I went to the Gallup site and clicked on the link to the internal results. It says “how the race stands today” or something like that, but the latest figures appear to end at Sept. 14. That’s almost a week ago. During that week they show Obama surging into a lead. I’d like to see those internals updated to say, yesterday. I wonder why they haven’t updated them.
I would suspect that we’ll get new internals after sept 21 as it would be the week of the 15th-21; so maybe on Monday, tues, or wed
I’ve caught gallup in the past with these “weird” errors...I remember in 2004 that they had Bush up by only 5 points in the south one week, and up by only a 3-4 among men overall nationwide the week or so before the vote.
Voting patterns can change, of course, but they are not usually drastic and can sometimes take generations to swing in a certain direction...
I’ll be interested to see how the next internals look to...
(and you want my opinion? I think they are all a little off anyway right now because you have to remember that a LARGE region of the south got displaced with Ike, including the 4th largest city in the nation, Houston (4-5+ million people probably were affected in some way); other places lost powers among the south/midwest, etc, all this past week...who answers the phone to answer a poll during a natural disaster?? )