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Gleason: Palin will help GOP win 'four or five' congressional seats in PA
Politicker PA ^ | 9/16/08 | Alex Roarty

Posted on 09/23/2008 7:28:41 AM PDT by impeachedrapist

...[g]eneric ballots between Republicans and Democrats show a dead heat, Gleason said, "and that's caused Democrats to be very nervous about their congressional seats."

The chairman, joined by congressional candidate Craig Williams for the state's 7th Congressional District, spoke to reporters on a conference call hours before Democratic vice presidential nominee Joe Biden campaigned in the Philadelphia suburbs.

The GOP appears to have its best shot at winning back seats in northeastern Pennsylvania, where Republicans Lou Barletta and Chris Hackett are in tight races with their opponents. Barletta is locked in a heated battle with longtime incumbent U.S. Rep. Paul Kanjorski (D-Nanticoke) in the 11th Congressional District, and Hackett is facing first-term U.S. Rep. Chris Carney (D-Dimock) in the conservative 10th Congressional District.

Republican chances outside of NEPA appear less positive. An internal poll released by Melissa Hart's campaign showed her down five points to U.S. Rep. Jason Altmire (D-McCandless), a rematch of their 2006 battle when Altmire unseated her.

Gleason also pointed to Williams' race against U.S. Rep. Joe Sestak (D-Edgmont) as a potential Republican victory.

(Excerpt) Read more at politickerpa.com ...


TOPICS: Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Pennsylvania
KEYWORDS: congress; dems; electioncongress; gop; mccainpalin; pa
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First off, I can't stand Bob Gleason. Make no mistake about that. He refused to help Irey in her quest to defeat Jack Murtha, and he appears to be refusing help to Bill Russell. (Please correct me if I'm wrong.)

But PA does have a lot of vulnerable freshman Dem incumbents. The Dems know this, which is why most of these incumbents are well financed. But I think you'll start seeing those $$$ gaps close rather quickly if McCain/Palin keep visiting PA, as I expect they will.

The above races provide a perfect opportunity for conservatives to help conservative candidates win elections and help destroy Barack Hussein Obama's chances of winning the White House.

1 posted on 09/23/2008 7:28:41 AM PDT by impeachedrapist
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To: PennsylvaniaMom; Ciexyz; smoothsailing; Tribune7; HamiltonJay; AuH2ORepublican; fieldmarshaldj; ...

I hope whoever has the PA ping list will use it on this thread.


2 posted on 09/23/2008 7:30:18 AM PDT by impeachedrapist (On Free Republic PBD [political bipolar disorder] rules!)
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To: All
Manion running first ad in PA-8

Republican [retired Marine and Gold Star father] Tom Manion is airing his campaign's first television advertisement, as his bid to unseat U.S. Rep. Patrick Murphy (D-Bristol) enters the home stretch before Election Day.

The 30-second spot, one of four ads filmed by the campaign, is running on local cable, including on CNN's Larry King Live. Featuring little biographical information, its primary focus echoes what has been a key plank of Manion's campaign in the 8th Congressional District: the death of his son in Iraq.

"...as your congressman, let me assure you, if I ever have to vote on sending your son or daughter to war, it will be as a parent who lost his son in Iraq, and as someone who truly understands the heartbreaking cost of war."

The next ad could air as early as this week, a campaign spokeswoman said...

http://www.politickerpa.com/danh/1824/manion-running-first-ad-pa-8

Manion has been endorsed by Vets for Freedom.

3 posted on 09/23/2008 7:33:55 AM PDT by impeachedrapist (On Free Republic PBD [political bipolar disorder] rules!)
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To: impeachedrapist
Bump for the list for later.

I think Williams is going to win.

4 posted on 09/23/2008 7:39:46 AM PDT by Tribune7 (How is inflicting pain and death on an innocent, helpless human being for profit, moral?)
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To: Petronski; TitansAFC; mondonico; MVV; HarleyLady27; Tamzee; Vigilanteman; Erik Latranyi; ...

Ping


5 posted on 09/23/2008 7:40:20 AM PDT by impeachedrapist (On Free Republic PBD [political bipolar disorder] rules!)
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To: Tribune7

So you’re the keeper of the PA ping list? I guessed well. :-)


6 posted on 09/23/2008 7:41:31 AM PDT by impeachedrapist (On Free Republic PBD [political bipolar disorder] rules!)
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To: impeachedrapist

I’m for Craig Williams..we can get rid of Sestak.

