Posted on 09/07/2008 3:23:47 PM PDT by markomalley
Whether it was John McCain's speech or the presence of Sarah Palin, or whatever, the GOP tickets has emerged from two weeks of convetions with a slight lead in the latest Gallup daily tracking poll.
The 48 percent for McCain, 45 percent for Obama lead represents the first time McCain has led in the poll since mid-August. The 48 percent ties his largest base among registered voters being polled since this poll began in March.
Again, and as always, poll numbers in September do not determine the outcome of an election, and this is state by state. but it does seem to show that the GOP, despite critiques that they were deadly dull before Palin's appearance, put on an effective convention.
In all, the poll represents a six point upward bounce for McCain from the peak of the Obama convention bounce. Obama's new number represent a five point fall for the Dems.
What's interesting is that this poll was conducted after the convention was over, and after at least several negative Palin stories broke, implying at least that voters at this point are not overly concerned about the news coming out out the new veep, and in fact look to be impressed.
OMG! Arugula Boy is wilting! Say it isn’t so!
Upstate NY online poll
http”//www.wben.com
With both conventions now over, who are you voting for?
McCain-Palin
86%
Obama-Biden
11%
Won’t Vote
4%
votes: 4407
I suspect the lead will grow until Tuesday or Wednesday. Republicans always do better during the workweek it seems.
Once the Muslim comment by Obama finishes making its way around this election could be a rout...
This morning on ABC, the Constitutional Law professor referred to Biden as the “President of the Senate Committee on Foreign Relations”.
It’s Chairman, Senator.
Should we all meet on Election Day at the MSDNC building and cheer on Keith, Chrissie and Andrea to Jump ??
I never watch PMSNBC but if McCain/Palin wins this on Nov. 4th, (which is looking more and more likely) I’m going to tune in just to watch Ol-Bore-Man’s head explode has he tries to explain the Dem loss to “racism”.
Polls are meaningless. It’s the Electoral College. M/P need to get Pennsylvania and keep Ohio and Florida.
How sweet it will be when Obama and Biden drag their sorry butts back to the Senate where they will be presided over by the President of the Senate, Sarah Palin. How sweet it will be...
I tend to put very little stock in polls, but this one does contain a lot of things that bode well for Mccain/Palin
1. Gallup tends to oversample dems.
2. The poll is Registered voters, Likely voter totals almost always trend more to the R.
3. this only contains 2 days after McCain’s speech, so the entire convention bounce is not yet included.
4. R’s tend to poll worse on weekends, and this contains a Friday and Saturday.
5. This is without Obama’s “my Muslim Faith” faux Pas.
That would be sweet too !
Praise ala and George S. for reminding him what faith is is today .
McCain 48 to 45 among registered voters, means a bigger lead with likely voters.
But there is plenty of time for bombshells, lead changes, etc.
And how a national 3 point lead translates into state by state results is the biggest deal.
I have seen scenarios whereby Obama could lose the national vote, and win the electoral vote, like Bush did.
Finally I believe televised debates have usually impacted Presidential voting quite a bit.
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