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Gallup Daily: McCain Moves Ahead, 48% to 45%
Gallup Poll ^ | 9/7/08 | Self

Posted on 09/07/2008 10:06:04 AM PDT by jokyfo

John McCain has moved ahead of Barack Obama in the latest Gallup Poll Daily tracking, 48% to 45%, following last week’s Republican convention. This is McCain’s best showing since May.More ...

(Excerpt) Read more at gallup.com ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2008polls; 2008rncconvention; 2008vp; bounce; electionpresident; gallup; mccain; mccainpalin; poll
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To: jokyfo

Zogby and Gallup on the same page...

This is the...BUMP I CAN BELIEVE IN.


51 posted on 09/07/2008 10:28:52 AM PDT by Ben Reyes
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To: 668 - Neighbor of the Beast
Upstate NY can be mighty conservative

I am from upstate--we still have a mighty hefty share of moonbats. And lots and lots of colleges cracking out mindless drones. (transplanted to Arizona (:)

52 posted on 09/07/2008 10:29:57 AM PDT by riri
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To: jokyfo
48%....

Registered, voters, not likely voters. +3

"Bradley Effect" +3

"Palin Effect" +3

Overlapping "Bradley Effect" and "Palin Effect" -1.5

53 posted on 09/07/2008 10:29:57 AM PDT by Sooth2222 ("Suppose you were an idiot. And suppose you were a member of congress. But I repeat myself." M.Twain)
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To: jokyfo
GREAT!!!!

About 2 weeks ago when McCain was up by 1 point, Chuck Todd NBC, as well as some at CNN said Gallup tracking poll was no good. Since then it has had Hussein up and they have been quiet about it.

54 posted on 09/07/2008 10:30:12 AM PDT by Friendofgeorge (Obama on the other hand does not know the Lord Jesus, and is only the Lords enemy)
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To: flyfree

It is a beauty but I would suggest that Texas is not weak GOP as the legend states in the map...


55 posted on 09/07/2008 10:30:29 AM PDT by Fred (The Democrat Party is the Nadir of Nihilism)
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To: riri

It’s an internet poll on a conservative radio station’s website.


56 posted on 09/07/2008 10:31:19 AM PDT by MitchellC
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To: jokyfo

How ironic... The libtards were dancing in the streets claiming Hurricane Gustav would ruin our convention. They just never forecasted Hurriccane Sarah. LOL!!!


57 posted on 09/07/2008 10:31:33 AM PDT by nhwingut
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To: SE Mom

So the battle will be in the toss up states. Alas, I live in one so there will be no need to go to another and volunteer...however I would go to a toss up state if needed...


58 posted on 09/07/2008 10:32:46 AM PDT by Fred (The Democrat Party is the Nadir of Nihilism)
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To: Fred

Florida is in the bag for McCain.


59 posted on 09/07/2008 10:33:38 AM PDT by ExtremeUnction
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To: jokyfo

The thing best about this is that McCain’s numbers are moving from the lower 40s to the upper 40s.

Very good trend - but we don’t want to peak too soon.


60 posted on 09/07/2008 10:34:50 AM PDT by Republican Wildcat
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To: ExtremeUnction

Florida has always been in the bag for McCain IMHO.

Now with Sarah, conservatives are electrified here.


61 posted on 09/07/2008 10:36:01 AM PDT by bushsupporter30
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To: ExtremeUnction

Yeah, like it was in 2000 for Bush.....Florida is a must win for McCain...


62 posted on 09/07/2008 10:36:16 AM PDT by Fred (The Democrat Party is the Nadir of Nihilism)
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To: jokyfo
If McCain/Palin get a big bump, you're going to hear the sound of nutroots and MSM heads exploding.

I work with a woman who is active in the Dem party, holding fund-raisers and the like. She's one of those kool-aid drinkers who thought the MSM assault would force Palin off the ticket.

I knew it had been a great week when she announced that she'd be leaving work early on Friday because she needed a “mental health break.”

