Posted on 09/26/2008 5:06:26 PM PDT by Maelstorm
One of the country's top pollsters was in Rochester on Thursday and suggested that the November presidential election will end in an electoral landslide, even though the candidates are running close.
"Essentially the election is at equilibrium," said John Zogby, president of Zogby International. "This election will stay close until the end."
Zogby said he thinks the race will turn in the last weekend before Election Day and though the popular vote will be tight, the successful candidate will win in a landslide. He likened this year's election to the contest in 1980, when Ronald Reagan defeated President Jimmy Carter.
"This may be and probably is the most important election in our lifetime," Zogby said. "I don't say that lightly."
Despite two books by Democratic presidential candidate Sen. Barack Obama, Americans still don't know enough about him. And if they don't think they know him well enough by the time they vote, they'll go with the "comfortable old shoe," Republican Sen. John McCain, Zogby said.
If Obama can convince voters, he'll increase turnout among young people and minorities, Zogby said.
Zogby later added that if the winner doesn't kick off his presidency with a period of reform, he will risk alienating a generation of voters.
(Excerpt) Read more at news.google.com ...
I don’t think the popular vote will as close as 1980.
People have very short attention spans these days. Whatever happens in the last week will determine who wins.
could end in a landslide... or it could not end in a landslide.. thanks Mr Pollster for working that out fer me.
I'll be happy if PA slips into the McCain column while holding VA and CO. Most of the rest will fall in line.
Now if Baroness de Rothschild keeps circulating in the right social circles ... okay, NY aint going McCain, but it'd be a nice dream.
I’m praying for a landslide. We really need to show the rest of America and the world for that matter, we don’t want this nation to become any more socialized. No Marxist, Nobama.
It will be a landslide. We as many undecideds it will be a landslide. We can hope and pray that history holds out and McCain gets the normal GOP surge at the end.
The media is in overdrive of pro-obama stories, covering up every crooked democrat in congress in this bailout mess, and pushing hard on the anti-mccain and palin stories around the clock.
Full court press. McCain better bring his A-Game tonight and Palin better have everything at the ready come Oct.2nd.
“Pray for the old shoe folks and get your butts out and canvas this weekend and put a sign in your yard....”
I live 30 miles west of Chicago. Sorry, but I don’t need my house fire-bombed.
Isn’t ACORN convincing the younger people to vote for Obama, as well as all the College professors, and Pravda.
Virginia in Rasmussen doesn’t look good. The GOP made a crucial mistake in NM and VA not doing more for our candidates. We need a better battle plan. Mark Warner a stealth liberal has been running around getting kudos for running up state spending and raising taxes while lying about Jim Gilmore’s record who cut taxes 1.5 billion in the state. The CATO institute gave Warner a D and the press in this state have been buying it hook line and sinker.
Anything and anyone connected to Obama's past have already been thrown under the bus and the MSM won't venture under B. Hussein's bus for a head count.
I’d like to see Obama beaten bad enough to take him out of future contention, and to make the Democratic Party reevaluate its rush to the radical left. Any victory will do though.
That is about the gist of this little article, isn't it.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H5tZc8oH—o
Powerful stuff.
The polls have been very, very liquid this time around. Obama up, McCain up, tie, Obama up substantially, McCain up substantially, back to a tie, back to Obama up a little, back to McCain up a little, a tie, and so forth. The reason is that this is a very strong Democrat year...but Obama is not a good candidate people are comfortable with. Had they nominated a mediocre governor with a good old boy demeanor, like Bill Richardson, they would be running away with this consistently up to election day. The only chance Obama has with this election is the fact it is a Democrat year with an unpopular GOP president at the helm - he’s simply not a great candidate people have confidence could serve as President, which is what is making this race even.
I’d compare it to the Nixon/McGovern election. Obama is such a wigged out wing nut, that I think his standing here is comparable to George McGovern’s, another person who was just “out there”!
The bigger the landslide, the bigger the riots.
I would too. What McCain needs to do and all the 527s and Pro-Life, NRA, and Business groups need to do is hammer Obama on the following fronts:
Pro-Abortion
Anti-Gun
Associations with Ayers/Wright/Rezko etc
His rating from the ACLU
His plan to spend trillions of dollars beyond the bailout plan
Taxes Taxes Taxes!
Hit him on all the left issues.
Cast him as out of the mainstream
Cast him as bought and paid for by special interests.
People still aren’t sure about him and that has benefited him because they don’t know what he is about.
Define him the last few weeks of the campaign and he won’t have a chance.
I don’t trust Zogby on anything.
1) He made it clear in 2004 he is for Democrats.
2) Keeping this in turmoil is his bread and butter to get attention for his polls.
