Skip to comments.Election 2008: Maine Presidential Election [Maine in Play? Obama +4]
Posted on 09/19/2008 3:15:54 PM PDT by flyfree
John McCain has pulled within four points of Barack Obama in Maine. Thats the closest he has been in any of the six monthly polls Rasmussen Reports has conducted in the state since April.
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Maine voters finds Obama with 50% of the vote and McCain with 46%
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
Good. Remember that Maine splits it’s electoral votes. If the race is this close, they can split them up.
I like seeing that. Maine 2 is then in play (Not much of a chance in Maine 1 thanks to Portland)
I doubt Maine is really “in play.” Yet doesn’t Maine possibly split its electoral votes? How do they calculate that?
It would be good if McCain culd pick up some of Maine’s electoral votes. I believe they are divided among the districts. It could be a tie breaker in a close election.
I think that if the trends line stay this way, they’ll start talking about it. I wish I knew!
I bet the national polls are being conducted with an uneven amount of NYC voters.
Maine often gets weird when they finally vote for POTUS/VP in the general election. The percent of voters that voted for Ross Perot in ‘92 was amazing.
I previously estimated that McCain would do 4-6 points better than Bush in the 2nd CD but 4-6 points worse in the 1st CD, all things being equal, which would put the 2nd CD at about a tie at best. But if McCain raises his overall Maine performance even two points, he would have a real good chance at a narrow win in CD2.
But Maine splits its electoral votes. The winner in each congressional district gets 1 EV, and the overall winner in the state gets 2 EV. Even if McCain didn't win Maine, he still might be able to peal off one EV from it. It is possible for a candidate to win 1, 3, or 4 EV from Maine.
Which is why no candidate has seriously campaigned there in 40 years. Max gain, 1 EV.
Money spent in Maine is even more wasteful than in NJ.
Doesn’t Colorado also split its electoral votes? How do they decide how to do it?
How does that work anyway? EV's going to the candidate who wins each CD? With the two Senate EV's going to whom?
I very much disagree. There are several scenarios where that 1 electoral vote could deliver a McCain victory.
It is very, very cheap to micro-target television and radio advertising to the second district; the media market is tiny and dirt cheap compared to a metropolitan area.
Nebraska and Maine both use a system where the two Senate EV's (so to speak) go to the overall winner of the state's popular vote. The winner of each congressional district is awarded a sole electoral vote.
No, Nebraska’s the other state. And the Obamessiah opened an office in Omaha last week, hoping to steal an EV or two.