63 posted on 09/07/2008 10:36:34 AM PDT by mojito
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To: jersey117

If Himself has to make a campaign stop in NY, it’s over.

There are McCain ads on TV - nothing (yet) from BHO.


64 posted on 09/07/2008 10:36:42 AM PDT by Peelod
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To: bvw
I agree that polls do not mean much, especially national polls. I am glad we are up though. It would be great to know what is happening in the battleground states as well as what are the internals since Palin has joined the ticket.

The crowds at Cedarburg Wisconsin and Colorado Springs were UNBELIEVABLE!!!

65 posted on 09/07/2008 10:37:23 AM PDT by oiler (Reagan Republicans Unite!!!!! "Not gonna forget. Not gonna forgive." Palin/Jindal 2012)
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To: riri

As someone mentioned these are just the registered voters, where dems always lead because they have a bunch of non-voting hippies and college students who tend to not vote when the time comes. If they did a likely voter poll McCain would be up at least a couple of points more.


66 posted on 09/07/2008 10:38:24 AM PDT by aft_lizard (One animal actually its eats its own brains to conserve energy, we call them liberals.)
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To: Fred

I think we’ll go for McCain here in Florida- and I think Rove’s numbers from last week pre-Palin are going to begin shifitng.

I know it seems unlikely- but McCain could actually get Michigan. Between the mayor of Detroit and the UNpopularity of their governor- it’s a possibility.


67 posted on 09/07/2008 10:38:41 AM PDT by SE Mom (Proud mom of an Iraq war combat vet-McCain/Palin 08)
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To: adversarial

“by tuesday he will be over 50%”

he=McCain???


68 posted on 09/07/2008 10:39:07 AM PDT by DrewsMum (Proud member of the Grand OIL Party!)
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To: Fred

How does the rich man’s party not carry RI, CT, CA and NY?


69 posted on 09/07/2008 10:39:22 AM PDT by HIDEK6
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To: jokyfo

I refuse to get exuberant since this isn’t Nov 2.


70 posted on 09/07/2008 10:40:01 AM PDT by newzjunkey (McCain-Palin. YES on CA PROP 4. (Family notification for underage abortions))
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To: Fred

Sorry, I did not see post number #39! I cannot imagine that PA, MI, MN, VA, and FL are “in play”.


71 posted on 09/07/2008 10:40:48 AM PDT by oiler (Reagan Republicans Unite!!!!! "Not gonna forget. Not gonna forgive." Palin/Jindal 2012)
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To: Fred

The methodology used there says you have to lead 11+ to be considered strong.


72 posted on 09/07/2008 10:41:04 AM PDT by flyfree (Biden is no Palin and Obama is no McCain)
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To: jokyfo

This backs up the Zogby poll.


73 posted on 09/07/2008 10:43:17 AM PDT by jerry557
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To: All

Bounces fade. This one will, too.

I can’t think of anything worse right now than a McCain lead well in excess of 5%. Big leads generate spectacular maneuvers by the opposition (Hillary).

Better that McCain lead by 3% consistently through and including the election.


74 posted on 09/07/2008 10:43:59 AM PDT by Owen
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To: Fred
That map seems really pessimistic towards McCain/Palin. For sure, they should pick up the toss-up states (MT, ND, NH, OH, VA, FL, NV and CO) which takes them to 278 EV right there.

In addition, they have excellent shot at "Obama" states PA, NM, MN, WI and MI which will take it to 341 EV.

I realize that MI, WI and MN have not gone Republican in a while but "hockey mom" Sarah Palin has put them into play. They love their hockey up there.

Of course, the way things are going, we could do even better than that. However, it is important to curb the overenthusiasm and campaign like we are 10 points behind no matter how much the polls have us ahead.

75 posted on 09/07/2008 10:46:09 AM PDT by SamAdams76 (I am 98 days away from outliving Sam Sheppard)
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To: JLS
Sorry but most of those state polls are mid August. That is why I said current. Heck that was back before Obama was calling himself a muslim on the Sunday morning shows. :-)

Whew..I felt a little panic run through me when I clicked on that link.
76 posted on 09/07/2008 10:47:53 AM PDT by snarkytart
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To: jokyfo
I love the cries from Dumpsterunderground. FEEL the love and tolerance.

