nous nous sommes les sauveurs de la République! Maintenant et Toujours!
(Keep the Faith, my friends! We are the saviors of the Republic! Now and Forever!)

LonePalm, le Républicain du verre cassé (The Broken Glass Republican)

44 posted on 08/28/2008 7:03:25 AM PDT by LonePalm (Commander and Chef)
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To: thecabal
6 meters is dead. Stick a fork in it.

/johnny

45 posted on 08/28/2008 7:14:35 AM PDT by JRandomFreeper (Bless us all, each, and every one.)
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To: PreciousLiberty

Gee this global cooling is just a result of global warming and when the cooling is over it will get warm again. (Sarcasm)


46 posted on 08/28/2008 7:18:37 AM PDT by The Great RJ ("Mir we bleiwen wat mir sin" or "We want to remain what we are." ..Luxembourg motto)
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To: Jeff F

You shouldn’t believe everything you read from someone whose head has exploded.


47 posted on 08/28/2008 7:18:54 AM PDT by Vanders9
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To: ProtectOurFreedom

“Linear extrapolation is always useful. For example, we should all be paying 200% of our income in taxes by now, and -25% of Americans should be on welfare.”

Linear extrapolation is useful when the data is...linear.

We’ll see how that plays out, but it sure looks linear from 1990-present, which covers over a full solar cycle. The nice thing about this prediction, unlike the “X temperature in 2100” predictions, is we’ll all know how this turns out in our lifetimes. ;-)


48 posted on 08/28/2008 7:37:47 AM PDT by PreciousLiberty
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To: Charlespg; thecabal

> No sunspots means your Yaseu FT 857d is now a $700 paperweight <

Maybe. But remember that sporadic E propagation tends to be negatively correlated with sunspots. So while the F layer may cease to be operational at HF, there could be increased E layer refraction from ca. 20 mHz upwards.


49 posted on 08/28/2008 7:48:31 AM PDT by Hawthorn
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To: SampleMan

According to the Goracle we should all be able to smelt lead on sidewalks by the end of the decade.


50 posted on 08/28/2008 7:54:21 AM PDT by Justa (The media lied while Americans died.)
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