Yes, I’m still sore about losing Curt Weldon in the final weeks of the last campaign on trumped up charge of wrongdoing. there has never been an idictment, much less a peep about the investigation. A Clinton dity trick it was...but now they’re gone., And hopefully, so will Sestak in a few more weeks. /rant off/


7 posted on 09/23/2008 7:43:08 AM PDT by SueRae
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To: impeachedrapist

As Ronald Reagan and Rush Limbaugh have repeatedly preached:

It is amazing what happens when true conservatism is presented as an option to the American people.


8 posted on 09/23/2008 7:43:22 AM PDT by EyeGuy
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To: impeachedrapist

Even though I live in Indiana County I see Altmire ads but no Mellisa Hart....What is she waiting for?


9 posted on 09/23/2008 7:44:17 AM PDT by GregB (I am a Palin Republican!!!!!)
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To: impeachedrapist

If Hart rewins her seat, with effectively NO BUDGET and NO SUPPORT, that’s huge folks. Altmeyer is being majorly bankrolled, and is advertising on TV and Radio and Billboards and if he loses to Hart who literally is virtually invisible in the media this election, that’s a huge repudiation of Altmeyer/Dems, and would definately signify a bad bad bad day for dems, because if she wins, she’ll be on the tail end of a lot more wins by R’s that day.

Frankly I’m amazed she’s within 5, her campaign has no money and no exposure to speak of at this point.


10 posted on 09/23/2008 7:46:09 AM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: GregB

She has ZERO money and no RNC support... the DNC is majorly bankrolling Altmeyer to retain his seat.


11 posted on 09/23/2008 7:46:50 AM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: GregB
What is she waiting for?

She's probably looking for money and volunteers.

12 posted on 09/23/2008 7:49:23 AM PDT by impeachedrapist (On Free Republic PBD [political bipolar disorder] rules!)
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To: HamiltonJay

This is good to see things looking better for congressional races. The spin has been that Democrats are going to beef up their majorities in both houses of Congress in the November election. Maybe they will lose seats instead. Stay tuned.

The worst combination would be President Obama backed by strong Democrat majorities in Congress. Some Democrats even think that they can get up to 60 senators, which would give them a filibuster-proof Senate. Watch out if that happens. There will be an Obama steam roller if he has those numbers in Congress to work with.


13 posted on 09/23/2008 7:49:27 AM PDT by Dilbert San Diego
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To: impeachedrapist
I am the keeper of the list.


14 posted on 09/23/2008 7:50:04 AM PDT by Tribune7 (How is inflicting pain and death on an innocent, helpless human being for profit, moral?)
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To: GregB
What is she waiting for?

She's probably looking for money and volunteers.

15 posted on 09/23/2008 7:51:12 AM PDT by impeachedrapist (On Free Republic PBD [political bipolar disorder] rules!)
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To: HamiltonJay
She has ZERO money and no RNC support... the DNC is majorly bankrolling Altmeyer to retain his seat.

Now, now, let's not exaggerate. At the end of June, acc to the FEC, Hart had $625K in the bank, with no debt. At the same time Altmire had $2.5M, with virtually no debt. So back then, before the Sarah surge, he had about four times the money Melissa did.

16 posted on 09/23/2008 8:03:18 AM PDT by impeachedrapist (On Free Republic PBD [political bipolar disorder] rules!)
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To: impeachedrapist

Dick Morris has a new map I’m sure we are all interested in.../s

http://w3.newsmax.com/a/morrismap/?s=al&promo_code=6B10-1


17 posted on 09/23/2008 8:04:31 AM PDT by Edgerunner (At the heart of every absurdity, lies a liberal lie)
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To: Tribune7; HamiltonJay

Hackett (GOP challenger in PA-10) has actually outraised the incumbent by a half a million bucks. However, as of late June Carney had about a million still in the bank, while Hackett had almost a half million in debt.


18 posted on 09/23/2008 8:07:52 AM PDT by impeachedrapist (On Free Republic PBD [political bipolar disorder] rules!)
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To: impeachedrapist

Tribune 7, has it.


