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Poll: McCain leads Obama By 3% in Michigan (46% - 43%)
MRG ^ | September 23, 2008

Posted on 09/23/2008 5:29:06 PM PDT by notes2005

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1 posted on 09/23/2008 5:29:09 PM PDT by notes2005
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To: notes2005

When was the poll taken...


2 posted on 09/23/2008 5:31:29 PM PDT by bahblahbah (http://explorations.chasrmartin.com/2008/09/06/palin-rumors/)
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To: notes2005

This should surely get some tongues wagging...


3 posted on 09/23/2008 5:32:14 PM PDT by tcrlaf (SARAH PALIN-The American Everywoman (Yes, You Really CAN!))
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To: bahblahbah

It’s a republican poll...

http://www.mrgmi.com/Flash_Framesets/client_list_frameset.html


4 posted on 09/23/2008 5:32:30 PM PDT by bahblahbah (http://explorations.chasrmartin.com/2008/09/06/palin-rumors/)
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To: notes2005
Obama continues to show strong support among women (+2%), young voters (+16%), African Americans (+89%), voters living in the Detroit Metro area (+9%) along with his traditional Democratic base.

LOL. If these turds and a-holes aren't "the traditional Democratic base," then who is? Who is left? Sheesh.

5 posted on 09/23/2008 5:34:03 PM PDT by hinckley buzzard
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To: grellis; Beagle8U; Darren McCarty; cripplecreek; fieldmarshaldj; AuH2ORepublican; Kuksool; ...

THIS IS REALLY, REALLY BIG!!!!!!


6 posted on 09/23/2008 5:34:09 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued (If Islam conquers the world, the Earth will be at peace because the human race will be killed off.)
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To: notes2005

Well, McCain may not carry Michigan, but at least this news forces Obama to defend a blue state.


7 posted on 09/23/2008 5:34:26 PM PDT by The_Reader_David (For real change stop electing lawyers: Fighter-Pilot/Hockey-Mom '08.)
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To: The_Reader_David

Will he have to propose a $100B relief package to the auto industry to win?


8 posted on 09/23/2008 5:36:23 PM PDT by Comparative Advantage
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To: Clintonfatigued

This isn’t big news. It’s a GOP poll, showing Michigan up for grabs. Which we already knew from other polls and both campaigns’ activities.


9 posted on 09/23/2008 5:36:30 PM PDT by impeachedrapist (On Free Republic PBD [political bipolar disorder] rules!)
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To: Clintonfatigued
THIS IS REALLY, REALLY BIG!!!!!!

That's what she said.

10 posted on 09/23/2008 5:38:33 PM PDT by JohnnyZ (This gun for hire)
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To: impeachedrapist

Now who’s being a negative Nancy ?


11 posted on 09/23/2008 5:41:23 PM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (~"This is what happens when you find a stranger in the Alps !"~~)
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To: Clintonfatigued

Not quite. This is a GOP pollster. Although, a Dem pollster showed Obama leading only by 43-42 last week. MI is going to be close again, but it is leaning Dem as according to Rasmussen.


12 posted on 09/23/2008 5:41:37 PM PDT by yongin (Don't get mad at MSM smears. Do GOTV work for Palin)
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To: notes2005

I’m sure the wonderful towns of Detroit, Flint, Pontiac, and Lansing will produce a lot of questionable votes for O.
It will take a lot to offset those.

I was there for the ‘67 “summer of love”.
Luckily I’m 350 miles away now.


13 posted on 09/23/2008 5:42:29 PM PDT by nascarnation
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To: bahblahbah
“It’s a republican poll...”

I checked out your link and I am not seeing what in the client list makes you think it is a republican poll.

14 posted on 09/23/2008 5:42:44 PM PDT by lt.america (Palin was McCain's Midway while Saddleback was his Coral Sea)
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To: notes2005
Looking at his 2000 results he overestimates RATS all thy way down the ballot. The article I read, he oversated all three contests he was talking about by 1-2% in favor of the RATS.

Is this good news or more blah, blah, blah...?

15 posted on 09/23/2008 5:44:09 PM PDT by IllumiNaughtyByNature (I Love The Smell Of Schmidt Storm in the Morning...and Afternoon....and at Night!!!!!)
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To: notes2005

Did you see the scenario on fox this morning where the race could be tied, and the congress picks the president? Yeah.

If they win the states they are each leading in, today, then it will be tied 269 to 269.

I was wondering why Obama was spending so much time in Montana trying to get her 3 votes. Because that could very well tip him over the top. McCain is ahead in the polls, but the governor has already admited to having the AP wire service in his pocket, and to election fraud...so, he could very well cheat his way to a win. Get fraudulant poll published and change the votes.


16 posted on 09/23/2008 5:44:21 PM PDT by tuckrdout (~ 'Those who hammer their guns into plows, will plow for those who don't.' ~)
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To: bahblahbah

The poll was conducted by Marketing Resource Group, Inc. (MRG) of Lansing,
Michigan, between September 15 and 19. It sampled 600 likely voters in Michigan and
has a statistical margin of error of plus or minus 4.1 percent. MRG has been polling
Michigan voters on political issues for more than 28 years.


