Skip to comments.Gallup Daily: McCain Moves Ahead, 48% to 45%
Posted on 09/07/2008 10:46:42 AM PDT by sunmars
click here to read article
I don’t care what anyone says, the Bradley effect is real, it happened in all the primaries against Hillary, Bambi polled between 3% to 5% less than he was supposed to and it will be the same in the GE.
Can you give me a link to the post-convention state polls that demonstrate this?
Every electoral total poll that I have seen is backwards looking by a sizable amount depending upon how recent each state's poll is. They tell you how things were not necessarily how thing are. They are not going to measure dramatic short term moves. Give the electoral total type polls another couple of weeks for the latest events to work there way into the results.
Looking at your recent posting history -- are you a sleeper troll?
McCain and Obama were pretty much tied in the EC heading into the conventions. All signs are that McCain improved his standing more than Obambi did.
It will just take a few weeks for the state polls to catch up to that reality.
I just took a look at the RealClearPolitics electoral map and they show Obama up 273 to 265. This poll shows Obama taking Colorado and its 9 electoral votes by a 0.4% margin. Note that this Colorado poll is based on polling done between 8/11 and 8/26.
If Colorado has moved just 0.5% in McCain’s direction in the last week then McCain would be ahead 274 to 264.
“...when was the last time, that the republicans got a bigger bounce out of the conventions and were ahead after them...”
2000 and 2004
That Vid is great! Thanks for the link.
“I am a Muslim!!! (DISASTER) - Did he actually say or imply this?”
There are several threads about his statement to Stephanopolous this morning, “my Muslim faith,” which Stephie helped to correct.
That is true, but it's also true that state polls are not done daily like Gallup or Rasmussen. Will should start to see the shift next week.
I also agree that more work needs to be done.
I suggest, however, Freepers ignore the doom & gloom prophets that I suspect doesn't have the McCain/Palin interest in their mind.
I shouldn’t have implied that you are a troll. I apologize.
Apology Accepted. No Hard feelings :)
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