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CNN poll of polls: Obama's lead shrinks to just one point
CNN ^ | September 7, 2008 | CNN Political Producer Kristi Keck

Posted on 09/07/2008 2:48:30 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet

Sen. Barack Obama’s lead in national polls has shrunk to one point, according to CNN’s latest “poll of polls.”

Sunday’s poll of polls shows Obama leading John McCain 44 to 43 percent.

Obama held a three-point lead in Saturday’s poll of polls. The senator from Illinois was leading McCain 45-42 percent.

"All of the surveys included in our national polling average were conducted at least in part during the Republican Convention," noted CNN Senior Political Researcher Alan Silverleib. "It's still too early to know exactly how much of a bounce McCain has received. That said, the daily tracking numbers indicate that the [Sarah] Palin pick has clearly energized the GOP's base. We have an extremely tight race for the White House on our hands."

CNN’s most recent poll of polls consists of three surveys: CBS (September 1-3), Gallup (September 4-6), and Diageo/Hotline (September 2-4). The poll of polls does not have a sampling error.

(Excerpt) Read more at politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com ...


TOPICS: Extended News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Alaska
KEYWORDS: 2008polls; 2008rncconvention; bounce; cnn; election; electionpresident; elections; mccain; mccainpalin; obama; palin; polls; sarahpalin
With all the economic, scandal and foreign policy troubles of this administration in much of the public's mind, ANY democrat should be at least 10-15 percentage points ahead. The fact that the two campaigns are virtually tied, and truth be told, since they sample heavily towards democrats, McCain is probably actually leading in reality, this shows how weak a candidate Obama really is. Does anyone here think that Hillary & McCain would be tied at this point had she been nominated?
1 posted on 09/07/2008 2:48:30 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
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To: 2ndDivisionVet; All
First let me say this: Ruh Roh Shaggy...

If Hillary was the nominee, then I think McCain would be losing...
2 posted on 09/07/2008 2:50:12 PM PDT by KevinDavis (If Obama can't handle a town hall debate, then he can't handle the job of being President.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Obama needs to be ahead by 15% the day before elction day ...


3 posted on 09/07/2008 2:50:27 PM PDT by Tarpon (Three things matter when selecting a President - character, character and character.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

The MSM will start grasping for any straws they can in these polls. Now they are down to polls of polls. Agree hillary would probably be ahead. But I don’t think McCain/Palin just rallied the base either.


4 posted on 09/07/2008 2:50:45 PM PDT by pangaea6
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

It is just amazing to me that anyone is planning on voting for him.


5 posted on 09/07/2008 2:51:01 PM PDT by BunnySlippers (PALIN-MANIA ... I haz it!)
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To: BunnySlippers

They are already showing up at our doors. Be ready for them. The two that came to my door were very very sorry they bothered me.


6 posted on 09/07/2008 2:53:28 PM PDT by pugmama
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
MSMspeak for its really gone! That guy is no longer in the lead whatever CNN might seek to claim.

"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus

7 posted on 09/07/2008 2:53:36 PM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: Tarpon

Not sure about 15% but there always is the curious last minute “uptick” in GOP support. Either that or the pollsters, like Zogby, have to tell the truth the day before election day so then they can claim they were so exact year after year.


8 posted on 09/07/2008 2:55:54 PM PDT by icwhatudo (If my brother-n-law threatened to kill my father-I'd tell his boss too (Just like Palin did))
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
I was upset about the latest hit piece on Sarah Palin that appeared on the MSNBC homepage - eight screens telling anecdotes about the time she carried the baby in her arms in an official car instead of using the baby's car seat, about copying her husband with an email about her work situation - I'm telling you, it was sickening.
9 posted on 09/07/2008 2:56:02 PM PDT by Ciexyz
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To: pangaea6

I call it a clear abuse of statistics.


10 posted on 09/07/2008 2:56:04 PM PDT by ari-freedom (We never hide from history. We make history!)
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To: KevinDavis

Can I get special sauce with that? Oh wait...Never mind.