19 posted on 09/23/2008 8:11:38 AM PDT by TAdams8591 (Proud Catholic supporter of Governor Mitt Romney for VP and now, Governor Sarah Palin!)
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To: Edgerunner; TAdams8591; Clintonfatigued; JohnnyZ
Here's another non-PA pick-up opportunity for the GOP in the House:

Pombo's old seat, CA-11. The district went 54% for Bush in 2004. On 30 June the incumbent Dem freshman, McNerney, had $1.3 million. The GOP challenger, Dean Andal, had $667K. Definitely enough money to be competitive in a district favorable to Pubbies.

20 posted on 09/23/2008 8:43:24 AM PDT by impeachedrapist (On Free Republic PBD [political bipolar disorder] rules!)
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To: All

Another is KS-2, Jim Ryun’s old seat, now held by Nancy Boyda. Lynn Jenkins, supposedly more conservative than Ryun and playing the outsider card, upset Ryun during the August primary. FEC fundraising is from mid July, so I doubt it accurately reflects the race now. But at the time the freshman Dem incumbent had $891K cash on hand, with $287K in debt. Lynn Jenkins had $489K on hand, with $101K in debt. Lynn certainly seems to be in a competitive position for a district that delivered 59% to President Bush in 2004.


21 posted on 09/23/2008 8:54:12 AM PDT by impeachedrapist (On Free Republic PBD [political bipolar disorder] rules!)
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To: impeachedrapist
Thanks, for the info. Good to know!

Maybe you could compile a list of all these candidates across the country and make it a seperate thread, if you have the time? I'm sure many would like to contribute.

22 posted on 09/23/2008 8:56:05 AM PDT by TAdams8591 (Proud Catholic supporter of Governor Mitt Romney for VP and now, Governor Sarah Palin!)
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To: All

http://www.lynnjenkins.com/home.asp


23 posted on 09/23/2008 8:57:40 AM PDT by impeachedrapist (On Free Republic PBD [political bipolar disorder] rules!)
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To: TAdams8591

That’s what I’m somewhat attempting to do with this thread.


24 posted on 09/23/2008 8:58:37 AM PDT by impeachedrapist (On Free Republic PBD [political bipolar disorder] rules!)
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To: impeachedrapist

I meant from across the country since you added the Californian. I thought this thread, was from across PA. If not, my bad. : )


25 posted on 09/23/2008 9:03:11 AM PDT by TAdams8591 (Proud Catholic supporter of Governor Mitt Romney for VP and now, Governor Sarah Palin!)
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To: SueRae; EyeGuy
New ARG poll out today for PA:

Obama: 50%
McCain: 46%

However, the respondents were +14 for Dems. (53-39, with 8% Indies). That is WAY oversampling Dems, based on the previous two Presidential elections in PA.

26 posted on 09/23/2008 9:03:56 AM PDT by impeachedrapist (On Free Republic PBD [political bipolar disorder] rules!)
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To: impeachedrapist

53% Libs? Perhaps they were allowing for the 125% voter turnout in Philly?


27 posted on 09/23/2008 9:08:57 AM PDT by newfreep ("Liberalism is just Communism sold by the drink." - P.J. O'Rourke)
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To: Tribune7

1933! Geez, JimRob’s been around longer than i thought. :)


28 posted on 09/23/2008 9:11:55 AM PDT by AFreeBird
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To: TAdams8591
It started as a PA thread, but I'm now adding other seats that I (and/or pundits) think the GOP can win.

Here, according to most who follow this stuff, are the two most vulnerable Dems, both of whom can thank "scandals" for their victories in 2006:

TX-22, Delay's old seat. Nick Lampson won it two years ago with 52% of the vote. However, he was running against a write-in candidate. This district gave Pres. Bush 64% in '04. The Dem freshman had almost $1.2M in the bank on 30 June. His GOP opponent (there are also Independent and Libertarian opponents) is Pete Olson, a Naval aviator and Sen. Cornyn's former chief of staff. Pete also did work with Phil Gramm. Pete had very little money in the bank in late June, but I don't think that will be a problem given his connections and this district's GOP leanings.

-------

FL-16, Mark Foley's old seat, went 54% for Bush in 2004. Freshman Dem incumbent Tim Mahoney had just over $1 million banked on 6 Aug. His GOP opponent is Tom Rooney, an Army veteran and nephew of Pittsburgh Steeler's owner Dan Rooney. Tom had about $200K on hand on 6 Aug.

