Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Gallup Daily: McCain Moves Ahead, 48% to 45%
Gallup Poll ^ | 9/7/08 | Self

Posted on 09/07/2008 10:06:04 AM PDT by jokyfo

click here to read article


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-5051-100101-150151-200201-224 next last
To: adversarial
by tuesday he will be over 50%

That will be key. We need to break through 50%.

101 posted on 09/07/2008 11:21:08 AM PDT by Obadiah (I remember when the climate never changed, then Bush stole the election.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: 668 - Neighbor of the Beast
Poll is meaningless, though. We haven’t even had the debates yet.

Yep Kerry was down and his camp dispirited until Bush blew the first debate
102 posted on 09/07/2008 11:22:07 AM PDT by uncbob
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 43 | View Replies]

To: HIDEK6
How does the rich man’s party not carry RI, CT, CA and NY?

In the cases of RI and CT, too much of that money is old money. The subsequent generations can safely rebel against their parents, while not personally doing damage to their own financial situations. With CA and NY, too many minorities who want income redistribution.

103 posted on 09/07/2008 11:22:15 AM PDT by hunter112 (Gov. Palin is ten times the woman Hillary could've hoped to be, if she had stayed a "Goldwater Girl")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 69 | View Replies]

To: YdontUleaveLibs

Am I missing something in that picture?


104 posted on 09/07/2008 11:23:34 AM PDT by Purrcival (Palin runs Alaska. Obama runs his mouth.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 20 | View Replies]

To: Recovering Ex-hippie

“I thought the Messiah could change polls with a wave of his hand????”

That was only ‘walk across POOLS’.


105 posted on 09/07/2008 11:24:31 AM PDT by GWMcClintock (Right after Lib Democrats, the most dangerous politicians are country club Republicans. T. Sowell)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: dirtboy
I would betcha that there is one person who DID realize this: McCain.

He did a masterful job of keeping his decision to tap Palin quiet, and even goaded the Dems on during their convention so their “fall” is even more prominent. Being gracious to snObama and Biden was no accident.

Ya gotta love how everyone was saying “she wasn't vetted” when he met with her early this year and the NewMedia has had Palin high in their sights almost forever now. But the FRAUDcasters of the Dinosaur Media only saw DC VPs. LOL.

I keep linking MadIvan’s VP analysis because he called for Palin back in February just to show as many people as possible just how stupid the OldMedia has become:

Governor Sarah Palin for Vice President - MadIvan - Feb'08

106 posted on 09/07/2008 11:29:57 AM PDT by AFPhys ((.Praying for President Bush, our troops, their families, and all my American neighbors..))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 19 | View Replies]

To: newzjunkey
I refuse to get exuberant since this isn’t Nov 2.

Agree--let's hope they don't screw up one of the debates and give heart to the left wing nut jobs
107 posted on 09/07/2008 11:32:53 AM PDT by uncbob
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 70 | View Replies]

To: TitansAFC; meandog; onyx; MARTIAL MONK; GulfBreeze; Kuksool; freespirited; Salvation; furquhart; ...
The McCain List.

BOUNCE!

108 posted on 09/07/2008 11:33:30 AM PDT by Norman Bates (Freepmail me to be part of the McCain List!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: bushsupporter30

Good advice. We need to work hard and pull together as if our lives depend on it. They do.


109 posted on 09/07/2008 11:34:04 AM PDT by Malesherbes
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 15 | View Replies]

To: Malesherbes

Let’s not get cocky and let’s not tear each apart or silly issues.


110 posted on 09/07/2008 11:35:13 AM PDT by Perdogg (Maverick - Barracuda 2008)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 109 | View Replies]

According to a math friend of mine here are the day by day polls according to his estimates.

Friday - Obama +2.4%
Saturday - McCain +4.2%
Sunday - McCain +7.2%


111 posted on 09/07/2008 11:38:20 AM PDT by Onerom99
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 101 | View Replies]

To: Fred

While I love Karl Rove and his brilliant analysis it’s absurd on its face to think that Obama has ANY real shot at a MT or a ND, I don’t care what fluke polls are trotted out.