==============================================

Crap. Warren Stupidity

Americans are just uninformed. That's why GWB was in the White House for 8 years. Selatius Sep-07-08 05:10 PM

That's the Achilles heel of democracy - an uninformed citizenry... Union Thug

Yes.. Fumesucker

People are idiots. TwilightZone

well when all they hear from the media is how great she is Egnever

I agree with you that they'll drop, but not necessarily on that time frame. TwilightZone

I expect that to continue through tuesday Egnever

Bull$hit n/t malaise

Hmmmmmmm I wonder if they take the Ohio purge of the voter roll into account OmmmSweetOmmm

Paid for reality. This is bull****. DeadManInc

It probably won't last. And Obama is five points ahead overall rocknation

Most of these polls are BS - stop Phred42

Ignore the Gallup like the Pros do chicagoexpat

Bull****. Americans are stupid, but they aren't THAT stupid. AzDar

False bluestateguy

77 posted on 09/07/2008 10:48:58 AM PDT by pabianice
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To: jokyfo

DU has a thread about this. They are pissed! HAHA!!
\
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_mesg&forum=132&topic_id=6973946&mesg_id=6974356

LOL!!


78 posted on 09/07/2008 10:52:20 AM PDT by conservativeinferno (My SUV is the urban squirrel's worst predator.)
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To: jokyfo
If I was an incurable cynic, I would start wondering if the shadow powers in the Democratic party didn't deliberately select Joe Biden -- Delaware Senator for life -- to take a dive.

... Even if Joe doesn't know it yet.

79 posted on 09/07/2008 10:52:23 AM PDT by The KG9 Kid
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To: jokyfo

So that’s why Obama is spending his time attacking Palin. He knew what was coming. His internals must be showing much worse numbers than those.


80 posted on 09/07/2008 10:52:39 AM PDT by eaglestar
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To: jokyfo

Don’t forget you guys, bounces go back down unless we really work hard. I want to send more money today. Should we send to the RNC or McCain/Palin, anyone know for sure? Because of the govt funds deal, I want to send where they can use it. Pray every day for our people.


81 posted on 09/07/2008 10:52:56 AM PDT by Hattie
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To: pabianice

Reads like FreeRepublic does when they see a poll that they don’t like. kind of funny actually.


82 posted on 09/07/2008 10:54:14 AM PDT by aft_lizard (One animal actually its eats its own brains to conserve energy, we call them liberals.)
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To: jokyfo

Interesting....let’s hope it sticks.


83 posted on 09/07/2008 10:55:51 AM PDT by Psycho_Bunny (By Obama's own reckoning, isn't Lyndon LaRouche more qualified? He's run since the 70's)
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To: SamAdams76

Michigan is also a huge gun rights state. The “letters to the editor” Have been hammering Obama here on that issue.

The liberal RAT Governor in MI is about as popular as beer farts in an elevator.


84 posted on 09/07/2008 10:57:34 AM PDT by Beagle8U (FreeRepublic -- One stop shopping ....... Its the Conservative Super WalMart for news .)
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To: jokyfo

Good news. And, it’s registered voters. We are probably up 7-8 points in likely voters.

This is about where things were in 2004 right after the R convention. Much work to do in the next 60 days. Many ugly attacks from the old media. And much vote fraud to detect and counter.


85 posted on 09/07/2008 10:58:37 AM PDT by ModelBreaker
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To: GloriaJane

Good news.


86 posted on 09/07/2008 10:59:13 AM PDT by moose2004 (Drill, Drill, Drill, Drill, Drill, Drill And Then Drill Some More)
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To: Beagle8U

Great news!!! Finally a lead!! It’s so fun watching the rats squirm:)


87 posted on 09/07/2008 10:59:49 AM PDT by Cheryllynn
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To: jersey117
LOL - Maybe Obama should send Hillary to her home state instead of Florida.