3) He is the founder of some Arab America group and obviously would slant to Obama.
all I can say is I sure hope Zogby is right and that the “ landslide” will be in favor of John McCain!!!!!!
he’s simply not a great candidate people have confidence could serve as President, which is what is making this race even.What's making the
Once the story that Obama’s “truth squad” are going to arrest people for talking bad about Obama, there will be a landslide.
I am not taking any thing for granted, it looks like CO, NH, and PA are turning McCain’s way. Yes, we have 5 weeks ago, but when a pole found that 50% of the people were already tired of 0bama, I figured McCain would win.
I am praying for a landslide, I want Obama to go back to Chicago and pound City Hall desks.
Zogby’s political loyalties are well-known. However, after an election, he is always looking to maintain credibility for his polling business, so because of that fact, I at least listen to what he has to say.
Send Sarah out for one last fight for votes the last week and McCain wins.
You left out MTV, CNN, MSNBC, PBS, Jon Stewart, Steven Colbert, David Letterman, Oprah, CBS, ABC, NBC, High School teachers, liberal parents...plenty of others I am leaving out as well.
Don’t worry about Sarah, she’ll be loaded for bear/ or moose. Oct 2nd is my birthday so she’ll do just fine.
True and because it is his business if it wasn’t a roller coaster who would pay attention to his business. His internals can make huge differences in what we see. I didn’t say if didn’t read him I think I said I don’t trust him.
I just can’t see Obama winning in a landslide. McCain is going to do very well in the arc of states from Virginia, down to Florida, across to Texas, and up to the Dakotas and Idaho. He’s got about 200 electoral votes in his pocket, and he’s solid in most of these states. He’s not going to lose too many of these states if there are gaffes, scandals, or bad economic news right before the election. Having said that, of course Obama can win. But I just can’t imagine a landslide for Barack.
I’m afraid to put signs in my yard because we live in a section 8 neighborhood ($350,000 homes which wouldn’t sell). The government pays their rent until they get evicted for what ever reason. Can I just vote quietly? My husband won’t let me put a bumper sticker on our car because the gun shots we hear every once in awhile might get too close to our house. LOL
For McCain to win, he'll need NM or CO.
As far as being beaten badly enough, we’ll see. Any defeat may do. Democrats don’t seem to let their losing general election candidates come back again. Even close losers such as Gore and Kerry never tried again. Part of that may be that there’s always a hunger for new faces in politics, and both Gore and Kerry found that there wasn’t too much enthusiasm for them to try again.
“What’s making the race polls even is the weighting of the polls.”
Something else weighting the polls is all those Democrat voters who are embarrassed to admit to the pollsters that there is no way they will vote for a black person.
I have no faith in Pennsylvania; in fact I’ll eat my hat if PA ever goes (R) in any presidential election.
Actually,his books said too much and hurt his case.
Obamy, thanks for being honest in your books! You confirmed you are a socialist lunatic.
Something else weighting the polls is all those Democrat voters who are embarrassed to admit to the pollsters that there is no way they will vote for a black person.Not only that, but on top of that, what about actually voting for a President with a muslim sounding name?...It just ain't gonna happen.
I’ve been saying for 2 months that this will be 10 pts and 40 states. Figure 3-5 pts just on race and 5+ pts for the drive bys trashing a regular AMERICAN!
PS Where can I get one of those white McCain Palin bumperstickers with the big wet kiss?
try to be positive won’t ya?!
This is what happens when the media refuses to properly vet a candidate in the primaries. It's quite possible, the media sealed Obama's defeat while in the process of insuring his candidacy.
“Whatever happens in the last week will determine who wins.”
So why are we here every day monitoring and dissecting every move?
;-)
By the way, I am sending Prayers Up for senator McCain for tonight’s debate.
I’ll try to; I don’t savor the thought of eating that old watch cap…
I've got this to say to you, Zogby. I am a swing voter, one known as a "Reagan Democrat".
I am not voting for Obama and I will tell you why. He is just not qualified. I am sick of the press tooting their horns for him, trying to shotgun him into the White House.
Furthermore this "Truth Squad" business in Missouri is the last straw for me. By that, Obama has proven he has a paper-thin skin and obviously thinks nothing of violating the rights of others who disagree with him, under color of law. Clearly, that is abuse of power right there.
If he ever becomes President, the press will be "targeted" first for all the "lies" said about him. Is he thinking of suing or incarcerating the whole world if they don't kiss his butt? His fawning press and pollsters like yourself need to be made aware that you will be the first to go.
I will be voting for McCain/Palin in this election, with no apologies. If you value your freedom, you should too.
I was told today by my boss that his father is a union boss in Pa and will vote GOP for the first time since Nixon.
Please tell the boss that we appreciate his father’s support. I know enough about PA politics (Philadelphia/ Pittsburgh) that the rest of the state will never, ever be represented as it stands now. I also know that sooner or latter…it will.
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