112 posted on 09/07/2008 11:39:58 AM PDT by Norman Bates (Freepmail me to be part of the McCain List!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 39 | View Replies]

To: jokyfo
This could be the beginning of a huge swing for McCain and not just a post convention bounce due to many different obvious factors. Once McCain starts getting real separation (+6 points), most of the fence riders will commit to him. If they haven't made their mind up by now, they are just looking to go with the winning team. Obama's money will continue to dry up and they will start turning on each other like the pit vipers that they are.

Should make for an interesting couple of months!
113 posted on 09/07/2008 11:43:50 AM PDT by Mr. Binnacle (Obama/Biden: Just Brown Noise and Static)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: GWMcClintock

LOL!!!!Great!

I have never seen the RATS so unhinged, they are hysterical.


114 posted on 09/07/2008 11:49:51 AM PDT by Recovering Ex-hippie (GOD BLESS GEORGIA! SAVE GEORGIA, OUR ALLY, NOW!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 105 | View Replies]

To: Perdogg; Chieftain

We are making the delusional mistake of assuming that the Rats and Libs actually look at issues, use rationality and make decisions not based purely on emotion.

Just remember how Brarry GOT to this point. That should be frightening enough to go out and campaign like crazy. I talked to a lib neighbor who is very intelligent, educated,mature and works in the coporate world. The one reason she could give me that she will vote for Obama...”We need someone that will inspire the country>”

The Kool aid works.
the lifelong experience of being a liberal is undaunted by ANY Dem candidate, no matter how inadequate.

we can yip on FR how “dumb or gullible “ the Libs are...but never underestimate the power of their numbers! And the power of FEELINGS.


115 posted on 09/07/2008 11:58:26 AM PDT by Recovering Ex-hippie (GOD BLESS GEORGIA! SAVE GEORGIA, OUR ALLY, NOW!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 110 | View Replies]

To: GVnana

Help yourself!


116 posted on 09/07/2008 12:02:24 PM PDT by GloriaJane (http://www.download.com/gloriajane)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 92 | View Replies]

To: jokyfo

It’s all going to depend on turnout. Various PUMA blogs show that PUMAs are volunteering at McCain headquarters to walk precincts and make phone call; we must all do what we can, too.


117 posted on 09/07/2008 12:04:33 PM PDT by hsalaw
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: jokyfo
Woohoo!

The best news is he is getting very close to that magical 50%. Maybe tomorrow?

118 posted on 09/07/2008 12:06:01 PM PDT by comebacknewt
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Norman Bates

119 posted on 09/07/2008 12:11:12 PM PDT by Lady Jag (Donate to FR anytime at https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 108 | View Replies]

To: Hattie
You can send money to the RNC, yes.

I would recommend McCain-Palin Victory 2008 (a joint RNC-McCain arm which is the only group along with the RNC that can directly support McCain now), or McCain-Palin Compliance Fund (which pays-down legal and complaince costs so that the public funds can be used more on commercials and mailings).

There are also a few good 527 groups out there. Others could better help you with them. One is running an ad in MI targeting Obama's past support of Kwame Kilpatrick. (Freedom Alliance Fund?)
120 posted on 09/07/2008 12:13:40 PM PDT by Norman Bates (Freepmail me to be part of the McCain List!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 81 | View Replies]

To: hole_n_one

Who on FNC? Not that it matters, but the Novak report indicated McCain would take the lead as well.

We are waiting really for the fully adjusted results on Tue/Wed. Then we go from there.


121 posted on 09/07/2008 12:13:58 PM PDT by romanesq
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 27 | View Replies]

To: fkabuckeyesrule

Plus there is a theory which says that weekend polls favors dems since republicans are richer and have bigger families and they are out doing errands and maybe traveling so they are not home to be polled.

Could it be that republicans actually earn their living so they have more money by working their tales off during the week~!! instead of taking gov handouts- and are out on the weekend grocery shopping and taking care of their families!
40 days of Prayer and fasting to end abortion
Sept 24-Nov 2 http://www.40daysforlife.com/splash.cfm


122 posted on 09/07/2008 12:22:28 PM PDT by okokie (40 days of Prayer and fasting to end abortion Sept 24-Nov 2 http://www.40daysforlife.com/splash.cfm)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 16 | View Replies]

To: jokyfo

Dems be panicking.