Uh, which one, Illinois or Arkansas? The witch isn't my Senator. NY is only her steppingstone, and she slid off when she ran into Oil of Obama.

88 posted on 09/07/2008 11:02:28 AM PDT by hunter112 (Gov. Palin is ten times the woman Hillary could've hoped to be, if she had stayed a "Goldwater Girl")
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To: aft_lizard

Wow, he might be up 6-8 come monday. This is very nice to see.”

If we see that the left if not already there will go into full panic mode. Their attacks against Palin will become more strident and any pretext of fairness will be cast aside. Sarah scares them to death and now we’re beginning to see why. They so badly wanted a moderate like a Romney or Ridge who would have sucked the air out of McCain’s campaign. It’s becoming apparent even to them the anointed one is now on the outside looking in. The smell of desperation is in the air and it’s pretty cool.


89 posted on 09/07/2008 11:03:30 AM PDT by bereanway (Sarah get your gun)
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To: bushsupporter30

You are correct. The fighting will however be attack, attack, attack


90 posted on 09/07/2008 11:07:29 AM PDT by bert (K.E. N.P. +12 . Conservation? Let the NE Yankees freeze.... in the dark)
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To: flyfree

I check that site sometimes, but the “votemaster” is horribly partisan in his/her “commentary”. Just crap. I don’t trust him/her.


91 posted on 09/07/2008 11:10:39 AM PDT by Tigercap (If 0bama had the experience of Palin, he too might be qualified to run for Vice President)
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To: GloriaJane

Stolen!


92 posted on 09/07/2008 11:11:09 AM PDT by GVnana ("The American presidency is not supposed to be a journey of personal discovery.")
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To: jokyfo

This is a poll of “registered voters”. I’d guess that a poll of “likely voters” would be 3 or 4% better for McCain/Palin. There are very few Republicans who won’t show up on November 4th to vote for Sarah Palin.


93 posted on 09/07/2008 11:14:17 AM PDT by devere
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To: Fred

They need to take North Dakota and Montana and paint them red...with Palin on the ticket Obama stands NO chance there and his campaign has even said as recent as yesterday they are going to focus on Florida, Ohio, Colorado,Virginia,Wisconsin, and Nevada.

It sounded like they were giving up on Montana, North Dakota, and even New Hampshire.


94 posted on 09/07/2008 11:14:40 AM PDT by My Favorite Headache (No Obama, No Way, No How)
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To: My Favorite Headache

Good luck with Florida and Colorado. We are going red this time like the last time.


95 posted on 09/07/2008 11:16:57 AM PDT by bushsupporter30
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To: SamAdams76

Nothing is for sure...Do not want to discourage anyone... I suggest the goal be to focus state by state, no assumes...


96 posted on 09/07/2008 11:18:14 AM PDT by Fred (The Democrat Party is the Nadir of Nihilism)
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To: devere

I had heard from a friend in the SF Bay Area that even national polls are heavily influenced by the responses from west coast dems, which favor any democrat by as much as 20%. Are there any facts or numbers to support this? It could go a long way to understanding what is actually happening.


97 posted on 09/07/2008 11:18:26 AM PDT by swift15 (Not actively enabling the grievance industry or advancing world socialism.)
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To: latina4dubya

ping


98 posted on 09/07/2008 11:18:47 AM PDT by scripter ("You don't have a soul. You are a soul. You have a body." - C.S. Lewis)
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To: bushsupporter30
"Does not matter what the polls say IMHO. We should consider this election as our side being 10 points down and fight as hard as we possibly can."

Amen.

Plus dead folks vote and they vote Democrat!

99 posted on 09/07/2008 11:19:12 AM PDT by ajwharton
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To: jokyfo

Which means he’s actually ahead by at least 55-40.


100 posted on 09/07/2008 11:20:33 AM PDT by Mad_Tom_Rackham ("The land of the Free...Because of the Brave")
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