Posted on 09/07/2008 5:06:30 AM PDT by sunmars
In the first national polling results based entirely on interviews conducted after Sarah Palin’s acceptance speech, Barack Obama gets 46% of the vote and so does John McCain. When "leaners" are included, it’s all even at 48%.
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
In the first national polling results based entirely on interviews conducted after Sarah Palin’s acceptance speech, Barack Obama gets 46% of the vote and so does John McCain. When "leaners" are included, it’s all even at 48%.
This past Tuesday, Obama’s bounce peaked with the Democrat enjoying a six-percentage point advantage. Before the two conventions were held, Obama had consistently held a one or two point lead over McCain for most of August (see recent daily results).
Tracking Poll results are based upon nightly telephone interviews and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. As a result, tomorrow (Monday) will be the first update based entirely upon interviews conducted after McCain’s speech. By Tuesday or Wednesday, the net impact of both political conventions should be fairly clear.
McCain earns the vote from 89% of Republicans while Obama is supported by 81% of Democrats. McCain also manages to attract 15% of Democrats while Obama gets 9% of the Republican vote. Voters not affiliated with either major party remain fairly evenly divided between the two men.
McCain leads by seven points among men while Obama leads by six among women. On Tuesday, when Obama’s lead peaked, he had a fourteen point advantage among women.
Forty-two percent (42%) of voters say that economic issues are most important this year and Obama holds a 34-point advantage among these voters.
Twenty-four percent (24%) of voters say the national security issues are most important. Among these voters its McCain by 39.
The Republican hopeful also leads by wide margins among those who consider fiscal issues or cultural issues most important. Obama leads among those primarily interested in domestic programs such as Social Security and health care.
Overall, McCain is now viewed favorably by 58% of the nation’s voters while Obama earns positive reviews from 56% (see trends).
Palin is viewed favorably by 58% of voters including 40% with a Very Favorable opinion of her. Biden earns positive reviews from 48% of voters.
Seventy-seven percent (77%) of Obama voters now say they are voting with enthusiasm for their candidate while 17% are primarily voting against the other candidate. For McCain, those numbers are 65% and 28% respectively. Before the Republican convention, just 54% of McCain voters were voting enthusiastically for him rather than simply voting against Obama.
I thought Ras released his daily poll at 9:30AM, maybe if you’re a premium subscriber you get it quicker, anyway, great numbers, GO MAC AND SARAH!!!
If it's only a six point lead for Obama among women now then that number will continue to shrink and he MUST have a big lead in the category in order to win.
Rasmussen said on Thurs morning that it will take until Tuesday to have an accurate reading of the effect of Palin and McCain’s speeches.
It is on the site now.
And to think McCain/Palin did it all without marble columns and a football stadium with all the glitz and pomp Hollywood could muster in short notice. The democrats are following the old “got it flaunt it, if not hide it” and they are trying to hide behind showmanship.
The best thing about all this is they are tied and yet there’s actually about 10% more Dems polled than Republicans in the poll. Republicans are undersampled in every poll by approximately 5 to 10%. So in reality they are in way better shape.
Its very interesting that if Republicans are undersampled, McCain and Palin must be pulling enourmous numbers of independents. No one ever mentions the indie percentages, they must be atrocious for Bambi.
First off it makes sense since the word was that last Wednesday (Pre-Palin) Obama was polling big numbers on that day. That day is now out of the system.
McCain should hit 50% by tomorrow or Tuesday.
What’s interesting is now is BOTH McCain and Palin are being viewed more favorably than Obama. And McCain’s favorability could even inch up a little further as the final day post-speech is averaged in tomorrow.
The only thing I find funky is Obama holding a 34 point lead in economic issues. I’ve not seen the gap that large with any other poll.
Maybe Biden really should have asked for the VP thing in writing.
It took five days AFTER the DNCC ended before the polls showed any bounce.
The RNC ended on the same night of the week as the DNC so would it not seem logical that the polls coming on tuesday would be the ones to look at?
Palin bounce should show by Tuesday.
I think the undersampling actually reflects that there are more democrats. Republicans make up the difference because most independents vote republican.
I think McCain will have a 4 point lead by then.
I hope they dont change their ticket. I am not sure he would step down even if they asked him.
My biggest fear is that Barry will throw Biden under the bus and pick the Beast. I’m not convinced it would work but it certainly might.
Plain and simple, the democrats bet on the wrong horse. Hillary would have been a tougher opponent. Take a look at the states that are competitive and are the key to getting a victory and you will find that Hillary beat Obama in almost all of them: Ohio, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire, Michigan (sort of), Nevada, Florida. Missouri was pretty much a tie between the two. Only in Colorado and Virgina did Obama beat Clinton - and Obama is not going to win VA.
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