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In N.C., polls find no convention bounce
Raleigh News&Observer.com ^ | September 12, 2008 | Ryan Beckwith

Posted on 09/12/2008 3:25:28 AM PDT by NCDragon

Maybe political conventions don't matter.

That seems to be the conclusion from Public Policy Polling, a Democratic firm, and the conservative Civitas Institute, which both released new poll results this week.

Officials with both groups said their latest polls showed that the presidential candidates got little or no bounce with North Carolina voters as a result of the recent national conventions.

The Civitas poll shows that Republican John McCain was the choice of 43 percent in a survey of 600 registered voters and that Democrat Barack Obama was the choice of 42 percent. When leaners were included, McCain's numbers were 47 percent, and Obama's were 44 percent.

Both were within the margin of error of plus or minus 4.2 percentage points.

Those figures are similar to findings released earlier this week by PPP. Its survey of 626 likely voters found that McCain was the choice of 48 percent, while Obama was the choice of 44 percent. The margin of error was plus or minus 3.9 percentage points.

(Excerpt) Read more at newsobserver.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: North Carolina
KEYWORDS: 2008rncconvention; bounce; electionpresident; mccain; mccainpalin; nc2008

1 posted on 09/12/2008 3:25:28 AM PDT by NCDragon
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To: NCDragon

I thought I saw polls out in the last day or two that had McCain up by 20 in NC?


2 posted on 09/12/2008 3:27:13 AM PDT by jsh3180
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To: NCDragon

the public have realized they’re dog and pony shows, nothing more. If you want real excitement, bring back the days when the nomination was in doubt going into the conventions.


3 posted on 09/12/2008 3:27:50 AM PDT by kms61
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To: NCDragon

The News and Observer is a commie dishrag. They were always the chief opponents for the late great Jesse Helms. Every six years they led the Democrat smears against the great man.

I wouldn’t believe them if they told me I was typing on my computer right now.


4 posted on 09/12/2008 3:28:53 AM PDT by Luke21
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To: jsh3180

Once again look at the polls methology and weighting. SurveyUSA did a random sample this poll weighted. In a weighted poll you can make it anything you want versus random sample poll Gallup and Survey USA they pick x amount of participants in a random sample.


5 posted on 09/12/2008 3:29:01 AM PDT by GoMonster (GO)
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To: NCDragon

It’s the news and observer for crying out loud.


6 posted on 09/12/2008 3:29:27 AM PDT by Perdogg (Sen Robert Byrd - Ex community organizer)
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To: Perdogg

“It’s the news and observer for crying out loud.”

Exactly.

BTW, nice win in NJ.


7 posted on 09/12/2008 3:33:36 AM PDT by GoDuke
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To: NCDragon

RCP has McCain up 17 pts. So what is this all about?


8 posted on 09/12/2008 3:39:55 AM PDT by nikos1121 (Mr. Smith is coming back to Washington in the name of Sarah Palin.)
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To: Perdogg

They either enjoy engaging in wishful thinking or are delusional.

I didn’t renew my subscription after the N&O endorsed John Kerry in 2004. That told me all I needed to know.


9 posted on 09/12/2008 3:45:14 AM PDT by RangerM (Barack Obama: CHANCE.....We Can't Afford To Take!)
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To: GoDuke

thanks!


10 posted on 09/12/2008 3:47:16 AM PDT by Perdogg (Sen Robert Byrd - Ex community organizer)
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To: NCDragon

Editor: “Go get me a poll that says the Republican Convention did not matter.”


11 posted on 09/12/2008 3:52:01 AM PDT by Loyal Buckeye
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To: GoMonster

I looked at poll. Let me revise. It appears they did do a
random sample of 600 people. however, no real track record of this polling company and their methology or results.


12 posted on 09/12/2008 3:53:43 AM PDT by GoMonster (GO)
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To: NCDragon

Keep this in mind, in order to win North Carolina barack mcgovern MUST do ALL three of these:
A)increase the Black turnout 30%!!!!!!!!!! Folks THAT is impossible.
B) hold ALL of the White vote frenchie got in 2004

C) get 95% of the Black vote.

If you think he can draw this inside straight then start worrying. If not, start working to help elect McCain/Palin a conservative Congress.
This race is over at the top of the ticket.


13 posted on 09/12/2008 3:54:39 AM PDT by jmaroneps37 (Conservatism is truth. Liberalism is lies.)
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To: kms61

When did those end? I think in 1976 Reagan said he was confident of victory in the convention, the one he lost to Ford. What set of rules brought about this change?


14 posted on 09/12/2008 4:09:24 AM PDT by blackd77
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To: jsh3180

You did... this is BS.

LLS


15 posted on 09/12/2008 4:25:00 AM PDT by LibLieSlayer (GOD, Country, Family... except for dims!)
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To: NCDragon

What else would one expect from Raleigh’s liberal mecca called the News & Disturber?


16 posted on 09/12/2008 5:03:26 AM PDT by RSmithOpt (Liberalism: Highway to Hell)
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To: NCDragon

Some of the blogs that specailize in polls write the name of this polling company as PPP-D. That tells it all.


17 posted on 09/12/2008 5:24:12 AM PDT by bilhosty
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To: GoMonster

Nationally 600 people, not only NC?
That’s the only way the results make sense to me: because the NC lead (like most in the south) is over 15%.


18 posted on 09/12/2008 5:36:18 AM PDT by Robert A. Cook, PE (I can only donate monthly, but Hillary's ABBCNNBCBS continue to lie every day!)
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To: RSmithOpt

Biased McClatchy newspaper, also they’re firing staff because of fewer subscribers


19 posted on 09/12/2008 5:52:03 AM PDT by o2bfree
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To: o2bfree

The writer is reporting from his deep underground bunker where the fire on his position can’t be heard. By tomorrow he may be dead and gone.


20 posted on 09/12/2008 5:55:10 AM PDT by bert (K.E. N.P. +12 . Conservation? Let the NE Yankees freeze.... in the dark)
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To: NCDragon
I will carry North Carolina before Obama does.
21 posted on 09/12/2008 5:56:53 AM PDT by SamuraiScot
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To: zebrahead

RCP has four September polls showing McCain ahead in NC. Two of the polls show him leading by double digits. Much like Indiana, any hope that Obama had of flipping NC is gone by now.


22 posted on 09/12/2008 6:43:21 AM PDT by zebrahead
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