123 posted on 09/07/2008 12:23:16 PM PDT by BulletBobCo
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Owen

There is some evidence that whoever leads mid-September wins. Period.


124 posted on 09/07/2008 12:23:49 PM PDT by Chet 99 (http://www.mccainpalinvictory2008.com/)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 74 | View Replies]

To: The KG9 Kid

“If I was an incurable cynic, I would start wondering if the shadow powers in the Democratic party didn’t deliberately select Joe Biden — Delaware Senator for life — to take a dive.”

Karl Rove did that with his mind control and time machine combo~!


125 posted on 09/07/2008 12:24:23 PM PDT by Grampa Dave (I do not want to know the type of person, who does not like Sarah Palin!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 79 | View Replies]

To: jokyfo
The CHANGE, we have been waiting for.


126 posted on 09/07/2008 12:25:55 PM PDT by Grampa Dave (I do not want to know the type of person, who does not like Sarah Palin!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: pollywog
[W]ell I’m trying not to [gauge] my emotions on the polls, but I am glad to hear this.

Same here. This poll, and one by Zogby, are nice to hear, but we must not let them make us overconfident. These polls do give me a tingly feeling all over my body, because I know they will make the Liberal Messiah's followers angrier and more desperate.

127 posted on 09/07/2008 12:26:11 PM PDT by Repeal 16-17 (Let me know when the Shooting starts.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 40 | View Replies]

To: YdontUleaveLibs
Oh wow, I don’t see a distress signal. Does Hillary even know what a joke she is?

I really think Hillary wants The Big O to lose. She has a better chance in 2012 that way.

128 posted on 09/07/2008 12:26:22 PM PDT by teletech (Friends don't let friends vote DemocRAT)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 20 | View Replies]

To: hunter112

I wanted to draw attention to the fallacy that “Republicans are for the rich man.”


129 posted on 09/07/2008 12:26:30 PM PDT by HIDEK6
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 103 | View Replies]

To: Ancient Drive

“styrofoam” Greek Temple- they tried to pull a “American Idol moment” and Sarah Palin just like a typical mom who sees right through all the childish bull- calls it like it is!!

you gotta love it!!
40 days of Prayer and fasting to end abortion
Sept 24-Nov 2 http://www.40daysforlife.com/splash.cfm


130 posted on 09/07/2008 12:27:36 PM PDT by okokie (40 days of Prayer and fasting to end abortion Sept 24-Nov 2 http://www.40daysforlife.com/splash.cfm)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 22 | View Replies]

To: JLS
I really want to see some current state polling on WI, MN, MI, PA, CO, NV, NM, NH etc.

If McCain is leading by three points nationally (as Gallup says), then -- based on actual past election results rather than snap polls -- MCain should be ahead in Colorado, New Mexico, Florida and Ohio; even or barely ahead in Wisconsin and Nevada, even or barely behind in NH, MI, and MN; and behind but within striking distance in Pennsylvania and Oregon. [A note about Nevada: I suspect that McCain, as a Western state Senator, will outperform Bush in Nevada in the last two elections. Ditto may be true for Colorado, which is already notorious in voting more Republican than it polls in Presidential elections.]

If you add just one more point to McCain's lead, then McCain will pull even or slightly ahead even in the states where he is slightly behind. But if this happens, McCain will already be ahead in enough other states to give him 270 electoral votes. So, this would be running up the score.

If you add a second point to his lead, not only do all of these states turn red, but suddenly Washington and New Jersey turn purple.

My point about all this is that the electoral college map matters only if the final margin of victory in the national popular vote is less than 2.5 points or less. Beginning at 3 points, there is something like a 95% plus mathematical certainty that the candidate is ahead will win enough states to get to 270 electoral votes. And it goes very quickly up to virtually 100% the larger the margin than 3 points.

131 posted on 09/07/2008 12:28:13 PM PDT by kesg
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 37 | View Replies]

To: Peelod
Upstate NY online poll

In all fairness, WBEN's listenership is overwhelmingly conservative. The libs all listen to WNED (NPR.)

