Posted on 09/23/2008 5:29:06 PM PDT by notes2005
Poll: McCain leads Obama By 3% in Michigan McCain’s Strong Support Among Independents and Male voters gives him a slight 46% - 43% lead in a Toss-Up State LANSING – A poll released today by Inside Michigan Politics shows that Republican Presidential Candidate John McCain has a slim three (3) point lead over Barack Obama in Michigan’s latest poll. The poll shows that both candidates have strong support with their base voters, but McCain’s support among Independent voters 45%- 37% (+8%) puts him on top in this toss-up state “John McCain has a track record with Michigan Independent voters,” said Bill Ballenger, Editor of Inside Michigan Politics. “The current polling shows that they still like him and they like and support Sarah Palin as his running mate.” The poll showed that Obama continues to show strong support among women (+2%), young voters (+16%), African Americans (+89%), voters living in the Detroit Metro area (+9%) along with his traditional Democratic base. John McCain is showing strength among blue–collar voters (+10%), men (+9%), white males (+29%), conservatives (+62%) and voters living in West Michigan (+12%) and the Flint/Saginaw/Bay City Area (+8%).
(Excerpt) Read more at mrgmi.com ...
The two pivotal MI counties to watch are Oakland and Macomb. Past successful Republicans (Engler and Reagan) did very well in those counties. Thus enabling them to counter Wayne county. Unfortunately, Republicans recently have not done well in those vote rich counties.
I hope you are right. I have friends and family there, and all have generously imbibed the Obama kool-aid. I would love for McCain-Palin to take the Wolverine State!
Heck, I live here and I don’t believe it.
Oakland County’s population is increasingly black, and it will be difficult for McCain to carry it this year. But if he can fight Obama to a draw there (by doing well with Jewish voters) and carries Macomb County by a healthy percentage (President Bush carried it by only 1.5% in 2004) he can parlay that into a statewide win.
Yesterday on O’Reilly, I saw that Obama had 51% to McCain’s 46%.
When he gets to 51% and has at least a 5-6% lead, I’ll be happy. Maybe even complacent. But not before then.
Demographics. Colorado voters are unusually young and white collar, areas where Obama does better than the average Democrat. They also have a growing Hispanic population. Similar story in Virginia.
In contrast, Pennsylvania and Michigan have older, blue collar populations, and as a result McCain is doing better there.
Sorry. I know it is frightening.
Sheesh, its scary that it is even close. But on the bright side, if we pick up Wisconsin and take Penn; it’s over for socialism this election cycle.
Rasmussen is good, but he ain’t God. The unclear status of MI, WI and PA will require that Barry spend lots of time there and not in CO and VA. As a result, Barry could lose not only CO and VA, but one or more of those three.
Well, radio is nice, the only lies we get come from the local demonRAT congresscritter trying to defend a traditionally GOP seat.
On the other hand, it’s really hard to get campaign materials.
Well, radio is nice, the only lies we get come from the local demonRAT congresscritter trying to defend a traditionally GOP seat.
On the other hand, it’s really hard to get campaign materials.
Wayne County is a mystery to me.
However, I may get flamed for this but it is history.
Remember the state wide referendum on Affirmative Action? It went down 58% to 42% in favor of repeal.
How shall I say this, as someone who is not a Michigan native, I was shocked at peoples "attitudes" and I can be traced back to 68' and 69' when Detroit burned. I hate to say it but it this may play a factor as well on top of Obama's incompetence, lack of patriotism, and outright gall that will cost him Michigan.
CO and VA, like MI and PA, still have strong traditional voting patterns that we should remember.
I agree, to a certain extent. But which of those states have elected blacks statewide?
I think just VA (Wilder in 1989).
Are there enough votes outside of Pontiac Co?
“THIS IS REALLY, REALLY BIG!!!!!!”
Yes, it is. (If it’s accurate.)
This state voted for Jesse Jackson in the 1988 primary. It voted for George Wallace in the 1972 primary.
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