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Gallup Daily: Obama’s Edge Shrinks to 2 Points
Gallup ^ | 9-6-8 | Gallup

Posted on 09/06/2008 10:17:15 AM PDT by Petronski

PRINCETON, NJ -- Barack Obama's advantage over John McCain has been shrinking since the start of the Republican National Convention, and is now down to just two percentage points -- 47% to 45% -- too close to call. This is according to Gallup Poll Daily tracking from Wednesday through Friday, Sept. 3-5.

(Excerpt) Read more at gallup.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2008election; 2008polls; 2008rncconvention; bounce; electionpresident; gallup; mccain; mccainpalin; tossups
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Whoo hoo.
1 posted on 09/06/2008 10:17:15 AM PDT by Petronski
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To: Petronski

For the Gallup Poll Daily tracking survey, Gallup is interviewing no fewer than 1,000 U.S. adults nationwide each day during 2008.

The general election results are based on combined data from Sept. 3-5, 2008. For results based on this sample of 2,765 registered voters, the maximum margin of sampling error is ±2 percentage points.


2 posted on 09/06/2008 10:18:05 AM PDT by Petronski (Zero-bama. All this time we thought it was an "O" but, nope, it's just a "0".)
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To: Petronski

Sep 4: Obama +7
Sep 5: Obama +4
Sep 6: Obama +2

Thank you Sen. McCain. Thank you Gov. Palin.


3 posted on 09/06/2008 10:20:01 AM PDT by Petronski (Zero-bama. All this time we thought it was an "O" but, nope, it's just a "0".)
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To: Petronski
Pretty good.

The interviewing for today's report partially reflects public opinion following the highlights of the Republican National Convention on Wednesday and Thursday nights when McCain and his running mate, Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin, made their acceptance speeches. This includes a strong night for McCain in Friday's interviewing, the first full night of interviewing following his acceptance speech.

The Republican bounce isn't finished yet.

4 posted on 09/06/2008 10:20:04 AM PDT by Interesting Times (Swiftboating, you say? Check out ToSetTheRecordStraight.com)
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To: Petronski
So let's continue to get our message out.

Here's a plain-spoken soldier with a poignant message for Mr. Obama & Co.

5 posted on 09/06/2008 10:22:04 AM PDT by fightinJAG (Rush was right when he said: "You NEVER win by losing.")
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To: Petronski

Rasmessen has him down by just 1% - 45% to 46%.


6 posted on 09/06/2008 10:22:19 AM PDT by GeeMoney (Hey Obama, it's God BLESS America!)
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To: Petronski

Just like the Tampa Bay Rays lead in the AL East. Dropping each day.


7 posted on 09/06/2008 10:22:38 AM PDT by mainepatsfan
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To: Petronski

Ouch...that’s what a pair of black peeps in the crouch will do.


8 posted on 09/06/2008 10:22:57 AM PDT by Psycho_Bunny (By Obama's own reckoning, isn't Lyndon LaRouche more qualified? He's run since the 70's)
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To: Petronski

Those drops for Obambi are actually part of the McCain bounce, though they won’t be counted as such.


9 posted on 09/06/2008 10:23:05 AM PDT by fightinJAG (Rush was right when he said: "You NEVER win by losing.")
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To: GeeMoney

That “great” Obama speech seems like it was two months ago.


10 posted on 09/06/2008 10:23:42 AM PDT by mainepatsfan
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To: Petronski

Are Democrats oversampled in this poll like they seem to be in the other major polls?


11 posted on 09/06/2008 10:24:11 AM PDT by Colonel_Flagg (The GOP may not be the party of "McRomney" after all.)
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To: Colonel_Flagg
"Are Democrats oversampled in this poll like they seem to be in the other major polls?"

Some other FReeper said yesterday that Gallup samples Republicans at only 28%. I don't know Gallups Democratic sampling.

12 posted on 09/06/2008 10:25:45 AM PDT by avacado
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To: Petronski

Sweet, and it’s a registered-voter poll, too. Flip those scores.


13 posted on 09/06/2008 10:25:48 AM PDT by ccmay (Too much Law; not enough Order.)
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To: Petronski

That an empty-suited, zero-accomplishment, never-had-a-real-job, consort-with-terror-bombers-and-radicas Marxist nutcase could be elected U.S. Senator and have as much as 46% of the American Electorate willing to vote for him is astonishing beyond words.

How could this be possible in a nation of educated, hard-working, god-fearing people?

Oh, wait ...


14 posted on 09/06/2008 10:26:38 AM PDT by Westbrook (Having more children does not divide your love, it multiplies it.)
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To: Interesting Times

A poll of Wed-Thu-Fri means only one day reaction to McCain’s speech and only two days reaction to Palin’s.


15 posted on 09/06/2008 10:26:44 AM PDT by Petronski (Zero-bama. All this time we thought it was an "O" but, nope, it's just a "0".)
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To: Colonel_Flagg

Absolutely they are oversampling Democrats to almost 40% of the sample. GOP they give about 32%, independents 28%. This is based on party ID surveys that go back this entire year but do not take into account the fact that with Sarah Palin on the ticket Republicans are “coming back home” in a big way.


