Skip to comments.Poll: McCain leads Obama By 3% in Michigan (46% - 43%)
Posted on 09/23/2008 5:29:06 PM PDT by notes2005
Poll: McCain leads Obama By 3% in Michigan McCains Strong Support Among Independents and Male voters gives him a slight 46% - 43% lead in a Toss-Up State LANSING A poll released today by Inside Michigan Politics shows that Republican Presidential Candidate John McCain has a slim three (3) point lead over Barack Obama in Michigans latest poll. The poll shows that both candidates have strong support with their base voters, but McCains support among Independent voters 45%- 37% (+8%) puts him on top in this toss-up state John McCain has a track record with Michigan Independent voters, said Bill Ballenger, Editor of Inside Michigan Politics. The current polling shows that they still like him and they like and support Sarah Palin as his running mate. The poll showed that Obama continues to show strong support among women (+2%), young voters (+16%), African Americans (+89%), voters living in the Detroit Metro area (+9%) along with his traditional Democratic base. John McCain is showing strength among bluecollar voters (+10%), men (+9%), white males (+29%), conservatives (+62%) and voters living in West Michigan (+12%) and the Flint/Saginaw/Bay City Area (+8%).
(Excerpt) Read more at mrgmi.com ...
When was the poll taken...
This should surely get some tongues wagging...
It’s a republican poll...
LOL. If these turds and a-holes aren't "the traditional Democratic base," then who is? Who is left? Sheesh.
THIS IS REALLY, REALLY BIG!!!!!!
Well, McCain may not carry Michigan, but at least this news forces Obama to defend a blue state.
Will he have to propose a $100B relief package to the auto industry to win?
This isn’t big news. It’s a GOP poll, showing Michigan up for grabs. Which we already knew from other polls and both campaigns’ activities.
That's what she said.
Now who’s being a negative Nancy ?
Not quite. This is a GOP pollster. Although, a Dem pollster showed Obama leading only by 43-42 last week. MI is going to be close again, but it is leaning Dem as according to Rasmussen.
I’m sure the wonderful towns of Detroit, Flint, Pontiac, and Lansing will produce a lot of questionable votes for O.
It will take a lot to offset those.
I was there for the ‘67 “summer of love”.
Luckily I’m 350 miles away now.
I checked out your link and I am not seeing what in the client list makes you think it is a republican poll.
Is this good news or more blah, blah, blah...?
Did you see the scenario on fox this morning where the race could be tied, and the congress picks the president? Yeah.
If they win the states they are each leading in, today, then it will be tied 269 to 269.
I was wondering why Obama was spending so much time in Montana trying to get her 3 votes. Because that could very well tip him over the top. McCain is ahead in the polls, but the governor has already admited to having the AP wire service in his pocket, and to election fraud...so, he could very well cheat his way to a win. Get fraudulant poll published and change the votes.
The poll was conducted by Marketing Resource Group, Inc. (MRG) of Lansing,
Michigan, between September 15 and 19. It sampled 600 likely voters in Michigan and
has a statistical margin of error of plus or minus 4.1 percent. MRG has been polling
Michigan voters on political issues for more than 28 years.
McCain will have more real votes, but when the votes from Wayne County come in you can bet that Obama will have more votes.
McCain can offer a Drilling plan to help the Auto Industry recover immediately.
Pray for W, McCuda and Our Troops
Yes. I said the state is up for grabs. Hand me your bowl of Wheaties.
McCain just may take Michigan.
under Service Areas -> Political Campaigns
Doesn't mean the poll is not valid. It also gives a different view of the race by measuring the candidates' bedrock of support and allowing for a higher neither/undecided number.
McCain probably isn't ahead in Michigan, but this poll suggests it's not the 5-7 point Obama lead that other polls say.
If I am not correct, McCain went up two points. I am starting to have the strangest feeling....that of winning Michigan which has the no.1 Liberal city in America, Detroit, in it.
Since when does +2 among women equal “strong”?
GOP poll? So what? Jackasses might use fraud polls for propaganda purposes but I doubt the GOP and its hired guns would want to do that. This poll is good news. Obama will have too redeploy his far flung operatives. Pa. and Mich. are becoming nightmares for Obama.
That’s a Republican poll, but still important. Bill Ballenger is a Republican, but he’s tough on his own and calls em as he sees them in analysis.
“THIS IS REALLY, REALLY BIG!!!!!!”
This is an arrow straight into the heart of Michael Moore lmao.
Seriously, this is huge news.
“Obama is only +9 in Detroit?”
But you’re right that if Obama doesn’t beat McCain by more than 9% in the Detroit metro area in November he won’t carry Michigan.
So much for Barry’s 57 state strategy.
The State of Michigan?
The United States State of Michigan?
The one here in the US?
Thanks. Now I won’t sleep tonight.
To keep this a family-friendly forum, you can just imagine my response.
Michigan is more than likely going to go blue. What I’m concerned about is Colorado. What the HELL is going on there? Why is it even close! As to the rust belt, I see McCain having his best chance in Penn. And I also think he could carry Wisconsin. But what I don’t understand is Colorado. Could someone help me out here? What is it? Colorado has always been reliably republican.
The interesting thing is that McCain is up in the Flint/Saginaw/Bay City area. That’s all union areas and a democrat base. I’d like to know what they include in the Detroit area. If he’s down 9 in just the tri-county area, I’m happy. John Kerry won there by probably 18 points. If they included my own people’s republic of Washtenaw County there, even better. I live in the demonrats number two county.
Detroit Mayor going to jail
State economy in the tank
Lots of hockey moms :)
Palin strikes a chord with the rural voters’
Anything is possible I guess.
What next? Cats and dogs living together....MASS HYSTERIA!!!!
I live here in Michigan and the Dems have royally screwed this state. Highest unemployment in the nation. Granholm and the Dems raised taxes. The Mayor of Detroit is going to jail. Dems are pretty long faced here and I think McCain will win by 10%
The two pivotal MI counties to watch are Oakland and Macomb. Past successful Republicans (Engler and Reagan) did very well in those counties. Thus enabling them to counter Wayne county. Unfortunately, Republicans recently have not done well in those vote rich counties.
I hope you are right. I have friends and family there, and all have generously imbibed the Obama kool-aid. I would love for McCain-Palin to take the Wolverine State!
Heck, I live here and I don’t believe it.
Oakland County’s population is increasingly black, and it will be difficult for McCain to carry it this year. But if he can fight Obama to a draw there (by doing well with Jewish voters) and carries Macomb County by a healthy percentage (President Bush carried it by only 1.5% in 2004) he can parlay that into a statewide win.
Yesterday on O’Reilly, I saw that Obama had 51% to McCain’s 46%.
When he gets to 51% and has at least a 5-6% lead, I’ll be happy. Maybe even complacent. But not before then.
Demographics. Colorado voters are unusually young and white collar, areas where Obama does better than the average Democrat. They also have a growing Hispanic population. Similar story in Virginia.
In contrast, Pennsylvania and Michigan have older, blue collar populations, and as a result McCain is doing better there.
Sorry. I know it is frightening.
Sheesh, its scary that it is even close. But on the bright side, if we pick up Wisconsin and take Penn; it’s over for socialism this election cycle.
Rasmussen is good, but he ain’t God. The unclear status of MI, WI and PA will require that Barry spend lots of time there and not in CO and VA. As a result, Barry could lose not only CO and VA, but one or more of those three.
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