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He canít win. He wonít win. It is over
The Collins Report ^ | September 11, 2008 | Kevin "Coach" Collins

Posted on 09/11/2008 5:55:32 AM PDT by jmaroneps37

Since February I have been saying that Barack Obama would get crushed in this year’s presidential election. … The signs of trouble for the Democrats have always been there…

….Today it is no longer “wishful thinking” or “proof you have been smoking something” to say John McCain will crush Barack Obama.

..here are the numbers that say it is over..

To win Obama must get these numbers with these groups:

..women, he needs at least plus 7. He is down 12.

White males needs at least 36%. If he gets 30% he will be lucky

Catholics: needs 50%. He is down 59/36.

Evangelicals: needs 71%. He is running against an Evangelical and has nothing to offer these Christian voters.

Jewish vote: needs 80%. He is at 57%.

Black vote: needs 95%. Zogby says he has “lost support” among Black voters.

Hispanic vote: needs 65%. The only polls available show he is at 65% so that won’t help, it will only slow the bleeding.

Democrat base support: needs 92%. He is at 86%.

Independents: needs 49%. He is losing 52/37.

This one is over. On Monday September 29, 2008 at about 5 PM when the last weekend polls come in, the numbers will spell doom for the Democrats. On September 30, 2008 the McCain Palin campaign must plan on switching gears and start asking for votes to give them a Republican Congress. It could keep the margin down and keep us safe from the Democrats for another two years.

..there will only be four elected Democrats who will be happy on Nov. 5, the Clintons, George McGovern and Walter Mondale because Barack Obama will take them off the hook as having taken the worse beatings in history


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: byjmaroneps37; electionpresident; jmaroneps37; mccainpalin; mcgovern; mondale; obama; obamabiden
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With the two Democrats trying to out do each other with stupid comments it may be over sooner but September 29, 2008 is my guess on the end of the Obama era.
1 posted on 09/11/2008 5:55:33 AM PDT by jmaroneps37
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To: jmaroneps37
Zogby says he has “lost support” among Black voters.

Really?

2 posted on 09/11/2008 5:56:55 AM PDT by library user
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To: jmaroneps37; Norman Bates

Let’s hope he’s right.


3 posted on 09/11/2008 5:57:16 AM PDT by Perdogg (Maverick - Barracuda 2008)
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To: jmaroneps37

It isn’t over until the last ACORN fraud vote is cast.


4 posted on 09/11/2008 5:58:53 AM PDT by perfect_rovian_storm (Palin 2008 (oh yeah, and McCain too))
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To: jmaroneps37

Second Stage: we need to press more to ensure we optimize GOP seats in Congress. If not add to, at least keep the current split.


5 posted on 09/11/2008 5:59:13 AM PDT by bestintxas (It's great in Texas)
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To: jmaroneps37

Do not misunderestimate the depths to which the backers of these people will stoop to secure the White House of the the United States of America.


6 posted on 09/11/2008 5:59:50 AM PDT by silverleaf (Fasten your seat belts- it's going to be a BUMPY ride.)
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To: jmaroneps37

I bet Soros is farting ducks.


7 posted on 09/11/2008 6:00:30 AM PDT by Eye of Unk (Its Wasilla, NOT Wasilia, Wassala or Wasalia.)
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To: jmaroneps37
I agree its over. I called the election last Wednesday night. If you look at the internals, Obama is bleeding supporting in every category. Forget the nationals, forget the state by state polls. I don't need them to tell me the election is over. The internals are instructive and so is Obama's conduct on the campaign trail.

"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus

8 posted on 09/11/2008 6:00:50 AM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: library user

This doesn’t mean he won’t still get 95%, but many won’t take the trouble to vote more than twice. If the electoral count is close, my guess is Illinois will have technical difficulties delaying their count.


9 posted on 09/11/2008 6:01:25 AM PDT by steve8714 (Sarah was picked for the base. Period.)
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To: jmaroneps37

I don’t believe in complacency. It’s nice to hope it’s over, but because of the EC, we can’t assume it.


10 posted on 09/11/2008 6:01:30 AM PDT by Dawn531
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To: jmaroneps37
I agree its over. I called the election last Wednesday night. If you look at the internals, Obama is bleeding support in every category. Forget the nationals, forget the state by state polls. I don't need them to tell me the election is over. The internals are instructive and so is Obama's conduct on the campaign trail.

"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus

11 posted on 09/11/2008 6:01:33 AM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: jmaroneps37

His defeat, although not certain yet, should be such that he will never contemplate running for POTUS again in the future.


12 posted on 09/11/2008 6:02:06 AM PDT by 353FMG (What marxism and fascism could not destroy, liberalism did.)
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To: jmaroneps37

Maybe true, but RATs manufacture votes. Vote fraud may well dominate this election.


13 posted on 09/11/2008 6:02:59 AM PDT by WorkingClassFilth
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To: jmaroneps37

September 29, 2008 is my guess on the end of the Obama era...

...you may be correct, but victory is written with electoral votes, which pay little attention to percentages, being all or none, for each state...extremely dumb system, IMHO...if 49% of Pennsylvanians vote Pub, why shouldn’t 49% of EV’s go to them...but I digress...tell me, which of the Kerry states will McCain flip in order to acheive this remarkable landslide victory?


14 posted on 09/11/2008 6:03:13 AM PDT by IrishBrigade
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To: 353FMG
Its starting to look that way. It would be quite a pleasure to see him buried in a landslide. And while we're at it, I hope the American people send the do nothing Democratic Congress packing!

"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus

15 posted on 09/11/2008 6:04:33 AM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: library user; jmaroneps37
Zogby says he has “lost support” among Black voters.

S'truth. The Magic Marxist Mulatto Messiah has fallen from 99.98% to a shockingly low 99.89%.

16 posted on 09/11/2008 6:04:53 AM PDT by Kenny Bunk (Drill. Double Refining Capacity. Make METHANOL from Coal, NG, Nuclear ..let's roll.)
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To: jmaroneps37
This one is over.

I knew it was over once he secured the nomination.

17 posted on 09/11/2008 6:05:19 AM PDT by johnny7 ("Duck I says... ")
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To: steve8714

If Barack Obama is held below 110% of the black vote, I will be very surprised.


18 posted on 09/11/2008 6:05:24 AM PDT by gridlock (Sarah Palin knows how to kick butt or bake cookies.... And she's all out of flour!)
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To: jmaroneps37

While these stats may be a morale booster, they really mean little to nothing. Electoral votes are what really count so one needs to have a rundown, by state, to have a sense of where things are. National stats don’t get it.


19 posted on 09/11/2008 6:05:24 AM PDT by AlphaOneAlpha
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To: library user

Zogby may be correct; not that Obama has lost support among Black voters but the Democrats base may be so disheartened that they may not show up at the polls. This would lower the numbers of Black voters and could spell some trouble for the Democrats wanting to expand in the House and Senate.

This is an opportunity for the Republicans to focus on the issue of Energy and Reform. Let’s hope they’re smart enough to take this ball and run with it. It’s getting late in the game.


20 posted on 09/11/2008 6:06:00 AM PDT by HarleyD
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