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Rassmussen finally puts it at a tie, big convention bump erases Obama's lead to nada.
Rassmussen ^

Posted on 09/07/2008 5:06:30 AM PDT by sunmars

In the first national polling results based entirely on interviews conducted after Sarah Palin’s acceptance speech, Barack Obama gets 46% of the vote and so does John McCain. When "leaners" are included, it’s all even at 48%.

(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2008polls; 2008rncconvention; bounce; electionpresident; mccain; mccainpalin; obamabiden
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To: mike-zed

I agree on both points. It would almost be a panic. And she may not accept becuase she wants to run again in 2012.


21 posted on 09/07/2008 5:30:14 AM PDT by John Robie
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To: sunmars
We'll have to wait for the debates before we really know how things are going to go.

A big flub on our side at the debates could hurt a lot and you know the MSM is going to do their best to provide questions that help Biden if at all possible.

22 posted on 09/07/2008 5:30:45 AM PDT by DB
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To: mainepatsfan
Yeah, this is a really big result, but more important, it's a trend: Gallup, Zogby (yeah, I know, it's Zogby), now Ras, plus that extremely encouraging poll out of FL yesterday on attitudes where McCain owned every single issue.

Long way to go, and McCain's strategy should be keep it simple, hammer the "get-able" states, and at every opportunity encourage the Anointed One to say as much as possible. The guy is a gaffe machine.

("Nitaly Lions").

23 posted on 09/07/2008 5:30:47 AM PDT by LS ("Castles made of sand, fall in the sea . . . eventually." (Hendrix))
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To: John Robie

The GOP is now energized, we now have to work to maximise the get the base out to vote effort, wheel your grandma in from the home because Obama is going to be bringing out the dead to vote for him. We really to make sure every precinct is covered and judged and the obamabots stopped dead in their tracks come Nov 4th.

Gary, Indian were they stuffed votes against Hillary is one we really need to watch, Philadelphia, N and S carolina and basically anywhere bambi has a huge AA district that can stuff ballots.


24 posted on 09/07/2008 5:30:55 AM PDT by sunmars
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To: diverteach

“The RNC ended on the same night of the week as the DNC so would it not seem logical that the polls coming on tuesday would be the ones to look at?”

Yes, as Scott Rasmussen said, in order to get the full effect. This is bad for Obambi and the MSM.


25 posted on 09/07/2008 5:31:11 AM PDT by moose2004 (Drill, Drill, Drill, Drill, Drill, Drill And Then Drill Some More)
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To: diverteach

Weekend polls tend to favor Dims. so the first accurate 3-day polling numbers that do not include the weekend will be available this Thursday morning.

The reason it took so long for the Zerobama bounce to show up is that the MSM needed a few days to gin it up with their pro-Zerobama propaganda.


26 posted on 09/07/2008 5:31:54 AM PDT by savedbygrace (SECURE THE BORDERS FIRST (I'M YELLING ON PURPOSE))
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To: lt.america

Someone needs to find out who comprises those 9% of Republicans who are voting for Obama

Those would be the Olympia Snowe type Republicans. Don’t worry about them since there’s nothing you can do to convince them they’re wrong.


27 posted on 09/07/2008 5:33:41 AM PDT by saganite (Obama is a political STD)
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To: sunmars

I live in MD and have some reservations about the voting process in Baltimore.


28 posted on 09/07/2008 5:33:51 AM PDT by John Robie
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To: sunmars

Thanks for this.
BHO has not run from behind since Iowa.
Elitists with his demeanor will not know how to campaign from behind.
He can’t play the role of the scrappy underdog.
He’ll be even more hestitant and cautious. That will cost him more votes.


29 posted on 09/07/2008 5:34:27 AM PDT by ConservativeGreek
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To: vamoose
Hillary would have won OH easily. Obama is going to find his own racist party will defeat him here. But I don't know that she would have carried some of the other states, such as IA, NM. In other words, it's possible that you're right and she would have won some, but lost others and still lost the election.

It's also likely, though, that a Hillary candidacy would have so galvanized Republicans earlier that McCain would NOT have thought he needed Palin for a running mate. So these what ifs can circle endlessly.

30 posted on 09/07/2008 5:35:17 AM PDT by LS ("Castles made of sand, fall in the sea . . . eventually." (Hendrix))
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To: John Robie
I am with you there. Biden is really good for us on this ticket. I don't think Obama could drop him anyhow because it would look really pathetic and desperate. My guess is a senior campaign official goes. Maybe they try to make it look like this person may have been involved in some minor media smears and is being fired by Obama because he wants change in attempt to generate some good will and talking points with the media.
31 posted on 09/07/2008 5:35:45 AM PDT by lt.america (Palin was McCain's Midway while Saddleback was his Coral Sea)
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To: lt.america

” The left will freak out and the Dems will try to shake up the campaign, meaning someone will get thrown under the bus”

No, not yet. My guess is that there will be foot dragging on reporting this in the media and then some selective poll quoting on ones we rarely hear about but are solid in their representative of Rats re: Obama up.

Then the media will completely to forget to talk too much about how the horse race is all tied up and will fall back on the old traditional line about “race tightening” blah blah blah.

The big story is of course that Obama’s lead is erased. On Tuesday/Wednesday the bigger story may be that McCain has taken a lead.

And of course none of this is meaningful in a 50 state race. That’s the only one that matters.


32 posted on 09/07/2008 5:38:27 AM PDT by romanesq
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To: John Robie
re: I think the undersampling actually reflects that there are more democrats. Republicans make up the difference because most independents vote republican.

Where did you get that info? I have never heard that most independents vote Republican. I would have guessed it is the other way. If they can't see the whopping differences between the two parties in the first place I generally expect that they will swing to the Left. I certainly hope you are right.

33 posted on 09/07/2008 5:38:54 AM PDT by Nevadan
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To: sunmars
The fact that at least half of the American people will vote for this marxist crypto-muslim is no cause for celebration.

Only a matter of time until the Republic falls

34 posted on 09/07/2008 5:38:59 AM PDT by Rome2000 (Peace is not an option)
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To: lt.america

It’s funny on DU...
Some over there still think Palin is just temporary and that Huckabee will be the replacement. They’ve been saying it all week over there. They say no way she does the VP debate.


35 posted on 09/07/2008 5:39:22 AM PDT by jerry557
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To: DB
A big flub on our side at the debates could hurt a lot

George Bush didn't do well in some of his debates against Kerry and still won.

36 posted on 09/07/2008 5:40:11 AM PDT by Ronaldus Magnus Reagan (Fight Socialism! Vote McCain '08!)
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To: John Robie

A 4 point lead by middle of next week would be huge. Obama’s lack of experience and particularly his never being in a real race will begin to show.

He’s going to do something stupid (again) but the glare of it closer to the election will not be “correctable” and overlooked by the electorate as the media has done.

Let’s cross our fingers and pray for our nation.


37 posted on 09/07/2008 5:40:53 AM PDT by romanesq
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To: lt.america
meaning someone will get thrown under the bus.

Bye bye Biden, hello Hillary?

38 posted on 09/07/2008 5:42:24 AM PDT by Soliton (> 100)
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To: romanesq

The mayor of detroit will cost him Michigan. Some group is running an ad that shows him praising the mayor and then show the mayor’s mugshots.


39 posted on 09/07/2008 5:45:00 AM PDT by John Robie
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To: Ronaldus Magnus Reagan

Yes, but expectations were low.

Here, expectations are high.


40 posted on 09/07/2008 5:49:50 AM PDT by DB
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