11 posted on 09/07/2008 2:56:30 PM PDT by CSI007
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To: KevinDavis

I agree it certainly would not look like the slaughter it just might be.

12 posted on 09/07/2008 2:58:36 PM PDT by quantim (Victory is not relative, it is absolute.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

13 posted on 09/07/2008 3:00:47 PM PDT by pollwatcher (Palin was put on this earth to do two things: kill caribou and kick butt. She's all out of caribou.")
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To: pangaea6

Obama is actually down by 6 points in the latest poll I saw. This is just incredible. It’s going to be a landslide soon if he doesn’t get his act together. But they really don’t get it. Thankfully Carville is out of the picture, at least until 2012.


14 posted on 09/07/2008 3:00:57 PM PDT by KingofZion
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

That Diageo/Hotline has been an outlier poll lately.


15 posted on 09/07/2008 3:01:26 PM PDT by flyfree (Biden is no Palin and Obama is no McCain)
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To: KevinDavis
Hillary! probably would have won. AlGore would have won a landslide.

Thankfully, the RATs are idiots.

Don't count them out yet though. We need to keep working as if we were ten points down.

16 posted on 09/07/2008 3:04:22 PM PDT by comebacknewt
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To: KingofZion

Obama is actually down by 6 points in the latest poll I saw.

If CNN is reporting a 1% lead, you can be sure that Nobama is actually behind by about 15%


17 posted on 09/07/2008 3:09:26 PM PDT by Paisan
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Diageo/Hotline (September 2-4)

I never heard of this one. Anybody knows their track records?

18 posted on 09/07/2008 3:10:58 PM PDT by paudio (Nobody cried 'racism' when Swann, Blackwell, and Steele lost to white guys in 2006)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Also, the CBS poll should be thrown out because some of the polling took place before Palin and McCain spoke. The three most recent polls show a Rasmussen tie, Zogby shows McCain ahead by four points (and it, it seems, includes Barr and Nader), and Gallup shows McCain with a three point lead (including, it seems, Barr and Nader).
19 posted on 09/07/2008 3:13:47 PM PDT by andymin
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

And the Zerobama is TOAST!


20 posted on 09/07/2008 3:14:48 PM PDT by clee1 (We use 43 muscles to frown, 17 to smile, and 2 to pull a trigger. I'm lazy and I'm tired of smiling.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Image and video hosting by TinyPic
21 posted on 09/07/2008 3:18:26 PM PDT by Caipirabob (Communists... Socialists... Democrats...Traitors... Who can tell the difference?)
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To: clee1

People from our side of the fence - and this *is* a sweeping statement, with obvious exceptions for individuals - tend to actually go out and vote more then our esteemed opponents do.

Part of the problem with courting the youth vote is that so many of them get all fired up about it and then don’t actually go out and vote!!!

I really think that liberals usually vote as a “feel good” thing, whereas conservatives vote based on a “call to duty”.

Maybe I’m wrong.


22 posted on 09/07/2008 3:41:33 PM PDT by Ueriah
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
"Does anyone here think that Hillary & McCain would be tied at this point had she been nominated?"

Shhhh...

Don't give them ideas.

"October Surprise" Headline: "'Sick' Biden Drops Out--- Hillary New VP Candidate!"

23 posted on 09/07/2008 3:43:39 PM PDT by melt (Someday, they'll wish their Jihad... Jihadn't.)
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To: Tarpon
Obama needs to be ahead by 15% the day before elction day

Why do you say that? I can believe 1 or 2 percent of the people lie to pollsters...but 15%? I doubt it. That last thing we need is for converatives to think we already have this thing won. We don't. And unless we are willing to expend at least as much energy as the left wing loonies on DU, we will not win.
24 posted on 09/07/2008 3:53:04 PM PDT by goldfinch
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To: Tarpon
Obama needs to be ahead by 15% the day before elction day

Why do you say that? I can believe 1 or 2 percent of the people lie to pollsters...but 15%? I doubt it. That last thing we need is for converatives to think we already have this thing won. We don't. And unless we are willing to expend at least as much energy as the left wing loonies on DU, we will not win.
25 posted on 09/07/2008 3:53:05 PM PDT by goldfinch
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To: clee1
And the Zerobama is TOAST!