29 posted on 09/23/2008 9:17:02 AM PDT by impeachedrapist (On Free Republic PBD [political bipolar disorder] rules!)
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To: TAdams8591
And the problem with threads like these, is even though they're filled with good information, they rarely get any activity (as you can see). So it's really not worth all the effort, but I'm doing it anyways just in the hopes it might convince a few folks that all is not gloom and doom.

Maybe if I had inserted the word "sex" into the headline...

30 posted on 09/23/2008 9:39:14 AM PDT by impeachedrapist (On Free Republic PBD [political bipolar disorder] rules!)
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To: impeachedrapist

A little ping life support for your thread. ;)


31 posted on 09/23/2008 9:48:10 AM PDT by Styria
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To: impeachedrapist
I very much appreciate your thread and all the information and have it bookmarked. There is much I need to learn about PA politicians and it's hopefuls, as well as GOP hopefuls from around the country. Thank you for all your hard work and all your effort.

With the addition of Governor Palin (we should call her Governor Palin, as the left wants to downplay her experience as governor and the fact that she is a governor), McCain now has a REAL chance. As most of us understand, the election is going to be close. We must make sure the advantage is on our side and your thread and the suggestions there in, are important to that endeavor.

BTW, I met a real live Hillary supporter at McCain's PA Media rally who is currently leaning toward McCain. They are REAL, they are out there and they are many.

32 posted on 09/23/2008 10:19:56 AM PDT by TAdams8591 (Proud Catholic supporter of Governor Mitt Romney for VP and now, Governor Sarah Palin!)
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To: impeachedrapist

And another worthy bump. I will bump it before I head out and again later this evening.


33 posted on 09/23/2008 10:21:35 AM PDT by TAdams8591 (Proud Catholic supporter of Governor Mitt Romney for VP and now, Governor Sarah Palin!)
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To: Tribune7

And the GATEKEEPER is...? : )


34 posted on 09/23/2008 10:23:29 AM PDT by TAdams8591 (Proud Catholic supporter of Governor Mitt Romney for VP and now, Governor Sarah Palin!)
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To: impeachedrapist
MI1 is a tough district, but winnable. Bush won the district twice, but it is locally democrat. The GOP has its first real winnable candidate there in a long time.

The dems have good challenges in MI7 which stretches from Ann Arbor's suburbs to Battle Creek, which is my district and MI9 in Oakland County. We should hang on there. Palin will help immensely in MI7 and McCain should do well himself in MI9.

35 posted on 09/23/2008 10:27:42 AM PDT by Darren McCarty (Palin in 08)
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To: TAdams8591

The Gatekeeper of the Pa. list!

36 posted on 09/23/2008 10:30:20 AM PDT by Tribune7 (How is inflicting pain and death on an innocent, helpless human being for profit, moral?)
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To: impeachedrapist

They didn’t mention that Dem-dope in Bucks County, Patrick Murphy. He is a very beatable first termer.
I heard Craig Williams speak at the McCain/Palin rally in Media yesterday. He sounded great (he was born and raised in Alaska). Think he may have a shot at Sestak but, it will be a tough fight.
Heard some discouraging news from a Republican official though. He said that piece of crap Murtha is going to be really hard. UGH!!


37 posted on 09/23/2008 10:55:36 AM PDT by PhillyRepublican
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To: Darren McCarty
Please feel free to plug in names or other data to go along with the MI-1 race.

LA-6 is another GOP pick-up opportunity. This is one of the 2008 special elections the Dems won, mostly because Woody Jenkins was the Pubbie. He is now out, so Bill Cassidy will be facing very freshman incumbent Dem Don Cazayoux (who definitely gets points for a Cajun name!). This district went 59% for Bush in 2004. Cazayouz has an additional problem. A black Dem named Michael Jackson (yes, I'm serious) is now running as an independent. The FEC numbers only go up to April for Cazayoux, where he only has $5K in the bank. I doubt that's close to accurate. As of mid August Cassidy had over $300K on hand.

38 posted on 09/23/2008 10:59:11 AM PDT by impeachedrapist (On Free Republic PBD [political bipolar disorder] rules!)
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To: PhillyRepublican
He said that piece of crap Murtha is going to be really hard. UGH!!

No kidding.