17 posted on 09/23/2008 5:44:50 PM PDT by crosslink (Moderates should play in the middle of a busy street)
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To: notes2005

McCain will have more real votes, but when the votes from Wayne County come in you can bet that Obama will have more votes.


18 posted on 09/23/2008 5:46:43 PM PDT by DouglasKC
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To: crosslink
MRG has been polling Michigan voters on political issues for more than 28 years.

How good is their track record ?
19 posted on 09/23/2008 5:47:20 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: Comparative Advantage

McCain can offer a Drilling plan to help the Auto Industry recover immediately.

Pray for W, McCuda and Our Troops


20 posted on 09/23/2008 5:49:35 PM PDT by bray (Drill Congress!!)
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To: fieldmarshaldj

Yes. I said the state is up for grabs. Hand me your bowl of Wheaties.


21 posted on 09/23/2008 5:50:08 PM PDT by impeachedrapist (On Free Republic PBD [political bipolar disorder] rules!)
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To: notes2005
Obama is only +9 in Detroit?

McCain just may take Michigan.

22 posted on 09/23/2008 5:52:19 PM PDT by Harmless Teddy Bear (Just say No to Lawyers! Palin '08! (oh and McWhatshisname too. I guess))
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To: impeachedrapist

23 posted on 09/23/2008 5:52:31 PM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (~"This is what happens when you find a stranger in the Alps !"~~)
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To: lt.america
"Marketing Resource Group Inc. is Michigan’s premier Republican full-service political-consulting firm."

under Service Areas -> Political Campaigns

Doesn't mean the poll is not valid. It also gives a different view of the race by measuring the candidates' bedrock of support and allowing for a higher neither/undecided number.

McCain probably isn't ahead in Michigan, but this poll suggests it's not the 5-7 point Obama lead that other polls say.

24 posted on 09/23/2008 5:52:38 PM PDT by JohnnyZ (This gun for hire)
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To: notes2005

If I am not correct, McCain went up two points. I am starting to have the strangest feeling....that of winning Michigan which has the no.1 Liberal city in America, Detroit, in it.


25 posted on 09/23/2008 5:52:46 PM PDT by Merta (Who is the only parental unit that California Democrats wish preserved? The Aunt(Aunt War=ANWR))
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To: notes2005

Since when does +2 among women equal “strong”?


26 posted on 09/23/2008 5:52:50 PM PDT by babaloo
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To: notes2005

GOP poll? So what? Jackasses might use fraud polls for propaganda purposes but I doubt the GOP and its hired guns would want to do that. This poll is good news. Obama will have too redeploy his far flung operatives. Pa. and Mich. are becoming nightmares for Obama.


27 posted on 09/23/2008 5:54:14 PM PDT by Combat_Liberalism
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To: notes2005

That’s a Republican poll, but still important. Bill Ballenger is a Republican, but he’s tough on his own and calls em as he sees them in analysis.


28 posted on 09/23/2008 5:56:59 PM PDT by Darren McCarty (Palin in 08)
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To: Clintonfatigued

“THIS IS REALLY, REALLY BIG!!!!!!”

Pessimist. /sarc


29 posted on 09/23/2008 5:56:59 PM PDT by tanuki (Summum ius summa injuria. (The more law, the less justice))
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To: All

This is an arrow straight into the heart of Michael Moore lmao.

Seriously, this is huge news.


30 posted on 09/23/2008 5:58:26 PM PDT by rbmillerjr ("There is a PoliticalSurge coming")
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To: Harmless Teddy Bear

“Obama is only +9 in Detroit?”


Obama’s +9 in Detroit *area*, which includes the suburbs. Obama’s probably over +80 in Detroit (given that he’s +89 among blacks in the poll).

But you’re right that if Obama doesn’t beat McCain by more than 9% in the Detroit metro area in November he won’t carry Michigan.


31 posted on 09/23/2008 5:59:04 PM PDT by AuH2ORepublican (Fred Thompson appears human-sized because he is actually standing a million miles away.)
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To: notes2005

So much for Barry’s 57 state strategy.


32 posted on 09/23/2008 5:59:23 PM PDT by NavVet ( If you don't defend Conservatism in the Primaries, you won't have it to defend in November)
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To: notes2005

Michigan?

The State of Michigan?

The United States State of Michigan?

The one here in the US?


33 posted on 09/23/2008 5:59:39 PM PDT by NoLibZone (Fannie Mae & Freddie Mac - are not facing any kind of financial crisis,'' Barney Frank 9-10-03)
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To: tuckrdout

Thanks. Now I won’t sleep tonight.


34 posted on 09/23/2008 5:59:52 PM PDT by arichtaxpayer (We will not tire, we will not falter, and we will not fail.)
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To: fieldmarshaldj

To keep this a family-friendly forum, you can just imagine my response.