Via another FReeper on another thread, I prefer to use the term BozObama!

26 posted on 09/07/2008 4:10:54 PM PDT by calex59
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
"All of the surveys included in our national polling average were conducted at least in part during the Republican Convention,"

This statement nullifies any speculation regarding a "bounce." This poll report can't address the effect of events take took place at the RNC, since the polls occurred before the convention was completed.

It's bogus.

27 posted on 09/07/2008 4:13:22 PM PDT by Rudder
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To: comebacknewt; All

I agree.. It is going to be a close race.. In all honesty this was suppose to be the year of the RATS..


28 posted on 09/07/2008 4:37:56 PM PDT by KevinDavis (If Obama can't handle a town hall debate, then he can't handle the job of being President.)
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To: pollwatcher

Now THAT is funny!


29 posted on 09/07/2008 4:39:02 PM PDT by DougSc
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To: pollwatcher

LOL! That’s really funny. Sort of bizarre, but very funny! Tells the whole story.


30 posted on 09/07/2008 4:40:15 PM PDT by Huck (Olbermann's a sissy. Just like Chrissy.)
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To: pollwatcher

Someone should do a cartoon of McCain, dressed up like Teddy Roosevelt as a rough rider, but he’s saddled up on a large moose. SHE’s going to carry HIM to the White House. Unless the MSM somehow manages to take her down. On that score, I’m relying on faith.


31 posted on 09/07/2008 4:42:15 PM PDT by Huck (Olbermann's a sissy. Just like Chrissy.)
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To: flyfree

The Hotline Poll is only posted M - F, they do not post any results on Saturday and Sunday. Things should be clearer tomorrow.


32 posted on 09/07/2008 4:51:00 PM PDT by moose2004 (Drill, Drill, Drill, Drill, Drill, Drill And Then Drill Some More)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

I see CNN stays does not utilize Rasmussen’s results. Then again, screw CNN, I only go to realclearpolitics.com


33 posted on 09/07/2008 4:52:57 PM PDT by moose2004 (Drill, Drill, Drill, Drill, Drill, Drill And Then Drill Some More)
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To: Tarpon
"Obama needs to be ahead by 15% the day before elction day ..."

I must respectfully disagree, and say "au contraire."

Obama comes from a political machine that long ago perfected the art of voter fraud.

McCain better have a nice cushion in early Nov.

34 posted on 09/07/2008 4:54:00 PM PDT by daler
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To: paudio
I don't know Diageo/Hotline's record, but their previous poll gave Obama a 9 point lead, 48 to 39, on 8/29-31. Maybe they undersampled Republicans.
35 posted on 09/07/2008 5:06:03 PM PDT by tellw
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

The only reason Obama is ahead here is because one of the polls (Hotline) they are using has Obama up by 6, but was taken during the convention before the Palin effect took hold.


36 posted on 09/07/2008 5:26:04 PM PDT by CA Conservative
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To: Huck
LOL! That’s really funny. Sort of bizarre, but very funny! Tells the whole story."

Hey thanks! I should dig out some of my old gore/bush SCOTUS posters I did. One pol collector offered me money for them!

37 posted on 09/07/2008 6:27:26 PM PDT by pollwatcher (Palin was put on this earth to do two things: kill caribou and kick butt. She's all out of caribou.")
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To: Ueriah

I agree.


38 posted on 09/08/2008 1:48:18 AM PDT by clee1 (We use 43 muscles to frown, 17 to smile, and 2 to pull a trigger. I'm lazy and I'm tired of smiling.)
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To: pugmama
You have to get a “NOBAMA ZONE” sign for the front door.

That should stop them. If not, get some “NOBAMA SUPPORTERS WILL BE SHOT ON SIGHT” signs.

39 posted on 09/08/2008 2:03:12 AM PDT by Kickass Conservative (Obama / Biden, the new Ebony and Ivory.)
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