39 posted on 09/23/2008 11:00:09 AM PDT by impeachedrapist (On Free Republic PBD [political bipolar disorder] rules!)
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To: impeachedrapist

That comment was not needed.


40 posted on 09/23/2008 11:03:58 AM PDT by PhillyRepublican
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To: PhillyRepublican
1) I agree. Your "Murtha is going to be tough" comment was not needed. Major "Duh!" factor. But no apology necessary.

2) In response to this: They didn’t mention that Dem-dope in Bucks County, Patrick Murphy.

Maybe they didn't, but I covered PA-8 in my post #3. As of 30 June Manion had $500K in the bank, while freshman Murphy had $2.2M.

41 posted on 09/23/2008 11:06:52 AM PDT by impeachedrapist (On Free Republic PBD [political bipolar disorder] rules!)
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To: Darren McCarty
In MI-01 Bush carried the district in 2004 with 53%. According to the FEC Pubbie challenger Tom Casperson had virtually no money in mid July, while multi-term (8 or 9 terms, can't recall) Bart Stupak had a half a million banked at that time.

Casperson's got his work cut out for him, but I wish him well.

42 posted on 09/23/2008 11:19:20 AM PDT by impeachedrapist (On Free Republic PBD [political bipolar disorder] rules!)
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To: All
LA-06: Hotline is now reporting that Cazayoux just released a Dem poll showing him leading by 16 points. I don't have access to the particulars, but I find that just a bit suspicious. It did include the third-party Michael Jackson.

An Anazalone Liszt Research (D) poll; conducted 9/17-21 for Rep. Don Cazayoux (D); surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 9/22). Tested: Cazayoux, state Sen. Bill Cassidy (R) and Dem state Rep. Michael ...

43 posted on 09/23/2008 11:27:02 AM PDT by impeachedrapist (On Free Republic PBD [political bipolar disorder] rules!)
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To: All

Oh, and PA-08 gave President Bush 48% in ‘04.


44 posted on 09/23/2008 12:18:11 PM PDT by impeachedrapist (On Free Republic PBD [political bipolar disorder] rules!)
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To: impeachedrapist

bump


45 posted on 09/23/2008 12:30:25 PM PDT by TAdams8591 (Proud Catholic supporter of Governor Mitt Romney for VP and now, Governor Sarah Palin!)
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To: SueRae

Remo Williams is THE man!

http://www.craigwilliamsforcongress.com/


46 posted on 09/23/2008 12:32:59 PM PDT by PurpleMan
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To: All; GraniteStateConservative
NH-1 went for Bush by 51% in 2004. Freshman incumbent Dem Carol Shea-Porter defeated Jeb Bradley, who is running to recapture his seat. On Aug 20 Jeb had $360K in the bank (but $350 in debt, for +$10K), while Shea-Porter had $675K ready and waiting. However, Bradley did have to defeat a primary challenger just a couple of weeks ago. There are also Green and Libertarian candidates on the general election ballot. Low turnout killed Bradley in '06 (when polling generally showed him ahead), so he's got a decent shot at this seat if he can get some more money in the bank. McCain's strength in the competitive state of NH likely means plenty of visits, translating to $$$ and exposure for Jeb.
47 posted on 09/23/2008 12:36:13 PM PDT by impeachedrapist (On Free Republic PBD [political bipolar disorder] rules!)
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To: impeachedrapist
Yeah, but Murphy won in 2006 by only about 1200 votes, out of about 250,000. That's less than one percent. Murphy is a floater who will be gone on the second flush.


48 posted on 09/23/2008 12:36:29 PM PDT by Fresh Wind (Tom Manion USMC '08!!)
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To: impeachedrapist

I would like to see PA lead in the Congressional switch back to the GOP. In 2006, four districts (4, 7, 8, and 10) all switched from GOP to Dem. The GOP has a good chance of picking back up at least a couple of these and could be more competitive in long-time Dem. Districts 11 & 12 this time. Districts 4, 10, 11, and 12 are largely made up of socially conservative blue-collar voters, while Districts 7 & 8 consist of largely white collar suburbanites. District 8 especially tends to have more socially liberal voters.


49 posted on 09/23/2008 12:37:07 PM PDT by hout8475
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To: impeachedrapist

What was the Dem to Rep #s in PA in the last election?


50 posted on 09/23/2008 12:37:55 PM PDT by Beeman
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