16 posted on 09/06/2008 10:27:10 AM PDT by tellw
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To: avacado

Thanks for the quick answer!


17 posted on 09/06/2008 10:27:14 AM PDT by Colonel_Flagg (The GOP may not be the party of "McRomney" after all.)
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To: tellw

Should also have included you in my last post. Many thanks :)


18 posted on 09/06/2008 10:28:00 AM PDT by Colonel_Flagg (The GOP may not be the party of "McRomney" after all.)
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To: Petronski

Yeah I’ll be even more interested in the numbers early next week once the word of mouth has had time to spread around.


19 posted on 09/06/2008 10:28:27 AM PDT by mainepatsfan
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To: mainepatsfan

Good to see the Red Sox keeping up the pressure. BTW, Toronto is ahead of the D-Rays today early in the game.


20 posted on 09/06/2008 10:28:31 AM PDT by Red Steel
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To: Petronski

That is a 3 day average ending on Friday. The next 3 day average starting with Friday should be interesting.


21 posted on 09/06/2008 10:29:34 AM PDT by Parley Baer
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To: Red Steel

They’ve all but locked up a post season spot anyways but the division is looking more up for grabs today than a week ago. Kind of like the Presidential race.


22 posted on 09/06/2008 10:30:10 AM PDT by mainepatsfan
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To: mainepatsfan; Parley Baer

Let’s just say...my interest is piqued.


23 posted on 09/06/2008 10:31:09 AM PDT by Petronski (Zero-bama. All this time we thought it was an "O" but, nope, it's just a "0".)
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To: Colonel_Flagg
Are Democrats oversampled in this poll like they seem to be in the other major polls?

Rasmussen sampled Dems about 9.1% higher than Repubs in August.

However, now Dem identity is only 5.7% of voters over Repubs nationally with the trend falling in favor of Repubs.

24 posted on 09/06/2008 10:32:55 AM PDT by Red Steel
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To: Interesting Times

“The Republican bounce isn’t finished yet.”

It’s barely started, wait until next Tuesday or Wednesday.


25 posted on 09/06/2008 10:32:56 AM PDT by moose2004 (Drill, Drill, Drill, Drill, Drill, Drill And Then Drill Some More)
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To: Petronski
Someone with Obama’s credentials and the baggage of Rev. wright should be 30 points behind. He is in the lead only because of somebody as awful and unqualified as McCain is the alternative.
26 posted on 09/06/2008 10:34:28 AM PDT by Jane Austen (Boycott the Bahamas!)
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To: Petronski

Obamao’s poll numbers will soon match his suit size.


27 posted on 09/06/2008 10:34:29 AM PDT by TribalPrincess2U
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To: fightinJAG

Couldn’t see the end of the video. Screen got all blurry.


28 posted on 09/06/2008 10:34:41 AM PDT by SlowBoat407 (ANWR would look great in pumps.)
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To: Jane Austen

29 posted on 09/06/2008 10:35:37 AM PDT by Petronski (Zero-bama. All this time we thought it was an "O" but, nope, it's just a "0".)
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To: SlowBoat407

Man, I know what you mean.

My fourteen-year-old son got choked up watching the video as well.

Please send the link to anyone you know who may be interested. We always need to speak out for soldiers, but this is also one issue that should not be lost in all the hoopla. It’s the real gut-check.


30 posted on 09/06/2008 10:36:38 AM PDT by fightinJAG (Rush was right when he said: "You NEVER win by losing.")
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To: avacado

Actually I think it’s 27.1% Repub according to Gallup. Ras claims that at the conclusion of August the number of Repubs was up to 33.4% from 31.6% in July. I believe the number of dems in August, according to Ras, was 38.8%, down almost 2% from July.


31 posted on 09/06/2008 10:36:38 AM PDT by moose2004 (Drill, Drill, Drill, Drill, Drill, Drill And Then Drill Some More)
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To: Jane Austen
He is in the lead only because of somebody as awful and unqualified as McCain is the alternative.

Sorry, I couldn't find your name on the ballot.

32 posted on 09/06/2008 10:37:54 AM PDT by SlowBoat407 (ANWR would look great in pumps.)
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To: Petronski

This is good news but until McCain takes a sustainable lead however small, I am going to feel ill at ease.


33 posted on 09/06/2008 10:38:26 AM PDT by libh8er
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To: mainepatsfan
That “great” Obama speech seems like it was two months ago.

Does anyone recall anything he said in that speech? Has any part of it been rebroadcast, even as sound bites, anywhere? I think it was a clinker of a wornout stump speech and nothing more. I think Obama thought he could mail it in and count on the theatrics to carry him. I don't believe it worked.

34 posted on 09/06/2008 10:38:38 AM PDT by hinckley buzzard
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To: libh8er

I want him to take a FAT lead. The DU crowd worries about voter fraud! If there is any, they’ll be the ones doing it.

It is insanely easy to do voter fraud in this state (CA)


35 posted on 09/06/2008 10:42:02 AM PDT by Marie2 (Everything the left does has the effect and intent of destroying the traditional family.)
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To: Petronski
This is adults, and by my math, that's +4 to the GOP (+2 for registered voters, then another +4 for likely).

