Skip to comments.Gleason: Palin will help GOP win 'four or five' congressional seats in PA
Posted on 09/23/2008 7:28:41 AM PDT by impeachedrapist
...[g]eneric ballots between Republicans and Democrats show a dead heat, Gleason said, "and that's caused Democrats to be very nervous about their congressional seats."
The chairman, joined by congressional candidate Craig Williams for the state's 7th Congressional District, spoke to reporters on a conference call hours before Democratic vice presidential nominee Joe Biden campaigned in the Philadelphia suburbs.
The GOP appears to have its best shot at winning back seats in northeastern Pennsylvania, where Republicans Lou Barletta and Chris Hackett are in tight races with their opponents. Barletta is locked in a heated battle with longtime incumbent U.S. Rep. Paul Kanjorski (D-Nanticoke) in the 11th Congressional District, and Hackett is facing first-term U.S. Rep. Chris Carney (D-Dimock) in the conservative 10th Congressional District.
Republican chances outside of NEPA appear less positive. An internal poll released by Melissa Hart's campaign showed her down five points to U.S. Rep. Jason Altmire (D-McCandless), a rematch of their 2006 battle when Altmire unseated her.
Gleason also pointed to Williams' race against U.S. Rep. Joe Sestak (D-Edgmont) as a potential Republican victory.
(Excerpt) Read more at politickerpa.com ...
But PA does have a lot of vulnerable freshman Dem incumbents. The Dems know this, which is why most of these incumbents are well financed. But I think you'll start seeing those $$$ gaps close rather quickly if McCain/Palin keep visiting PA, as I expect they will.
The above races provide a perfect opportunity for conservatives to help conservative candidates win elections and help destroy Barack Hussein Obama's chances of winning the White House.
I hope whoever has the PA ping list will use it on this thread.
Republican [retired Marine and Gold Star father] Tom Manion is airing his campaign's first television advertisement, as his bid to unseat U.S. Rep. Patrick Murphy (D-Bristol) enters the home stretch before Election Day.
The 30-second spot, one of four ads filmed by the campaign, is running on local cable, including on CNN's Larry King Live. Featuring little biographical information, its primary focus echoes what has been a key plank of Manion's campaign in the 8th Congressional District: the death of his son in Iraq.
"...as your congressman, let me assure you, if I ever have to vote on sending your son or daughter to war, it will be as a parent who lost his son in Iraq, and as someone who truly understands the heartbreaking cost of war."
The next ad could air as early as this week, a campaign spokeswoman said...
Manion has been endorsed by Vets for Freedom.
I think Williams is going to win.
So you’re the keeper of the PA ping list? I guessed well. :-)
I’m for Craig Williams..we can get rid of Sestak.
Yes, I’m still sore about losing Curt Weldon in the final weeks of the last campaign on trumped up charge of wrongdoing. there has never been an idictment, much less a peep about the investigation. A Clinton dity trick it was...but now they’re gone., And hopefully, so will Sestak in a few more weeks. /rant off/
As Ronald Reagan and Rush Limbaugh have repeatedly preached:
It is amazing what happens when true conservatism is presented as an option to the American people.
Even though I live in Indiana County I see Altmire ads but no Mellisa Hart....What is she waiting for?
If Hart rewins her seat, with effectively NO BUDGET and NO SUPPORT, that’s huge folks. Altmeyer is being majorly bankrolled, and is advertising on TV and Radio and Billboards and if he loses to Hart who literally is virtually invisible in the media this election, that’s a huge repudiation of Altmeyer/Dems, and would definately signify a bad bad bad day for dems, because if she wins, she’ll be on the tail end of a lot more wins by R’s that day.
Frankly I’m amazed she’s within 5, her campaign has no money and no exposure to speak of at this point.
She has ZERO money and no RNC support... the DNC is majorly bankrolling Altmeyer to retain his seat.
She's probably looking for money and volunteers.
This is good to see things looking better for congressional races. The spin has been that Democrats are going to beef up their majorities in both houses of Congress in the November election. Maybe they will lose seats instead. Stay tuned.
The worst combination would be President Obama backed by strong Democrat majorities in Congress. Some Democrats even think that they can get up to 60 senators, which would give them a filibuster-proof Senate. Watch out if that happens. There will be an Obama steam roller if he has those numbers in Congress to work with.
She's probably looking for money and volunteers.
Now, now, let's not exaggerate. At the end of June, acc to the FEC, Hart had $625K in the bank, with no debt. At the same time Altmire had $2.5M, with virtually no debt. So back then, before the Sarah surge, he had about four times the money Melissa did.
Dick Morris has a new map I’m sure we are all interested in.../s
Hackett (GOP challenger in PA-10) has actually outraised the incumbent by a half a million bucks. However, as of late June Carney had about a million still in the bank, while Hackett had almost a half million in debt.
Tribune 7, has it.
Pombo's old seat, CA-11. The district went 54% for Bush in 2004. On 30 June the incumbent Dem freshman, McNerney, had $1.3 million. The GOP challenger, Dean Andal, had $667K. Definitely enough money to be competitive in a district favorable to Pubbies.
