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Gallup Daily: Obama’s Edge Shrinks to 2 Points
Gallup ^ | 9-6-8 | Gallup

Posted on 09/06/2008 10:17:15 AM PDT by Petronski

PRINCETON, NJ -- Barack Obama's advantage over John McCain has been shrinking since the start of the Republican National Convention, and is now down to just two percentage points -- 47% to 45% -- too close to call. This is according to Gallup Poll Daily tracking from Wednesday through Friday, Sept. 3-5.

(Excerpt) Read more at gallup.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2008election; 2008polls; 2008rncconvention; bounce; electionpresident; gallup; mccain; mccainpalin; tossups
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To: Petronski

That is a 3 day average ending on Friday. The next 3 day average starting with Friday should be interesting.


21 posted on 09/06/2008 10:29:34 AM PDT by Parley Baer
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To: Red Steel

They’ve all but locked up a post season spot anyways but the division is looking more up for grabs today than a week ago. Kind of like the Presidential race.


22 posted on 09/06/2008 10:30:10 AM PDT by mainepatsfan
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To: mainepatsfan; Parley Baer

Let’s just say...my interest is piqued.


23 posted on 09/06/2008 10:31:09 AM PDT by Petronski (Zero-bama. All this time we thought it was an "O" but, nope, it's just a "0".)
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To: Colonel_Flagg
Are Democrats oversampled in this poll like they seem to be in the other major polls?

Rasmussen sampled Dems about 9.1% higher than Repubs in August.

However, now Dem identity is only 5.7% of voters over Repubs nationally with the trend falling in favor of Repubs.

24 posted on 09/06/2008 10:32:55 AM PDT by Red Steel
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To: Interesting Times

“The Republican bounce isn’t finished yet.”

It’s barely started, wait until next Tuesday or Wednesday.


25 posted on 09/06/2008 10:32:56 AM PDT by moose2004 (Drill, Drill, Drill, Drill, Drill, Drill And Then Drill Some More)
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To: Petronski
Someone with Obama’s credentials and the baggage of Rev. wright should be 30 points behind. He is in the lead only because of somebody as awful and unqualified as McCain is the alternative.
26 posted on 09/06/2008 10:34:28 AM PDT by Jane Austen (Boycott the Bahamas!)
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To: Petronski

Obamao’s poll numbers will soon match his suit size.


27 posted on 09/06/2008 10:34:29 AM PDT by TribalPrincess2U
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To: fightinJAG

Couldn’t see the end of the video. Screen got all blurry.


28 posted on 09/06/2008 10:34:41 AM PDT by SlowBoat407 (ANWR would look great in pumps.)
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To: Jane Austen

29 posted on 09/06/2008 10:35:37 AM PDT by Petronski (Zero-bama. All this time we thought it was an "O" but, nope, it's just a "0".)
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To: SlowBoat407

Man, I know what you mean.

My fourteen-year-old son got choked up watching the video as well.

Please send the link to anyone you know who may be interested. We always need to speak out for soldiers, but this is also one issue that should not be lost in all the hoopla. It’s the real gut-check.


30 posted on 09/06/2008 10:36:38 AM PDT by fightinJAG (Rush was right when he said: "You NEVER win by losing.")
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To: avacado

Actually I think it’s 27.1% Repub according to Gallup. Ras claims that at the conclusion of August the number of Repubs was up to 33.4% from 31.6% in July. I believe the number of dems in August, according to Ras, was 38.8%, down almost 2% from July.


31 posted on 09/06/2008 10:36:38 AM PDT by moose2004 (Drill, Drill, Drill, Drill, Drill, Drill And Then Drill Some More)
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To: Jane Austen
He is in the lead only because of somebody as awful and unqualified as McCain is the alternative.

Sorry, I couldn't find your name on the ballot.

32 posted on 09/06/2008 10:37:54 AM PDT by SlowBoat407 (ANWR would look great in pumps.)
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To: Petronski

This is good news but until McCain takes a sustainable lead however small, I am going to feel ill at ease.


33 posted on 09/06/2008 10:38:26 AM PDT by libh8er
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To: mainepatsfan
That “great” Obama speech seems like it was two months ago.

Does anyone recall anything he said in that speech? Has any part of it been rebroadcast, even as sound bites, anywhere? I think it was a clinker of a wornout stump speech and nothing more. I think Obama thought he could mail it in and count on the theatrics to carry him. I don't believe it worked.

34 posted on 09/06/2008 10:38:38 AM PDT by hinckley buzzard
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To: libh8er

I want him to take a FAT lead. The DU crowd worries about voter fraud! If there is any, they’ll be the ones doing it.

It is insanely easy to do voter fraud in this state (CA)


35 posted on 09/06/2008 10:42:02 AM PDT by Marie2 (Everything the left does has the effect and intent of destroying the traditional family.)
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To: Petronski
This is adults, and by my math, that's +4 to the GOP (+2 for registered voters, then another +4 for likely).

Among almost everyone else this season, I've been alone in insisting that the polls---when read correctly---are right and people keep saying they don't matter. Yes, they do.

And this is a VERY good result for McCain.

The bad news is that there is almost no corresponding movement in the state House and Senate polls---but they usually lag the national polling by a week or so.

36 posted on 09/06/2008 10:42:21 AM PDT by LS ("Castles made of sand, fall in the sea . . . eventually." (Hendrix))
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To: libh8er
This is good news but until McCain takes a sustainable lead however small, I am going to feel ill at ease.

Yep, that hasn't happened yet. It makes you wonder what the swing/undecided voters are seeing in this election. They continue to lean Obama's way.

37 posted on 09/06/2008 10:42:49 AM PDT by CatOwner
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To: tellw
That's because they are doing "adults," not "likely voters."

I've watched polls for 15 years. Polls of "adults" are usually between 3-4 points in favor of the Dems from the real election day outcome; if you narrow it to "registered" voters, it shrinks to 2 points off; and if you go with "likely" voters, you are pretty much accurate.

Ras has Obama up 1. That's pretty close.

38 posted on 09/06/2008 10:44:39 AM PDT by LS ("Castles made of sand, fall in the sea . . . eventually." (Hendrix))
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To: Petronski

http://www.sharkattackphotos.com/Sounds/jawstheme.wav


39 posted on 09/06/2008 10:45:03 AM PDT by pabianice
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To: LS
Ras has Obama up 1. That's pretty close.

At first blush, that would seem good. But the result is unchanged from yesterday, which means McCain polled no better yesterday (Friday) than he did for the day that rolled off the averages (Tuesday). I actually consider that a negative.

40 posted on 09/06/2008 10:46:44 AM PDT by CatOwner
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