35 posted on 09/23/2008 6:00:23 PM PDT by impeachedrapist (On Free Republic PBD [political bipolar disorder] rules!)
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To: All

Michigan is more than likely going to go blue. What I’m concerned about is Colorado. What the HELL is going on there? Why is it even close! As to the rust belt, I see McCain having his best chance in Penn. And I also think he could carry Wisconsin. But what I don’t understand is Colorado. Could someone help me out here? What is it? Colorado has always been reliably republican.


36 posted on 09/23/2008 6:02:26 PM PDT by navymom1 (I support Free Speech. Defeat the Fairness Doctrine.)
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To: All

The interesting thing is that McCain is up in the Flint/Saginaw/Bay City area. That’s all union areas and a democrat base. I’d like to know what they include in the Detroit area. If he’s down 9 in just the tri-county area, I’m happy. John Kerry won there by probably 18 points. If they included my own people’s republic of Washtenaw County there, even better. I live in the demonrats number two county.


37 posted on 09/23/2008 6:03:30 PM PDT by Darren McCarty (Palin in 08)
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To: The_Reader_David
I'm sick of hearing Obama defend this state. His radio ads are on all the time, and not truthful. What's it like to live in a state that is so securely in one camp or another that you have silence during the campaign season?
38 posted on 09/23/2008 6:04:17 PM PDT by stayathomemom ( nowanemptynester)
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To: arichtaxpayer

Unpopular Governor
Detroit Mayor going to jail
State economy in the tank
Lots of hockey moms :)
Palin strikes a chord with the rural voters’

Anything is possible I guess.

What next? Cats and dogs living together....MASS HYSTERIA!!!!


39 posted on 09/23/2008 6:05:23 PM PDT by ak267
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To: AuH2ORepublican

I live here in Michigan and the Dems have royally screwed this state. Highest unemployment in the nation. Granholm and the Dems raised taxes. The Mayor of Detroit is going to jail. Dems are pretty long faced here and I think McCain will win by 10%


40 posted on 09/23/2008 6:05:32 PM PDT by Rodm (Seest thou a man diligent in his business? He shall stand before kings)
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To: AuH2ORepublican

The two pivotal MI counties to watch are Oakland and Macomb. Past successful Republicans (Engler and Reagan) did very well in those counties. Thus enabling them to counter Wayne county. Unfortunately, Republicans recently have not done well in those vote rich counties.


41 posted on 09/23/2008 6:06:08 PM PDT by yongin (Don't get mad at MSM smears. Do GOTV work for Palin)
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To: Rodm

I hope you are right. I have friends and family there, and all have generously imbibed the Obama kool-aid. I would love for McCain-Palin to take the Wolverine State!


42 posted on 09/23/2008 6:08:45 PM PDT by karnage
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To: NoLibZone

Heck, I live here and I don’t believe it.


43 posted on 09/23/2008 6:12:34 PM PDT by kempster
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To: yongin

Oakland County’s population is increasingly black, and it will be difficult for McCain to carry it this year. But if he can fight Obama to a draw there (by doing well with Jewish voters) and carries Macomb County by a healthy percentage (President Bush carried it by only 1.5% in 2004) he can parlay that into a statewide win.


44 posted on 09/23/2008 6:12:35 PM PDT by AuH2ORepublican (Fred Thompson appears human-sized because he is actually standing a million miles away.)
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To: notes2005

Yesterday on O’Reilly, I saw that Obama had 51% to McCain’s 46%.


45 posted on 09/23/2008 6:14:02 PM PDT by Jabba the Nutt (We're all Georgians now, Lili-Putin!)
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To: notes2005

When he gets to 51% and has at least a 5-6% lead, I’ll be happy. Maybe even complacent. But not before then.


46 posted on 09/23/2008 6:14:54 PM PDT by Tanniker Smith (Teachers open the door. It's up to you to enter.)
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To: navymom1
What I’m concerned about is Colorado. What the HELL is going on there? Why is it even close!

Demographics. Colorado voters are unusually young and white collar, areas where Obama does better than the average Democrat. They also have a growing Hispanic population. Similar story in Virginia.

In contrast, Pennsylvania and Michigan have older, blue collar populations, and as a result McCain is doing better there.

47 posted on 09/23/2008 6:15:52 PM PDT by JohnnyZ (This gun for hire)
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To: arichtaxpayer

Sorry. I know it is frightening.


48 posted on 09/23/2008 6:17:42 PM PDT by tuckrdout (~ 'Those who hammer their guns into plows, will plow for those who don't.' ~)
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To: JohnnyZ

Sheesh, its scary that it is even close. But on the bright side, if we pick up Wisconsin and take Penn; it’s over for socialism this election cycle.


49 posted on 09/23/2008 6:25:43 PM PDT by navymom1 (I support Free Speech. Defeat the Fairness Doctrine.)
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To: yongin

Rasmussen is good, but he ain’t God. The unclear status of MI, WI and PA will require that Barry spend lots of time there and not in CO and VA. As a result, Barry could lose not only CO and VA, but one or more of those three.


50 posted on 09/23/2008 6:26:25 PM PDT by Don'tMessWithTexas
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