Another is KS-2, Jim Ryun’s old seat, now held by Nancy Boyda. Lynn Jenkins, supposedly more conservative than Ryun and playing the outsider card, upset Ryun during the August primary. FEC fundraising is from mid July, so I doubt it accurately reflects the race now. But at the time the freshman Dem incumbent had $891K cash on hand, with $287K in debt. Lynn Jenkins had $489K on hand, with $101K in debt. Lynn certainly seems to be in a competitive position for a district that delivered 59% to President Bush in 2004.
Maybe you could compile a list of all these candidates across the country and make it a seperate thread, if you have the time? I'm sure many would like to contribute.
That’s what I’m somewhat attempting to do with this thread.
I meant from across the country since you added the Californian. I thought this thread, was from across PA. If not, my bad. : )
However, the respondents were +14 for Dems. (53-39, with 8% Indies). That is WAY oversampling Dems, based on the previous two Presidential elections in PA.
53% Libs? Perhaps they were allowing for the 125% voter turnout in Philly?
1933! Geez, JimRob’s been around longer than i thought. :)
Here, according to most who follow this stuff, are the two most vulnerable Dems, both of whom can thank "scandals" for their victories in 2006:
TX-22, Delay's old seat. Nick Lampson won it two years ago with 52% of the vote. However, he was running against a write-in candidate. This district gave Pres. Bush 64% in '04. The Dem freshman had almost $1.2M in the bank on 30 June. His GOP opponent (there are also Independent and Libertarian opponents) is Pete Olson, a Naval aviator and Sen. Cornyn's former chief of staff. Pete also did work with Phil Gramm. Pete had very little money in the bank in late June, but I don't think that will be a problem given his connections and this district's GOP leanings.
FL-16, Mark Foley's old seat, went 54% for Bush in 2004. Freshman Dem incumbent Tim Mahoney had just over $1 million banked on 6 Aug. His GOP opponent is Tom Rooney, an Army veteran and nephew of Pittsburgh Steeler's owner Dan Rooney. Tom had about $200K on hand on 6 Aug.
Maybe if I had inserted the word "sex" into the headline...
A little ping life support for your thread. ;)
With the addition of Governor Palin (we should call her Governor Palin, as the left wants to downplay her experience as governor and the fact that she is a governor), McCain now has a REAL chance. As most of us understand, the election is going to be close. We must make sure the advantage is on our side and your thread and the suggestions there in, are important to that endeavor.
BTW, I met a real live Hillary supporter at McCain's PA Media rally who is currently leaning toward McCain. They are REAL, they are out there and they are many.
And another worthy bump. I will bump it before I head out and again later this evening.
And the GATEKEEPER is...? : )
The dems have good challenges in MI7 which stretches from Ann Arbor's suburbs to Battle Creek, which is my district and MI9 in Oakland County. We should hang on there. Palin will help immensely in MI7 and McCain should do well himself in MI9.
The Gatekeeper of the Pa. list!
They didn’t mention that Dem-dope in Bucks County, Patrick Murphy. He is a very beatable first termer.
I heard Craig Williams speak at the McCain/Palin rally in Media yesterday. He sounded great (he was born and raised in Alaska). Think he may have a shot at Sestak but, it will be a tough fight.
Heard some discouraging news from a Republican official though. He said that piece of crap Murtha is going to be really hard. UGH!!
LA-6 is another GOP pick-up opportunity. This is one of the 2008 special elections the Dems won, mostly because Woody Jenkins was the Pubbie. He is now out, so Bill Cassidy will be facing very freshman incumbent Dem Don Cazayoux (who definitely gets points for a Cajun name!). This district went 59% for Bush in 2004. Cazayouz has an additional problem. A black Dem named Michael Jackson (yes, I'm serious) is now running as an independent. The FEC numbers only go up to April for Cazayoux, where he only has $5K in the bank. I doubt that's close to accurate. As of mid August Cassidy had over $300K on hand.
That comment was not needed.
2) In response to this: They didnt mention that Dem-dope in Bucks County, Patrick Murphy.
Maybe they didn't, but I covered PA-8 in my post #3. As of 30 June Manion had $500K in the bank, while freshman Murphy had $2.2M.
Casperson's got his work cut out for him, but I wish him well.
An Anazalone Liszt Research (D) poll; conducted 9/17-21 for Rep. Don Cazayoux (D); surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 9/22). Tested: Cazayoux, state Sen. Bill Cassidy (R) and Dem state Rep. Michael ...
Oh, and PA-08 gave President Bush 48% in ‘04.
Remo Williams is THE man!
I would like to see PA lead in the Congressional switch back to the GOP. In 2006, four districts (4, 7, 8, and 10) all switched from GOP to Dem. The GOP has a good chance of picking back up at least a couple of these and could be more competitive in long-time Dem. Districts 11 & 12 this time. Districts 4, 10, 11, and 12 are largely made up of socially conservative blue-collar voters, while Districts 7 & 8 consist of largely white collar suburbanites. District 8 especially tends to have more socially liberal voters.
What was the Dem to Rep #s in PA in the last election?