Among almost everyone else this season, I've been alone in insisting that the polls---when read correctly---are right and people keep saying they don't matter. Yes, they do.

And this is a VERY good result for McCain.

The bad news is that there is almost no corresponding movement in the state House and Senate polls---but they usually lag the national polling by a week or so.

36 posted on 09/06/2008 10:42:21 AM PDT by LS ("Castles made of sand, fall in the sea . . . eventually." (Hendrix))
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To: libh8er
This is good news but until McCain takes a sustainable lead however small, I am going to feel ill at ease.

Yep, that hasn't happened yet. It makes you wonder what the swing/undecided voters are seeing in this election. They continue to lean Obama's way.

37 posted on 09/06/2008 10:42:49 AM PDT by CatOwner
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To: tellw
That's because they are doing "adults," not "likely voters."

I've watched polls for 15 years. Polls of "adults" are usually between 3-4 points in favor of the Dems from the real election day outcome; if you narrow it to "registered" voters, it shrinks to 2 points off; and if you go with "likely" voters, you are pretty much accurate.

Ras has Obama up 1. That's pretty close.

38 posted on 09/06/2008 10:44:39 AM PDT by LS ("Castles made of sand, fall in the sea . . . eventually." (Hendrix))
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To: Petronski

http://www.sharkattackphotos.com/Sounds/jawstheme.wav


39 posted on 09/06/2008 10:45:03 AM PDT by pabianice
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To: LS
Ras has Obama up 1. That's pretty close.

At first blush, that would seem good. But the result is unchanged from yesterday, which means McCain polled no better yesterday (Friday) than he did for the day that rolled off the averages (Tuesday). I actually consider that a negative.

40 posted on 09/06/2008 10:46:44 AM PDT by CatOwner
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To: Petronski
Gallup Daily: Obama’s Edge Shrinks to 2 Points

Obama seems a bit panicked. Something in his internal polling?

41 posted on 09/06/2008 10:47:52 AM PDT by kaspergutman
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To: GeeMoney
More telling -- IMHO: As McCain has begun to chip away as Obama’s convention bounce, most of his gains have come among women voters. Obama still leads 51% to 44% among women, but that seven-point edge is just half the fourteen point lead he enjoyed last Tuesday. McCain leads by three among men, little changed in recent days.

On Fox news this morning, I saw a segment on how to duplicate Sarah Palin's hairstyle. I read a news story that there is a run on Sarah Palin's style of eyeglass frames. There is something visceral going on here among women and I don't think it's completely reflected in the polls yet. All IMHO.

42 posted on 09/06/2008 10:49:01 AM PDT by Sooth2222 ("Suppose you were an idiot. And suppose you were a member of congress. But I repeat myself." M.Twain)
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To: Petronski

So, I wonder what the REAL numbers are cause you know they are NOT telling us the TRUTH!


43 posted on 09/06/2008 10:49:52 AM PDT by a real Sheila (Just say NObama!)
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To: fightinJAG

Wow.


44 posted on 09/06/2008 10:51:21 AM PDT by sitetest (If Roe is not overturned, no unborn child will ever be protected in law.)
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To: All

>>
The interviewing for today’s report partially reflects public opinion following the highlights of the Republican National Convention on Wednesday and Thursday nights when McCain and his running mate, Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin, made their acceptance speeches. This includes a strong night for McCain in Friday’s interviewing, the first full night of interviewing following his acceptance speech.
>>

The good news is there are likely more gains to come. Good chance McCain can see a lead early next week.

The bad news is that Friday sample will roll off Tuesday.


45 posted on 09/06/2008 10:52:17 AM PDT by Owen
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To: Petronski
Hopefully, it won't stay too close to call.

If it comes down to the wire, my fear is that the RATs will cry racism and litigate a victory.
46 posted on 09/06/2008 10:53:06 AM PDT by indthkr
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To: avacado

I thought Gallup was one of the pollsters that do random sampling versus weighting. In other words Zogby, Rasmussen etc..ask party afilliation and weight accordingly. Gallup does not value party association and just does random sampling. they call 1000 voters at random..


47 posted on 09/06/2008 10:53:07 AM PDT by GoMonster (GO)
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To: Petronski
Definitely good news, but I am still wanting to see McCain hit 50% or above. 45% is good, but obviously not good enough.

Hopefully by the middle of next week, he'll hit it.

48 posted on 09/06/2008 11:00:22 AM PDT by comebacknewt
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To: mainepatsfan

The Obama speech was entirely forgetable Democrat boilerplate. He could have dusted off any acceptance speech from any Democrat candidate since McGovern and it would have sounded the same, the only thing different would have been the styrofoam Greek columns.


49 posted on 09/06/2008 11:05:12 AM PDT by attiladhun2 (Obama is the anti-Reagan, instead of opposing the world's tyrants, he wants to embrace them)
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To: fightinJAG
Excellent video, thanks for sharing it.

- Traveler

50 posted on 09/06/2008 11:12:24 AM PDT by Traveler59 (Truth is a journey, not a destination.)
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