Skip to comments.Rasmussen Poll- McCain and Hussein Tied at 48 w/ Leaners (HtMMN was up 3 Yesterday)
Posted on 09/07/2008 6:35:58 AM PDT by NYC Republican
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Sunday, September 7, shows the race for the White House is tied.
In the first national polling results based entirely on interviews conducted after Sarah Palins acceptance speech, Barack Obama gets 46% of the vote and so does John McCain. When "leaners" are included, its all even at 48%. Tracking Poll results are released at 9:30 a.m. Eastern Time each day and a FREE daily e-mail update is available.
This past Tuesday, Obamas bounce peaked with the Democrat enjoying a six-percentage point advantage. Before the two conventions were held, Obama had consistently held a one or two point lead over McCain for most of August (see recent daily results).
Tracking Poll results are based upon nightly telephone interviews and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. As a result, tomorrow (Monday) will be the first update based entirely upon interviews conducted after McCains speech. By Tuesday or Wednesday, the net impact of both political conventions should be fairly clear.
McCain earns the vote from 89% of Republicans while Obama is supported by 81% of Democrats. McCain also manages to attract 15% of Democrats while Obama gets 9% of the Republican vote. Voters not affiliated with either major party remain fairly evenly divided between the two men.
McCain leads by seven points among men while Obama leads by six among women. On Tuesday, when Obamas lead peaked, he had a fourteen point advantage among women. Premium Members can review demographic crosstabs and all the data we collect--not just the portion we make public. Premium Members can also get an advance look at tracking poll results via the Daily Snapshot each morning.
Forty-two percent (42%) of voters say that economic issues are most important this year and Obama holds a 34-point advantage among these voters.
Twenty-four percent (24%) of voters say the national security issues are most important. Among these voters its McCain by 39.
The Republican hopeful also leads by wide margins among those who consider fiscal issues or cultural issues most important. Obama leads among those primarily interested in domestic programs such as Social Security and health care.
Overall, McCain is now viewed favorably by 58% of the nations voters while Obama earns positive reviews from 56% (see trends).
Palin is viewed favorably by 58% of voters including 40% with a Very Favorable opinion of her. Biden earns positive reviews from 48% of voters.
Seventy-seven percent (77%) of Obama voters now say they are voting with enthusiasm for their candidate while 17% are primarily voting against the other candidate. For McCain, those numbers are 65% and 28% respectively. Before the Republican convention, just 54% of McCain voters were voting enthusiastically for him rather than simply voting against Obama.
Each Saturday morning, Rasmussen Reports reviews the key polls of the past week to learn What They Told Us.
The Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator currently shows Obama leading in states with 193 Electoral College votes while McCain leads in states with 183 votes (see Quick Campaign Overview). When leaners are included, its Obama 264, McCain 247 (see 50-State Summary).
Data from Rasmussen Markets currently gives Obama a 57.4 % chance of winning in November. Other key stats of Election 2008 can still be seen at Obama-McCain: By the Numbers. Sign up for a free daily e-mail update.
Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 1,000 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. The margin of sampling errorfor the full sample of 3,000 Likely Voters--is +/- 2 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Results are also compiled on a full-week basis and crosstabs for the full-week results are available for Premium Members.
Like all polling firms, Rasmussen Reports weights its data to reflect the population at large. Among other targets, Rasmussen Reports weights data by political party affiliation using a dynamic weighting process. Our baseline targets are established based upon survey interviews with a sample of adults nationwide completed during the preceding three months (a total of 45,000 interviews). For September, the targets are 39.7% Democrat, 32.1% Republican, and 28.2% unaffiliated (see party trends and analysis). For the month of August, the targets were 40.6% Democrat, 31.6% Republican, and 27.8% unaffiliated.
A review of last weeks key polls is posted each Saturday morning. We also invite you to review other recent demographic highlights from the tracking polls.
I can’t believe that every second person I pass on the street is a babbling, brainless moonbat. How do we function as a society? It’s impossible. Fifty percent of the population can’t be that stupid. I can see that percentage in liberal utopias like Chicago, LA and NY.
That 50% number can’t be right...
Sorry folks; but the name “Negro” simply is not used. Hell, why don’t you guys say “colored.” Seriously, just because the LA Times or Rush uses the phrase, do you want folks who are not in tune with the LA Times having used it to think you are a bunch of racists?
I am a longtime member of this forum, and deeply conservative, but don’t believe in shooting myself in the foot. You guys are fooling yourselves if you think that using this type of language is acceptable with swing voters. Win the campaign on ideas, not by being stupid or trying to be “cute.”
The title should match the title of the article... regardless. Rules.
No, he just knows what resides in his own heart and is projecting.
Simply put; the use of the name “negro” is too easily viewed as a racist slur. Period. Don’t be painted as being racist when you are not by being sloppy with language. And don’t allow others to paint this forum as being racist by using this kind of language.
I always do; however, there’s no title at the source
Add in the fact that the LA Times coined the phrase... yes it does.
Respectfully, unless you explain that fact when using it, then someone who is not up to speed of the LA Times using it will think that you are using a racist slur. I know that we all think that folks who read this forum are 100% aware of everything, but that is not the case.
Just asking for some common sense.
I'll go first..." Stupid"
And just because the LA Times used it, does not make it right for you to use it. Frankly, it could be argued that the LA Times’s prior usage is just an excuse for the writer on this forum to us it; to “get away” with using a slur.
Okay, are you going to think it is okay to use the “N” word now? How about the “F” word? Common sense is common sense, and if you want to come off sounding like a bigot to many folks, be my guest.
Moreover, when Rush has used it, he has invariably explained why (the LA Times). (and I still think he is making a mistake in using it at all, other than espousing upon the LA Times’ original use).
Daily Presidential Tracking Poll - Sunday, September 07, 2008?
You’re getting silly bud. I would never use the 1st one in any situation, but I’ve been known to use the 2nd in private sessions. We’re not kids, we know what’s acceptable and not. If we inadvertently cross that line, the mods will smack ud down
A candidate like Obama would have been laughed at as a joke a generation ago. Today he's thought of as an American Idol candidate, the one who makes us feel more progressive and fashionable and tolerant without actually having to think about all the internal contradictions.
Well bud, this isn’t a private conversation, and I would hope that the mods limit this kind of use unless it is talking about the LA Times story. Unless the reader is up to date with the LA Times story, this language makes everyone who participates on this forum look bad.
It is too bad that you feel that you can use this type of language on this board anonymously (similarly to you using it in private conversations), because this is a PUBLIC forum. The mods may not strike it due to free speech issues, but I still think it reveals your probable mindset, especially when you feel like you need to use it in private conversations, but just not public.
It gets confusing because one person took offense recently at “African American”.
Can’t remember who that was.
Watch him sweat. I just love it. LOL.
Not going as planned. LOL
I don’t know— I rather think you are being uppity because you think we should know all of the terms/English words that have now been stolen from our language to mean slurs in ebonics.
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