132 posted on 09/07/2008 12:31:13 PM PDT by BfloGuy (It is not from the benevolence of the butcher, the brewer, or the baker, that we can expect . . .)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: Peelod
Upstate NY online poll

In all fairness, WBEN's listenership is overwhelmingly conservative. The libs all listen to WNED (NPR.)

133 posted on 09/07/2008 12:31:23 PM PDT by BfloGuy (It is not from the benevolence of the butcher, the brewer, or the baker, that we can expect . . .)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: flyfree
electoral-vote.com is run by a rabid RAT and is a total joke.

For an unbiased view, look at realclearpolitics.com. Or, for a reasonable electoral vote analysis on a website run by a RAT, look at fivethirtyeight.com

134 posted on 09/07/2008 12:33:35 PM PDT by comebacknewt
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 44 | View Replies]

To: Owen
Better that McCain lead by 3% consistently through and including the election.

I agree, and I also agree that all or most whatever bounce is happening (and it looks large) will dissipate sometime next week (as The One's did). My prediction is that McCain will lead narrowly the rest of the way until the weekend before the election, when the swing voters and undecideds finally break mostly his way and he ends up winning surprisingly handily. All other things being equal, of course (e.g. debates, world events, economic news, etc.).

135 posted on 09/07/2008 12:33:49 PM PDT by kesg
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 74 | View Replies]

To: bushsupporter30
"We should consider this election as our side being 10 points down and fight as hard as we possibly can."

You bet. Media is going to be relentless with their lies and Sara bashing. while that may be seen as "helpful", in that it exposes MSM to be completely biased towards Obama, it's only helpful if we can expose the lies MSM/ team Obama are printing.

This isn't so easy to do when THEY control all everything most people see. Our media control consists of the internet and some radio, and what ever expensive ad time the McCain/Palin campaign can buy to dispell these stories as well as attack the Oba-Din campaign. Plus they have all the Hollywierdo's and talk shows

We are at a disadvantage.

136 posted on 09/07/2008 12:41:01 PM PDT by Nathan Zachary
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 15 | View Replies]

To: swift15
I had heard from a friend in the SF Bay Area that even national polls are heavily influenced by the responses from west coast dems, which favor any democrat by as much as 20%.

Yes, if the national polling is truly random, as it is supposed to be. Think of it this way, California is about 10 points more Democratic than the national average, Oregon is 4 points more Democratic, and Washington is about 7 points more Democratic. And then throw in New York, another hugely populated state that trends even more Democratic than California. So, to the extend that your poll includes respondents from these four large states, it is going to skew Democratic. This means that for McCain to be even or ahead in any national poll means that he is doing even better in the other 46 states than in these four states.

The plain truth is that Obama (or any other generic Democratic Presidential candidate) is competitive only because most of the large population states are deep blue states with lots of EVs. This means that McCain has a better chance of winning the remaining states, but he also has a much smaller margin for error (e.g. he pretty much mustwin OH and FL while not losing states such as VA or CO).

137 posted on 09/07/2008 12:44:05 PM PDT by kesg
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 97 | View Replies]

To: jokyfo; SunkenCiv

Check the spikes here, in a few days I assume that there will be a steady movement. http://iemweb.biz.uiowa.edu/graphs/graph_Pres08_WTA.cfm


138 posted on 09/07/2008 12:46:31 PM PDT by AdmSmith
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: jokyfo

I’d bet it’s not that close.


139 posted on 09/07/2008 12:48:08 PM PDT by popdonnelly (Obama was not properly vetted.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

McCain campaign looking for volunteers for the last 10 days of the campaigCan you invest 10 days of your life to make history? Sorry if this is somewhat off subject. BUt, I just got it in my email and wanted to share it before I deleted it. If you’d prefer that it is not posted, then please feel free to remove it.


The John McCain 2008 Presidential Campaign is looking for volunteers who are willing to spend the final ten days of the campaign helping in a nearby state. Deployed volunteers will take an active role and participate in a number of Get-Out-The-Vote activities. These activities will include making phone calls, going door to door, recruiting volunteers, and assisting with additional campaign activities and operations.

