Skip to comments.2 new polls: Obama-McCain tied, but McCain-Palin surge among women
Posted on 09/08/2008 7:42:15 PM PDT by pissant
Suddenly, it's Poll City around here today.
As The Ticket reported earlier, the new Gallup/USA Today poll found a significant post-convention bounce for the John McCain-Sarah Palin ticket, a turnaround of 8 points to give the M-S ticket a 4-point lead over Barack Obama-Joe Biden.
A new political button for the Republican presidential ticket of Senator John McCain of Arizona and Governor Sarah Palin of Alaska
But now this afternoon come two more national polls essentially confirming the same trends with some significant subterranean changes:
-- the ABC News/Washington Post national poll of registered voters, which shows Obama's 6-point August lead has evaporated to produce a 47-46 Obama-McCain statistical tie,
-- and a CNN/Opinion Research poll, which shows the race still tied at 48% apiece but McCain making significant gains in how voters view his handling of the economy, Iraq and healthcare.
The most surprising results -- and surely the most disturbing for the freshman Illinois senator's camp -- are the immense gains McCain has made among white women following the Republican National Convention and the well-received prime-time speech by Palin.
(Excerpt) Read more at latimesblogs.latimes.com ...
BS. The Palin surge is due to lots of demographics, not just white women.
I guess now we know how the speeches played outside the hall, huh?
Andrea Mitchell might think they are “uneducated” but they sure do know what is best for America. I’d call that pretty damn sharp.
steve schmidt is no dummy.
I question the polls. I honestly believe McCain/Palin are doing better than that
This was definitely true earlier in the year. If that has changed, however, and some GOP voters are coming back home, then the polls are underestimating our support.
It is impossible to tell at this point, but Rasmussen reports that he is finding some evidence the gap is continuing to narrow in our favor.
THis is highly satisfying not only because it hits Obama in his wheelhouse but also it slaps down the snarky smirkfaced female media a-holes who, despite their self-appointed superiority, have acted like tawdry fishwives-- and displayed the truth of Kipling's observation that "the colonel's lady/ and Rosie O'Grady are sisters under the skin..."
Rasmussen may not have this measured correctly yet. He adjusts to party preference which he has at about 38 D and 29 R based on a 90 day avg. This is probably indicative of the last 90 days, but it is not of the last 5-10. I feel a conservative earthquake. The GOP may end up so motivated they close that gap considerably in the next 50 days. If so, Obama is toast and it won't be close.
There has got to be a political cartoon of that ..
Morris on tv today said that the old models of “likely voters” don’t mean much this year because of the age distribution of the voters’ preferences, with the young going to Obama and the older people to McCain; he said that there is no way to gauge what that young-people turnout will be. I hope that doesn’t mean that the historical spread between registered voters and likely voters is in danger, b/c there are heck of a lot more registered voters (mostly Obama-niks) who don’t vote than likely voters who don’t vote and that turnout might be a key to the election.
You are probably right. Rasmussen weights its polls based partially on party affiliation. McCain/Palin is headed for a sizable win. I think it very well may be a blow out. The next phase should worry Obama even more. He has not reached the bottom of his support yet because so many of his supporters still do not know exactly who they are supporting. Selecting Palin knocked Obama down hard. Now they are left in a dynamic where they are perceived to be hitting a woman and not just any woman but an accomplished straight talking woman who has five children, one of which has downs syndrome. They are also faced with attacking a real War hero one that still believes in the fight he signed up for back in Vietnam, one who believes Victory is the answer and an expression of love of country and defeat a dark stain. McCain and Palin just need to keep their love of country and desire to be even better leaders to guide them. McCain I can tell has been letting himself be guided by his faith and heart. When you follow that internal arrow you don’t need to equivocate, you don’t need polls, you get need to keep stepping in faith.
There’s an age-old word for candidates who rely on young people to vote: losers.
hey, I’ll take the women vote to go along with the huge gain we have with men and especially white men.
I strongly maintain, it is not liberal women who are freaking out about Governor Palin. They sort of like the idea.
It’s liberal gay guys. The type who are journalists in New York, and who write for liberal publications.
They’re (completely) freaking out, because they’ve always counted on having their “sisters” as allies. Fighting against Male Chauvanist straight guys.
Well. That alliance is out quickly, flying right out the window.
That’s the panic you’re seeing.
It’s not women. It’s liberal guys...
The 2 to 1 loss part was right - but it was the dems who got trounced.
Ever since then, I've taken the polls with a large grain of Kosher salt.
I feel the need to grab a shovel every time a new poll is dumped on America.
Or John Kerry.
The most successful part of the convention was that Obama's lack of experience is now on people's minds. I think before people who were mesmerized by his "charisma" (invisible to me) just ASSUMED someone running for the presidency had the credentials.
When they actually LOOKED, I think many undecideds were shocked by what they found.
its sad though to think that any American, in particular white Americans, would vote for that racist Marxist buffoon.. .
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