These ten days will be unpaid and participants will be responsible for arranging their own transportation and housing. The campaign is unable to reimburse any expenses.

Please consider this opportunity to adhere to John McCain’s call to serve a cause greater than self! On the evening of November 4th you will have the satisfaction of knowing that you did everything possible to secure the future of our nation.

Let us know that you are ready and able to serve from October 25th through November 4th by replying to this email with your resume and cover letter. Please send both to Volunteer2@JohnMcCain.com.

Thank you!

John Cummins, Deputy Director of Volunteers

Volunteer2@JohnMcCain.com


140 posted on 09/07/2008 12:48:12 PM PDT by HollyB
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: hole_n_one
"The FNC is saying that pollsters are hinting that McCain will see a “significant” bounce in the polls on Monday/Tuesday."

There are other factors coming into play that will also move McCain up in the polls as we get nearer election day. A worsening global economic outlook, and economic slowdown here doesn't bode well for Democrats.

141 posted on 09/07/2008 12:53:26 PM PDT by Nathan Zachary
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 27 | View Replies]

To: jokyfo

Go Sarah Go!!!


142 posted on 09/07/2008 12:56:14 PM PDT by evad (.!.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: BulletBobCo
Dems are panicking...

Oh, I like that one!

143 posted on 09/07/2008 1:01:33 PM PDT by evad (.!.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 123 | View Replies]

To: comebacknewt

electoral-vote.com had Kerry winning 275 electoral votes on election day 2004.

That site is worthless.


144 posted on 09/07/2008 1:02:20 PM PDT by jerry557
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 134 | View Replies]

To: All

I may not be on the right thread for this, so if me asking this question bugs you just kick me out...

I need someone to help me debunk (if possible) the following statistics that I was just given by an anti-war loon.

The “loon” is trying to say that 9/10 deaths in the Iraq war are civilian deaths.

Here is the info:

Survey){Iraqi deaths}[March 2003 to...]

(Iraqi Health Ministry survey){151,000 violent deaths out of 400,000 excess deaths due to the war}[June 2006]
(Lancet survey){601,027 violent deaths out of 654,965 excess deaths}[June 2006]
(Opinion Research Business survey){1,033,000 violent deaths as a result of the conflict} [August 2007]

17,979-23,690 insurgents dead according to the united states military.

THANKS FOR ANY HELP!


145 posted on 09/07/2008 1:14:49 PM PDT by DrewsMum (Proud member of the Grand OIL Party!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 131 | View Replies]

To: Onerom99

How does you math friend explain his +7.2%?


146 posted on 09/07/2008 1:17:42 PM PDT by romanesq
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 111 | View Replies]

To: romanesq
Who on FNC?

Brian Wilson

147 posted on 09/07/2008 1:22:54 PM PDT by hole_n_one
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 121 | View Replies]

To: conservativeinferno

That’s too funny.. Some of them are also stuck on the “Sarah is Trig’s Grandma” smear, too... Saw another thread about that over on DU. It’s all quite hysterical!


148 posted on 09/07/2008 1:26:43 PM PDT by LibertyRocks ( http://LibertyRocks.wordpress.com ~ Pro-Palin & NObama Gear : http://cafepress.com/NO_ObamaBiden08)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 78 | View Replies]

To: DrewsMum

Terrorist attacks causing civilian deaths in Iraq aren’t “due to the war”. They wouldn’t stop even if we left tomorrow.

They are attacks by mindless Islamic fundamentalist zombies, who will continue killing people in Iraq after we are gone. They will do this until they control the entire country, and continue killing all those they consider “apostates” from Islam.

Then they will use Iraq as a base to kill people somewhere else, namely Isreal, the remaining Christians in Jordan, and attack any other ME government they consider not on their side.


149 posted on 09/07/2008 1:29:29 PM PDT by Nathan Zachary
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 145 | View Replies]

To: DrewsMum

http://www.stinkzone.com/cgi-bin/archives/000184.html


150 posted on 09/07/2008 1:30:08 PM PDT by Raycpa
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 145 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-5051-100101-150151-200201-224 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson